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  • TD Top Twins Prospect Rankings (Post Draft and Trade Deadline): 25-21


    Lucas Seehafer

    On Monday, Twins Daily revealed prospects 26-30 in our post-draft and trade deadline updated rankings. We continue today with prospects 21-25. 

    Image courtesy of Ed Bailey, Wichita Wind Surge

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    25. RHP Chris Vallimont (24-years-old)
    Season Stats (High-A + Double-A): 4-4, 4.76 ERA, 64 1/3 IP, 102 K, 40 BB, 6 HR
    Previous Rankings: 2021 Midseason: 20, 2021 Preseason: NR

    Chris Vallimont has the physical profile of a modern day pitcher. He stands nearly 6-foot-6-inches tall with an athletic 220 pound frame that he uses to generate fastballs in the mid-90s to go along with a hammer curve (as well as the occasional slider and changeup). When he's on, there's a strong argument to be made that he has some of the most dynamic stuff in the Twins' system. However, he is a bit of an enigma. His peripheral numbers suggest that he is a better pitcher than what the surface-level stats say, the main anchor dragging him down being his walks. If he hones his command, it's not out of the realm of possibility that he develops into, say, a No. 3 starter. If he doesn't, he may wind up in the bullpen long-term. There are few prospects in the Twins' system with more future outcome variance than Vallimont. 

    24: RHP Louie Varland (23-years-old)
    Season Stats (Low-A + High-A): 6-2, 1.70 ERA, 69 IP, 98 K, 25 BB, 2 HR
    Previous Rankings: 2021 Midseason: Honorable Mention, 2021 Preseason: NR

    Louie Varland is one of those Twins prospects who has shot up the rankings this season due to sustained dominance. Varland was an unknown prospect when the Twins selected him in the 15th round of the 2019 draft out of Concordia-St. Paul. He started out the 2021 season with the Low-A Fort Myers Mighty Mussels before earning a promotion to the High-A Cedar Rapids Kernels where he rattled off nearly 20 straight innings of scoreless ball to begin his run at that level. Varland primarily relies on a fastball-curveball pitch mix. His fastball plays well both up and low in the zone; it presents with decent rise when elevated and greater sinking action when down. His most likely future role is as a reliever, but he has the raw stuff — and performance, to this point — to suggest he'll be effective in the high minors and, possibly, the big leagues.

    23: UTIL Nick Gordon (25-years-old)
    Season Stats (MLB): .250/.301/.333, 37 G, 3 2B, 3 3B, 1 HR, 5 RBI, 5 SB, 26/5 K:BB
    Previous Rankings: 2021 Midseason: NR, 2021 Preseason: NR

    To say that Nick Gordon was an after thought on the minds of Twins' fans entering the 2021 season would be an understatement. However, a strong showing at Triple-A combined with a fast start when promoted to the parent squad quickly got him back into people's minds. Gordon primarily played shortstop in the minors; however, the rash of injuries suffered by Twins' outfielders thrust Gordon into some minutes in centerfield. While he didn't provide Gold Glove caliber defense, he did show enough to suggest that he may have a brighter future as a true utility man than most thought. Gordon doesn't do anything great, but also doesn't do anything well-below average. He may not be an everyday-type of player, but he should find himself with a role in the majors — though perhaps ultimately not with the Twins — for years to come.

    22: 1B/DH Aaron Sabato (22-years-old)
    Season Stats (Low-A): .181/.365/.309, 75 G, 13 2B, 6 HR, 32 RBI, 101/67 K:BB
    Previous Rankings: 2021 Midseason: 9, 2021 Preseason: 8

    The tale of Aaron Sabato is virtually the opposite of that of Varland and Gordon. Sabato was known as a bopper with a good eye at the plate when the Twins selected him with the 27th overall pick in the 2020 draft but so far only his peepers have translated. Sabato has struggled to keep pace with Low-A pitching. His strikeout numbers are through the roof and his power has evaporated compared to what he displayed while with the Tar Heels. To put it bluntly, not many minor leaguers have struggled as much as he has to date and proceeded to carve out a productive major league career. Sabato's walk totals are encouraging, but he needs to show more the rest of the way.

    21: INF Edouard Julien (22-years-old)
    Season Stats (Low-A + High-A): .251/.423/.449, 78 G, 21 2B, 1 3B, 10 HR, 47 RBI, 25 SB, 98/73 K:BB
    Previous Rankings: 2021 Midseason: Honorable Mention, 2021 Preseason: NR

    Alright, back to being positive. Edouard Julien is an on-base machine with some pop who has displayed the ability to play multiple positions defensively, though he is probably best at second base. He's also stolen far more bases this year than many thought possible when he came out of Auburn University. Julien's overall productivity has declined some since his promotion to Cedar Rapids — and, thus, the removal of Robo-umps — however, he has done more than enough to justify his placement on this list. Not bad for a former 18th round pick.

     

    What do you think of this set of five prospects? Future big-leaguers? 

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    In terms of Sabato, I would like to know more about what is behind the numbers.  Meaning, is he missing strikes, or letting strikes go by that a possible adjustment could change things. I am not expecting much based on his first season, but the league he is in tends to drain power from players.  Is he having warning track power that maybe a small adjustment can turn him around or is he just having weak contact when he is making it?

    He better figure it out soon else he will get passed by quickly as his only tool is power is my understanding. 

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    Was Sabato over drafted last year or was he projected to be a late first? Not sure how a guy can go from terrorizing college pitchers to a whiff machine. FO looks to have whiffed big on 2 #1 picks 

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    8 hours ago, HrbieFan said:

    Was Sabato over drafted last year or was he projected to be a late first? Not sure how a guy can go from terrorizing college pitchers to a whiff machine. FO looks to have whiffed big on 2 #1 picks 

    I think he had a second round grade so he was picked ahead of where most analysts had him but those ranking are so subjective they generally mean very little.  Most everyone seemed to agree he would have a MLB ready bat he just got dinged because his bat might be the only value he brings. 

    It looks like he will be able to play 1st base but I don't know much about his defense there.  I don't think anyone saw so much swing and miss and I mean miss the ball entirely to his game.  He was supposedly a guy that could barrel the baseball more often than not but in his first season we are seeing the opposite.  Almost like he needs glasses or something.  Guys younger than him are doing better than he is.  Guys picked much later are doing better than he is. 

    I don't know if he was just primarily a fastball hitter in college and that is how he got noticed kind of like Rooker or he lost something along the way but contact has not been a strength but literally a weakness for him so far in A ball.  His eye is the only thing that kept him from catastrophic disaster as he has walked at a better than average clip which generally bodes well for a hitter because it usually forces a pitcher to throw better strikes, strikes that are usually easier to barrel up.  So far that hasn't been the case as he seems to be making weak contact or none at all with rare exceptions a HR or extra base hit.

    All is not lost as he still has time to find himself but I can't remember a college bat first round pick by the Twins that played more poorly than Sabato has in his first season. With his two HR game he finally cracked the 700 OPS mark which is a low bar for A ball.  Fine for a teenager getting his first cracks in but most guys that hit like are soon gone from the system because odds are they don't have what it takes to be successful at the higher levels.  It is his first year at pro ball hopefully he finishes the season strong and can move to high A to start next year and get better results but he off to a rocky start IMO.

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