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  • Twins Feel Prospect Eddie Rosario Close to Major League Ready


    Parker Hageman

    When Mike Radcliff returned from Arizona he was hopeful with what he had seen from Eddie Rosario.

    Among the organization’s prospects playing for the Salt River Rafters in the Arizona Fall League was the recently rehabilitated Rosario. The 23-year-old had served a fifty game suspension due to a failed marijuana test -- his second such offense. In the grand scheme, with a nation heading towards increasing tolerance and two major league cities allowing use of the recreational drug, it appeared less of a concern than the use of performance enhancing drugs to inflate his numbers. Nevertheless, rules were rules and Rosario had broken them. Twice.

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    The suspension could not have come at a worse point along his development timeline. Rosario was starting to gain attention as a hitter and, after a line drive that caught him in the face and required plates to be inserted in 2012, he already needed to play catch up. Beyond the lost time due to the injury, the Twins were trying to see if his path to the majors could be accelerated by moving to second base -- another hurdle.

    “Losing 50 games, that’s a huge setback,” general manager Terry Ryan told the Minneapolis Star Tribune at the time of his suspension. “That’s a lot of development time, a lot of learning that he’ll miss. It sets back his progression going up to the big leagues.”

    When he returned in 2014, based on his numbers and reports from scouts, his time away from the game appeared to stunt his development. Shifted back to the outfield because of the emergence of Brian Dozier at second, Rosario struggled to square the ball as frequently as he did in the past. He finished the season with the worst line of his career, turning in a .243/.286/.387 mark between High-A and Double-A. With the New Britain Rock Cats in June, Baseball Prospectus’ scouts reported he was a “at first player” and believed that he was “not likely to stick as long-term regular” after watching him for two games. They also questioned his hustle. In July another member of the Baseball Prospectus’ team, Jason Parks, concluded that “[w]ith his bat control and bat speed, he could really develop into a good hitter if he works the gaps and takes advantage of his strengths instead playing into his weaknesses. He’s a tweener for me right now, more a hit tool/speed type than a complete player.”

     

    Recognizing the need to get one of their more advanced prospects additional at-bats, Rosario was sent to the Arizona Fall League. In the desert -- while wearing the obsolete Twins pinstripe uniform and facing the game’s top prospect talent -- he started to hit again. The same type that earned him the reputation as one of the best hitters for average.

     

    Perhaps it was clicking at the right time or just a burst of small-sample size magic but the Twins’ Vice President of Player Personnel says that it may be due to re-engaging with the game.

     

    “I think the biggest thing is that he’s gone through a year of turmoil,” Radcliff said reflecting on Rosario’s offensive success in Arizona. “A year ago today it wasn’t good for him. He had a lot of things going on that weren’t good. Most of that is in the rearview mirror now and he has a different frame of mind. He concentrates and focuses on baseball and that’s allowed him to get back on track.”

     

    Where the regular season showed Rosario trying to do too much at the plate and unnecessarily swinging for the fences, the fall league was a profile of a more collected hitter. Many of the same points that have been raised about his swing still exist -- tons of pre-swing hand movement, stepping open with his front foot on his stride, drops his back shoulder at times, chases stuff down in the zone and so on -- but the positive aspects were on display as well. Rosario possesses extremely quick hands and, once he gets to his load point, he strikes like a cobra. The open stride which seemingly leaves him susceptible to the outer-half has not affected him as he covers the zone surprisingly well, keeping his front hip closed.

     

    A lot of the aforementioned traits can be seen in this clip from the AFL Championship Game:

     

    http://i.imgur.com/bopEWKq.gif

    The excessive hand movement. The front foot stride. Staying closed. Quick hands. Zone coverage.

     

    Yes, he pulls the ball too often instead of going with the pitch while his selection and patience will wreak havoc on his on-base percentage. As an aggressive hitter, he is unlikely to put up robust walk totals. He elevates too many fly balls with too little power, a factor that will likely impact his major league average, yet if you watched the final AFL game Rosario went 4-for-5 and hit everything on the screws. No lofted fly balls, these were hard, smashed line drives. Even the out he made was a shot to right field.

     

    “He’s refocused, he’s reenergized, he understands who he is now and where he is at and what his future is,” Radcliff said. “He got suspended, it took him a while to clean all that stuff up and play during the summer months. I think there is probably hope involved because there was a lot that has gone on in the last year and a half. I think that we hope that what we saw in the last 100 at-bats was more indicative of what is ahead for him that what we saw in those at-bats during the summer.”

     

    Performance at the plate is one thing, in the field is another.

     

    When creating his top 25 prospect from the Arizona Fall League list, MLB.com columnist Jim Callis noted that Rosario’s positional unknown looms as a big question mark. Radcliff and the Twins see that differently. Rosario has shown the ability to play anywhere at least at an adequate level, providing flexibility. “Versatility is a good thing when you are trying to break into a 25-man roster,” Radcliff said.

     

    But the clear vacancy right now is in left field for the Twins and Rosario has seen plenty of time in that area of the outfield. Is it possible he could be an option for 2015?

     

    “He can do a lot of things, he’s an advanced hitter for his experience level and where he is from,” said Radcliff. “He’s right on the cusp of being a good hitter, his power is probably down the road. All the little things: base-running, stolen bases, arm accuracy, technique, angles, routes in the outfield, those things progress, improve and get better along the way. Is he about ready to impact the major leagues? Yeah, I’d think most of us would agree with that. What role and how quick, that will all be determined in the coming months. He’s close, he’s right there on the edge.”

     

    Added to the team's 40-man roster on Thursday, when summarizing Rosario’s chances of reaching the highest level in the near future, Radcliff seemed to invoke personal responsibility for the talented 23-year-old. Possibly hinting at both his on and off the field performance: “It’s all up to him now.”

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    Besides 12-13 when he was playing 2B, Rosario has played more games in CF than any other position. In his career, he's played 169 games in CF and only 40 games in the corner. I would anticipate that he'll continue to play CF, unless he's in the same OF as Buxton. Not sure why the Rafters didn't play him there after Buxton left.

    Just speculating, but maybe it was because the Twins asked them to play him in LF because they wanted to get a look at him out there?

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    Just speculating, but maybe it was because the Twins asked them to play him in LF because they wanted to get a look at him out there?

     

    I thought they might put him there some after Buxton's injury too, but I'd be fairly confident in saying this was the part of the case why they didn't. Beyond that, the Rafters also had another OF on their roster who would be a much better fit there than Rosario, in Houston's Andrew Aplin.

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    I really hope the Twins aren't in a position where Rosario is competing for the CF or LF job in spring training.  I think his best value next season is as plan B in case any of the 3 OF'ers need a replacement.  I'm bullish on Rosario still though.

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    I would think that major league ready could be defined as the player has the tools to learn what to do at the major league level.  They would also think it would mean the player will show the ability to adjust, adapt, and overcome.

    A player can be perceived by us to be MLB "ready", but we lack a credible factual basis upon which to judge readiness for ourselves. It's hard enough for the coaches and evaluators who are watching every bullpen and every BP these guys take, let alone monitoring their clubhouse and off-field behavior, to make this call. That's why it's a bit presumptuous to so vehemently disagree with the team about these decisions. 

     

    And because it's impossible for even the field staff to be certain, I really hope Ryan brings someone in, even if it means turning around and trading from a surplus later.

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    A player can be perceived by us to be MLB "ready", but we lack a credible factual basis upon which to judge readiness for ourselves. It's hard enough for the coaches and evaluators who are watching every bullpen and every BP these guys take, let alone monitoring their clubhouse and off-field behavior, to make this call. That's why it's a bit presumptuous to so vehemently disagree with the team about these decisions. 

     

    And because it's impossible for even the field staff to be certain, I really hope Ryan brings someone in, even if it means turning around and trading from a surplus later.***

     

    ***Most organizations call that "Plan B" contingency management.  The Twins, as exemplified in the cases of Hicks and Santana, have been wrong on either end of the "evaluation of readiness" spectrum, and positing Jason Bartlett as a Plan B solution.  

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    ***Most organizations call that "Plan B" contingency management.  The Twins, as exemplified in the cases of Hicks and Santana, have been wrong on either end of the "evaluation of readiness" spectrum, and positing Jason Bartlett as a Plan B solution.  

    Right, like every other club in baseball.

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    Right, like every other club in baseball.

     

    "Every other club", except for, in multiple recent and glaring cases in both the outfield and starting pitching for three years running, the Twins.

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    Right, like every other club in baseball.

    "Every other club", except for, in multiple recent and glaring cases in both the outfield and starting pitching for three years running, the Twins.

    Moderator note: before this back and forth gets snippier, let's end it now. Keep the discourse respectful and pertinent.

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