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About Collin Kottke
- Birthday 03/19/1994
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Buffalo Lake, MN
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[FONT=arial]Last night we saw future Hall of Famer Mariano Rivera be the set-up man for former Twins closer and current Texas Ranger Joe Nathan. Rivera was in the game in the eighth inning to secure his appearance in the game, but is it possible we saw a one-two punch of future Hall of Famers?[/FONT][FONT=arial] [/FONT] [FONT=arial]It's tough for relief pitchers to break into the Hall but Nathan, by the end of his career, might have the right number of saves to punch a ticket to Cooperstown. Nathan currently sits at 328 saves which is the 13th most in the history of baseball. So far this year Nathan has 30 saves and once he reaches 44 he'll pass Hall of Famer Rollie Fingers for 10th all-time.[/FONT] [FONT=arial] [/FONT] [FONT=arial]Nathan is currently 38 years old and probably doesn't have more than two or three shut-the-door-closer years left in his arm. So Father Time's clock is ticking loudly for Nathan. Let's say Nathan reaches the 345 career saves mark this year (47 saves on the year) and do some math from there.[/FONT] [FONT=arial] [/FONT] [FONT=arial]In years that Nathan has been healthy (and a closer), he has never saved fewer than 36 games in a season. Let's say Nathan notches 35 saves each of these next two seasons after hitting the 345 mark this year. That means Nathan will end the 2015 season with 415 saves, good for sixth all-time and be one of only six to save over 400 ballgames.[/FONT] [FONT=arial] [/FONT] [FONT=arial]Not even Dennis Eckersley saved over 400 games. The problem is that, at the moment, no one else with 400 saves is in the Hall. Granted, Mariano and Trevor Hoffman will be in, but that's after careers that saw them chalk up 600-plus saves. This total would put Nathan in a group with Lee Smith, John Franco and Billy Wagner. Franco is already off the Hall of Fame ballot. Smith is probably not going to get in after his highest voting percentage, 50.6% in 2012, dropped to 47.8% this year. Billy Wagner is not yet eligible for the Hall.[/FONT] [FONT=arial] [/FONT] [FONT=arial]For Nathan's sake, Wagner had best be enshrined. The two are very comparable: Wagner had seven All-Star appearance and Nathan has six, Wagner pitched 16 seasons and if Nathan pitches two more he will have pitched 15. [/FONT] [FONT=arial] [/FONT] [FONT=arial]This debate will clear-up in a couple years when Wagner become Hall of Fame eligible and Nathan probably hangs it up; until then it's a fun debate to have. Joe Nathan is clearly a great closer: the question is will he be enshrined where the greats go for eternity.[/FONT] View full article
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Last night we saw future Hall of Famer Mariano Rivera be the set-up man for former Twins closer and current Texas Ranger Joe Nathan. Rivera was in the game in the eighth inning to secure his appearance in the game, but is it possible we saw a one-two punch of future Hall of Famers? It's tough for relief pitchers to break into the Hall but Nathan, by the end of his career, might have the right number of saves to punch a ticket to Cooperstown. Nathan currently sits at 328 saves which is the 13th most in the history of baseball. So far this year Nathan has 30 saves and once he reaches 44 he'll pass Hall of Famer Rollie Fingers for 10th all-time. Nathan is currently 38 years old and probably doesn't have more than two or three shut-the-door-closer years left in his arm. So Father Time's clock is ticking loudly for Nathan. Let's say Nathan reaches the 345 career saves mark this year (47 saves on the year) and do some math from there. In years that Nathan has been healthy (and a closer), he has never saved fewer than 36 games in a season. Let's say Nathan notches 35 saves each of these next two seasons after hitting the 345 mark this year. That means Nathan will end the 2015 season with 415 saves, good for sixth all-time and be one of only six to save over 400 ballgames. Not even Dennis Eckersley saved over 400 games. The problem is that, at the moment, no one else with 400 saves is in the Hall. Granted, Mariano and Trevor Hoffman will be in, but that's after careers that saw them chalk up 600-plus saves. This total would put Nathan in a group with Lee Smith, John Franco and Billy Wagner. Franco is already off the Hall of Fame ballot. Smith is probably not going to get in after his highest voting percentage, 50.6% in 2012, dropped to 47.8% this year. Billy Wagner is not yet eligible for the Hall. For Nathan's sake, Wagner had best be enshrined. The two are very comparable: Wagner had seven All-Star appearance and Nathan has six, Wagner pitched 16 seasons and if Nathan pitches two more he will have pitched 15. This debate will clear-up in a couple years when Wagner become Hall of Fame eligible and Nathan probably hangs it up; until then it's a fun debate to have. Joe Nathan is clearly a great closer: the question is will he be enshrined where the greats go for eternity.
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A look at Joe Nathan's Hall of Fame chances
Collin Kottke commented on Collin Kottke's blog entry in Kottke's Cuts
I'm afraid you're so right. Funny how those little rings can amount to so much. -
Let's not forget... Mauer is a projected HOFer
Collin Kottke commented on Collin Kottke's blog entry in Kottke's Cuts
I think Mauer still makes the Hall of Fame if he has to switch from catcher to first base full time in the future. He won multiple batting titles as a catcher and was great defensively. He built up enough merit in my opinion. -
Last night we saw the obvious future Hall of Famer Mariano Rivera be the set-up man for former Twins closer and current Texas Ranger Joe Nathan. Now Rivera was in the game in the eighth inning to secure him appearing in the game, but is it possible that we saw a one-two punch of future Hall of Famers? It's tough to break into the Hall being a relief pitcher, but Nathan might just have right amount of saves at the end of his career to punch a ticket to Cooperstown. Nathan currently sits at 328 career saves which is the 13th most saves in the history of baseball. Nathan has 30 saves so far in 2013 and once he reaches 44 he will pass Hall of Famer Rollie Fingers for 10th all-time. Nathan is currently 38 years old and probably doesn't have more than two or three years left in his arm, at least as a shut-the-door closer. So father time is sure ticking fast for Nathan to bolster his career saves total. Let's say Nathan reaches the 345 career saves mark this year (47 saves on the year) and do some math from there. In years that Nathan has been healthy (and a closer), he has never saved less than 36 games in a season. Let's say Nathan notches 35 saves these next two seasons after hitting the 345 mark this year. That means Nathan will end the 2015 season with 415 saves with would be good for sixth all-time and be one of only six men to save over 400 ballgames. Not even Dennis Eckersley saved over 400 games. The problem is that, at the moment, no one else with 400 saves is also in the Hall. Granted, Mariano and Trevor Hoffman will be in the Hall but that's after a career that saw them chalk up 600-plus saves. This puts Nathan in a group with Lee Smith, John Franco and Billy Wagner. Franco is already off of the Hall of Fame ballot, Smith is probably not going to get in after his highest voting percentage was 50.6% in 2012 after dropping to 47.8% this year and Billy Wagner is not yet eligible for the Hall. For the sake of Nathan, Wagner better get enshrined. The two are very comparable: Wagner had seven All-Star appearance and Nathan has six, Wagner pitched 16 seasons and if Nathan pitches two more he will have pitched 15 seasons. If Nathan can have a big couple years, he could easily pass Wagner in all of these categories. This debate will obviously clear-up in a couple years when Wagner become Hall of Fame eligible and Nathan probably hangs it up, but until then it's a fun debate to have. Joe Nathan is clearly a great closer, now the question is will he be enshrined where the greats go for eternity.
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A look at Joe Nathan's Hall of Fame chances
Collin Kottke commented on Collin Kottke's blog entry in Kottke's Cuts
Last night we saw the obvious future Hall of Famer Mariano Rivera be the set-up man for former Twins closer and current Texas Ranger Joe Nathan. Now Rivera was in the game in the eighth inning to secure him appearing in the game, but is it possible that we saw a one-two punch of future Hall of Famers? It's tough to break into the Hall being a relief pitcher, but Nathan might just have right amount of saves at the end of his career to punch a ticket to Cooperstown. Nathan currently sits at 328 career saves which is the 13th most saves in the history of baseball. Nathan has 30 saves so far in 2013 and once he reaches 44 he will pass Hall of Famer Rollie Fingers for 10th all-time. Nathan is currently 38 years old and probably doesn't have more than two or three years left in his arm, at least as a shut-the-door closer. So father time is sure ticking fast for Nathan to bolster his career saves total. Let's say Nathan reaches the 345 career saves mark this year (47 saves on the year) and do some math from there. In years that Nathan has been healthy (and a closer), he has never saved less than 36 games in a season. Let's say Nathan notches 35 saves these next two seasons after hitting the 345 mark this year. That means Nathan will end the 2015 season with 415 saves with would be good for sixth all-time and be one of only six men to save over 400 ballgames. Not even Dennis Eckersley saved over 400 games. The problem is that, at the moment, no one else with 400 saves is also in the Hall. Granted, Mariano and Trevor Hoffman will be in the Hall but that's after a career that saw them chalk up 600-plus saves. This puts Nathan in a group with Lee Smith, John Franco and Billy Wagner. Franco is already off of the Hall of Fame ballot, Smith is probably not going to get in after his highest voting percentage was 50.6% in 2012 after dropping to 47.8% this year and Billy Wagner is not yet eligible for the Hall. For the sake of Nathan, Wagner better get enshrined. The two are very comparable: Wagner had seven All-Star appearance and Nathan has six, Wagner pitched 16 seasons and if Nathan pitches two more he will have pitched 15 seasons. If Nathan can have a big couple years, he could easily pass Wagner in all of these categories. This debate will obviously clear-up in a couple years when Wagner become Hall of Fame eligible and Nathan probably hangs it up, but until then it's a fun debate to have. Joe Nathan is clearly a great closer, now the question is will he be enshrined where the greats go for eternity. -
At work today I was clicking around [URL="http://baseball-reference.com/"]Baseball Reference[/URL]’s website and stumbled across an interesting section of that website that I had not previously explored. If you scroll to the bottom of a player’s profile page you will see a section titled [I]Hall Of Fame Statistics[/I], which is a bunch of sabermetrics designed to project if a player is a Hall of Fame candidate. Among the many equations there is one entitled [I]JAWS[/I] which stands for[URL="http://www.baseball-reference.com/about/jaws.shtml"] Jaffe WAR Scoresystem[/URL]. The system was designed by sabermetrician Jay Jaffe as a means to measure a player's Hall of Fame worthiness and easily provides player comparisons.[PRBREAK][/PRBREAK] The main components of the equation are a player’s WAR (wins above replacement) and his 7-year peak WAR. No Twin is high on any of the position lists- with one exception, to be named later. For example, Justin Morneau: he is currently ranked 105 on the list for first basemen. This puts Morneau just six spots above Aubrey Huff, five behind Mike Sweeney and ten behind John Kruk. That’s pretty tough for a guy who won an American League MVP award just a handful of years ago. What really caught my eye was where hometown boy Joe Mauer was ranked. Mauer, a 10-year MLB veteran, is currently ranked 14th all-time among catchers. Mauer is in great company, trailing seven current Hall of Famers and six non-HOF'ers and is already ahead of six other members of the Hall. The catchers that Mauer is behind are, from first to 13th: Johnny Bench, Gary Carter, Ivan Rodriguez, Carlton Fisk, Mike Piazza, Yogi Berra, Joe Torre, Bill Dickey, Mickey Cochrane, Ted Simmons, Gabby Harnett, Thurman Munson and Gene Tenance. All of those players are retired and have no chance, on their own, of moving up or down the list. The closet active player is the Detroit Tiger’s Victor Martinez who is ranked 33rd. Granted, Joe Mauer could move himself down the list since the JAWS system is based much on a player’s WAR, but there is no reason to believe Mauer will turn sour anytime soon. An impressive thing is that Mauer likely has a good number of years left in his major league career; at least the Twins hope so since he is signed thru the 2018 season. It’s more than likely that Joe Mauer will move into the top 10, if not the top five, before he hangs it up someday. What really hit me is that while the Twins wallow in dismay and disarray and are on pace for their third straight ninety-plus loss season, they have a catcher who looks to be a certain Hall of Famer. When his career is over there shouldn’t be any question about it. So while you are laughing at what the MLB All-Star game festivities have become and pondering what really is Ron Gardenhire’s job status, sit back and remember that we are watching a future Hall of Famer every night behind the plate… unless it’s a day game after a night game. View full article
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At work today I was clicking around Baseball Reference’s website and stumbled across an interesting section of that website that I had not previously explored. If you scroll to the bottom of a player’s profile page you will see a section titled Hall Of Fame Statistics, which is a bunch of sabermetrics designed to project if a player is a Hall of Fame candidate. Among the many equations there is one entitled JAWS which stands for Jaffe WAR Scoresystem. The system was designed by sabermetrician Jay Jaffe as a means to measure a player's Hall of Fame worthiness and easily provides player comparisons.[PRBREAK][/PRBREAK] The main components of the equation are a player’s WAR (wins above replacement) and his 7-year peak WAR. No Twin is high on any of the position lists- with one exception, to be named later. For example, Justin Morneau: he is currently ranked 105 on the list for first basemen. This puts Morneau just six spots above Aubrey Huff, five behind Mike Sweeney and ten behind John Kruk. That’s pretty tough for a guy who won an American League MVP award just a handful of years ago. What really caught my eye was where hometown boy Joe Mauer was ranked. Mauer, a 10-year MLB veteran, is currently ranked 14th all-time among catchers. Mauer is in great company, trailing seven current Hall of Famers and six non-HOF'ers and is already ahead of six other members of the Hall. The catchers that Mauer is behind are, from first to 13th: Johnny Bench, Gary Carter, Ivan Rodriguez, Carlton Fisk, Mike Piazza, Yogi Berra, Joe Torre, Bill Dickey, Mickey Cochrane, Ted Simmons, Gabby Harnett, Thurman Munson and Gene Tenance. All of those players are retired and have no chance, on their own, of moving up or down the list. The closet active player is the Detroit Tiger’s Victor Martinez who is ranked 33rd. Granted, Joe Mauer could move himself down the list since the JAWS system is based much on a player’s WAR, but there is no reason to believe Mauer will turn sour anytime soon. An impressive thing is that Mauer likely has a good number of years left in his major league career; at least the Twins hope so since he is signed thru the 2018 season. It’s more than likely that Joe Mauer will move into the top 10, if not the top five, before he hangs it up someday. What really hit me is that while the Twins wallow in dismay and disarray and are on pace for their third straight ninety-plus loss season, they have a catcher who looks to be a certain Hall of Famer. When his career is over there shouldn’t be any question about it. So while you are laughing at what the MLB All-Star game festivities have become and pondering what really is Ron Gardenhire’s job status, sit back and remember that we are watching a future Hall of Famer every night behind the plate… unless it’s a day game after a night game.
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Let's not forget... Mauer is a projected HOFer
Collin Kottke commented on Collin Kottke's blog entry in Kottke's Cuts
At work today I was clicking around Baseball Reference’s website and I stumbled across an interesting section of the website that I have never explored before. If you scroll to the bottom of a player’s profile page you will see a section titled Hall Of Fame Statistics, which is a bunch of sabermetrics designed to project if a player is a Hall of Fame candidate. Amongst the multiple equations there is one that is entitled JAWS which stands for Jaffe WAR Scoresystem, the system was designed by sabermetrician Jay Jaffe as a means to measure a player's Hall of Fame worthiness and easily compares the players. The main components to the equation are a player’s WAR (wins above replacement) and his 7-year peak WAR. Not a whole lot of Twins are high up on any of the position lists. Take Justin Morneau for example, he is currently ranked 105 on the list for first basemen. This puts Morneau just six spots above Aubrey Huff, five behind Mike Sweeney or 10 behind John Kruk. That’s pretty tough for a guy who won an American League MVP award just a handful of years ago. What really caught my eye was where hometown boy Joe Mauer was ranked. Mauer, a 10-year MLB veteran, is currently ranked 14th all-time amongst catchers. Mauer is in great company trailing seven current Hall of Famers and already ahead of six other members of the Hall. The catchers that Mauer is behind are the following from first to 13th: Johnny Bench, Gary Carter, Ivan Rodriguez, Carlton Piazza, Mike Piazza, Yogi Berra, Joe Torre, Bill Dickey, Mickey Cochrane, Ted Simmons, Gabby Harnett, Thurman Munson and Gene Tenance. All of those players are retired and have no chance of moving up or down the list. The closet active player is the Detroit Tiger’s Victor Martinez who is ranked 33rd. Granted, Joe Mauer could move himself down the list since the JAWS system is based a lot on a player’s WAR, but we have no reason to believe that Mauer will turn sour anytime soon. The scary thing is that Mauer has a good amount of years left in his major league career; at least the Twins hope so since he is signed thru the 2018 season. It’s more than likely that Joe Mauer will move into the top 10 if not the top five before he hangs it up someday. What really hit me is that while the Twins wallow in dismay and are on pace for their third straight ninety-plus loss season, the Twins have a catcher to that looks to be a Hall of Famer and when it’s all over there shouldn’t be much question about it. So while you are laughing at what the MLB All-Star game festivities have become and pondering what really is Ron Gardenhire’s job status, just sit back and remember that we are watching a future Hall of Famer every night behind the plate… unless it’s a day game after a night game. -
At work today I was clicking around Baseball Reference’s website and I stumbled across an interesting section of the website that I have never explored before. If you scroll to the bottom of a player’s profile page you will see a section titled Hall Of Fame Statistics, which is a bunch of sabermetrics designed to project if a player is a Hall of Fame candidate. Amongst the multiple equations there is one that is entitled JAWS which stands for Jaffe WAR Scoresystem, the system was designed by sabermetrician Jay Jaffe as a means to measure a player's Hall of Fame worthiness and easily compares the players. The main components to the equation are a player’s WAR (wins above replacement) and his 7-year peak WAR. Not a whole lot of Twins are high up on any of the position lists. Take Justin Morneau for example, he is currently ranked 105 on the list for first basemen. This puts Morneau just six spots above Aubrey Huff, five behind Mike Sweeney or 10 behind John Kruk. That’s pretty tough for a guy who won an American League MVP award just a handful of years ago. What really caught my eye was where hometown boy Joe Mauer was ranked. Mauer, a 10-year MLB veteran, is currently ranked 14th all-time amongst catchers. Mauer is in great company trailing seven current Hall of Famers and already ahead of six other members of the Hall. The catchers that Mauer is behind are the following from first to 13th: Johnny Bench, Gary Carter, Ivan Rodriguez, Carlton Piazza, Mike Piazza, Yogi Berra, Joe Torre, Bill Dickey, Mickey Cochrane, Ted Simmons, Gabby Harnett, Thurman Munson and Gene Tenance. All of those players are retired and have no chance of moving up or down the list. The closet active player is the Detroit Tiger’s Victor Martinez who is ranked 33rd. Granted, Joe Mauer could move himself down the list since the JAWS system is based a lot on a player’s WAR, but we have no reason to believe that Mauer will turn sour anytime soon. The scary thing is that Mauer has a good amount of years left in his major league career; at least the Twins hope so since he is signed thru the 2018 season. It’s more than likely that Joe Mauer will move into the top 10 if not the top five before he hangs it up someday. What really hit me is that while the Twins wallow in dismay and are on pace for their third straight ninety-plus loss season, the Twins have a catcher to that looks to be a Hall of Famer and when it’s all over there shouldn’t be much question about it. So while you are laughing at what the MLB All-Star game festivities have become and pondering what really is Ron Gardenhire’s job status, just sit back and remember that we are watching a future Hall of Famer every night behind the plate… unless it’s a day game after a night game.