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  • Versatile Goodrum Gets September Call


    Seth Stohs

    Last year, following an injury-plagued season at AA Chattanooga, Niko Goodrum could have become a six-year minor league free agent. Instead, he quickly signed on to remain with the Twins for another year on a minor league contract.

    On Wednesday night following a game in Rochester, Goodrum learned that it was all worth it. He was told that he is heading to the Minnesota Twins as a September call up. He will fly to Minneapolis on Thursday and be in uniform on Friday.

    Joining Goodrum as September 1st callups will be left-handed pitchers Nik Turley and Buddy Boshers.

    Image courtesy of Seth Stohs, Twins Daily (photo of Niko Goodrum)

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    To entice Goodrum to stick around, the Twins offered him an invitation to major league spring training. He spent about a month with the club this spring, playing sparingly, but learning from the big league coaches and players. He fought a little shoulder issue in camp, but he hit .375 (6-16) and impressed his manager.

    Molitor spoke well of Goodrum following a spring game the day that he was sent back to minor league camp.

    “Niko Goodrum had a shoulder issue midway through camp, but he showed versatility. I really encouraged him to embrace that rather than wondering why he can't find a position because it has value and can open more doors for him. He showed some things."

    “Versatile” is the key word, and it is the reason that Goodrum will be up right away in September rather than finish out the Red Wings season. With the Red Wings, he has played games at each position except pitcher and catcher this season. He’s started 47 game in right field, 37 games at second base, 20 games at third base, 15 games in center field, nine games at shortstop, three games at first base, and one game in left field.

    I asked him in spring training if he ever considered getting a catcher’s mitt. “No!” Goodrum announced emphatically.

    Goodrum will be part of a “first wave” of players coming up from the minor leagues as September call ups to bolster a team fighting with the Yankees, Angels, Mariners and others for two wild card spots.

    As Derek Falvey explained it. “We’ll have a few come Friday. The question is always if it’s beneficial to get at-bats every day or pitch more regularly rather than being the last guy up here. You can always go get somebody. We’ll have a first wave, and then we’ll make other decisions pending results in Rochester.”

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    Goodrum was signed as the team’s second-round pick in 2010 out of high school near Atlanta, Georgia. His uncle, Otis Nixon, stole 37 bases for the Twins in 1998.

    Goodrum is an incredible athlete, but he was quite raw in baseball terms. He has been moved through the system accordingly. He spent his draft season in the GCL before spending two seasons in extended spring training and with the Elizabethton Twins.

    He was the primary shortstop on that talented 2013 Cedar Rapids team and moved up to Ft. Myers for the 2014 season. He split 2015 between the Miracle and Chattanooga.

    Last year, he started the season with a foot injury that cost him much of the first half. But when he returned, he posted an .808 OPS with the Lookouts.

    In scouting circles, there is a reason to take great athletes. Goodrum fits into that category. He’s tall, and when drafted, he was thin. He was always fast, and he could play a pretty good shortstop. He is blessed with a strong arm. His speed has allowed him to become a pretty good outfielder as well as he has played out there more in recent years.

    Scouts would often talk about Goodrum’s “high waist” with the idea that he would eventually add more power. The started to show last year, but this year, he has hit 25 doubles, five triples and 13 home runs in his first season in AAA.

    Goodrum will have family at the game. His mom and dad, his dad’s wife, his aunt, and his girlfriend will make the trip.

    In the offseason, he owns Elite Metro Sports and Cages, a baseball and softball facility in his hometown of Fayetteville, Georgia. The indoor facilities and batting cages are open year-round. Goodrum is there during his offseasons and enjoys being able to give back to his community. His dad, Tim, operates the business.

    Goodrum will likely be used in a utility role over the season’s final month. With the news that Byron Buxton will not need to go on the disabled list and could soon play, Zack Granite will likely be the team’s fourth outfielder, but Goodrum’s ability to play seven positions will allow Molitor to mix and match lineups and moves throughout games.

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    Here are some important numbers regarding Goodrum:

     

    .333/.388/.464 Goodrum's slash line against LHPs with 1:2 BB:K ratio (138 AB)
    .235/.275/.409 Goodrum's line against RHPs with 1:5.5 BB:K ratio (323 AB)

     

    Twins 2017 against LHP:

     

    Kepler: .131/.202/.172
    Vargas: .185/.262/.296 

     

    Adrianza: .243/.268/.351 

     

    Escobar: .250/.320/.402 
    Rosario: .288/.300/.424

     

    So Goodrum can slot in at the DH or 1B spot instead of Vargas when a lefty starts and at the OF instead of Kepler, without dealing with situations like having Adrianza (who is not hitting lefties well either) start.  And his versatility can allow him to PH for pretty much anyone necessary if they pop a LHP later in the game, esp. when the Twins are trailing. 

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    the evidence is the huge, vast, nearly every, player that makes AAA does not turn into a good MLB player. There is no "I think" here, that's just the simple math.

     

    Yes. Let's do some more simple math. How many guys who have an OPS+ of 89 over two seasons and 88 for a career have their spot cemented when they're making $2 million? How many of them have people defending them based on their performance? Going from AAA to the MLB level is an adjustment, no doubt. But it's way more likely that that player adjusts than that a 30 year old utility infielder suddenly overcoming a half decade of evidence that he's a subpar player.

     

    I can't believe this is even a point of contention. Look at Escobar's numbers. They are terrible. Get someone else in, he can hardly do worse.

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    Here are some important numbers regarding Goodrum:

     

    .333/.388/.464 Goodrum's slash line against LHPs with 1:2 BB:K ratio (138 AB)
    .235/.275/.409 Goodrum's line against RHPs with 1:5.5 BB:K ratio (323 AB)

     

    Twins 2017 against LHP:

     

    Kepler: .131/.202/.172
    Vargas: .185/.262/.296 

     

    Adrianza: .243/.268/.351 

     

    Escobar: .250/.320/.402 
    Rosario: .288/.300/.424

     

    So Goodrum can slot in at the DH or 1B spot instead of Vargas when a lefty starts and at the OF instead of Kepler, without dealing with situations like having Adrianza (who is not hitting lefties well either) start.  And his versatility can allow him to PH for pretty much anyone necessary if they pop a LHP later in the game, esp. when the Twins are trailing. 

     

    That's nice data. This still puts Escobar playing everyday at 3B. That's not ideal, he's not particularly good. I'd rather bet on Goodrum at 3B and keep Kepler in the OF. It's at least better defensively.

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    Twins 2017 against LHP:

     

    Kepler: .131/.202/.172
    Vargas: .185/.262/.296 

     

    Adrianza: .243/.268/.351 

     

    Escobar: .250/.320/.402 
    Rosario: .288/.300/.424

     

     

    Three righties this weekend against KC. Thank you Jebus. With Sano out, I cringe every time we face a lefty. I'm sick of watching Vargas strike out and Escobar look overmatched.

     

    I like giving AB to Kepler - he's going to have to hit LHP at some point or else he's a platoon OF. I have higher hopes for the young man.

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    Yes. Let's do some more simple math. How many guys who have an OPS+ of 89 over two seasons and 88 for a career have their spot cemented when they're making $2 million? How many of them have people defending them based on their performance? Going from AAA to the MLB level is an adjustment, no doubt. But it's way more likely that that player adjusts than that a 30 year old utility infielder suddenly overcoming a half decade of evidence that he's a subpar player.

     

    I can't believe this is even a point of contention. Look at Escobar's numbers. They are terrible. Get someone else in, he can hardly do worse.

     

    This is just factually wrong - it's actually very easy to be worse than Escobar. Of batters with 250+ PAs this year, he is 221/278 in RC+, and most of those players are everyday regulars, not utility guys. And when you narrow the focus to infielders, Escobar is around middle of the pack.

     

    Goodrum is a league-average hitter in AAA, which projects him to be way below average in the Majors, and his defense is basically an unknown. I mean, he's a utility player in AAA

     

    Escobar is almost certainly better now and in the near future. How material the difference is . . . that's a different question. 

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    Here are some important numbers regarding Goodrum:

     

    .333/.388/.464 Goodrum's slash line against LHPs with 1:2 BB:K ratio (138 AB)
    .235/.275/.409 Goodrum's line against RHPs with 1:5.5 BB:K ratio (323 AB)

     

    Twins 2017 against LHP:

     

    Kepler: .131/.202/.172
    Vargas: .185/.262/.296 

     

    Adrianza: .243/.268/.351 

     

    Escobar: .250/.320/.402 
    Rosario: .288/.300/.424

     

    So Goodrum can slot in at the DH or 1B spot instead of Vargas when a lefty starts and at the OF instead of Kepler, without dealing with situations like having Adrianza (who is not hitting lefties well either) start.  And his versatility can allow him to PH for pretty much anyone necessary if they pop a LHP later in the game, esp. when the Twins are trailing. 

    Kepler isn't going to improve vs LHP if he doesn't face them.  I'm not willing to define a 24 year old as a platoon player.  

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    This year, Goodrum might be an extra piece who gets some starts against LH pitching. If he shows himself to be satisfactory, I think it means the exit of either Arianza or Escobar, most likely Escobar. The Twins stand to have only one utility infielder next year, if Goodrum were in Rochester with an option. Any injury to a position player other than a catcher and Goodrum could get the call to replace that player.

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    I disagree. I love Escobar as much as anyone else but we all overstate his awesomeness. We love the guy and remember the big hits but it doesn’t hold up when you look at his stats.

    His OPS with the Twins is .692. His OPS+ is 88 during that span. Last year his OPS+ was 67, this year it is all the way up to 89. He has two seasons where he was just above a 100 OPS+ but that was three and four years ago - he’s pretty clearly past his prime as he enters his age 30 season since he’s not even a replacement level player. It is ludicrous that Escobar has been the cleanup hitter for the Twins of late – there should be more outrage about this. He’s Nick Punto-esque with the bat but even Nicky never batted cleanup.

    Defensively, he’s nothing special as a SS and is pretty awful in the OF – emergency at best. He’s a fine 2B and 3B but Adrianza is better at all of the positions than Escobar.

    We need to look at the minors to compare him to Niko. Escobar’s minor league track record shows a .688 OPS in AAA and .670 in AA. By contrast, Goodrum put up a .763 OPS in AA and .734 in AAA. He played 15 games in CF in AAA and 62 in the OF and thus seems likely to be a better backup OF. He’s also played all over the infield – and again, Adrianza is the first defensive sub in the IF.

    Outside of leadership/clubhouse factors (and we all are sick of Gimenez getting the benefit of the doubt for those so that should mean little) there’s almost no reason to play Escobar over Goodrum going forward this year, let alone next year. Escobar is not a good MLB player and he is 29. Goodrum is four years younger, is more versatile in the field and seems likely to hit better based on equivalent track records. Plus he’ll be way cheaper – Escobar is about to get a bump up in arbitration.

    I love Escobar but no way should he be on the Twins next year. Goodrum is better in every way. The argument really should be whether the Twins carry a utility guy like Goodrum or a bigger bench bat like Vargas (ugh) or Palka.

    Fun fact: Escobar has a career MLB OPS (.690) that is only marginally lower than Goodrum's MiLB OPS (.712).

     

    Goodrum is 25 years old and getting a September cup of coffee. Escobar was in the majors at age 22 or 23.

     

    Goodrum is not better in every way. Maybe you think the $4.5m-ish saved by replacing Escobar is more valuable than the gap of play between the two players but Goodrum is not the offensive equal of Escobar, much less superior.

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    Niko Goodrum hasn't established himself, that is obvious with only six at-bats. He's gotten his name in BB Reference and earned free health care. If he shows enough the rest of this season, he could push Escobar out the door. First and foremost, he would give the Twins the roster flexibility to carry only one utility infielder. Goodrum would have options and could fill in if any position player other than a catcher were disabled. With Adrianza profiling as more of the traditional utility infielder (good glove, good wheels, switch hitter) and the three starters all being more bat-first players, I think he is a good fit as the primary utility infielder. That pushes Escobar out the door.

     

    Niko Goodrum isn't better than Eduardo Escobar and might never be. Esco is a pretty good player, but he's never been able to establish himself as a major league regular in almost six years. However, he has already hit 15 homers in less than 400 plate appearances and figures to be the regular third baseman perhaps for the rest of the season. Goodrum and Escobar are similar in some respects, with more power than traditional utility guys and positional flexibility. Goodrum also would save the Twins $3M, not to be ignored. Finally, Goodrum is a more established outfielder than certainly Escobar and probably Adrianza.

     

    The Twins would also have to make the decision that Sanó could play third 140 games. He hasn't been able to in his first 2.5 seasons. If they don't believe Miggy can make it through a whole season at third, they probably will keep Esco as an insurance policy.

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