Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Where's the Weakness?


    Cody Christie

    Most of Twins Territory is riding high with the Twins remarkable start to the season. Minnesota’s offense looks like it is one of the best in the league. The starting staff is outperforming most expectations and the bullpen has been able to hold its own. With the best record in the AL, the Twins are making it tough to be negative.

    However, there are some weaknesses with this team. Which weakness could hurt the team in the long run?

    Image courtesy of Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    The Offense

    Minnesota’s offense has ranked as one of the best in the league. There are few weaknesses from top to bottom in the line-up. The Twins rank second in the AL in batting average, SLG, OPS, home runs, and hits. They have also scored the most runs and hit the most doubles.

    Of regular starters, Marwin Gonzalez has the lowest OPS on the team (.722) and he got off to a slow start. He ended the first month of the season hitting .167/.244/.256 with three extra-base hits. Since the calendar turned to May, he is hitting .358/.427/.552 with seven extra-base hits. Minnesota’s biggest offensive weakness this season has turned it around.

    Yesterday, I wrote about the team’s trend of barreling up the ball. Minnesota’s catching core has been unreal at putting the barrel on the ball. As one would expect, Nelson Cruz ranks near the top of the league. Other players like CJ Cron and Byron Buxton have also made some stark improvements.

    Minnesota’s offense was expected to improve but this has to be beyond the wildest dreams of most fans.

    The Starting Staff

    Even with a strong offense, a poor starting staff can destroy a season. Twins starting pitchers have outperformed many of the expectations entering the season. Coming off an All-Star season, most people knew what to expect from Jose Berrios. The rest of the staff has also gone above and beyond.

    Jake Odorizzi’s 1.6 WAR ranks him fourth in the AL among pitchers. He has the second-best ERA, the fourth best hits per 9 IP, and the seventh best WHIP. His ERA is almost 1.5 runs lower than his career mark. Earlier this month, he won the AL Player of the Week and he has continued to perform well.

    Martin Perez has also been a breath of fresh air. Since joining the rotation, he has a 2.01 ERA and a 41 to 13 strikeout to walk ratio in seven starts. This spring with the help of Odorizzi and Johan Santana, he was able to start developing a cutter. He uses this more than his other pitches and teams are having a tough time figuring it out.

    Kyle Gibson and Michael Pineda have seen some ups and downs. Pineda is in his first season back from Tommy John, so some struggles were expected. Even with the struggles, Pineda has produced quality starts in his last three starts.

    Depth at the back end of the rotation could be a weakness. If one of the top three starters were to be hurt or start underperforming, the rest of the rotation could struggle. Stephen Gonsalves, Kohl Stewart, Lewis Thorpe, and Zack Littell are waiting in Rochester. Could they be trusted taking over a spot in the rotation?

    The Bullpen

    At this point in the season, the casual fan might consider the bullpen to be the team’s greatest weakness. Most of this thought process comes from the team having a non-traditional bullpen. There is no designated closer and four different players have earned saves this season.

    Blake Parker, Ryne Harper, Matt Magill and Taylor Rogers all have ERA’s of 1.80 or less. Trevor May has made the most appearances out of the bullpen. Even though he has allowed eight earned runs in 18 IP, he has 17 strikeouts. Manager Rocco Baldelli has been able to turn to most of these pitchers with confidence in any situation.

    Trevor Hildenberger, a key component of the 2017 team, struggled through the beginning of the season. In 14 innings, he allowed 13 earned runs and it seemed like his breaking pitch wasn’t doing what he wanted it to do. He is down in Rochester trying to work through some of his struggles. Adalberto Mejia was another player that struggled (11 earned runs in 11.1 IP), but he is now on the injury list.

    Fernando Romero has been transitioning to a bullpen role between the MLB and Triple-A levels. Lots of other relief pitchers have been struggling in Rochester. Maybe the switch to using the MLB baseball has impacted their numbers. Perhaps, top pitching prospect Brusdar Graterol could be used in a bullpen role later in the season.

    What do you see as the team’s biggest weakness? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.

    MORE FROM TWINS DAILY
    — Latest Twins coverage from our writers
    — Recent Twins discussion in our forums
    — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email
    — Become a Twins Daily Caretaker

     Share


    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    Featured Comments

     

    So basically he needs to win a Cy Young award? 

    I wouldn't mind a Cy Young for the young man! My point is he isn't a Verlander, Scherzer, or name your ace pitcher of the past. He's a notch or two below that level. I may be proven wrong and maybe he'll be the stopper if we're on a losing streak. The guy that stands on the mound and the opposing team hopes they can eek out a couple of runs. I guarantee that if the Yankees, Sox, Rays, Astros face Berrios they don't feel the intimidation other aces create when they're on the hill

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

     

    Depth at the back end of the rotation could be a weakness. If one of the top three starters were to be hurt or start underperforming, the rest of the rotation could struggle. Stephen Gonsalves, Kohl Stewart, Lewis Thorpe, and Zack Littell are waiting in Rochester. Could they be trusted taking over a spot in the rotation?

     

    This is probably worth it's own post here. I'm not terribly worried about these guys for a couple weeks or even if one pitcher goes down. It's a bigger issue if multiple pitchers go down for a long time, but to be fair, every team in baseball is in a similar spot... very few have even potential #1s sitting in the high minors, much less real ones... These 4 have some upside, perhaps not a ton (I still think Thorpe could be really good, but I'm losing faith on the rest), and are perfectly capable of handling things in a short stint, especially with Cleveland not keeping up.

     

    I suspect at least one of them will be packaged in a trade this summer to get help. But as the season wears on, there's less time where this is even a big deal. 

     

    Bottom line, if things continue to progress, the FO needs to be thinking about playoff rosters and not worrying as much about depth.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Or we are using different definitions. I count 10 mediocre games or worse (3+ runs or 5 innings or less). That's 70% -- the reason he was a Cy Young candidate.

     

    Are there any other aces you know of other than the best starter in the game for the past 3 years? Seems to me the rest of the league is a big drop off from Scherzer. A drop off to, what, ~60% by this definition maybe?

    Scherzer gave up 3+ earned runs exactly once, and went less than 6 innings exactly once. Might be time to recheck your math.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    I think, looking forward towards the playoffs, they need guys on the mound that can be given the ball and intimidate the other team. So I have 1A and 1B as "weaknesses" but it's probably better defined as places the team should look to upgrade.

     

    1A - go get a big game starting pitcher. MadBum would be my preference, but I highly doubt he would sign an extension. So I would put Greinke high on the list too.

     

    Or if we want to get crazy? What if the Nats go sell-mode? Scherzer is too much probably, but a guy can dream, right?

     

    1B - a reliever you can throw in and trust they can get anyone out. I'm sure we can peruse the league and find some options, but think Andrew Miller and the Indians.

    Scherzer has been on my mind for a while now.

     

    Washington isnt going anywhere. Push hard for Scherzer. That moves everyone down in the rotation, and maybe Pineda becomes a weapon in the pen.

     

    Go big or go home.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

     

    Scherzer has been on my mind for a while now.

    Washington isnt going anywhere. Push hard for Scherzer. That moves everyone down in the rotation, and maybe Pineda becomes a weapon in the pen.

    Go big or go home.

     

    His contract is totally reasonable and not a challenge for this team to absorb.  Berrios and Scherzer match up with anyone.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    The weakness definitely isn't in the defense. I think that's something that's really getting overlooked. According to FanGraphs, we have the top ranked defense by a large margin. Especially in the outfield, Buxton is 1st in cf in majors, Kepler is 3rd in majors in rf and 1st in al, and Rosario is 2nd in majors and al.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites




    Join the conversation

    You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
    Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

    Guest
    Add a comment...

    ×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

      Only 75 emoji are allowed.

    ×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

    ×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

    ×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

    Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...