Nickasaski

Nice break down, Seth. I've often heard Mackey and others deride the Twins draft success. Your data mining stamps their arguments with a valid, "It's not that bad."I think the 2003-2012 drafts will have a lot less impact on this organization than the 2012-2017 will. If you add the overall draft positions in each year for rounds 1-5 and divide by the number of picks in those rounds, you get what I'll call a Top Round Composite, the lower numbers will reflect higher picks, on average. 2003 = 433 (5 picks, = TRC 86.6) 2004 = 565 (9 picks, = TRC 62.8) 2005 = 760 (9 picks, = TRC 84.4) 2006 = 581 (6 picks, = TRC 96.8) 2007 = 576 (5 picks, = TRC 115.2) 2008 = 506 (7 picks, = TRC 72.2) 2009 = 533 (6 picks, = TRC 88.8) 2010 = 494 (5 picks, = TRC 98.8) 2011 = 665 (7 picks, = TRC 95) 2012 = 598 (8 picks, = TRC 74.7) 2013 = 375 (5 picks, avg. 75) 2014 = 380 (5 picks, avg. 76) 2015 = 409 (5 picks, avg. 81.8) 2016 = 587 (7 picks, avg. 83.8) I would argue that the most important years for the Twins to have draft success were those in which they had the best chance of being successful. These are the years with the lowest TRC: 2004, 2008, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016 (in order). The only two that we can evaluate fairly at this point are 2004 and 2008. 2004 was a good draft - Plouffe, Perkins and Swarzak 2008 was pitiful - Hicks (1.9 WAR) 2012 - 2017 are the most important draft years for this franchise in the past 15 years.

Yes, that also describes Alex Meyer. I would have loved to have seen how he'd respond to a new voice and message as well.

I get the feeling that the Falvey Twins would see Kohl Stewart as a comp to what Bauer and Kluber were before Cleveland acquired them. 1. former high draft pick 2. teased as a future #2+ starter 3. strong peripherals in milb 4. potential could be flatlined at a #4 starter 5. a bit unsolved by home org. 6. seems like a throw-in sweetener in a big trade For these reasons, I hope we keep him. He's enigmatic and I'd love to see what new voices/messages Falvey, et. al. add to their minor league staff to bring Kohl around.