Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • What's Going On In The AL Central?


    Matt Braun

    Well, believe it or not, we're almost halfway through this strange season. The Twins have performed at about the same level as most people expected but how about the rest of the AL Central? It's very difficult to keep track of a number of teams at once, so allow me to walk you through what else is going on in the AL Central

    Image courtesy of © David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Shane Bieber is Now a Certified Problem

    The young right-hander has made his way to the very top of the pitching mountain despite being merely a prospect just two short years ago. His 2019 campaign was solid but his 2020 season so far has been nothing short of eye-popping dominance. How terrifying.

    Bieber has been off and running to begin the season as he has punched out 42.9% of hitters he has faced so far. That is insane. Throw in the fact that his walk rate hasn’t budged away from his career average and his FIP is a hilarious 2.11 to begin the season. You know how many qualified starters had a lower FIP in 2019? None, not a soul. Not even the best efforts of guys like Max Scherzer, Jacob deGrom, or Gerrit Cole could reach such a level.

    His improvements are tangible as well. His fastball velocity is up a tick from 93.1 to 94.1. He’s added a new cutter to go along with his slider and curve and hitters just can't figure him out (19.8% swinging strike rate!!). It’s safe to wonder if he can continue to be this dominant but it certainly seems like he has taken another step forward. Oh, and he’s only a free agent after 2025. Strap in, Twins fans.

    The Royals Bullpen is… Good?

    Look, I’m just as surprised as you are on this one. The Royals were shaping up to be anything but the word “good” in 2020 but have gotten an unexpected boost from their relievers early in the season.

    The Royals had two interesting names last year in Scott Barlow and Ian Kennedy who had FIPs of 3.41 and 2.99 respectively in 2019. A house built with two bricks is hardly a foundation, however. Just two guys can’t carry a bullpen no matter how hard they try. Now they have Josh Staumont, a reliever throwing 98 and striking out 44.2% of hitters. Also in the fold is the ghost of Greg Holland past and a revamped Trevor Rosenthal. An odd, yet effective mixture of Guys to Remember.

    So far, the Royals have rode these Guys to the 10th best bullpen ERA in baseball. The Twins will only have to deal with the squad for one more weekend but will likely have to at least endure the tyranny of Barlow and Staumont for years to come. If the Royals can also prove that these advancements are a result of a revamped development system then the Twins will have to worry about another team in their division potentially taking the next step forward. But that’s a future problem to worry about. We hope.

    These Tigers Can Hit, Apparently

    This one can also be filed under “stuff that makes no sense” or most likely just “small sample shenanigans” (we have a lot of filing cabinets). Anyways, the Tigers offense is off to a great start according to a number of Statcast measures.

    For hard hit%, the Tigers are 1st in all of baseball at 44.1%. For average exit velocity, they are 7th at 89.2%. For Barrels per batted ball event, they are 11th at 8.0%. All of these metrics are better than the Twins, for the record.

    It’s fair to lean towards being suspicious of these numbers because, well, name a Tigers hitter not named Miguel Cabrera or Jonathan Schoop, but this entire season is going to be weird anyways. A great Tigers offense would show the difference between a team performing well and a team actually being good. But maybe they can get away with it for the rest of the season. There’s only about a month's worth of regular season games left anyways and much stranger stuff has happened before.

    Those White Sox Are Up To Something

    The White Sox were pegged as “the breakout team” in 2020 by just about every single writer to exist. It was hard to fully disagree with that prediction. They just backed up the dump truck of money for guys like Dallas Keuchel and Yasmani Grandal and had a number of big prospects like Luis Robert who were on the verge of making the majors.

    So far, the results have been solid. The White Sox find themselves at 15-11 and in a great position to take advantage of the expanded postseason. As a team, they’re hitting to the tune of a 110 wRC+ (7th best in baseball) and they’re pitching to the tune of a 4.16 ERA (13th best in baseball). It seems logical that such rankings combine for a record above .500.

    What’s the secret? The aforementioned Keuchel along with Lucas Giolito have been a dynamically effective 1-2 punch and the übermensch uber-prospect, Luis Robert, has been as good as advertised. The White Sox will likely be able to make the playoffs and I personally look forward to hating on them for the immediate future.

    MORE FROM TWINS DAILY
    — Latest Twins coverage from our writers
    — Recent Twins discussion in our forums
    — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email
    — Become a Twins Daily Caretaker

     Share

     Share


    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments

    Featured Comments

    I simply do not understand how Detroit can go from arguably the worst hitting team in the majors to top 5. I'm baffled.

     

    The White Sox of now seem like the White Sox of years past: very top heavy with a lot of holes. A promising young core though.

     

    And I fear no man, but that Bieber? He terrifies me. 

     

     

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    I hate to always do this(no I don't) but somebody has to. First of all, I know they are playing good against the Pirates, Tigers and White Sox, but IMHO Cleveland is a soon to be train wreck. As soon as they left town they ran off some wins against the weaklings in their schedule. I would argue that Milwaukee and Kansas City will give them major problems when they see them. And they will. Also the stunts that Plesac and Clevinger pulled just reinforces my belief that those guys think they are so good that they dont have to follow simple team protocols. I dont care how good you are or you think you are being a great teammate is a requirement. Francona may be able to hold it together but I am sure i just heard he had some kind of intestinal surgery. Brad Mills, his bench coach opted out so that to me leaves their leadership in a huge question mark. I don't need to quote on their lineup or Lindor's situation.

    Last time I checked the Royals were running two recently AA guys out there (Bubic & Singer) that may get you a few wins at first but with everyone playing only each other in this Central Division brotherhood they will get exposed. Although their lineup looks good to even me lets not forget they lost like 103 games with the same dudes except for Franco, and Perez who was injured. Their pen was hot when we faced them the first time but it was a different story the second series. The pen cant help you if you dont have a lead.

    As far as Chicago, well they are what I knew they were. A pretty good offensive team that loses their focus too much and two mediocre veteran starters with a bunch of question marks in the other 3 slots. I dont think their defense is worth mentioning except for the fact that it does cost them. Yes. I am saying that Giolito is not all that. He is the White Sox Berrios. Great sometimes but most of the time who the hell knows? I still think they need a new manager over there because those dudes hit one home run and celebrate like its the 7th game of the World Series. Its a culture thing.

    Detroit, well it is a great story that they have had a great start but really? Its a 60 game season not 25 and if they go .500 I swear I will eat my Max Kepler powder blue jersey. Cj Cron just went down for the year and he was a big reason for their success anyways. God Bless you Gardenhire. Billy Martin would be in jail if he ever got handed a crew like that.

    Bottom line is....and we all know it too, is make sure everyone is 100% healthy for the tournament, and stay the course. There is no way we dont make the playoffs and once we do, if everyone is healthy I like our chances. If we were 17-9 in a 162 game season you wouldn't be that excited but you would sure take it. The difference is that the teams that are under .500 are going oh $h-t we are running out of time. By next week we will be half way to the Tournament of Champions and I like where we are.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    To me, Cleveland remains dangerous in the short term...but I'm not convinced on the longer term. KC just still has such a long way to go with regard to offense. Detroit's a long, long way away.

     

    Then, there's the white sox. Chicago's positional core of Tim Anderson, Yoan Moncada, Eloy Jimenez, and Luis Robert are already...arguably...better than the Twins oft-cited core of Polanco, Sano, Kepler, and Buxton. The average age of those 4 Sox players is 24. And it's not like the White Sox prospect cupboard has been completely depleted. It hasn't been. Guys like Andrew Vaughn, Nick Madrigal, and Michael Kopech could prove to be nice pieces. And guys like Grandal, Abreu, and Keuchel will remain good pieces to have around.

     

    Twins are more well-rounded and have more quality depth on the major-league roster. But it's easy to see that a couple of the Twins next wave of prospects need to be good, real good, for the Twins to be in favorable position to stay a step ahead of the Sox looking at the next 5 seasons or so.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites



    Join the conversation

    You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
    Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

    Guest
    Add a comment...

    ×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

      Only 75 emoji are allowed.

    ×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

    ×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

    ×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

    Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...