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  • Twins Rookie Duo Impresses While Other Teams' Top Prospects Struggle


    Cody Christie

    Alex Kirilloff and Trevor Larnach compiled notable first half performances especially considering there was no minor league season last year. What’s even more impressive is when you compare them to other top prospects.

    Image courtesy of © David Dermer-USA TODAY Sports

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    In 2020’s aftermath, organizations are going to attempt to get their prospects back on track to eventually have big-league success. Missing all the 2020 season forced teams to get creative with plans for prospect development as many players were relegated to home workout plans. Minnesota was lucky enough to have room at their alternate site for top prospects like Alex Kirilloff and Trevor Larnach and they have reaped the benefits so far this season.

    Kirilloff struggled this spring and was left off the Opening Day roster, but he has put together some strong numbers since the Twins called him up. He ended the first half with a .765 OPS and a 113 OPS+ including 20 extra-base hits. Larnach isn’t that far behind as he has compiled a .755 OPS and a 113 OPS+ with 16 extra-base hits. While these players have succeeded, other top prospects have struggled so far in their first taste of the big leagues.

    Tampa’s Wander Franco entered the season as baseball’s consensus top prospect, but things haven’t been easy for him so far. In his first 15 games, he has hit .197/.258/.328 and combined for a 67 OPS+. He just turned 20-years old in March so there is plenty of time for him to find his groove. Tampa likely hopes he finds it sooner rather than later as they are part of a tight race in the AL East.

    Seattle’s Jarred Kelenic started the year ranked as baseball’s number four prospect by Baseball America and MLB.com. He got 23 games under his belt and the results were bad enough that Seattle sent him back to Triple-A. He hit .096/.185/.193 with 26 strikeouts in 83 at-bats. He is still part of the long-term plan in Seattle and his bat seems to be getting back on track in the minors.

    Atlanta’s Cristian Pache ranked as a top-20 prospect by all three national top-100 lists. But like Franco and Kelenic, he has struggled to find his stroke in the majors. In 22 games, he has hit .111/.152/.206 with 25 strikeouts in 63 at-bats. Ronald Acuna’s season ending injury might allow him to get some more at-bats as the season progresses, but he there are some obvious areas of improvement.

    The 2021 season has been dreadful for the Twins as well as some of baseball’s top prospects. Thankfully, Kirilloff and Larnach have been forced into some situations that will be learning experiences moving forward. Even with some recent struggles, Larnach has been consistently hitting in the middle of the line-up. Kirilloff has come up with some big hits and important defensive plays. It’s a small positive in the middle of a terrible Twins campaign.

    Franco, Kelenic, and Pache may all be better players than Minnesota’s duo, but it’s clear that Kirilloff and Larnach have more than lived up to their scouting reports in the season’s first half. Now they need to continue to make adjustments to stay ahead of the rest of baseball’s top prospects.

    What have your impressions been of Minnesota’s rookie duo? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.

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    I have high hopes for our two rookies. Lots of patience. They need to demonstrate some improved smarts. Experience is the teacher. But they need to learn. I am hopeful and excited. Larnach's series against the Tigers was brutal. Let's see how he resets himself after this break.

     

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    45 minutes ago, nicksaviking said:

    Baddoo would have been behind Kirilloff, Larnach, Rooker and Celestino. His last stop before injury and COVID was Ft. Myers; even Aaron Whitefiled was in AA prior to the shut down. There's next to no chance he'd be anywhere outside of Wichita right now if Detroit hadn't selected him. 

    Call me crazy, but I'm happy for him. 

    Call me crazy but he likely would be on the Miranda path and with Buxton hurt and Celestino's bat not that great he might be our center fielder right now OPSing 800 which is better than half our current team.

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    12 hours ago, Major League Ready said:

    I would hope they would just DFA Cave if they can't find a trade partner.  Garlick's splits against LH pitching make him more valuable.  I would also keep Refsnyder or Gordon at the MLB level instead of Cave.  They are more likely to be part of the solution/future.  However, it might make sense to send Gordon to get some CF experience if they think he can become a decent CF backup.

    That is what AAA is for, not the Twins.

    If fans in the stands want to watch might-be players then they will watch the Saints; they pay for ticket to watch major league pro-ball, not AAA pro-ball.

    Larnack is not that good, he is now striking out, a lot, and in the field he has weak arm and is slow.  Kiriloff seems ready for the big show.

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    23 hours ago, HrbieFan said:

    But, bighat that posts here says that Trevor isn't any good because he has a high SO ratio after 2 months in the majors.

     

    Sidenote to the site owners. These pop up ads while you are trying to type a reply is annoying AF! Can you offer a pay option to avoid this crap? No one pays attention to these ads or clicks on them on purpose. SMH 

    The ad eliminated some off the article text and I was never able to read it.

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    8 hours ago, RpR said:

    That is what AAA is for, not the Twins.

    If fans in the stands want to watch might-be players then they will watch the Saints; they pay for ticket to watch major league pro-ball, not AAA pro-ball.

    Larnack is not that good, he is now striking out, a lot, and in the field he has weak arm and is slow.  Kiriloff seems ready for the big show.

    I would agree with you in a normal year.  In a lost year, the most important thing is to develop players.  If the best place for Larnach to develop is at the MLB level, so be it.  I am not sure which approach would be best.  IDK his history and I am not aware of what they are working on in practice or how that is going.  Earlier I suggested some time in St. Paul might be in order but other posters have made good points as to why he should stay.  I am open to either but the decision to stay or go is not short-term based.  Keeping him here or sending him down should be based on what's best for Larnach long-term.

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