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ALessKosherScott

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Everything posted by ALessKosherScott

  1. ALessKosherScott
    Always listen. But don't be surprised if you're nonplused by the offers for a 1B/DH coming off a 104 OPS+ season.
  2. ALessKosherScott
    Rooker had one season in college where he had anything resembling plate discipline. More often than not, he was a free swinger, including a 37-5 K/BB ratio in the Cape Cod League. Larnach has somewhat consistently drawn walks and Jeffers has more walks than strikeouts the last two seasons and a run in a summer league where his K/BB was 29/26.
  3. ALessKosherScott
    The inner-SABR nerd in me likes that they're going after hitters that control the strike zone.
  4. ALessKosherScott
    Pretty safe pick. I'm not a fan of banking on left-handed power in Target Field, and probably would've gone McClanahan. But this is the good kind of risk averse pick.
  5. ALessKosherScott
    It's not the 2006 rotation with Santana, Liriano and even Bonser. But it's not the bad years where we have a bunch of Radke clones either. You have an army of decent threes with hopes that Berrios and even Odorizzi could evolve into good twos.
  6. ALessKosherScott
    Palacios might be good. He might even be the best shortstop down the road between all the guys in the system. But at the end of the day, it's kind of worth trading the prospect of that happening for the prospect of not wanting to stab our eyes out looking at our pitching staff this year.
  7. ALessKosherScott
    A right-handed extreme flyball pitcher who limits batting average seems like a good piece for Target Field.
  8. ALessKosherScott
    I think the argument dates back a decade ago when the Twins were trying to build a rotation of Brad Radke clones. Which is fine if you're trying to beat the White Sox in August. But when you're in a one-game, do-or-die matchup against the best lineup in baseball, it should make you a little nervous. And assume you then get by the Yankees, Santana then has to be the guy who matches up with Kluber. Or Kershaw. Or Chris Sale. So you're always wondering when your luck is going to run out. I get why you go for Lynn and Cobb. But the problem with aiming at building David is that Goliarh usually wins.
  9. ALessKosherScott
    The hard part of building a community of writers is that sitting down and writing an article, coming up with an idea, then forming it into something worth reading, well, that's not an easy task. Back in the BYTO days, I tried, and the process of writing one interesting article a week was like a full-time job in addition to my full-time job. And the reality was the community didn't need me to write for it to flourish. When othese people tried to write, they seemed to discover the same thing. And they petered out too. It's an admirable goal to want more people to write. But there has to be a realization how hard that is.
  10. ALessKosherScott
    Sure. But I'm grabbing Santana from August 19, 2007 and beating you.
  11. ALessKosherScott
    I think with Santana though there are numerous different pitcher clauses you could rename it to. The Koufax Clause? The Dean Clause? The Rube Waddell Clause? The Amos Rusie Clause? There are about six similar pitchers to Santana in history who were the best pitcher in baseball for a couple of years before arm troubles and all of them are Hall of Famers. And the problem with WAR/7, JAWS and other monitors is we've tried to turn an emotional decision into a rational one. Tom Glavine is a Hall of Famer, and anyone who was as good as he was for as long as he was. But rhetorically, if you had a time machine and had to win one baseball game, which pitcher are you traveling back in time to get-- 1991-1996 Glavine or 2003-2008 Santana?
  12. ALessKosherScott
    Stieb falls into your Saberhagen trap of not really accumulating a lot of black ink either. Mussina is kind of the Don Sutton of the early part of the 21st century. Plenty of gray ink. Not a lot of black ink. Even Glavine doesn't earn as much black ink as Santana. The black ink debate is important because it shows Santana's statistical dominance over a brief career. In the black ink test, Santana sits 37th all-time, tied with Curt Schilling. Of the guys ahead of him, all are in the Hall of Fame minus Kershaw, Verlander and Halladay, whom all should be in when they're eligible and Clemens, whom the press is holding a grudge against. WAR/7 is kind of a weird way to measure a guy like Santana and even Mauer, when he comes around. If you use the Keltner test, both of them are easy Hall of Famers.
  13. ALessKosherScott
    Saberhagen has 20 black inks throughout his career. Santana sits at 42. Saberhagen was a great pitcher in the late 80s, but the best pitcher in the game was Roger Clemens. Santana was the best pitcher in baseball from about 2004 to 2008.
  14. ALessKosherScott
    Santana's run from 2002 to 2008 is akin to Sandy Koufax's from 1960 to 1966 or Dizzy Dean's in the late 30s. Both are in, as should Santana be. If the Hall of Fame starts penalizing truly great players who had their careers cut short by injury, then it's time to burn down the Hall of Fame.
  15. ALessKosherScott
    Can we take this thread to 100 pages?
  16. ALessKosherScott
    I think the problem is that Sano is the best-hitting Twins third baseman since Killebrew, and also the worst-fielding Twins third baseman since Killebrew. There's also a reason men of a certain age will tell you Tony Olivia was the best Twins hitter of the 60s, which is a pretty hot sports taek. As long as the Twins understand Sano's value, the local press can say whatever.
  17. ALessKosherScott
    Developing pitchers is a number game. Always has been. Always will be. For all the talk of Stewart being behind Gonsalves and Romero in the present, he could bump into the magic change up fairy that Johan Santana found in 2002 and end up being the ace. Or he could follow the status quo. You never know. When you draft guys with bad deliveries in the name of velocity, you're cutting down your numbers. The great part of this draft is that Enlow could be a great starter. Or Leach could. Or Barnes could. Or even Widell could (Sammons and Fauscher seem more like relievers, but they're also 8th and 10th rounders). And while it's nice to pretend we're sages and know that Enlow has the best present stuff, you never know when a guy like Barnes is going to become the next Kluber. In reality, the plus of this draft is its been way too long since the Twins picked four guys in the first ten rounds who should remain in the rotation long enough to see how they play out.
  18. ALessKosherScott
    Bad luck is the residual effect of insisting its easy to convert college relievers into professional starters.
  19. ALessKosherScott
    BA hinted at it in his scouting report: Enlow is the kind of pitcher who sometimes makes it to school, and if he does, blossoms into a potential front-of-the-rotation ace, but his obvious potential may lead a team to spend money now to avoid losing the chance to get him later. The Louisiana State signee is all arms and legs right now, but he has the frame to fill out and become much more physical as an adult. Enlow's velocity was down early this spring, as he would sit 88-90, touching 92. But by the end of his high school season he was again sitting in the low 90s and touching 94 with an easy delivery, loads of athleticism, a fast arm and a plus curveball. Enlow has excellent feel for spinning the ball and he has more advanced command and control of his fastball than most high school fireballers. He's toyed with a changeup that looks promising but is a distant third pitch for now. Enlow is a long-time Louisiana State fan who will be tough to sway from his Tigers commitment, but he's shown enough potential that teams will consider cutting him a very large check.
  20. ALessKosherScott
    There may not be enough money in the entire pool to get a Louisiana kid who grew up wanting to play for LSU to sign.
  21. ALessKosherScott
    I doubt Enlow signs. But as long as there isn't a Twins run on college relievers, I'll be happy.
  22. ALessKosherScott
    This is the longest i've gone in my Shadow Draft without flipping a pick out in some time I get the whole wanting the Pohlads to spend every dime allotted to them. But at the end of the day, it comes down to who did you get? So far, they've gotten an athletic middle-of-the-field player with a good swing and a good idea at the plate, a college corner guy who mashed this year and a high school pitcher with a good delivery and a decent chance at having good stuff. And in this draft, it seems like some of the name brand commodities aren't at all different from their generic substitute. If the previous administration had done that at any point in the last five years, it would've saved some wear and tear on my liver.
  23. ALessKosherScott
    The right answer is never taking Adam Johnson 2.0.
  24. ALessKosherScott
    I think the good McKay as a pitcher reminds me a lot of Barry Zito. And the bad McKay is something closer to Christian Friedrich. At the same time, the bad McKay as a hitter is probably pretty close to the bad version of Joe Mauer and the good version the good version of the first baseman Mauer. So I'm not sure I get putting him on the mound given we're about 18 months away from a Mauer-less existence.
  25. ALessKosherScott
    I think Lewis makes a lot of sense if you don't buy Wright's upside or Greene's development curve. Good swing, great speed, could wind up just about anywhere on the diamond. I also think McKay's bat is the safest pick in the draft.
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