Twins Minor League Report (5/15): Mussels Sweep! Kernels Keep Winning!

Who else is getting really excited about  Noah Miller???

It was great to see Kirilloff get 4 hits in the double header.  Now when he starts driving the ball for extra base hits, we will know he is really feeling better.  Raya looks like he is going to be special, and as JimPohlad1 noted, so does Miller.

7 hours ago, JimPohlad1 said:

Who else is getting really excited about  Noah Miller???

He is coming on strong. Last year at this time he was playing Wisconsin high school baseball. 

Just wanted to point out that Cody Lawyeryson had an 11.12 ERA and a WHIP of 1.94 on April 22nd. After not a allowing a run his last 12 innings his ERA is back down to 3.57 and WHIP is at .91.  He has been pitching really well since that early season blip.  His longest outing this year has been 4 innings and I wonder if they feel they can get more out of him as a pen arm?  At any rate just another really good under the radar arm at High A that makes that team special.

Stankiewicz struggled a bit giving up 7 hits and 1 walk in just 5 innings so not a great outing.  Still he managed to only give up 2 runs.  Looks like it might take some time for him to adjust to the new level.

The Kernals faced a tough pitcher and it showed as they only managed 3 hits.  Hopefully with the off day they can regroup and get the bats going again.

Raya was back to his dominant ways pitching 4 no hit innings in 44 pitches.  Only two K's but an incredibly efficient outing.  Twins are keeping his pitch count low for now but he could be a special arm moving forward.  Nowlin equally as good giving up just 1 hit and striking out 4 in three innings.

Rucker has gotten his groove back and working toward getting that OPS to 800.  Still a ways to go but nice to see some hits falling in.  Miller and Rodriquez are the stars of that team though.  As they are both doing well as 19 year old's. Rodriguez leads the team with his 900 OPS and he has nearly as many walks as K's so a balanced approach.  Miller lacks power so his OPS is lower but has a balanced approach as well.  The extra beauty of Miller is that he is a switch hitter.  So far both are good defenders at up the middle positions although both have question marks about whether they can stay in those up the middle spots.  I was low on Miller but so far it looks like I am going to be more wrong than right about him which is a good thing.
 

Marco Raya should be headed to Cedar Rapids this summer.

Noah Miller seems pretty good. It's so early but I wonder if we will eventually see him take over short and displace Royce Lewis to second.

Glad to see Kirilloff go 4-7, but the biggest casualty of his wrist injuries seems to have been his power. 

Cedar Rapids is 24-9 and Fort Myers, 20-10.  The A-ball teams are both winning two-thirds of their games, or more.  WOW!  St. Paul seems in need of help.  Unfortunately, most of their better players are either with the Twins or on the IL.  Hopefully, Jordan B. will shake off his early season rust and start throwing the ball like we expect.  Add Contreras and I suspect Miranda, and maybe Lewis (?), in the next few days and their roster should start being more competitive.

Will second the above comments about Miller and Rodriguez, who's numbers are looking awfully nice.  Have a question, Dman, if both Miller and Rodrguez are good defenders, why are there question marks whether or not they can stay at short and center?  Sure, I expect they still needs work on D, but both are 19-year old kids who you would expect need a lot of work in all aspects of the game.

Loved seeing Raya's start yesterday.  This kid sure looks like he could be a good one, really good!

49 minutes ago, Dman said:

Just wanted to point out that Cody Lawyeryson had an 11.12 ERA and a WHIP of 1.94 on April 22nd. After not a allowing a run his last 12 innings his ERA is back down to 3.57 and WHIP is at .91.  He has been pitching really well since that early season blip.  His longest outing this year has been 4 innings and I wonder if they feel they can get more out of him as a pen arm?  At any rate just another really good under the radar arm at High A that makes that team special.

Thanks for this note.  I admit that I have not followed him closely at all, so I appreciate your heads up on Cody.  It is truly amazing how many good young arms are in the system.

Nice to see Kirilloff get 4 hits in 8 PA, with one walk.  I hope they were actual line drives and not the weak contact he had been doing up here.  I still have high hopes for him, but this wrist issue may take a long time for him to adjust. 

49 minutes ago, roger said:

 

Will second the above comments about Miller and Rodriguez, who's numbers are looking awfully nice.  Have a question, Dman, if both Miller and Rodrguez are good defenders, why are there question marks whether or not they can stay at short and center?  Sure, I expect they still needs work on D, but both are 19-year old kids who you would expect need a lot of work in all aspects of the game.

 

I think those concerns from Scouts etc. are mainly based on speed.  As we all know Buxton is one of the fastest players in baseball and this helps make his defense elite because he can get to balls that other center fielders cannot.  Rodriguez has 55 speed and generally guys that are going to stick in center are a bit faster than that.  Also as players move from teenager to more physically developed they tend to get slower not faster so starting out as 55 runner is fine for now but if he gets slower which is more likely than not he becomes a greater defensive liability in center.  You can play him there but what are you willing to give up defensively to do it?  

Same goes for Miller who is a 50 runner. Usually guys that make it at that position start as 60 runners.  Now Miller has really good actions at short.  Sets his feet well gets good speed on his throws and has good instincts but will that be enough in the end?  I know Correa isn't the fastest shortstop and with the way they shift the infield maybe speed isn't as large of an issue at short anymore but having a guy with Lewis's speed in that spot is pretty nice.  He should be able to cover more ground and get to balls that Miller just won't be able to catch up to.

I know Fangraphs and others had Celestino as a borderline center fielder early in his career and he is doing just fine in center and MLB.com has him as a 55 runner.  I think the projections don't mean that Rodriguez and Millers can't stay up the middle it is just that the odds are not in their favor to do so given the speed generally required to be above average to elite at those positions.

24 minutes ago, Dman said:

I think those concerns from Scouts etc. are mainly based on speed.  As we all know Buxton is one of the fastest players in baseball and this helps make his defense elite because he can get to balls that other center fielders cannot.  Rodriguez has 55 speed and generally guys that are going to stick in center are a bit faster than that.  Also as players move from teenager to more physically developed they tend to get slower not faster so starting out as 55 runner is fine for now but if he gets slower which is more likely than not he becomes a greater defensive liability in center.  You can play him there but what are you willing to give up defensively to do it?  

Same goes for Miller who is a 50 runner. Usually guys that make it at that position start as 60 runners.  Now Miller has really good actions at short.  Sets his feet well gets good speed on his throws and has good instincts but will that be enough in the end?  I know Correa isn't the fastest shortstop and with the way they shift the infield maybe speed isn't as large of an issue at short anymore but having a guy with Lewis's speed in that spot is pretty nice.  He should be able to cover more ground and get to balls that Miller just won't be able to catch up to.

I know Fangraphs and others had Celestino as a borderline center fielder early in his career and he is doing just fine in center and MLB.com has him as a 55 runner.  I think the projections don't mean that Rodriguez and Millers can't stay up the middle it is just that the odds are not in their favor to do so given the speed generally required to be above average to elite at those positions.

Thanks, Dman, was wondering what your thoughts were.

Can certainly understand your comments about Rodriguez.  But does running speed really matter at short?  Isn't it more quickness?  Granted there can be a play down in foul territory where flat out speed is important.  Remember Lewis making a play like that in spring training a couple years ago and said, WOW.  But the vast majority of plays, a shortstop takes a couple steps left, right or up.  So to me quickness is more important and their running speed doesn't tell us that.

Remember Robin Yount, was reasonably fast but certainly not a burner.  One hell of a shortstop.  And wasn't J.J. Hardy actually somewhat slow?  Another excellent defensive shortstop.  Heck, that guy that played short all those years in Baltimore wasn't a burner, although my memory is a bit foggy as far as he is concerned.

Just now, roger said:

Thanks, Dman, was wondering what your thoughts were.

Can certainly understand your comments about Rodriguez.  But does running speed really matter at short?  Isn't it more quickness?  Granted there can be a play down in foul territory where flat out speed is important.  Remember Lewis making a play like that in spring training a couple years ago and said, WOW.  But the vast majority of plays, a shortstop takes a couple steps left, right or up.  So to me quickness is more important and their running speed doesn't tell us that.

Remember Robin Yount, was reasonably fast but certainly now a burner.  One hell of a shortstop.  And wasn't J.J. Hardy actually somewhat slow?  Another excellent defensive shortstop.  Heck, that guy that played short all those years in Baltimore wasn't a burner, although my memory is a bit foggy as far as he is concerned.

Agreed with shifting speed isn't as large a liability as some other positions.  When watching Miller during spring training he looked like a regular out there on the field as a 19 year old.  He gobbled up ground balls and made good throws.  I don't think he is making many error's this year,  although I haven't checked into that.  While I am no scout with what little I have seen it seems to me his defense is essentially MLB ready right now.  I have to say I have been surprised at how well he looks on both sides of the ball.  Obviously be needs more experience against advanced pitching and needs to grow into more power but he looks rock solid for his first year in pro ball. 

3 hours ago, Dman said:

Agreed with shifting speed isn't as large a liability as some other positions.  When watching Miller during spring training he looked like a regular out there on the field as a 19 year old.  He gobbled up ground balls and made good throws.  I don't think he is making many error's this year,  although I haven't checked into that.  While I am no scout with what little I have seen it seems to me his defense is essentially MLB ready right now.  I have to say I have been surprised at how well he looks on both sides of the ball.  Obviously be needs more experience against advanced pitching and needs to grow into more power but he looks rock solid for his first year in pro ball. 

I agree with pretty much everything you said here and earlier.  Shortstop is easily the most demanding position in terms of overall athleticism, not just speed but quickness, reactions, hands, arm, agility, durability.  It's usually easy to knock a prospect on at least one aspect of what goes into being a good shortstop.  It seems like in the majors there does end up being a fairly wide variance on some of the skills, and plenty of shortstops aren't all that fast.  It helps for a young guy like Lewis to have the speed and quickness to get to a few extra balls, but it doesn't really seem to be the most important thing for guys that stick long term.

I was also very impressed by Noah Miller in spring training.  First time I saw him make a play I didn't have the sound on, had no idea who he was and was very surprised when I eventually figured out it was him.  He made a few nice plays, I think maybe the footwork was the only thing that didn't look quite as fluid as a major league SS in spring training.

Only two errors on the year for a .979 fielding percentage.  I would think that probably means the arm has been accurate and the hands have been pretty much as good as they looked in spring training.

I've been very excited to see his bat get hot the last few weeks, he's got a lot going for him right now.