Everything posted by stringer bell
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Game Thread: Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins, 5/24, 6:40pm CST
Let's wrap this game up, Duran.
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Game Thread: Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins, 5/24, 6:40pm CST
Not Duffey, not Pagan, not Thielbar (according to at least some), so one trusted relief arm is Joe Smith and the other is Duran? If so, they need more late-inning bullpen arms.
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Game Thread: Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins, 5/24, 6:40pm CST
Nice intro! Yes, very interesting lineup. I was wondering when Polanco would get a day and today looks like as good a day as any.
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Twins Minor League Week in Review (5/17-5/23): Steer Navigates Wichita, Sent to Saints
Is Steer this year's version of Miranda? Actually, that is kind of a double-edged sword given Miranda's production so far this year. Glad to see him (Steer) promoted. It seems that all of the exciting arms are at AA and below, with the exception of Balazovic, who hasn't quite found his groove yet this year. Lots of retreads at St. Paul, which I guess is the way they do things. A couple more guys currently on the Twins might be on their way to St. Paul soon.
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Not Yet on the Bus for Celestino
Okay, Celestino now has 137 career plate appearances, with 75 of them this year. His lifetime BABip is now .319, better than the league average of .299, but not really out of line. Having just seen him, I think Celestino is similar to a Whit Merrifield (right handed, doesn't fan much, uses the whole field, not much power). Merrifield's lifetime BABip is .324. My theory is that the 75 PAs is "normalized" by his poor performance on batted balls last year and that he should probably project at a pace similar to his lifetime stats--.252 BA, .676 OPS, 96 OPS+. Projecting those numbers forward for the remaining three-quarters of the season would give a .277 BA, 727 OPS and an OPS+ of about 106. Obviously this projection has a lot of variables, but those numbers out of Celestino this year (at age 23) would be pretty good. BBRef already has Celestino with 1.0 WAR. Not bad.
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Lewis Optioned
Miranda's value to the Twins at this moment is that he is an acceptable option at third base and first base. It is not like you hand a guy a first baseman's mitt and say "you're a first baseman". Other infield positions have some commonality, probably most is third base, but there is stuff to learn at each position and there have to be some skills. Kirilloff, for example, has long been projected as a good or better first baseman, while someone like Brent Rooker wasn't (despite that being his primary position in college). The Twins have identified Arraez as an infielder and rather than have him in left field, they have decided they would rather have him being an undersized first baseman. The word is that Gary Sanchez is taking grounders at first. Maybe this is a "break glass in case of emergency" thing or maybe they'll roll with it in games. I also noticed that, rather than move utilityman Nick Gordon to third base when Correa pinch hit for Miranda, the Twins used their last bench move and put Urshela in the game. That tells me that, in their minds, Nick Gordon isn't a third baseman. It would figure that if Miranda is sent back to the minors, there would have to be defensive flexibility both at third and first base. This kind of stuff fascinates me, like the fact that Kepler hasn't played left field, and the pecking order between Larnach and Kirilloff between left and right field (if both are manning a corner OF spot, it is Larnach is left and AK in right). Nick Gordon is now deemed an acceptable option at short and second and left and center, but has only played a few innings in right. The other day in Oakland, they brought Miranda in to play first base and moved Arraez to second rather than giving Miranda a couple innings at second. Circling back to the OP, Royce has gotten to stand at third and in left, hurray. Hopefully, he is working on alternate positions before the games. He's a great talent and I'd love to see him back in Minneapolis without another Correa injury.
- Week in Review: Capitalizing on Cushy Competition
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
Second guessing is fun. The results usually back up whatever assertion you are making. The fact of the matter is that there aren’t any certainties. A manager can go against every percentage and tendency and still succeed or on the flip side, they can have boatloads of stats favoring a move and fail. I’m sure Royals fans are second guessing their manager, but I don’t think he made a strategic error
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
I don’t think any professional concedes, but it’s a question of how many resources to commit. Duran, Pagán, Jax, Thielbar and Smith weren’t going to come in, leaving Canó and Megill in the sixth. Baldelli probably was planning to split the sixth, seventh and eighth between Canó and Megill. When the Twins cut the gap to one run, a higher leverage arm (Duffey) was put in.
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
What makes Duran special to me is that he is so often in the zone. Today he threw 17 pitches and 14 were strikes. ESPN had the Royals having a 99.5% chance of winning going into the eighth.
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
I didn't think he swung, but replay says.....maybe.
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
As they should.
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
Duran will have to get Benintendi out. Nice to get Merrifield out!
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
Bailey Ober and Yennier Cano are quite relieved right now.
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
Doubt it.
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
Hate to say this, but the Twins lose this 6-5.
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
Three called strikes that were outside the box.
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
Welcome back Trevor (unfortunately it was 2021 Trevor).
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
Going into this series, Santana, a switch hitter, had been basically helpless as a left handed hitter (he was the hitter up with the bases loaded). Secondly, the Twins currently only have one lefty in the 'pen.
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
I think Cano probably will be in St. Paul, maybe as soon as tomorrow. He's got to throw more strikes. Hitters can afford to be more selective when they're ahead on the count. Megill certainly throws hard enough. He needs to throw enough strikes and get more than the fastball over. Still, he has a chance, I think.
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
I've spent about two weeks in Austin this year. We walked into a couple of hole-in-the-wall barbeques walking around downtown and the food was excellent.
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
100 mph on one fastball. We've seen opponents make boneheaded plays. It's apparently the Twins' turn. I just saw Megill bend a breaking ball over the plate. If he can do that and throw 98-100 he might have a future.
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
Megill's brother started out hot for the Mets. I believe he's hit the injured list.
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
Can add Black's BBQ to the recommended list.
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Game Thread: Twins @ Kansas City, 5/22/22 @ 1:10pm CT
I don't think it will stay 1-0 for long.