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  • Will Twins Address Their Most Glaring Weakness?


    Nick Nelson

    With the trade deadline approaching and the Twins firmly in the mix, much talk has surrounded the need for bullpen upgrades, and rightfully so. Recently we looked at some potentially available relievers that could help that unit.

    However, if the Twins want to address their greatest weakness, both now and going forward, they're going to have to make a bolder and more aggressive move.

    Image courtesy of Benny Sieu, USA Today

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    After going 0-for-8 this weekend against the A's, Kurt Suzuki is hitting .227/.283/.303 for a .585 OPS that ranks 14th out of 15 MLB catchers with 250+ plate appearances. The only lower mark belongs to Mike Zunino, who at least offers some upside as a 24-year-old former top draft pick with big minor league numbers.

    There's no such hidden promise with Suzuki. He is what he is: a very competent backup catcher who has been holding onto a starting role, based on a good first half in 2014, and a lack of viable alternatives.

    That lack of alternatives is the deep issue at play here. Because while the Twins don't desperately need to replace Suzuki at this moment – he can be hidden at the bottom of the lineup and mostly holds his own defensively – it's a clear spot where they need to get better going forward. And unlike shortstop, where Danny Santana's struggles are rendered less perturbing by the presence of names like Jorge Polanco and Nick Gordon in the system, the cupboard here is bare. The organization's depth at catcher is dreadfully thin.

    The Twins have tried Chris Herrmann and Eric Fryer as backups for Suzuki this year. Both are fringe major-league talents. Josmil Pinto, who was a hopeful successor behind the plate, lacks strong receiving skills and now has been battling concussion symptoms for most of the season, so he's basically out of the mix.

    Looking deeper into the system, you won't find much. Stuart Turner, who at No. 17 was the only backstop to rank among our Top 20 Twins prospects before the season, has a .577 OPS at Double-A. Mitch Garver, who showed some good signs in Cedar Rapids last year, has stalled out at Ft. Myers.

    The Twins need a long-term answer at the position and they're not going to find it from within, at least not for several years, so trading for a quality young catcher with some team control makes an awful lot of sense. It is something that could be addressed during the offseason, but pulling off a deal now would have the obvious added bonus of boosting their chances down the stretch this year.

    The problem is that acquiring such a player is a pricy proposition, particularly under the seller-friendly circumstances of the trade deadline. Young catchers with two-way skills are highly valued, with good reason. They are hard to find and they are major assets.

    Still, here are three players that I would target:

    Jonathan Lucroy - Brewers

    He's very appealing, for many reasons. He's under 30. He's a very good hitter who can be slotted into the middle of the lineup when healthy. He is considered strong defensively and is rated very highly by pitch-framing metrics. And best of all, he is under team control for 2016 and 2017 for less than $10 million – a tremendous value.

    Of course, for all those reasons and especially the latter, the Brewers will be very reluctant to trade Lucroy even though they're hopelessly out of contention. If he could be pried away for any prospect package that doesn't include Buxton, Sano or Berrios, Terry Ryan would have to pull the trigger. However, I'm doubtful that Milwaukee will be amenable, especially since they lack an MLB-ready replacement for Lucroy.

    Derek Norris - Padres

    Like Lucroy, Norris is a fairly young catcher with some offensive chops who could stick around for a while. Just 26, he is not eligible for free agency until 2018. San Diego might be a little more open to dealing, however, since they have a potential successor in place. Austin Hedges is one of their top prospects and is already up in the majors backing up Norris. Would a package built around, say, Oswaldo Arcia and Alex Meyer do the trick?

    Andrew Susac - Giants

    Here's a sneaky option. Susac is presently Buster Posey's backup in San Francisco, but many believe he has the stuff to start. A former second-round draft pick, he was rated as a Top 100 prospect prior to this year by both Baseball America and Baseball Prospectus, has smashed Double-A and Triple-A pitching, and has an impressive .752 OPS in 218 big-league plate appearances.

    The Giants might have their own plans for Susac – no one expects Posey to stay at catcher forever – but if they were blown away by an offer they'd have to consider it.

    None of these three players would be easy to land. It would surely mean parting with multiple high-end young talents, and that's a tough pill for a rebuilding team to swallow. But if the Twins want to make the leap to the next level, sooner or later they'll need to address their situation behind the plate.

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    It's thoroughly ridiculous, but at least one of those players would probably be a headliner in an actual Lucroy trade.

     

    Unlike the Twins Daily proposals, which seemingly all start with Arcia these days, or Plouffe if we're lucky.

     

    (In fairness, the most unrealistic trade proposals here seem to come from the least frequent / less veteran members.  If only there was a filter that could detect outlandish trade proposals and block those posts...)

     

    While it certainly would include at least of them, the idea of all of them is beyond ludicrous. 

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    Well, remember when we were shopping Johan?  The speculation about the haul we were going to receive go pretty out of hand, pretty quickly.

     

    Any realistic return on that deal was bound to be disappointing by the time the hype was in full bloom.

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    It's thoroughly ridiculous, but at least one of those players would probably be a headliner in an actual Lucroy trade.

     

    Unlike the Twins Daily proposals, which seemingly all start with Arcia these days, or Plouffe if we're lucky.

     

    (In fairness, the most unrealistic trade proposals here seem to come from the least frequent / less veteran members.  If only there was a filter that could detect outlandish trade proposals and block those posts...)

    And yet, the fantasy-league type proposals made on these boards aren't that far off from actual trade negotiations between GM's. Lucas Giolito for Lucas Harrell was an actual proposal by Luhnow last year.

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    Call me crazy, but I have never bought into Lucroy fully. I think he is a very nice catcher, but isn't going to ever be the offensive beast he was last year, which is probably the value the Brewers will be asking for.

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    And yet, the fantasy-league type proposals made on these boards aren't that far off from actual trade negotiations between GM's. Lucas Giolito for Lucas Harrell was an actual proposal by Luhnow last year.

    Perhaps, but I think this is a slight mischaracterization.  That wasn't a proposal by Luhnow, it was a "a headliner like Giolito" mentioned in response to an inquiry on Harrell.

     

    Hard to say what it was exactly, without more context -- maybe Luhnow knew Washington was looking to get Harrell basically for free (he was struggling) but Luhnow wasn't interested in giving him away yet, and was just trying to use the opportunity to spark a larger deal discussion, maybe not even for Giolito but a lesser Washington prospect who could still fit his term "headliner."  Heck, Giolito was just 9 innings into his pro career at that point, maybe they were just trying to gauge how Washington saw his value.

     

    Interestingly, 5 days after telling Baltimore that a Bud Norris deal was unlikely without Dylan Bundy, the Astros traded Bud Norris to Baltimore for much, much less than Dylan Bundy.  So who really knows how actual deals start and end.

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