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drivlikejehu

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Everything posted by drivlikejehu

  1. It's appropriate to put those opinions in context. The reality is that MLB clubs have a hard enough time predicting future development . . . the idea that posters on here can do so is just fanciful. It's also one thing to say, 'I would be more excited by Greene,' and another to say 'Falvey blew it, he doesn't know what he's doing.' The first opinion is a reasonable statement of personal preference, albeit one without empirical support. The latter is just an emotional response that has no value in terms of intelligent conversation.
  2. Doesn't look like it to me. 3B would be a stretch if it didn't improve though.
  3. Romero had been rumored to the Nats. I don't like the pick though, makeup is crucial, particularly for a starting pitcher.
  4. It's not random after 40, the decline in value just becomes increasingly gradual until eventually its not significant. But that happens well after 40.
  5. They could be traded for an MLB pitcher within that time frame. Making the best picks, regardless of position/level, is always the best strategy.
  6. A lot of posters essentially blame Falvey & Levine for things that happened before they were even hired, by conflating past and present decisions as being collectively made by "the Twins." Various reasons for this are given - lack of turnover among supporting staff, ownership, etc. But it's not reasonable at all.
  7. If you're going to share your opinion, someone else might point out that's it's not logically sound. That's just how it goes.
  8. So what you're saying is that the Twins just didn't want an ace? It was an easily available commodity and they just were like "eh, who cares, we don't need Hall of Fame pitchers anyway"?
  9. It is what it is, neither the Twins nor the Reds have a track record of drafting success. Their pick of Greene is meaningless from the standpoint of whether the Twins should have.
  10. Oh, so they can't draft successfully at all, but they have an instinct for that 1st overall pick. Gotcha.
  11. Yes, as proven by the Reds amazing draft record this decade, or this century for that matter.
  12. Overdraft of Burger I think, he didn't even lead his own team in HR with 22, which tells you something about the hitting environment (the MVC is a decent enough conference though).
  13. Lewis could wind up at SS, 2B, 3B, CF, or LF. The idea that his selection means anything for Gordon or any other player is just completely wrong.
  14. Obviously the Twins disagree with your scouting assessment, as do all the other clubs, who had Lewis high on their boards even if not #1 overall. So sure, you know better than every MLB front office.
  15. The Twins have different management now and I don't see the top experts saying this is a bad pick. John Manuel for one says he likes it.
  16. A lot of posters on here like to play scout (not saying you do), but it's really a strange thing to think that they know more about these players than the Twins do. Irrational, to be frank.
  17. Joe Kelly hit 102 the other day, and he's not even a good middle reliever. Greene is a good athlete but still, lots of hype. Becoming a frontline MLB starter is about way, way more than velocity.
  18. I'm not sure it's avoiding pitchers per se, so much as valuing the pitchers available in this draft. Up the middle position players who hit and play defense are what clubs want to build around. Those guys will always have trade value to acquire pitching, if that's what it comes down to.
  19. All picks are "risky" in various ways, I was refuting the claim that Lewis is a "risk-averse" selection. That's just not the case. Whether it's a good pick is a completely separate issue.
  20. A toolsy high-school position player is hardly a risk-averse pick. McKay as a pitcher would be "safer."
  21. The Twins wouldn't take Lewis (assuming they do) if they liked one of the pitchers a lot. So while they certainly should maximize their bonus pool, I don't think it's accurate to see Lewis as a budget-oriented selection.
  22. This is just factually wrong - college pitchers picked at the top of the draft do not typically wind up as back of rotation starters. They usually are pretty good unless they get injured or flame out for another reason. So while there is risk, it's not really a ceiling issue.
  23. A healthy Gibson would have gone much higher in the 2009 draft, but also been much more likely to succeed in the Majors - it makes zero sense to negatively comp Wright comp to Gibson when the Gibson from these scouting reports never existed as a professional.
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