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  • Twins Tidbit: The Transformation of Nick Gordon


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    Nick Gordon entered his sophomore season in 2022 as a hopeful for a utility role. There were even days where he looked like a candidate to be designated for assignment in a roster crunch early in the season. Now he's planted himself firmly in the every day lineup while showing some power to all fields. Where did this come from?

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    The above graph shows the percent of Gordon's hitting outcomes over the previous 100 plate appearances as his career as progressed. The point where the data cross from his 2021 season to his 2022 season is marked with a gray vertical line. Here are the key takeaways:

    • Throughout his rookie season, Nick Gordon hit the ball on the ground. A lot. More than 50 percent of balls in play were ground balls and, for most of the season, less than 20 percent of balls were fly balls. The data show a small jump in fly balls and drop in ground balls toward the end of 2021, however. That was a sign of things to come.
    • Gordon in 2022 is an entirely different hitter. He went through a stretch of ground-ball-heavy hitting in the early part of the season, but his groundball rate has plummeted. In his last 100 plate appearances, he's hit only 37 percent ground balls.
    • His flyball rate is roughly 3 times higher in 2022 than 2021. The steady growth in this flyball rate is evident. Are fly balls good? Usually! It's difficult to get extra-base hits (and especially home runs, it turns out) when the ball is on the ground. An increase in fly balls is the reason his slugging percentage has jumped from 0.355 in 2021 to 0.431 in 2022.

    Given his slender frame, Nick Gordon looks like a slap-hitting utility man. And in 2021, that's mostly what he was. But through a drastic change in approach at the plate, Nick Gordon has transformed into a well-above-average hitter with a 116 OPS+. Maybe that lofty prospect status is starting to shine through.

     

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    Nick Gordon is athletic and has a knack for learning. We saw him improve each time he repeated a level in the minor leagues and now that he gets to repeat at the highest level we see he can manage MLB as well. The intriguing aspect regarding Gordon is that he has the athleticism to fit any number of spots and may use his experiences and improving strength to morph into the type of player envisioned back when he was chosen in Round 1. Despite being in his mid 20s, Gordon could be that guy who  blossoms as a regular player who has the skills and athleticism to produce both in the field and at the plate. I would say that the Nick Gordon Story is still developing.

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    Gordon is very promising because of his athleticism and ability to be a utility (or super-utility) player. If he was stuck at a single position, he may not have seen the opportunities that he has. He is not an amazing defender, but he is capable and can fill in almost anywhere. This, combined with a bat that seems to be ever-improving may make him a mainstay for the Twins for at least a few years. I would be extremely happy if he ends up filling a Polanco-type role as a good-hitting infielder. He may never have the power that Polanco does, but I wouldn't rule that out either. Polanco did not come up with as much power as he has shown now, and I think Gordon still has a lot of potential improvement ahead. He has been a very nice surprise this year. 

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    In 2004, the Yankees had a steady bullpen progression featuring Paul Quantrill in the 7th, followed by Tom Gordon in the 8th and Enter Sandman in the 9th.  Admittedly, the Curse of the Bambino shattered over them that October, but until then the Yankees looked poised for a seventh Anerican League pennant in nine years.

    Sons of the first two are emerging as stars as this September approaches: starting pitcher Cal Quantrill in Cleveland and Nick Gordon with the Twins.  Genetics and confidence play a role in their burgeoning talent, but Cal and Nick also have their dads' understanding of how to succeed in clutch situations with high stakes.  That's a nice intangible for this stretch run and in years to follow.

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    He's hot at the right time and that's great. I do think he's a valuable utility player but I don't expect a lot more. Especially if he struggles in IF positions.

    I hope he proves me wrong. No such thing as too many players and he's fun to watch too.

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    1 hour ago, BH67 said:

    In 2004, the Yankees had a steady bullpen progression featuring Paul Quantrill in the 7th, followed by Tom Gordon in the 8th and Enter Sandman in the 9th.  Admittedly, the Curse of the Bambino shattered over them that October, but until then the Yankees looked poised for a seventh Anerican League pennant in nine years.

    Sons of the first two are emerging as stars as this September approaches: starting pitcher Cal Quantrill in Cleveland and Nick Gordon with the Twins.  Genetics and confidence play a role in their burgeoning talent, but Cal and Nick also have their dads' understanding of how to succeed in clutch situations with high stakes.  That's a nice intangible for this stretch run and in years to follow.

    Wait...so the Twins playoff futility and the Yankees World Series futility roughly is connected to Tom Gordon...so Nick Gordon is our way of breaking the curse? Right?? (And might result in the Yankees ultimately winning a World Series soon?) ?

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    I remember Eduardo Escobar who was a utility player who progressed into an everyday player with the power to hit 25 plus home runs.   Gordon isn’t as muscular as Escobar but he is versatile and has speed.   As noted, he is developing some power too.   But maybe  the better analogy would be Cesar Tovar, who once played every position in a game.  I could see Gordon doing that, if he can play Catcher.   He has already pitched for the Twins in blow-outs. Tovar was just inducted into the Twins Hall of Fame.  

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    Gordon started off with much less impressive exit velocities as well. He's learned to adapt his swing and approach to make better contact in general, and he's put on weight. A breakdown per 100 plate appearances and how his exit velocity almost immediately jumped up. Gordon has been hitting the ball hard for a very long time. His hard hit rates increased relatively quickly, too.

    88.7 
    93.7 
    91.5
    91.1
    90.6
    92.5

    While Gordon is referred to as "slender" so is Byron Buxton. From my understanding, Gordon is 6'1" and about 180lbs right now. 180lbs is plenty for a lot of strength.

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    I was wrong about Nick Gordon. I didn’t think he would ever hit enough to be even a utility player. He has done that and more. 
     

    On the other hand, Nick isn’t really a shortstop. When Correa was on the Injured List, someone else took over shortstop duties. 

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    6 hours ago, Riverbrian said:

    If you had to choose between Gordon and Kepler. Who would you choose? 

    Nick Gordon's performance has made this a legitimate question. 

    As I've said elsewhere, I don't care much for Kepler.

    But Gordon has played 3 innings in RF in his career. He is not a right fielder.

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    1 minute ago, Shaitan said:

    As I've said elsewhere, I don't care much for Kepler.

    But Gordon has played 3 innings in RF in his career. He is not a right fielder.

    He wasn't a left fielder or centerfielder prior to becoming a left fielder and centerfielder. ? 

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    3 hours ago, Riverbrian said:

    He wasn't a left fielder or centerfielder prior to becoming a left fielder and centerfielder. ? 

    I saw that reply coming. But there's gotta be a reason they aren't putting him at RF, 1B, 3B or C. Especially with all the OF injuries this year.

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    You make a good point although, players like Gordon are like water. They fill in the low spots. 

    Not many have played RF apart from Kepler. 

    Urshela has been healthy and Miranda has been demanding AB's so 3B is pretty well covered. 

    The low spots have been LF and CF because of health issues so that is where Gordon spends the majority of his time.  

    However, Gordon has been performed well enough to ask the question... If LF and CF were healthy with Buxton and Kirilloff or whoever, Would you play Gordon over Kepler.  

    Gordon is earning that consideration, while Kepler is earning the right to be challenged for it. 

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