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  • 2019 MLB Draft Day 2 Thread


    Andrew Thares

    The Minnesota Twins did a good job adding to their farm system with three picks on Day One of the Draft. With their first pick they took Keoni Cavaco, a high school third baseman from California. They then added a couple of Matts with the 39th and 54th overall picks. The first Matt being Matt Wallner, a Minnesota native who is a right fielder for Southern Mississippi. The second Matt was Matt Canterino, who is a right-handed pitcher from Rice University.

    Image courtesy of © David Berding-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    From Yesterday

    Twins Select Keoni Cavaco with 13th Overall Pick

    Twins Select Minnesotan Matt Wallner with 39th Overall Pick

    Twins Select Matt Canterino with 54th Overall Pick

    The Twins are back in action with eight more picks today in rounds three through ten. Here is a breakdown what picks those are, and the bonus money attached to each pick.

    3rd Round: 90th Overall - $657,600

    4th Round: 119th Overall - $483,000

    5th Round: 149th Overall - $360,800

    6th Round: 179th Overall - $274,800

    7th Round: 209th Overall - $214,900

    8th Round: 239th Overall - $173,000

    9th Round: 269th Overall - $154,100

    10th Round: 299th Overall - $145,000

    Please join in on the conversation and keep checking back, as this article will be updated each time the Twins make a selection.

    Draft Picks

    3rd Round: 90th Overall - Spencer Steer | Oregon | Pos: SS

    Junior Oregon Shortstop Spencer Steer is a solid all-around player with no true standout tools. Steers best trait is probably his hit tool. Steer is a career .297 hitter with a .401 OBP, but hit just 12 home runs over three seasons for the Ducks.

    It is unlikely that Steer will stay at short long-term, but he has the defensive ability to be a plus defender at second. He could also make the move to third, but I don’t think he will provide the thump in the bat for third.

    https://twitter.com/BaseballAmerica/status/1135961592116498432

    4th Round: 119th Overall - Seth Gray | Wright State | Pos: 3B

    Seth Gray will be reunited with his former Wright State teammate Gabe Snyder, who was the Twins 21st round pick in last year’s draft. Gray wasn’t a highly considered prospect entering this spring, but he broke out from a power standpoint this spring hitting 11 home runs, which more than doubled the total he hit in his freshman and sophomore years combined. This helped Gray raise his slugging percentage up from the roughly .410 he had in his first to seasons, up to .627 this year.

    5th Round: 149th Overall - Will Holland | Auburn | Pos: SS

    Holland entered this season with a profile that had him projected to possibly be drafted within the first 20 overall picks. His junior season didn’t go as well as expected. After hitting .313/.406/.530 as a sophomore, Holland dropped all the way down to .248/.378/.416 this season. Holland has picked it up as of late hitting .367 over his last 16 games leading into this weekends Super Regional against UNC.

    On the MLB.com broadcast, Jim Callis called this pick “an absolute steal.” Hollad is another infielder who is known for his power. As you can see below, 2080 Baseball had Holland ranked as their No. 12 collegiate draft prospect back in February.

    https://twitter.com/2080ball/status/1096512676388368384

    6th Round: 179th Overall - Sawyer Gipson | Mercer | Pos: RHP

    Under the current regime, the Twins have shown an affinity to draft pitchers based mostly around advanced metrics, and Sawyer Gipson fits right into that mold.

    At the face of it, you see Sawyer Gipson as a small school pitcher who has never had a season with an ERA below 5.20, but if you dive further into Gipson you can see what makes him so appealing is his excellent strikeout to walk ratio. In his three combined season at Mercer, Gipson has struck out 26.3% of opposing batters while only walking 5.9%.

    https://twitter.com/cdcole55/status/882098710431371265

    7th Round: 209th Overall - Anthony Prato | UConn | Pos: SS

    Believe it or not, the Twins just took another college shortstop, making Anthony Prato number three on the day. Prato could very well be the best pure hitter and best athlete of the group, though he has the least amount of power potential.

    Prato is one of those players that knows his strengths, and tries to emphasize them on the baseball field. He is an on-base machine, having hit above .300 in all three years at UConn, with a career OBP of .401, including .441 this year. Prato also can do damage once he is on the base paths, stealing 47 bases in 178 career college games.

    8th Round: 239th Overall - Casey Legumina | Gonzaga | Pos: RHP

    Casey Legumina only made four starts in 2019 before getting shut down with a forearm strain. In those four starts Legumina was pretty sharp, striking out 29 batters and walking eight in 24 innings. Legumina was solid out of the Bulldogs pen in 2018, with an ERA of 2.77 and a strikeout to walk ratio of 52 to 7 over 48 and 2/3 innings.

    Legumina has a strong fastball that he can pump up into the mid 90’s with a decent amount of arm side run. He also features a sharp breaking ball that can be an effective swing and miss pitch.

    9th Round: 269th Overall - Brent Headrick | Illinois State | Pos: LHP

    Brent Headrick was the Friday night ace of an Illinois State team that won the Missouri Valley Conference Championship this year, and fell a game shy of advancing to the Super Regionals this upcoming weekend.

    Headrick was a three year starter for the Redbirds, but 2019 was easily his best of the three. In 96 innings pitched, across 16 starts, Headrick had a 3.47 ERA with a 115 to 31 strikeout to walk ratio. It should be noted that in three starts against NCAA tournament teams (Vanderbilt, Creighton & Indiana) Headrick gave up 21 runs (14 earned) in 14 and 1/3 innings pitched.

    https://twitter.com/Redbird_Pro/status/1130882053363458054

    10th Round: 299th Overall - Ben Gross | Duke | Pos: RHP

    Ben Gross completes a perfect 8 for 8 day for college players selected by the Twins. Gross played his first three seasons of college baseball at Princeton, before becoming a grad transfer to Duke for 2019.

    Gross was a starter for the Princeton Tigers for two seasons, where he had a respectable 4.35 ERA while striking out just shy of a batter per inning. In his lone year at Duke Gross was inconsistent starting in the ACC, but managed to put together a 4.09 ERA while again striking out nearly a batter per inning.

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    The selection of the Connecticut SS seems to have brought the discussion to a standstill. 

     

    Guy has an OBP of about .450 and walks twice as much as he strikes out.  MLB has him listed as a switch hitter and reports seem to say he can field well.

     

    Maybe he's a dude that with a swing adjustment generates a lot more power.  Gotta love the bat skills though.

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    Another college shortstop in the 7th round.  I will assume that some of these kids can/will play elsewhere.

     

    With all the talk about lack of pitchers being taken, went back and counted how many went in the 6th round.  20 of the 30 picks were pitchers with all but one from college.  Yes, this does appear to be a different draft.

    As a Cubs fan, some offices are just better at finding and developing offensive players than pitchers. As far as drafting a college SS, it means little, often they'll transition to 2B/3B/CF

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    As a Cubs fan, some offices are just better at finding and developing offensive players than pitchers. As far as drafting a college SS, it means little, often they'll transition to 2B/3B/CF

     

    Agreed, every org has strengths and weaknesses......like I said, the Vikings refusal to draft OL early led to bad results on the OL, while the rest of the team looked good/great over the last few years. But it's a team game, and teams need to find ways to cover for their own weaknesses. The Cubs are trying to do that by buying FA SPs. 

     

    It also led to people saying "see, they take OL" after they took them in round 4 and later, none of whom are all that good (or even in the NFL anymore). 

     

    The Twins seem to be good at finding OF and SS. Probably catchers. Hopefully they are doing a good job trading for SP, because the draft looks suspect (outside the guy whose name I can't spell) to me.

    Edited by Mike Sixel
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    I'm kind of bummed about the lack of HS kids, though I suppose they can still try to get some later, if they're somehow able to get some of these college juniors to go underslot.

     

    I'm less concerned about the power/positional profile of these middle infielders. There seems to be a lot of them so it's likely someone will stick. Also, squeezing power out of the bats seems to be a new talent of this club. If they truly have found a trick to it, then getting guys who everyone else is unsure about developing power is a pretty smart move.

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    Not much in the way of senior signs so assume not much money for high school players then?  Glad they grabbed a couple light hitters but good hit\onbase guys.  That makes me feel a little better.

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    How many good/great pitchers do you think get drafted around round 5? 

     

    I guess I should bail on the thread, it seems like people only want positive, gushing, posts.

     

    Don’t bail. I, like many others here, value your opinions and views. While I may not always agree with you, I do think you bring good insight to the discussions. It’s baseball, nothing’s ever supposed to come easy :).

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    Draft is so hard to judge until a few years down the road. However, I don't have an issue at all avoiding arms early in the draft. TINSTAAPP. Draft bats, draft bats, and then draft more bats. Trade your excess bats for proven pitching. I love this strategy 

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    But it's a team game, and teams need to find ways to cover for their own weaknesses. The Cubs are trying to do that by buying FA SPs. 

     

    The Twins seem to be good at finding OF and SS. Probably catchers. Hopefully they are doing a good job trading for SP, because the draft looks suspect (outside the guy whose name I can't spell) to me.

    Well the Cubs are draft a pitcher philosophy of late (especially this draft so far), but very little to show for it in the system.  So buying and trading for SP is vital, of course it doesn't help when you trade Eloy Jimenez and Dylan Cease for Quintana, and spend heavy on Chatwood and Darvish.  

     

    If the Twins can keep drafting and finding those OF and SS it makes trading them so much easier.  

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    I’m kind of at a loss for words here... this isn’t the NFL (thank god for that), you know full well that it’s takes 3-5 years to truly judge a draft class. Just because the team isn’t drafting off of the list of players you think they need to be taking, does not mean they don’t know what they are doing. And calling folks uniformed for disagreeing with you is rather petty.

     

    Hmm I thought it was pretty clear that I was being facetious. The only Twins pick I've ever criticized was Nick Burdi, under the prior regime. I personally don't try to generate an opinion out of thin air, which is all most of us have when it comes to amateurs.

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    Hmm I thought it was pretty clear that I was being facetious. The only Twins pick I've ever criticized was Nick Burdi, under the prior regime. I personally don't try to generate an opinion out of thin air, which is all most of us have when it comes to amateurs.

    Fair enough. Apologies for misunderstanding.

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    From MLB.com

     

    LHP Headrick, Brent

     

    6' 6 227lbs
    DOB:12/17/97

     

    Headrick has helped lead the Redbirds to success in 2019. The 6-foot-6 lefty mixes his fastball that tops out at 91 MPH with his breaking ball. Despite having relatively average offerings has been able to miss bats. Headrick eclipsed the century mark with a team-leading 101 strikeouts for Illinois State this season.

    Edited by SwainZag
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    Someone mentioned the Astros draft. If you look at it you will see that Houston has drafted 4 center fielders and just 2 pitchers. 

     

    The Twins have been drafting SSs and the Astros have been drafting CFs. There is a parallel of sorts here. I am not sure who mentioned Houston's draft earlier, but I am glad that the person did mention it. 

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    You know whose draft looks a lot like ours right now?  The Houston Astros.

     

    New wave analytics are putting aside a lot of the old conventions.  I'd encourage people to read the Ringer article on the Astros that was recently posted.  

     

    I would be wary of relying on what traditional scouting tells you about a player's strengths or weaknesses and just trust the process for now.

     

    That is an awesome article.  It is very promising to see some of the concepts and practices being used here, and the results are obviously showing.

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    I did read the Ringer article the other day. I agree that it is awesome reading. The part on Castro

    is fascinating: not good at framing/blocking. They worked with him on these areas, and before long he is 

    recognized as being quite good in this skill set. The part on Pressly is more in-depth.

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    From the previously mentioned Ringer article, “When I came there and saw our player-development goals, I was like, oh my word. This is stuff you can’t work on,” Fast says. “It was stuff like, ‘Improve your command.’ How’s a pitcher supposed to go into the off-season and improve his command? He needs a drill. He needs to know how to measure if he’s getting better.”  This, this, and this!  Maybe it's the educator in me but I never (ok, maybe not never, we all have to learn) understood the idea that players could, essentially, "just develop".  And it came down to 1 simple word, "how?".  That's the big reason analytics have taken hold and been successful, by addressing the "how are we going to reach our goal?" question.  My big frustration with the previous regime and the reason I'm very happy with the, kinda still, new guys.

     

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    The primary risk with almost all prospects is that they just aren't good enough. If they don't have the tools to make a difference, who cares if they have a mechanically sound swing?

     

    You can try to fix mechanics much easier than you can improve athleticism. That's why teams have a minor league infrastructure, to hone players' skills and get the most of out their tools.

     

    A good swing is basically all that matters.  You can have all the athleticism in the world and if you can't hit the ball you are a black hole on offense.  You don't need a ton of athleticism to play 1st, 3rd, Left field, DH and maybe even 2nd Base.  You can hide that if you find guys that hit.  Arraez is a good example.  He has no above average tools except his bat and yet he is more valuable than say a Pedro Floriman type player who has good speed, good arm, good defense but a horrible bat.  Arraez can still play decent defense and can help the offense.

     

    While I agree you can't teach speed and arm strength teaching someone how to hit is no easy task either. Ask Bechtold, Pearson and Celestino.  Lot's of players never learn to do it well enough to make it.  Even guys with excellent approaches have trouble I'm thinking Lamonte Wade.  I just think that guys with better hit tools have a greater chance to make it because offense is so important.  Defense can only take you so far.  If you can't hit you can't move up.  If you can't move up you can't make it.  Hit tool is the most important thing then defense\athleticism.

    Edited by Dman
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    Baseball America on Casey Legumina

     

     

     

    Legumina is a 6-foot-2, 195-pound righthander who was drafted in the 25th round by the Blue Jays in 2016 and then selected in the 35th round by the Indians in 2018. This season hasn’t gone as planned for Legumina, who moved from the bullpen to the Bulldogs’ starting rotation and pitched just 24 innings before suffering a forearm strain. The righthander has a sound delivery and good arm speed, dialing his fastball up to 96 mph before being sidelined by the arm injury.
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    A good swing is basically all that matters.  You can have all the athleticism in the world and if you can't hit the ball you are a black hole on offense.  You don't need a ton of athleticism to play 1st, 3rd, Left field, DH and maybe even 2nd Base.  You can hide that if you find guys that hit.  Arraez is a good example.  He has no above average tools except his bat and yet he is more valuable than say a Pedro Floriman type player who has good speed, good arm, good defense but a horrible bat.  Arraez can still play decent defense and can help the offense.

     

    While I agree you can't teach speed and arm strength teaching someone how to hit is no easy task either. Ask Bechtold, Pearson and Celestino.  Lot's of players never learn to do it well enough to make it.  Even guys with excellent approaches have trouble I'm thinking Lamonte Wade.  I just think that guys with better hit tools have a greater chance to make it because offense is so important.  Defense can only take you so far.  If you can't hit you can't move up.  If you can't move up you can't make it.  Hit tool is the most important thing then defense\athleticism.

    But wouldn't having a great hit tool qualify as athleticism?  It might not be the traditional "measurables" gospel, but as I posted above I'm very happy with the new direction of the Twins org.  To get to my point; it seems analytics have started to redefine the definition of athleticism.

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