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  • Twins Select RHP Tyler Kinley In Rule 5 Draft (Lose Burdi to Phillies, Bard to Angels)


    Seth Stohs

    See updates below...The Twins lost two players in the Major League portion of the Rule 5 draft and added a right-handed pitcher. In the minor league Rule 5, they added two players without losing anyone.

    On Thursday morning, the 2017 Winter Meetings will come to a close with the annual Rule 5 draft. Last month, the Minnesota added three players to their 40-man roster, but they left several very talented players unprotected. The Twins could potentially lose a couple of players (at least tentatively) to the Rule 5. However, they currently have just 37 players on their 40-man roster, so in theory, they could make a Rule 5 pick (or three!).

    Below you'll find a brief preview of the 2017 Rule 5 Draft, but as the draft takes place, this article will continue to be updated if the Twins lose or gain players. So be sure to check back often. The draft starts at 8:00 a.m. central time.

    Image courtesy of Seth Stohs, Twins Daily (photo of Nick Burdi)

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    8:15 Update: A computer glitch delayed the inevitable, but with the 3rd overall pick in the Rule 5 draft, the Phillies selected Nick Burdi from the Twins. It was expected. Reports from Orlando indicate that he will be traded.

    8:18 Update: Angels selected Luke Bard.

    8:19 Update: The Twins selected right-handed pitcher Tyler Kinley from the Miami Marlins (more to come after draft).

    Tyler Kinley was the 16th round pick of the Miami Marlins in the 2013 draft out of Barry Universityl in Miami Shores, Florida. He spent the 2017 between High-A Jupiter and AA Jacksonville. Combined, he threw 53.1 innings in 50 outings. He walked 22 and struck out 72. He had a 1.98 ERA in High-A, and a 5.19 ERA in AA. He will turn 27 in January.

    The Major League portion of the Rule 5 draft is complete. The Twins add Tyler Kinley and lose Nick Burdi and Luke Bard. The Minor League portion of the draft is starting.

    8:51 Update: The Phillies traded Nick Burdi to the Pirates for international slot money.

    8:37 Update: The Twins select RH Yancarlos Baez from the Yankees roster in the AAA Rule 5. Baez was signed by the Yankees as a shortstop, but in 2017, he transitioned to pitching in the GCL. Interesting gamble.

    8:43 Update: The Twins selected Sandy Lugo, a 22-year-old RHP from the Dominican, and from the Reds organization. In 2017, he split the year before Low-A Dayton (2 games) and High-A Daytona (4-6, 5.32 ERA in 42 relief games). In 64 innings, he had 40 walks but he struck out 82.

    8:51 Update: Nick Burdi was traded to the Pirates in exchange for international bonus pool money.

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    Below we're going to start with the basics. Who is eligible for the Rule 5 draft? Who could the Twins lose in the Rule 5 draft, and who could they select if they do make a pick? Also, check back often during the 8:00 hour as I'll be updating this article if (or when) they lose a player or add a pick.

    The Basics

    Let's start with who is eligible.

    • Players who were 18-years-old when they signed as an international free agent or draft pick signed in 2013. This group includes players such as Kohl Stewart and Lewin Diaz.
    • College players selected in the 2014 Draft. This category includes the likes of Nick Burdi and Jake Reed.
    • Players who are not yet minor league free agents and have been eligible in previous seasons. Luke Bard and Ryan Eades are two from this group.

    For much more on the players who are eligible for the Rule 5 draft, with the exception of the three players added to the 40-man roster, click here.

    To make an MLB selection, a team must pay $100,000. That player needs to be on the drafting team’s 25-man roster all season or be offered back to the original team for $50,000. The other option is that the teams can work out a trade. The Twins have examples of what can happen with their five most recent picks.

    • Scott Diamond – Twins selected him from the Braves. He did not make the opening day roster, but the Twins and Braves were able to work out a trade. Diamond was taken off of the 40-man roster and the Twins sent RHP Billy Bullock to Atlanta.
    • Terry Doyle – The Twins selected Doyle from the White Sox organization. He was returned to Chicago late in spring training.
    • Ryan Pressly – The Twins drafted Pressly from the Red Sox organization. He remained on the Twins roster the entire 2013 season. He was able to be sent back to AAA during the 2014 season and pitched well enough to be called up during the season’s second half.
    • JR Graham - The Twins selected Graham from the Atlanta organization. He spent an entire season on the Twins roster in 2015 only to be DFAd less than two months into the 2016 season.
    • Justin Haley - The Twins selected Miguel Diaz from the Brewers organization with the top pick in the 2016 Rule 5. They traded down and got starter Justin Haley. He made the roster and made a few appearances. He spent a couple of stints on the DL before the Twins sent him back to the Red Sox.

    Who The Twins Could Lose

    • Throughout the week, we have heard from several sources that Nick Burdi is very likely be be selected. The flame-thrower had Tommy John surgery in June and will likely miss much of the 2018 season. If he does, the requirement of staying on a team's active roster will carry into the 2019 season.
    • Jake Reed and Luke Bard are two other relievers that I feel have a chance at least to be selected. They are both hard-throwing relievers who finished 2017 in AAA. They both get a lot of movement. They could be stashed on an MLB roster, but they are also guys who could contribute in 2018.
    • Lewin Diaz is less likely to be selected due to his proximity and his lack of position flexibility.
    • Ryan Eades had a strong showing in the Arizona Fall League and did have a couple of appearances in AAA late in the season.
    • Kohl Stewart was the Twins top pick in 2014 out of high school in Houston. He's put up strong ERAs (until 2017), but he's never put up the strikeout numbers that the front office might hope for.

    Who The Twins Could Pick

    I don't know if the Twins will make a pick. My general theory is that a team should almost always take a Rule 5 pick and see how it goes. The Twins have three open spots on the roster, so they could take three players. They won't, but they could take one. Here are two good sources for lists of who might be available.

    The Twins have the 20th pick in the Rule 5 draft (as they will next June in the Rule 4 draft). However, several teams ahead of them have full 40-man rosters so they won't be able to make a pick. Some teams may pass.

    Minor League Rule 5 Draft

    Shortly after the Major League Rule 5 draft, the Minor League (AAA) portion will start. We'll also update you on any players the Twins gain or lose in that draft.

    Feel free to discuss the Rule 5 draft before, during and after...

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    If the Twins would have traded him for international cap space, then he probably would been added to Pittsburgh's 40-man roster, and therefore gone forever.

     

    I think this is what is confusing some. He could only be added to Pittsburgh's 40-man if they traded him before the Rule 5 roster cutoff date (November 20th). After that, I'm pretty sure you can only add players not currently in an organization (e.g.: Free Agents) and under other rostering rules to the 40-man. 

     

    Burdi was still a Twins player under contract until selected in Rule 5 draft, and he was not protected, thus a team trading for him after November 20th could not put him on the 40-man. I think you would see a lot more trades for guys left unprotected if you could do this - there really wouldn't be a point to having a Rule 5 draft.

     

    I could be wrong on parts of this, but I'm farily certain on the after the cutoff stuff.

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    I think you can agree that they should be aiming higher than a Pressly type. I'm more annoyed they continue to explore this avenue (rule V) when the odds are so low drafting a player who will make a positive impact for the team.

    This doesn't make any sense. Participating in Rule V is worthwhile even if the payoff isn't huge. Second guessing the draft and who was lost to the n-th degree is kind of pointless.

    Kinley seems like the RH version of Turley. If things click then he could be a solid bullpen option. If things don't click then they burned an offseason 40 man roster spot on him and 50K. Not a huge loss.

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    This doesn't make any sense. Participating in Rule V is worthwhile even if the payoff isn't huge. Second guessing the draft and who was lost to the n-th degree is kind of pointless.

    Kinley seems like the RH version of Turley. If things click then he could be a solid bullpen option. If things don't click then they burned an offseason 40 man roster spot on him and 50K. Not a huge loss.

     

    Or he could take up a roster spot for half the year, with the manager refusing to use him.....

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    This doesn't make any sense. Participating in Rule V is worthwhile even if the payoff isn't huge. Second guessing the draft and who was lost to the n-th degree is kind of pointless.

     

    Kinley seems like the RH version of Turley. If things click then he could be a solid bullpen option. If things don't click then they burned an offseason 40 man roster spot on him and 50K. Not a huge loss.

    The opportunity cost is worth more than whatever value Kinley could provide... We're now starting the season with essentially 24 players since Kinley will be buried in the bullpen. We've seen for a few years now the disadvantages of that.

     

    Then he'll be kept around for a couple of months before eventually sending him back. Someone else could have taken his reps and innings during that time.

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    I would rather the Twins sign a reliever but they are apparently unwilling to go over a one year deal for a reliever from another team. That is the same strategy that Terry Ryan used. 

     

    Until now (see Twins sign Rodney to one year deal)!!

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    In the swirl of praise for infrastructure work the FO is still way behind in showing me the things I am most interested in - the players on the field. Signing Pineda did nothing for me, the loss of Burdi and Bard and the pick up of Kinley are quite confusing. I hoped some of you with better stat magic at hand could show me why I should have a better opinion of this surge in activity.

     

    At this stage, if I understand our not so Hot Stove season - we have hired lots of new coaches and filled more cubicles in the office - but of course we have no metrics to judge these moves. We have Lost Belisle, Burdi, and Bard and added Kinley - which is no where close to break even.

     

    Out starting staff got a man who will not pitch in 2018 giving us a wonderful rotation on the DL and minimum expectations for 2019.

     

    What other excitement am I missing?

    Agree. I've been excited about their coaching and executive hires and other things, but they need pitchers. Good ones. Josh Kalk is not permitted to actually go out and throw the pitches for these guys. Edited by Hosken Bombo Disco
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    Last season our young hitters made great strides as Falvey didnt have them on the elevator going up and down from AAA much like Ryan had.  I believe the plan was the same for our young pitchers but injuries to many of them prevented this from happening. This will be the year we get to see a few of these young arms so maybe we dont need to fill as many bullpen holes as many seem to think.  We also should see May and Hughes at some point and both will work from the pen IMO. Guess we'll have to see how it all shakes out.

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    Doesn't make sense to give up Bard for the new guy. Bards had more success at AA. And how long did the Twins have to keep Burdi on the 40 man roster before moving him to the 60 day DL? Seems they could've delayed his 40 man decision into June or later. Buy as others have said. The twins know their players better than we do.

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    Hmmm... an interesting move. Kinley's going to be 27 and he's gone from AAA in 2016 to AA and down to A+ in 2017. Sure, he gets strikeouts like nobody's business, but he looks like a career minor leaguer with no success above A+. He's an older, healthier, and less effective version of Nick Burdi. He has no business being on the Twins major league roster, wasting a spot in the bullpen for far more effective pitchers.

     

    It'd be fine with the move if it involves acquiring his full rights and trading somebody insignificant to the Marlins and stashing him in the minors.

     

    So far, can't say I'm a fan of the new regime's rule V picks. Most of the time these picks never amount to anything, so it really doesn't matter very much.

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    Wondering...

    The Twins didn’t lose anyone in the minor league phase and added two. Does this suggest that the depth of their system is relatively weak?

     

     

    Probably not. It's likely more a reflection that much of the unprotected talent that is not already on the 40-man is in the low minors. Although our depth took a hit with the loss of Bard and Burdi, two of only 15 prospects selected. (The Yanks lost four).

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    I understand the idea behind the decision to leave the roster spots open and expose the likes or Bard and Burdi.  But not to use the spots for Rodney and Kinley.  Sigh.  I actually would have been more encouraged if the Twins had not signed Rodney today and not taken anyone in the Rule 5.

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    The Rule 5 Draft is a crap shoot - its a gamble for everyone. There must be a good reason why certain players were left eligible for the draft (Burdi and Bard) - like all prospects, they are un-proven commodities. Heck, the vast majority of players selected in the Rule 5 Draft are returned to their previous team. Burdi is a health risk, yes huge potential but at the same time, his risk value is now higher. These prospects were part of the vision from the previous management group and maybe they aren't in the long term plan for the current management group. I know nothing of the pick we selected, but his potential, in 2018, must be at minimum major league middle relief potential that will be serviceable 

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    This doesn't make any sense. Participating in Rule V is worthwhile even if the payoff isn't huge. Second guessing the draft and who was lost to the n-th degree is kind of pointless.

    Kinley seems like the RH version of Turley. If things click then he could be a solid bullpen option. If things don't click then they burned an offseason 40 man roster spot on him and 50K. Not a huge loss.

    The Twins are bringing in the same types of players they're exposing to the Rule V. If it's "pointless," to consider what they're giving up then isn't it "pointless," to participate in the Rule V altogether?   

     

    I'm not a fan of losing Burdi, especially considering what they brought back, but I do think the Rule V can be used effectively. For that to be the case the player(s) you select should project better than what you've given up. I'm not certain that's the case here. 

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    I'm not too mad about this yet.  Someone called Kinely a Jim Hoey 2.0, but are we sure that Burdi isn't also a Jim Hoey 2.0? 

    Neither can really be Jim Hoey 2.0 until we give up an above-average MLB SS to get him (and then replace that SS with a historically bad international free agent signing.)

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    The Twins are bringing in the same types of players they're exposing to the Rule V. If it's "pointless," to consider what they're giving up then isn't it "pointless," to participate in the Rule V altogether?

     

    I'm not a fan of losing Burdi, especially considering what they brought back, but I do think the Rule V can be used effectively. For that to be the case the player(s) you select should project better than what you've given up. I'm not certain that's the case here.

    Exactly. It's becoming clear by the year that it's pointless to even participate in the rule V draft. Especially if you consider yourself a contending team.

     

    Now this guy is going to take up a roster space for a month or two and provide minimal benefits. And one of my favorite things Falvine does (constantly rotating players in and out of the 25th spot) is hindered by a 27 year old who hasn't seen any success above A ball. Terrible.

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    So Philadelphia traded Burdi to Pittsburgh for international cap space?

     

    Why didn't the Twins do that last week? I don't see what would have prevented them from doing so.

    Because they have enough international cap space as is.

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    OK, you have me interested.

     

    I don't like losing Burdi and Bard, and they had the roster spots for all three, but I'm happy to see an actual flame thrower in the Twins bullpen. Since he's a Rule V pick, the team is actually going to be forced to put him on the MLB roster instead of bidding their time with him in the minors until he proves to be too injured or too ineffective as has been tradition with this club.

    Pressly and Busenitz.

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    Now this guy is going to take up a roster space for a month or two and provide minimal benefits. 

     

    Doubtful.

     

    Given his age, if he doesn't outright make the team out of spring training they'll return him.  From their official statement the hope is he comes in and competes for a job.  If he doesn't then there is no reason to keep him around.

     

     

     

     

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    Double-A stats

    Burdi: 3.68 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 10.6 K/9, 5.2 BB/9

    Kinley: 4.38 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 10.1 K/9, 4.3 BB/9

     

    Burdi is definitely the better prospect, as Kinley is two years older, but it's worth noting that per Baseball America Kinley has been clocked at 100 mph and he was their choice for best slider in the Marlins system.

     

    That, and the fact that Kinley is presumably heathy (and pitching in the Dominican Winter League) makes this a bit more understandable. I think I would still rather use a 40-man slot on Burdi than a 25-man slot on Kinley, but it's close. 

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    The opportunity cost is worth more than whatever value Kinley could provide... We're now starting the season with essentially 24 players since Kinley will be buried in the bullpen. We've seen for a few years now the disadvantages of that.

    Then he'll be kept around for a couple of months before eventually sending him back. Someone else could have taken his reps and innings during that time.

    He'll never see Target Field. The billionaires are out $50,000.

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