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  • Austin Martin is Finishing a Redeeming September


    Cody Christie

    Austin Martin’s time in the Twins organization hasn’t gone perfectly. After struggling through most of 2022, he may have finally broken out over the last month.

    Image courtesy of Ed Bailey, Wichita Wind Surge

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    Hitting was never supposed to be a problem for Austin Martin. He was widely considered the top college bat in the 2020 MLB Draft after finishing a tremendous three years at Vanderbilt. In three seasons, he hit .368/.474/.532 (1.007) with 43 steals and more walks (85) than strikeouts (82). During his sophomore season, he posted a 1.091 OPS with 33 extra-base hits in 65 games as he helped Vanderbilt win the 2019 College World Series. 

    Toronto had to be excited when Martin fell to them with the fifth overall pick in 2020, which will be an intriguing draft to examine in future years. The pandemic wiped out college and high school seasons, so it became challenging to scout players without any games to watch. Martin received the draft’s second-highest signing bonus, but his professional debut had to wait until 2021. 

    All three national prospect rankings put Martin in their top-25 prospects entering the 2021 season. The Blue Jays were aggressive with him by sending him directly to Double-A. In his first 56 games, he hit .281/.424/.383 (.807) with 14 extra-base hits and a 53-to-37 strikeout to walk ratio. Minnesota acquired him at the trade deadline as part of the Jose Berrios deal. His OPS dropped to .779, but he collected 11 extra-base hits in 37 games. His prospect stock dropped a little, but he’d still be considered one of baseball’s top-55 prospects entering the 2022 campaign. 

    Minnesota sent Martin back to Double-A for the 2022 season, hoping his performance would warrant a move up the organizational ladder. For various reasons, Martin’s performance has struggled in 2022, with a wrist injury weakening his power. His OPS dropped from .796 in 2021 to .685 in 92 games this season. He suffered a wrist injury while diving for a ball at the beginning of July, but he has returned strongly to end the season. 

    In September, Martin compiled his best numbers of the season as he hit .277/.392/.431 (.823). His OPS was over 100 points higher than any other month in the season, and two of his three home runs came this month. Martin has been over a year younger than the competition at his level, and over 78% of his at-bats have come against older pitchers. After a bleak season, it helps to end the season on a positive note. 

    Martin will get the opportunity to build off his strong September by representing the Twins in the Arizona Fall League. He will be one of the team’s top prospects participating in the AFL this season, and it can be an important opportunity for players closing in on the big leagues. Last season, Matt Wallner headed to the AFL and used it as a springboard for a tremendous 2022 season. Wallner was recently named the Twins Daily Minor League Player of the Year

    Next season, Martin will begin the season as a 24-year-old with over 180 games played at the Double-A level. He is no longer considered a top-100 prospect, and many have dropped him out of the top-10 prospects in the Twins organization. He has plenty to prove in 2023, and the Twins hope this September is the beginning of him getting back on track. 

    What do you think Martin can prove in the AFL? Is this September a positive sign for the future? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.

     

     

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    19 hours ago, stringer bell said:

    I don’t assume Arraez will be the principal first baseman next year. Miranda and Kirilloff would be preferred options to Arraez at first and I maintain Arraez is quite satisfactory at second. 

    Yeah, I was short-sighted on my comment.  Arraez hitting along with satisfactory defense at 2nd base is likely All-Star level for years to come.

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    I find Martin similar to Nick Gordon's path to the big leagues

    He isn't hitting for power, his defense at shortstop will keep him from playing SS on a regular bases in the bigs. He has speed and position flexibility being not only capable of playing multiple infield positions but an asset in the outfield as well. 

    I think he has a ceiling similar to Gordon BUT .. I'm beginning to think Gordon has an even higher ceiling that he has shown so far. That said, if we plan on keeping Gordon around long term I see Martin eventually as trade bait ..

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    I'd wonder if the production spike in September coincided at all with facing less talented pitching near end of season. Was he seeing the less talented holdovers who were not promoted out of AA, and newly promoted pitching from lower levels?

    Beyond that question, I do see the tendency of many posts referring to lack of power. They must yearn for the La Bomba days. Not so many years ago remenber the team was winning due to the Piranhas. It is a bit surprising that Baldelli doesn't take more advantage of moving runners into scoring position with speed and fundamental strategies, as he himself was a power/speed combo as a player. I would have no problem with comping Martin with Whit Merrifield as an admittedly very hard-to-achieve ceiling. Fits, right down to defensive positions (2B/CF), build (around 6' or 6'1" and around 190 lbs), speed, and hitting eye. Whit has shown more power, but other than one spike year at 19 dingers he sits around 10 or 12 annually. Maybe Martin is around half that. So what. He can still knock runs in with doubles. Not everybody has to be a power/RBI guy on the team. Gotta get on base to score runs. Martin, like Arraez and probably Lewis, will do that. If we don't value on-base skills and speed, then we should trade those assets to teams that do.

    I'll be looking forward to seeing what he does this fall in Arizona. 

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    14 minutes ago, Finlander said:

    Beyond that question, I do see the tendency of many posts referring to lack of power. They must yearn for the La Bomba days.

    Many people on TD want all Twins hitters to never strike out, never hit into double plays, hit home runs, hit for a high average, and always do it consistently, never having a mediocre stretch. Amazingly, Arraez may win the batting title and several people have posted that he's injury prone, pitchers have figured him out, doesn't play good defense, etc. and the Twins should get rid of him.

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