Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

yarnivek1972

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    6,683

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    8

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Tutorials & Help

Videos

2023 Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Free Agent & Trade Rumors

Guides & Resources

Minnesota Twins Players Project

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by yarnivek1972

  1. yarnivek1972
    OK. If Rodney had the second best WPA for the Twins today, it doesn’t say much for the value of that stat.
  2. yarnivek1972
    It left here fine. Something must have happened when it got to the transmitter...
  3. yarnivek1972
    May is probably capable of handling the workload of a reliever as long as he doesn’t get overworked. Like earlier this year, there was a WEEK in which Zach Duke (of all people) had FOUR 20 pitch outings. Can’t do that and expect anyone to remain healthy or effective. In this day and age, I’m not sure a #3 starter (which is probably May’s ceiling) is more valuable than a shut down reliever. It’s close.
  4. yarnivek1972
    No one is going to sign anyone to a ten year contract. Let’s get real.
  5. yarnivek1972
    Of course, there’s a school of thought that says some guys have egos big enough to think “this will be my team” and WHEN I lead them to a title, I will get the acolades. If Machado goes to (for example) New York or LA, other stars will overshadow him.
  6. yarnivek1972
    I think expecting payroll to be in the $140 mil range is delusional. I’d wager $110 mil is more probable. Attendance is down about 1400 per game. Note, I am not sure if that includes the two games in Puerto Rico. I think MLB and the Twins donated those gate receipts to hurricaine relief anyway. So, that’s two fewer games. Total attendance will likely be under 1.9 mil which will decrease revenue. Meaning next year’s payroll budget will go down.
  7. yarnivek1972
    An ERA of 95 + is close to average, but is still below. And as I said, trending the wrong way. 117 in 2015, 108 in 2016, 100 in 2017 and 95 this year. Not a significant drop year to year. However, 117 to 95 is a significant difference. One you pay. One you try to replace. It is certainly concerning that a guy who should be in his prime is getting worse. If you are banking on Gibson and Berrios being better (and the Twins certainly are) and if Pineda comes back and looks good - because that is what I indicated as a major factor in the decision - that makes 3. Mejia certainly looks like a league average pitcher. That’s 4. So the question is again - are you really willing to spend $ 8 mil for a guy that might be your worst starter when Romero can do that for next to nothing and allow the team to use that $8 mil elsewhere? I’m not.
  8. yarnivek1972
    But if the goal is to win a championship, it may mean doing something that is unpopular in the short term. For example, letting Mickey Hatcher go after 1986. Trading Frank Viola in 1989.
  9. yarnivek1972
    How much more time should the brain trust give to Matt Belisle? Sorry, it is extremely difficult to not question their decision making, when this remains one of them.
  10. yarnivek1972
    There’s new people at the top. IMO they have retained too many of the lower level talent evaluators and development people from the previous regime. That makes the last 15 years relevant.
  11. yarnivek1972
    Oh, there are certainly other problems. Many of them stemming from people hired by the Ryan regime. My ultimate point is why trust the judgement of those people? Replace them with people who have some track record of success or who are at least on the same page with the people on top.
  12. yarnivek1972
    The point of everything the organization does should be with the goal of winning a championship. To that end, it means acquiring the right players at the right time to help do that. The prospects the Twins have acquired over the last 15 years haven’t helped win anything. So, again, by what measure have the Twins “done well” with these kinds of trades?
  13. yarnivek1972
    “Done well” by what measure? It certainly hasn’t helped them win playoff games. Not in the last 15 years anyway.
  14. yarnivek1972
    Most of whom were hired by the Ryan regime.
  15. yarnivek1972
    Odorizzi isn’t league average and is trending the wrong way.
  16. yarnivek1972
    Since neither you or I know what their budget will be, that is a meaningless statement. I’d say it is pretty likely they spend whatever Pohlad allows. Will that be less than 2018? Almost certainly. A lot less? Probably. 20% less? Wouldn’t surprise me. I don’t mind certainty as long as it is sufficient quality. Odorizzi almost certainly won’t pitch even 170 innings this year. Keeping in mind he had the advantage (such as it was) of starting the first game of the season. Odorizzi will also almost certainly see his ERA and WHIP go up for the fourth consecutive season. That’s not good. He’s going to post about a .7 or .8 bWAR this year. Isn’t that the definition of someone you should be looking to replace? You’re right. The Twins are not likely to pursue two new starting pitchers. But, maybe if they jettison Odorizzi, they will go after one who will be better. Hopefully someone trending in the right direction.
  17. yarnivek1972
    As a regular, probably not. Possibly as a reserve. That’s why I want to see him play. Can he field adequately everywhere? Anywhere? Can he hit enough to not be an automatic out? Those are questions that I feel need to be answered. At the MLB level. There’s no reason not to. We already know what Forsythe and Motter can do at the MLB level.
  18. yarnivek1972
    That’s exactly what I’m worried about: 30 “ish” games.
  19. yarnivek1972
    I don’t think Odorizzi is set in stone. Light pencil maybe. He is certainly a non tender candidate. If Pineda comes back and looks good in September, I think he is almost certain to be unless he shows dramatic improvement. What’s the point of spending of $8 mil (likely his 2019 arb award) on a .7 bWAR pitcher who rarely goes deeper than 5 innings? The Twins are getting that from Mejia for $ 600 K.
  20. yarnivek1972
    2) They signed a bunch of one year contracts, because that is what the market allowed. Wasn’t just the Twins. I think it’s the beginnings of a trend. The great players will get their multi-year 8 and 9 figure deals. Machado, Harper et al. The second tier may have to be prepared to prove themselves year after year. Even Addison Reed, who has a very good track record, had to take just a two year deal. 5) I wouldn’t say selling bit the Twins in the ass last year. They really only sold Kintzler, who was more than adequately replaced by Belisle, who up to that point had been largelh ineffective. So it didn’t drastically change the rest of the pen. The bottom line last year was that the Twins were BY FAR the worst team in the AL playoffs. They would have needed to add 5 or 6 guys to change that. If you are that far away, does it really make sense to sell the farm for a shot at that point?
  21. yarnivek1972
    And this is why many have called it a half-@ssed rebuild. As Lucy always said to Charlie Brown: don’t be wishy washy. If you are getting rid of players that aren’t in the plans for 2019, then they ALL should be gone in favor of players who will be or might be. Any other way is just wasting at bats and innings.
  22. yarnivek1972
    2011 was the final season with Bill Smith as GM. The problem was re-hiring Terry Ryan who clearly was out of touch with the changes that had happened in baseball since he started as a scout in the early 1980s. The Twins should have gone outside the organization and cleaned house then. Now those are wasted years and while the people at the top have changed, I don’t feel there have been enough changes in the scouting and player development areas. For the most part, the same people Terry Ryan hired are still there. If this organization is going to move forward, Falvine needs to eliminate the old boys network.
  23. yarnivek1972
    I’m hoping more like two weeks. It really makes zero sense to have him get playing time when the Twins could be evaluating Austudillo at the MLB level. Maybe someone will put in a waiver claim.
  24. yarnivek1972
    Rogers is a good loogy, he just hasn’t been as effective vs RHB as he was the last two years. RHB have an .860 OPS. Last year it was about 100 points lower. He’s having his best year vs LHB to the tune of a .460 OPS. Of course, MOY keeps using him in non loogy situations. That doesn’t help matters.
  25. yarnivek1972
    Meanwhile, Logan Morrison gets MLB at bats for no particular reason.
×
×
  • Create New...