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  • What if the Minnesota Twins Go All In on Offense?


    Matthew Taylor

    The Minnesota Twins' need for starting pitching has been well-documented, but what if the Twins pivoted and went all-in on offense?

    Image courtesy of John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports

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    The Minnesota Twins have long struggled to acquire top-end starting pitching. This was the case with prior Twins’ front offices and has been the case under Falvey/Levine’s leadership. Whether it is because of injuries (Kenta Maeda) or poor evaluation (J.A. Happ), betting on starting pitchers is extremely risky as the Twins have seen play out season after season.

    After getting largely shut out from the first wave of free agent starting pitchers, the Twins have now found themselves in a spot where they need to sign Carlos Rodón, trade for starting pitching (they shouldn’t), or be in for another long season with a better shot of fighting for the number one pick in the draft than a playoff spot.

    But what if there is another direction that the Twins could go? What if the Twins went all in on offense?

    While there is a shortage of impact starting pitching left on the free agency market, there are no shortage of bats. This surplus of bats on the market could present an opportunity for the Twins to pivot, settle for back-of-the-rotation arms, and instead go heavy on bats to bolster up what is already a strength of the Minnesota Twins. Names like Trevor Story, Kris Bryant, Nicolas Castellanos, and Michael Conforto are all all-star bats and are all still available as free agents.

    Not only is there a nice supply of big bats left on the free agent market, but the Twins have a need to fill multiple holes in their lineup as well, including shortstop, outfield and (potentially) designated hitter.

    The Minnesota Twins committed to Byron Buxton this offseason with a seven year contract. Additionally, the Twins have the young bats of Alex Kirilloff, Trevor Larnach, Royce Lewis and Austin Martin ready to contribute for the next decade as well. An intriguing path for the Minnesota Twins to take would be for them to sign even more bats, completely lean into their offense and take on the identity of a bat-first team that will out-hit all of its opponents for years to come.

    Assuming that the Twins have $55M to spend this offseason, they would have the funds to bring in two superstar bats this offseason like Trevor Story and Kris Bryant. They could then fill out the rest of their team with fringe starting pitching, or trade Max Kepler and a marginal prospect for a moldable arm.

    Yes, this would leave the Twins with quite the shaky starting rotation, but with a lineup core of Trevor Story, Kris Bryant, Byron Buxton, and Alex Kirilloff, on top of Josh Donaldson, Luis Arraez and Jorge Polanco. John Bonnes could be pitching for the Minnesota Twins and they’d be in good shape with that potent lineup. 

    I mean..just look at this team:

    BeA7h1g6gn72z7YC_BpDCTicGqfDNrJCmSMHCmlXaQTleGoM0ijRgr354DK1zlPtLLZJOrODXug_AbtFdzR_3Rz0NajiHF-Xo6hCuizz4ZmZw1-BR1fhSjESUkIOG_rtSunYbneq
    You hear about football teams that take on an offensive identity and out-score their opponents in order to win games, but you hardly find that in baseball. The Twins are in a position that they could go all in on offense and outscore the rest of the league by producing fireworks all Summer at Target Field.

    What do you think? 

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    Call me crazy, but I don't like spending big money on FA pitchers.  They're too unpredictable, and one injury can make them pretty much out of commission for a year or two.  Teams like the Twins are going to have a tough time recouping that production.  Position players are far less volatile, and are a much better bet to give you want you paid for.  This strategy only works if you develop pitching, though, and that has been tough for MN.  They will need for two of their top pitching prospects to hit in short order.  I say roll the dice and see what happens.

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