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  • Twins Minor League Report (5/7): Larnach Lift-Off


    Steve  Lein

    Minnesota Twins affiliates combined to go an even 2-2 on Tuesday night, with one of those losses coming in the form of a walk-off home run in Mississippi. Miguel Sano continued his strong rehab work with a three-hit night, while a top hitting prospect in the Florida State League launched his first home run(s) of the year.

    Keep reading to find out how everything went down on Tuesday in the Twins farm system!

    Image courtesy of Alexis Farinacci, Fort Myers Miracle (photo of Trevor Larnach)

    Twins Video

    TRANSACTIONS

    • Twins reliever Addison Reed was sent on rehab assignment with the Rochester Red Wings and made his season debut in their game.

    RED WINGS REPORT

    Toledo 10, Rochester 5

    Box Score

    Righthander Kohl Stewart got the start for the Red Wings, and although he gave up a run in the top of the first, he also struck out the last four batters he faced, and five total. That’s notable, as he only went the first two innings, which begs the question if he’ll be in line on Saturday for the Twins with a doubleheader on the schedule. 26 of his 39 pitches went for strikes, and he coaxed five swinging strikes.

    Rochester took the lead in the second inning as Jordany Valdespin clubbed his third home run of the year, a two-run shot and that was followed in the third by an RBI single from Wilin Rosario to give them a 3-1 lead.

    After Stewart was done, it was the 2019 debut for reliever Addison Reed to kick off his rehab assignment and he pitched a scoreless inning, walking one and striking out one. Ryan Eades then got the fourth inning and it went poorly, as he allowed three runs on five hits and a walk, raising his ERA to 8.47 on the year and ending up taking the loss. Jake Reed didn’t fare much better in the fifth and sixth as he surrendered four runs on three hits and three walks in 1 2/3 innings bringing his ERA to 6.75. Lefty Gabriel Moya came on in the seventh with two outs and the bases loaded but followed two of J-Reed’s walks with two of his own to allow a couple of those inherited runners to score. Back out for the seventh Moya was better, setting down the Mudhens hitters one-two-three including the first two via K’s. Preston Guilmet finished the final two innings, allowing two runs on four hits for Toledo’s final tally of 10 runs on the game. He struck out three.

    The Red Wings offense got within three of the Mudhens in the seventh inning, as Luke Raley and Brent Rooker each delivered their sixth home run of the year in back-to-back fashion, but the team went quiet from there and they fall to 12-17 on the season. Nick Gordon finished the game 2-for-4 and Raley 2-for-5 for the only multi-hit efforts. Gordon and Drew Maggi each stole two bases.

    BLUE WAHOOS BITES

    Pensacola 3, Mississippi 5

    Box Score

    Pensacola jumped out to a 2-0 lead after the top of the second inning thanks to a Miguel Sano RBI-sac fly in the first, and a run scoring ground ball in the second off the bat of Taylor Grzelakowski.

    It wouldn’t last though, as starter Jorge Alcala allowed a run in the second and two more in the third to put his team behind 3-2. Alcala settled in from there though, finishing with just those three runs allowed on eight hits and a walk in his five innings while striking out three.

    In the top of the fifth his lineup tied the game back up at three thanks to a sacrifice fly from Travis Blankenhorn that scored Alex Kirilloff, who had led off the inning with a walk and reached third on a Sano double, but that would be it for the good guys the rest of the game. Sano finished 3-for-4 with a pair of doubles while Jaylin Davis also added two hits and two walks. As a team the Blue Wahoos were 0-for-12 with runners in scoring position, so it wasn’t like they lacked opportunities, they just weren’t able to cash them in with a big hit.

    After Alcala left the game, Adam Bray went three scoreless innings, retiring seven men in a row to end his outing and striking out four in the process. Coach Ramon Borrego went to Alex Phillips with the score tied at three in the ninth, and the leadoff man was able to draw a walk after a foul pop-up was dropped by catcher Caleb Hamilton. Two batters later the Braves walked it off in dramatic fashion with a two-run homer.

    MIRACLE MATTERS

    Fort Myers 9, Charlotte 7

    Box Score

    The Miracle lineup got on the board early and often in this one, thanks to home runs off the bats of Trevor Larnach (his first HR of the year) and Lewin Diaz (his second). Those blasts made it 3-0 after the top half of the first, and they added two more in the second inning thanks to a couple of errors and the rare RBI-sacrifice-fly-double-play (can’t say I ever recorded one of those in a scorebook).

    Starter Bryan Sammons, who carried a 0.40 ERA into the game, went five innings and despite allowing four runs, only raised his ERA to 0.66 as three of those runs were of the unearned variety after consecutive errors from third baseman Ryan Costello in the second inning. Sammons improved to 4-0 on the season with his effort that included ten strikeouts, a new career high for the lefthander.

    With the score 5-4 in favor of Fort Myers heading into the seventh inning, Larnach added some needed insurance with his second home run of the game, this one a three-run shot.

    https://twitter.com/MiracleBaseball/status/1125920450108952577

    After Sammons exited after five, Hector Lujan delivered two scoreless innings, allowing just one hit and striking out two. Johan Quezada came on for the eighth and ran into some trouble, allowing three runs (two earned) on three singles and a throwing error from Royce Lewis.

    Akil Baddoo added an RBI single in the eighth to make it 9-7 for the Miracle before Charlotte’s last chance. Quezada came out to start the inning and gave up a leadoff single before getting the next two hitters out, but another single brought the winning run to the batter’s box and Calvin Faucher was brought in to get the final out. He struck out his man to end the game and pick up his first save of the year, while Quezada ended his day with 1 2/3 innings with two K’s.

    The offense was led by Larnach who finished 3-for-5 with the two home runs and four RBIs, but Baddoo (2-for-4, 2 RBI, K), Lewis (2-for-5, R, K), Diaz (2-for-5, R, 2B, HR, 2 RBI), and Trey Cabbage (2-for-5, 2 R) also provided multiple hits on the game.

    KERNELS NUGGETS

    Cedar Rapids 8, South Bend 5

    Box Score

    The offense for the Kernels popped early and late in this one to secure a victory against the Cubs, but in between it was closely contested.

    They took an early lead by putting up four runs in the top of the second thanks to a pair of sacrifice flies and multiple errors from the South Bend defense. Starting pitcher Luis Rijo gave them all back in the third but managed to finish 5 2/3 innings. He allowed four earned runs on six hits and a walk, striking out three. 62 of his 92 pitches went for strikes in the outing. Brian Rapp got the final out of the sixth and came back out for the seventh, but when it was done he was charged with a blown save as the Cubs tied it back up at five.

    Luckily for Rapp, he also got the win as in the top of the eighth Gilberto Celestino delivered a two-run bases loaded single to take back the lead, and a wild pitch would allow another insurance run to score for the final score of 8-5.

    Derek Molina closed out the game with two perfect innings, striking out one and picking up his third save.

    Outfielder Jacob Pearson finished 2-for-4 with an RBI and a walk, and while nobody else got multiple hits on the day, they did record 10 walks as a team and finished 3-for-9 with runners in scoring position.

    TWINS DAILY PLAYERS OF THE DAY

    Twins Daily Pitcher of the Day – Bryan Sammons, Fort Myers Miracle (5.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 10 K)

    Twins Daily Hitter of the Day – Trevor Larnach, Fort Myers Miracle (3-for-5, 2 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI)

    PROSPECT SUMMARY

    Here’s a look at how the Twins Daily Top 20 Twins Prospects performed:

    #1 - Royce Lewis (Ft. Myers) - 2-for-5, R, K

    #2 - Alex Kirilloff (Pensacola) - 1-for-4, R, BB, K

    #3 - Brusdar Graterol (Pensacola) - Did not pitch

    #4 - Trevor Larnach (Ft. Myers) - 3-for-5, 2 R, 2 HR, 4 RBI

    #5 - Wander Javier (EST) - No Game

    #6 - Brent Rooker (Rochester) - 1-for-4, R, HR, RBI, BB, K

    #7 - Jhoan Duran (Ft. Myers) - Did not pitch

    #8 - Lewis Thorpe (Rochester) - Did not pitch

    #9 - Blayne Enlow (Cedar Rapids) - Did not pitch

    #10 - Akil Baddoo (Ft. Myers) - 2-for-4, 2 RBI, K, SB

    #11 - Nick Gordon (Rochester) - 2-for-4, 2B, BB, K, 2 SB

    #12 - Stephen Gonsalves (Rochester) - Injured list

    #13 - Ryan Jeffers (Ft. Myers) - 1-for-5, 3 K

    #14 - Ben Rortvedt (Ft. Myers) - 1-for-5, R, 2B, 3 K

    #15 - Yunior Severino (Cedar Rapids) - Injured List

    #16 - Gilberto Celestino (Cedar Rapids) - 1-for-4, 2 RBI, BB

    #17 - Zack Littell (Rochester) - Did not pitch

    #18 - LaMonte Wade (Rochester) - 1-for-4, R, 2B, BB, K

    #19 - Jorge Alcala (Pensacola) - 5 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, BB, 3 K

    #20 - Jose Miranda (Ft. Myers) - 1-for-4, R, 2B, K

    WEDNESDAY’S PROBABLE STARTERS

    Toledo @ Rochester (6:05PM CST) – RHP Zack Littell (1-2, 4.67 ERA)

    Pensacola @ Mississippi (10:35AM CST) - RHP Brusdar Graterol (3-0, 2.23 ERA)

    Charlotte @ Fort Myers (5:30PM CST) – RHP Jhoan Duran (0-3, 4.03 ERA)

    Cedar Rapids @ South Bend (9:35AM CST) – RHP Andrew Cabezas (0-3, 5.21 ERA)

    Please feel free to ask questions and discuss Tuesday’s games!

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    The Players Project

    Brooks Lee

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      On 5/8/2019 at 6:48 PM, nater79a said:

    Must say I wasn't initially impressed with the return (Forsythe/Raley/Smeltzer) in the Dozier trade to the Dodgers last summer.   Happy to say that the production of Raley and Smeltzer early this year is changing my mind in a big way.

     

    Especially given Brian's 69 wRC+ and -0.1 WAR so far this year.

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      On 5/8/2019 at 6:49 PM, Cap'n Piranha said:

    Except through May 7 this year Rogers has thrown 206 pitches. Through May 6 last year, Reed had thrown 277, which is the equivalent of almost 4 more appearances. Pressly had thrown 281. I think it's pretty clear Reed and Pressly were getting quite overused last year, and you can't dismiss that as a factor in Reed's decline.

    Another poster just said games was a more important factor than innings or pitches. +70 pitches over 40 days might be completely meaningless in terms of "overuse" depending on their distribution.

     

    There is so much noise and randomness, unless something is really egregious, I don't think we can confidently point to usage as much of a factor in most situations.

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      On 5/8/2019 at 6:48 PM, nater79a said:

    Must say I wasn't initially impressed with the return (Forsythe/Raley/Smeltzer) in the Dozier trade to the Dodgers last summer. Happy to say that the production of Raley and Smeltzer early this year is changing my mind in a big way.

    Smeltzer has been way more impressive than Raley so far. Although even then, impressive minor league pitching performances may not mean much -- remember Littell's incredible run in 2017?

     

    Until one of these players becomes a contributor at the MLB level, I am not sure anything should really change our view of the trade. (And mind you, I don't think it was a bad trade at all.)

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      On 5/8/2019 at 6:43 PM, Cap'n Piranha said:

    Just like every player looks bad if you throw out their good months and only count their bad months? You stated he wasn't good before his injury. I provided a number that demonstrates that not to be true (to at least some extent). In no way did I cherry pick--I looked at a timeframe in which you said he wasn't good, and provided evidence that, actually, he was.

    On which date was he injured? Or are you just assuming that he only started to pitch poorly after the injury?

    Or are you saying that there was a snippet of the season that he was good, which technically came before the injury?

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      On 5/8/2019 at 6:43 PM, Cap'n Piranha said:

    Just like every player looks bad if you throw out their good months and only count their bad months? You stated he wasn't good before his injury. I provided a number that demonstrates that not to be true (to at least some extent). In no way did I cherry pick--I looked at a timeframe in which you said he wasn't good, and provided evidence that, actually, he was.

    I'm not throwing out any months though. I'm using the assumption that he was healthy when he was on the field. Unless you have explicit evidence that the team, the medical staff, and himself all allowed him to pitch while injured.

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      On 5/8/2019 at 6:48 PM, nater79a said:

    Must say I wasn't initially impressed with the return (Forsythe/Raley/Smeltzer) in the Dozier trade to the Dodgers last summer.   Happy to say that the production of Raley and Smeltzer early this year is changing my mind in a big way.

     

     

    The most dramatic gain from the Dozier sell is the opportunity gain derived from the decision to forego signing him to a long and illiquid contract.

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      On 5/8/2019 at 7:30 PM, spycake said:

    Another poster just said games was a more important factor than innings or pitches. +70 pitches over 40 days might be completely meaningless in terms of "overuse" depending on their distribution.

    There is so much noise and randomness, unless something is really egregious, I don't think we can confidently point to usage as much of a factor in most situations.

     

    35% more pitches feels pretty egregious to me.  It seems reasonable to assert that the more pitches you throw, the longer it takes your arm to fully recover (after all, starters go at minimum 3 days in between appearances, and that's almost exclusively reserved for extraordinary circumstances).  Therefore, I think we can safely say a pitcher being used more often, and for longer stretches, is being more "worked", so while think Rogers, until recently, was being borderline overworked, it seems pretty clear that both Reed and Pressly were definitely overworked at this point last year.

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      On 5/8/2019 at 9:09 PM, Mr. Brooks said:

    On which date was he injured? Or are you just assuming that he only started to pitch poorly after the injury?
    Or are you saying that there was a snippet of the season that he was good, which technically came before the injury?

     

    I have no idea on what date he was injured, although I think we should also clarify that injured and hurt are not necessarily mutually inclusive.  I'm not assuming an injury or hurt is the sole cause of a decline in Reed's 2018 performance, but nor do I think, based on his March/April stats, which he then repeated in September, that an injury or hurt can be ruled out so casually and completely as you did when you stated in blanket terms, "Reed was not good before his injury".  I was simply debating your original, sweeping assertion, which was easy to at least partially refute.

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      On 5/8/2019 at 9:11 PM, Mr. Brooks said:

    I'm not throwing out any months though. I'm using the assumption that he was healthy when he was on the field. Unless you have explicit evidence that the team, the medical staff, and himself all allowed him to pitch while injured.

     

    Using the assumption that every player on the field is healthy is severely flawed in my opinion.  Just last year, we saw Byron Buxton pressed into service when he was not healthy.  If I remember correctly, Logan Morrison also played much of the year not truly healthy.  Is it really so hard to believe that Reed either didn't disclose being hurt (not necessarily injured), or he was simply going out at 80-90% (which I'm sure many players do on a regular basis), and that simply erased his margin for error?  Or do you have explicit evidence that the team, the medical staff, and himself all did NOT allow him to pitch while injured?

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      On 5/9/2019 at 3:05 PM, Cap'n Piranha said:

    35% more pitches feels pretty egregious to me.  It seems reasonable to assert that the more pitches you throw, the longer it takes your arm to fully recover (after all, starters go at minimum 3 days in between appearances, and that's almost exclusively reserved for extraordinary circumstances).  Therefore, I think we can safely say a pitcher being used more often, and for longer stretches, is being more "worked", so while think Rogers, until recently, was being borderline overworked, it seems pretty clear that both Reed and Pressly were definitely overworked at this point last year.

    It feels like that should be the case -- but in this specific case, I'm not sure there's even correlation here, much less causation.

     

    Reed threw 265 pitches over the first 40 days of 2016; he threw 281 over the first 40 days of 2017. And you think we can say he was definitely overworked by throwing 270 over the first 40 days of 2018? There's nothing to suggest that 200 pitches over 40 days should be any kind of baseline, much less than 270 over 40 days is particularly egregious.

     

    There's so much randomness and noise about player performance and injuries, it's almost impossible to judge based on the kind of information we have here. Mind you, I'm not saying there's no limit, but you can't get too fine in these judgements. Egregious usage, to me, would have to be something rare -- a reliever throwing 50 pitches in a game when he hasn't done that in forever; a high-stress 40-pitch inning; some amateur throwing 130+ pitches every other day in a tournament somewhere.

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      On 5/9/2019 at 3:13 PM, Cap'n Piranha said:

    Using the assumption that every player on the field is healthy is severely flawed in my opinion. Just last year, we saw Byron Buxton pressed into service when he was not healthy. If I remember correctly, Logan Morrison also played much of the year not truly healthy. Is it really so hard to believe that Reed either didn't disclose being hurt (not necessarily injured), or he was simply going out at 80-90% (which I'm sure many players do on a regular basis), and that simply erased his margin for error? Or do you have explicit evidence that the team, the medical staff, and himself all did NOT allow him to pitch while injured?

    I'm not the one who requires evidence as I'm not tossing out chunks of time to support my argument.

     

    Let me rephrase my argument.

    During the time before he went on the DL last year, his collective numbers were not good.

     

    I have no idea what the health level was for the players you mention. Playing hurt to the detriment of the team seems incredibly stupid and selfish to me, so that is not a reassuring excuse to me, even if valid.

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      On 5/9/2019 at 8:52 PM, Mr. Brooks said:

    I'm not the one who requires evidence as I'm not tossing out chunks of time to support my argument.

    Let me rephrase my argument.
    During the time before he went on the DL last year, his collective numbers were not good.

    I have no idea what the health level was for the players you mention. Playing hurt to the detriment of the team seems incredibly stupid and selfish to me, so that is not a reassuring excuse to me, even if valid.

     

    I enjoy that you say you're not the one tossing out chunks of time, and then immediately proceed to toss out a chunk of time in your restatement.  Unless of course you don't consider the time from the beginning of the 2018 season through Reed's injury to actually be time.

     

    You initially made, and in the above post re-made, an argument that Reed/Reed's numbers before his injury last year were not good.  You've yet to provide any supporting evidence whatsoever for this, and when I provided evidence that contradicted your assertion, you segued into a tangent demanding I provide evidence for my claims, which again, you've yet to do yourself.

     

    As you yourself admit, you don't know the health level of players--therefore isn't it reasonable to suggest it's possible some players, including potentially Addison Reed, were playing not at full health, especially since I provided you with two examples of players who were known to have played at less than full health just last year?  And if we can't quantify if a player is fully healthy, shouldn't we perhaps consider that a player was hurt before he was injured, and that could be a contributing factor in his decline before a trip to the IL?

     

    Finally, I'm not saying players should play while hurt, I'm saying that they do, in the past, the present, and the future.  That will never change.  If you only wanted to play players who were 100% healthy, you would have to forfeit every game due to not having anyone available to play.  Teams need to learn to manage the difference between hurt and injured, and ensure the former doesn't become the latter.

     

    With that, unless you want to provide some actual hard evidence to suggest that pitching hurt did not play a role in Reed's decline prior to his IL trip last year, I'm going to move on from this discussion, with a full rejection of your subjective assertion.

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      On 5/9/2019 at 8:11 PM, spycake said:

    It feels like that should be the case -- but in this specific case, I'm not sure there's even correlation here, much less causation.

     

    Reed threw 265 pitches over the first 40 days of 2016; he threw 281 over the first 40 days of 2017. And you think we can say he was definitely overworked by throwing 270 over the first 40 days of 2018? There's nothing to suggest that 200 pitches over 40 days should be any kind of baseline, much less than 270 over 40 days is particularly egregious.

     

    There's so much randomness and noise about player performance and injuries, it's almost impossible to judge based on the kind of information we have here. Mind you, I'm not saying there's no limit, but you can't get too fine in these judgements. Egregious usage, to me, would have to be something rare -- a reliever throwing 50 pitches in a game when he hasn't done that in forever; a high-stress 40-pitch inning; some amateur throwing 130+ pitches every other day in a tournament somewhere.

     

    This is interesting, I did not realize Reed had been throwing that many pitches consistently.  That being said, 40 days is about 22% of the major league season, so throwing 270 pitches in the first 40 days puts you on pace for about 1,230 over the course of a full year.  Over the past 5 years, that number would be in the top 20 for most pitches thrown by a reliever every year.  A reliever who did that every year for the past 5 years would actually be 2nd in number of pitches thrown over that timeframe.

     

    To me, this suggests overwork, and perhaps Reed was able to get away with it in 2016 and 2017 when he was 27 and 28.  Perhaps last year, after having thrown the 11th most pitches of any reliever from 2014 to 2017, he just wasn't able to handle that workload any more, which would mean 270 pitches in 40 days was, for Addison Reed, being overworked.

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      On 5/10/2019 at 3:12 PM, Cap'n Piranha said:

    I enjoy that you say you're not the one tossing out chunks of time, and then immediately proceed to toss out a chunk of time in your restatement. Unless of course you don't consider the time from the beginning of the 2018 season through Reed's injury to actually be time.

     

    You initially made, and in the above post re-made, an argument that Reed/Reed's numbers before his injury last year were not good. You've yet to provide any supporting evidence whatsoever for this, and when I provided evidence that contradicted your assertion, you segued into a tangent demanding I provide evidence for my claims, which again, you've yet to do yourself.

     

    As you yourself admit, you don't know the health level of players--therefore isn't it reasonable to suggest it's possible some players, including potentially Addison Reed, were playing not at full health, especially since I provided you with two examples of players who were known to have played at less than full health just last year? And if we can't quantify if a player is fully healthy, shouldn't we perhaps consider that a player was hurt before he was injured, and that could be a contributing factor in his decline before a trip to the IL?

     

    Finally, I'm not saying players should play while hurt, I'm saying that they do, in the past, the present, and the future. That will never change. If you only wanted to play players who were 100% healthy, you would have to forfeit every game due to not having anyone available to play. Teams need to learn to manage the difference between hurt and injured, and ensure the former doesn't become the latter.

     

    With that, unless you want to provide some actual hard evidence to suggest that pitching hurt did not play a role in Reed's decline prior to his IL trip last year, I'm going to move on from this discussion, with a full rejection of your subjective assertion.

    I don't want players to play if they are so hurt that their performance is negatively impacting the team, as you are suggesting it was.

     

    If we are to dismiss any poor performance because, "they might have been hurt", then you are effectively saying that we can never say that a player wasn't good.

     

    That's fine if that is how you personally want to view things. But please don't grandstand against me for choosing to use the numbers that a player posted while on the field. If a player chooses to play hurt, that's on them, they still have to own their contributions.

     

    I'll just rephrase my initial comment to, Reed was terrible last season, for whatever the reason.

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