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  • Twins Daily 2019 Top Prospects: #1 Royce Lewis


    Seth Stohs

    We have spent the last two weeks counting down the Twins Daily Top 20 Minnesota Twins prospects heading into the 2019 season. Today, we arrive at #1. It will surprise no one that shortstop Royce Lewis fits the top spot. The first overall pick in the 2017 draft had a strong 2018 season between Cedar Rapids. He didn’t turn 19 until early June. He is a consensus Top 10 prospect among national publications. This weekend, he will report to Ft. Myers for his first big-league spring training.

    All of that, and it is important to note that it was not an easy decision for any of the voters. Alex Kirilloff had an incredible return to the diamond in 2018, putting up some of the best offensive numbers in all of minor league baseball. Brusdar Graterol has a triple-digit fastball and potentially three above-average pitches. He could give the Twins a true ace in the not-too-distant future. The Twins drafted a College World Series hero in the first round in 2018, and he had a solid professional debut.

    The Twins have a Top 5 minor league system, so it is meaningful and well-considered that we continue to rank Royce Lewis as the #1 Twins prospect. Below you will find out more about the future star. Hopefully you have enjoyed this Top 20 series and have renewed hope that there are several future stars in the system. With this information, we certainly encourage you to share your thoughts on Lewis, but also consider how you would rank the Twins top prospects.

    Image courtesy of Linwood Ferguson (graphics by Brock Beauchamp)

    Twins Video

    Age: 19 (DOB: 6-5-1999)

    2018 Stats (Low-A/High-A): .292/.352/.451 (.803), 29-2B, 14-HR, 28/36 SB

    ETA: 2020

    2018 Ranking: 1

    National Top 100 Rankings

    BA: 9 |MLB: 5 | ESPN: 9 |BP: 8 |FG: 6

    What’s To Like

    A lot. To show that, let’s take a look at where Lewis is in terms of the standard scouting tools (Hit, Hit for Power, Speed, Defense, Arm) and then add some more.

    HIT - Lewis has a good approach at the plate. While he generally knows the strike zone and doesn’t extend too much, he also is aggressive inside the zone. He stands at the plate, relaxed, and as the pitcher begins his delivery, he uses a big leg kick/lift. However, as you can see from the below picture, he remains very balanced. In the next photo, you can see that as his front foot touches the ground, his hands are ready to explode to the pitch and his weight transfers.

    https://twitter.com/twinsdaily/status/975328810831941633

    He is aggressive and yet he rarely takes a swing that looks out of control. He doesn’t strike out real often (15.0% in Cedar Rapids and 16.8% in Ft. Myers). He will use the whole field, though he typically has shown much more power to his pull side. Very few hit .300 in MLB anymore, but he could be a .280-.300 type of hitter.

    HIT FOR POWER - Through the first 32 games of the season, Lewis was hitting .305, but he had just four doubles and one home run. Many were clamoring for him to be promoted to Ft. Myers because he had spent 18 games with the Kernels to end 2017. Over his next 43 games with the Kernels, the power arrived. He hit .323, but he added 19 doubles and eight home runs. He earned his promotion to the Miracle, and while he struggled some, he showed really good power in the pitcher-friendly parks for the Florida State League. In 46 games, he hit six doubles, three triples and knocked five home runs. (For comparison’s sake, Alex Kirilloff had seven homers in 65 games for the Miracle) While 30 home runs may be excessive, but Lewis could be a 20-25 homer per year guy during his big league career.

    SPEED - Byron Buxton. Who is the one player in the Twins organization who might - might! - be faster than Royce Lewis. As important as the pure speed, Lewis knows how to utilize his speed on the baseball diamond. His 28 stolen bases led the organization. He was caught just eight times and he is still learning the finer points. He is able to go from first-to-home or first-to-third really well. He also shows good instincts most of the time on the bases. He also uses his speed on defense.

    DEFENSE - Lewis has good range both up the middle and deep into the 5.5 hole. There are times when he winds up (no, not like Shawon Dunston for those of you who are in my age category) a little bit. He does a really nice job going back on pop ups and he takes leadership on the infield, another important trait for a shortstop.

    Tom Froemming put Lewis's defense under the Prospect Spotlight. Take a look below. In the video, I was at the game in Cedar Rapids when he made the running catch down the left field line. First, it reminded me of Derek Jeter, but when he caught it and knew it was a great catch, he had a Griffey Jr-like smile.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1pNhG2RIZkI

    ARM - Lewis has a strong arm. He can make all of the throws. For those that think his future may be better out in center field, he has plenty of arm to play out there.

    INTANGIBLES - Lewis is a natural leader. By that I mean that he doesn’t have to work to lead, but teammates gravitate to him. He has a great charisma that plays well on the field and in the clubhouse. Lewis works hard. He added weight last season through a regimented lifting program in-season. He’s got good size. He’s tall and he’s strong but he has added the size and strength without losing any speed. In addition, Lewis never takes a play off. He hustles out every grounder. He looks to take second on singles to the outfield. He has instincts.

    And while some may not think that it matters, but when you watch Royce Lewis play baseball and practice, you can see the joy that he has, the love of the game. It is an intangible, but it is one of the reasons that Francisco Lindor is so much fun to watch and cheer for even if he is on the Twins top competitor.

    What’s Left To Work On

    The easy response for Lewis as far as things he needs to work out would be the cliche, “He needs to continue working on everything” or “He just needs more at-bats” or “He just needs more real-time situations on defense.”

    Well, let’s just say that cliches usually become cliches for a reason, because they’re true. Lewis does simply need more at-bats. He needs to continue working up the ladder and seeing pitchers with better command of their pitch mix. He needs to see more sharp sliders down and away so that he can keep working on trying to lay off of them.

    There are still question marks about Lewis’s defense. While I’ve talked to several people who saw him play in 2018 that said he took big strides and there is more of a certainty that he can be at least an average defensive shortstop. There are still some scouts who think that his speed and instinct would best play in center field. Lewis can make the great play. As noted, he has great range and can make the great plays. He just needs to keep working and be more consistent on the routine plays and the routine throws. Again, needs more time at shortstop and more opportunities.

    What makes Lewis so exciting as a prospect is that he does everything so well already. But what makes him so intriguing is knowing that he can still improve all areas of his game (even quite a bit in some places). While he is ahead of the pace at this point in this career than top young shortstops Carlos Correa and Francisco Lindor, the Twins can be as patient as they need to be.

    What’s Next

    Royce Lewis is traveling to Ft. Myers today and will report as a non-roster invite to Minnesota Twins spring training. He will get the opportunity to work with and learn from the veterans, and also work with and be seen by the big-league coaches.

    With just 46 games in High-A Ft. Myers, plus a playoff run that that led to a Florida State League championship, it is likely that he will begin the season with the Miracle. It is very likely that he will spend most of his season with the Blue Wahoos in Pensacola.

    While I think that the odds are low that Lewis surfaces in the big leagues in 2019, I wouldn’t put anything past him. With Jorge Polanco now signed long-term, Jonathan Schoop set to spend the year in a Twins uniform, and Nick Gordon in Triple A, the Twins do not need to rush this talented prospect in 2019. I would not be surprised if Lewis is the Twins Opening Day shortstop and #2 hitter when they open the 2020 season (though being promoted 20 days later might make more economic sense).

    Twins Daily 2019 Top 20 Prospects

    Honorable Mentions

    20. Jose Miranda, 2B/3B

    19. Jorge Alcala, RHP

    18. LaMonte Wade, OF

    17. Zack Littell, RHP

    16. Gilberto Celestino, OF

    15. Yunior Severino, 2B

    14. Ben Rortvedt, C

    13. Ryan Jeffers, C

    12. Stephen Gonsalves, LHP

    11. Nick Gordon, SS

    10. Akil Baddoo, OF

    9. Blayne Enlow, RHP

    8. Lewis Thorpe, LHP

    7. Jhoan Duran, RHP

    6. Brent Rooker, 1B/LF

    5. Wander Javier, SS

    4. Trevor Larnach, OF

    3. Brusdar Graterol, RHP

    2. Alex Kirilloff, OF

    TD Top Prospect: #1- Royce Lewis

    Get to know more about Royce Lewis and many more minor league players in the 2019 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook.

    ORDER NOW: 2019 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook (paperback, $17.99)

    ORDER NOW: 2019 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook (eBook, $12.99)

    The 2019 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook goes in-depth and provides player bios, scouting reports, statistics and much more on almost 160 Twins minor leaguers.

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    Yes, you could.  But something feels different this time, at least to me.

     

    There seems to be a continual emphasis on strengthening the system.  Not just all the moves they did last July, but the continual moves that haven't made big splashes.  You know, moves like bringing Pearson in last spring, and others.  Seems like they have a plan and are working it.  To me, that's how building a successful organization will happen.

     

    It appears to me that they also have been more successful in the past couple drafts, although I will agree we won't know for several years.  It also helps to be drafting high, however, their management of the signing pool two years ago was beautiful to watch...getting Enlow and others after making the surprise pick of Lewis, who just may turn out to be the best choice of all.

    I really, really hope you are right, but as a fan of all Minnesota sports I have been living off of hope for years and all it has gotten me is the Vikings ripping out my heart and the Twins saying just wait for the next group of prospects to lead us to the promise land.

    I do really like they have been stock piling high upside guys improving the odds of guys making it. (which is better than drafting relief pitchers)

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    When thinking about this kid I keep thinking about Robin Yount also, although Yount didn't have Lewis' speed.  Won't go back and look, but Yount was up when he was still 18, wasn't he?

     

    Also, Seth, love how these are presented with the 'blue style baseball card look.'

     

    Can we please fast forward to late 2020 or early 2021 when all five of these top five are playing at Target Field.  Really am kind of giddy thinking about them in a Twins uniform.

     

    That's the work of Brock Beauchamp, who did a great job with the graphics!

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    Couldn't you say the same thing in 2013, when the prospects list was Sano, Hicks, Arcia, Buxton, Gibson, Meyer, Rosario, May, Kepler, Polanco and others?

    and yet they haven't been one of the best teams in baseball year after year, let alone if one year.

    I love me prospects, but that is all they are until they fail or make it, there is no guarantee of anything. (Well except most will fail to live up to expecations)

    If it was a sure thing I wouldn't even bother watching.    The story on your list of prospects is hardly complete.   In fact, its not even to the mid point.   Mauer, Morneau, Cuddyer, Kubel were a pretty good core.    Puckett, Hrbek, Viola, Gaetti, Gladden were all 27 or older in 1987.  Before that ( and a few after that) they were losing teams.   Current guys are all 25 or less.   Not all prospects pan out but everyone that pans out was once a prospect. 

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    This has me picturing an infield of 3B-Lewis. SS-Javier, 2B-Polanco, and 1B-Sano/Larnach/Rooker in a year or two. That could be a really strong group with Gordon as the utility guy.

    They won't waste Lewis' best tool (speed) at third base. If he can't stick at SS, he moves to CF.

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    Remembering back to those Brewers teams, Yount had a partner in Paul Molitor.  Could we have some of the same with Lewis-Javier?  

     

    I know lots of people have been hammering away at the new FO, but I for one like what they are doing. No, they aren't throwing gas on the fire to get it done overnight.  But there is something good about a steady approach towards turning this team into one of the best in baseball...year after year after year.

     

    At this point, I would sell the future for one year before I die, and hoping that doesn't happen first. Just one. Just one shining flaming season. Just one World Series Championship. Just ONE!
     

    ...... and hasn't the slow and steady been the approach.... like...... forever?

    Edited by h2oface
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    At this point, I would sell the future for one year before I die, and hoping that doesn't happen first. Just one. Just one shining flaming season. Just one World Series Championship. Just ONE!
     

    ...... and hasn't the slow and steady been the approach.... like...... forever?

    Like all of us ole guys, I too have the hope to see one more championship.  As for the steady approach, I see this group having a plan that is different than that of a man I hold great respect for.  They seem to be more flexible in using all the tools available to them as the game is currently structured.  Like you I hope, and pray, that they will get it done and not take too long in doing it.

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    At this point, I would sell the future for one year before I die, and hoping that doesn't happen first. Just one. Just one shining flaming season. Just one World Series Championship. Just ONE!
     

    ...... and hasn't the slow and steady been the approach.... like...... forever?

     

     

    I'm so with ya! I want to see my 4th WS with this team, against the Dodgers. I hate Koufax's guts.

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