Hoze

I wonder about Law's confidence level on Raya not having a plus 3rd pitch.. Fwiw @Data_prospects (Twitter) had a 8/23 report on Raya and posted the following on his secondaries: Slider: "His slider is filthy also. The pitch is thrown with a very workable velocity in the mid 80s (average velocity of 83.7 mph). The movement here is lights out, getting 3.5” of lift on the pitch along with 13” of sweep. Despite throwing the pitch in the zone 56.3%, he is still getting strikes almost 80% of the time he throws the slider. He is also able to limit hard contact significantly better with the slider than with the fastball. I would give the pitch a 60 grade" Cutter: "He has also thrown a Cutter in the high 80s/low 90s, which has been outstanding for him so far. The pitch gets 8.5” of lift and 8.3” of glove side movement on average and has drawn a Whiff% of 48% and has held hitters to a xwOBA of .127 on the offering. Going to go out on a limb and calling it a 70. If you don’t like it, sue me." Curve: "While the slider might be filthy, I don’t think it’s his best breaking ball. Though he has only thrown it 80 times, his curveball is one of the best in the minors. Velocity is a non-issue again, sitting at 80mph and running up to 84mph. The movement profile is gaudy, posting an astounding 56.9” of depth on average and 10” of sweep. According to statcast, there are just 3 qualified major league pitchers who throw curveballs with >55” of depth and >80mph on average. The list is: Carlos Rodon, Dylan Cease, Joe Musgrove. Raya has held hitters to an impressive .221 xwOBA on the pitch and has posted a Whiff% of 34%, I’ll play it cool and 60 it for now but I’d bump it to a 70 if he throws it more."