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  • Twins Get Crushed In Game 2


    Seth Stohs

    Thirty minutes following the Minnesota Twins 7-1 win in Cleveland, the two teams played the second game of the doubleheader. It was a tale of two very different baseball games. The team fell 10-2 to Cleveland after another frustrating, and very short, start for Mike Pelfrey. Scoreboard watching, and hope that the Angels and Astros lose, becomes much more important.

    Image courtesy of David Richard, USA Today

    Twins Video

    Things started out a bit shaky for Pelfrey in the first inning. He was able to wiggle his way out of a bases-loaded, two out situation. However, in the second inning, he was not.

    2nd Inning

    Abraham Almonte doubled to center. (6.7%)

    Adam Moore struck out (-4.5%)

    Michael Martinez singled to center, scoring Almonte. Martinez advanced to second on a wild throw by Aaron Hicks. (11.3%)

    Jason Kipnis lined out to shortstop. (-3.0%)

    Jose Ramirez doubled to left field, Martinez scored. (10.1%)

    Francisco Lindor singled to first base. (1.0%)

    Lindor advanced to second on a wild pitch. Jose Ramirez scored. (6.9%)

    Carlos Santana singled to center. Lindor scored. (5.4%)

    Mike Pelfrey’s night was complete. JR Graham came on.

    Santana was thrown thrown out trying to steal second base by Chris Herrmann. But the damage was done. The Twins had their big inning in Game 1. Going into the second inning, Cleveland had a 54.8% win expectancy. Following Santana’s run-scoring single, that number was up to 88.7%

    After that, there weren’t really any hits that contributed to Cleveland’s win expectancy. They just continued to add runs. Graham gave up one run in the third inning. Brian Duensing gave up a run in his 1.1 innings. Phil Hughes gave up a hit, but no runs, in his inning. Ryan O’Rourke threw a perfect sixth inning.

    Ricky Nolasco returned to the mound for the first time since May 31. He got a ground out and then struck out the next two batters with an impressive curve ball. He could very easily have thrown in the towel on his season, but he worked his way back and you have to feel good for him. We won’t mention the three runs in gave up in his second inning of work that gave Cleveland a 10-1 lead.

    However, the Twins were unable to figure out Cody Anderson for the second straight time. In this one, they had just two hits over seven shutout innings. Anderson did walk four, but the Twins really didn’t mount much of a scoring threat against him.

    Zach McAllister came on for the eighth inning. He gave up a solo homer to Miguel Sano. The 430 foot blast from the rookie was his 18th of the year.

    In the ninth inning, Austin Adams gave up a solo homer to Eddie Rosario to give the 10-2 final score.

    The Performance of Pelfrey

    As noted above, it was another bad start for Pelfrey. Though the safe call on the Francisco Lindor infield single cost him an out and two runs in the second, he was just being hit so hard, and he was hurting himself by being all over the place with his control. However, that can change with one call and getting that third out. Things could have been different.

    He will (most likely) end his 2015 season (and maybe his Twins career) by going 6-11 with a 4.26 ERA.

    Coming into the game on Wednesday night, here is where the Twins starters ranked in FIP (fielding independent pitching), a stat which many suggest shows how well a pitcher has been able to control the things that he can control

    Mike Pelfrey – 3.99 (this got worse on Wednesday)

    Kyle Gibson – 4.05 (this improved on Wednesday)

    Ervin Santana – 4.22

    Tommy Milone – 4.40

    Phil Hughes – 4.72

    Tyler Duffey – 3.18 (but his 51 innings is about one half to one fourth of the innings of each of the top five starters above)

    That’s just one number, one statistic, of course. Here’s how his ERA ranked coming into the games on Wednesday:

    Kyle Gibson – 3.96

    Tommy Milone – 4.04

    Mike Pelfrey – 4.09

    Ervin Santana – 4.10

    Phil Hughes – 4.43

    Pelfrey’s ERA jumped to 4.26, but he’s still in line with the other Twins starters. He’s been a decent fifth starter and was very important to the team’s success in the first half.

    However, he was remarkably inconsistent. In 16 of his 30 starts, he went at least five innings and gave up less than two earned runs. However, in ten of his 30 starts, he wasn’t able to complete five innings. Five of his final ten starts were less than five innings.

    So this performance was certainly predictable.

    WILD CARD UPDATE

    The Twins went 1-1.

    The Angels lost to the A’s.

    The Astros beat the Mariners.

    The Astros have now jumped back in to the second Wild Card position, 1/2 game ahead of the Angels. The Twins are 1 1/2 games behind Houston with four games to play.

    It’s not over yet!

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    So the fist fights in hockey are part of the way the game is played? Not talking checking. Talking gloves off, punching in the throat and face. FIST. FIGHTS.

    I personally hate it, but for many, it is part of what they like. I vastly prefer to watch the elegance of the international game, but again, it's entertainment, so I get that others don't share my opinion.

     

    I do think that an argument can be made that the violence in hockey keeps the normal contact in line with being clean. I don't know if that is true or not, but I think that argument can be made.

     

    That argument can't be made about showboating in baseball, since it causes no harm.

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    the thought that violence is the answer to a problem that doesn't actually exist is a huge problem in the world. Huge. I weep that anyone thinks this is a good idea.UFC, boxing, MA.....those are professional fights. That's their purpose. How is that the same thing at all?

    Are you weeping now then?

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    So the fist fights in hockey are part of the way the game is played? Not talking checking. Talking gloves off, punching in the throat and face. FIST. FIGHTS.

     

     

    Fighting in hockey is being phased out of the game, because at the end of the day, it doesn't serve a purpose. Here's the number of fights per game the last 5 years

     

    14/15: 0.32

    13/14: 0.38

    12/13: 0.48

    11/12: 0.44

    10/11: 0.52

     

    The game is changing, and values skill over enforcers now more than ever. Even old school hockey fans are turning over a new leaf. Why can't baseball do the same with these silly "unwritten rules"?

     

    EDIT: Source - http://www.hockeyfights.com/stats/

    Edited by Vanimal46
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    Fighting in hockey is being phased out of the game, because at the end of the day, it doesn't serve a purpose. Here's the number of fights per game the last 5 years

     

    14/15: 0.32

    13/14: 0.38

    12/13: 0.48

    11/12: 0.44

    10/11: 0.52

     

    The game is changing, and values skill over enforcers now more than ever. Even old school hockey fans are turning over a new leaf. Why can't baseball do the same with these silly "unwritten rules"?

     

    EDIT: Source - http://www.hockeyfights.com/stats/

    I guess I'm just in the camp that believes sometimes someone (including myself) needs to get punched in the mouth. Its like a reset button. I'm sure it doesn't always reset, but sometimes that's exactly what it takes. Violence CAN solve some problems (think Hitler, extreme example). A less extreme example would be that screaming kid who is throwing a tantrum because they aren't getting that toy at Walmart. Sometimes that kid needs a tanned hind end before they understand that we don't act that way when we don't get our way.

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    I guess I'm just in the camp that believes sometimes someone (including myself) needs to get punched in the mouth. Its like a reset button. I'm sure it doesn't always reset, but sometimes that's exactly what it takes. Violence CAN solve some problems (think Hitler, extreme example). A less extreme example would be that screaming kid who is throwing a tantrum because they aren't getting that toy at Walmart. Sometimes that kid needs a tanned hind end before they understand that we don't act that way when we don't get our way.

    All the research shows you are 100% wrong about the kid thing.

     

    And, come on, Hitler is like a guy showboating? Really?

     

    edit: I'm out, I've made my points enough.

    Edited by mike wants wins
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    So the fist fights in hockey are part of the way the game is played? Not talking checking. Talking gloves off, punching in the throat and face. FIST. FIGHTS.

     

    Meanwhile, the number of HBP per game in the MLB was very consistent from about 1915 until 1995, ranging from 0.15-0.25. After 1995, the number skyrocketed to 0.3 and hasn't decreased below that level since. Are we maybe taking these silly unwritten rules too seriously?

     

    Source: http://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/MLB/bat.shtml 

     

    EDIT:Ugh, I don't know why the link isn't working. If you're curious to know, go to baseball reference and you can see it in the MLB Batting Encyclopedia

    Edited by Vanimal46
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    So the fist fights in hockey are part of the way the game is played? Not talking checking. Talking gloves off, punching in the throat and face. FIST. FIGHTS.

     

    So the fist fights in hockey are part of the way the game is played? Not talking checking. Talking gloves off, punching in the throat and face. FIST. FIGHTS.

    Yeah and that's stupid too, but don't most of those come about when someone takes a cheap physical shot at someone first? Not something like I'm gonna fight Kane because he scored a 5th goal on me because my defender fell down and he shouldn't have even tried to score when that happened?

     

    In any event, your comparing contact sports to non-contact sports.  I would also have an issue is a fight broke out at a chess match.  Another strategic, but non-contact, game.  :-)

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    All the research shows you are 100% wrong about the kid thing.And, come on, Hitler is like a guy showboating? Really?

    Clearly Hitler was an extreme example (I believe I said as much). But we're gonna have to agree to disagree on the kid thing. Although, honestly, I've not spanked my kid in a LONG time. However, when she was little a swift pop on the pamper butt got her attention real quick. Again, we'll just agree to disagree inspite of what the research shows.

     

    Also, violence has been a part of human society and culture since the beginning. It exists in nature as well. I think we arrogantly believe that we must eliminate violence in order to be "civilized". But that debate is for an entirely different website altogether. So, I'll be done with that now. Thanks for the debate though!

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    I guess I'm just in the camp that believes sometimes someone (including myself) needs to get punched in the mouth. Its like a reset button. I'm sure it doesn't always reset, but sometimes that's exactly what it takes. Violence CAN solve some problems (think Hitler, extreme example). A less extreme example would be that screaming kid who is throwing a tantrum because they aren't getting that toy at Walmart.

     

    Sometimes that kid needs a tanned hind end before they understand that we don't act that way when we don't get our way.

    Don't we also teach kids that violence isn't the answer when having conflicts with kids on the school ground? Reminds me of the time I was at a game and a fan, upset that another fan was swearing with his kid around, decides to sucker punch the swearing fan when he wasn't looking.  The parent had problems with his kid hearing bad words but no problem with his kid seeing him assault a man?

     

    But hey, the guy who got punched got tossed from the game and the man who committed assault was allowed to stay in the game.  So, who knows.

    Edited by jimmer
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    Clearly Hitler was an extreme example (I believe I said as much). But we're gonna have to agree to disagree on the kid thing. Although, honestly, I've not spanked my kid in a LONG time. However, when she was little a swift pop on the pamper butt got her attention real quick. Again, we'll just agree to disagree inspite of what the research shows.

     

    Also, violence has been a part of human society and culture since the beginning. It exists in nature as well. I think we arrogantly believe that we must eliminate violence in order to be "civilized". But that debate is for an entirely different website altogether. So, I'll be done with that now. Thanks for the debate though!

    You know, we disagree on something here, but I love how you are typing respectfully here. thanks!

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    Most frustrating for me was that Pelfrey's MO for a bad start is very clear. If his stuff isn't bending enough, they start hitting hard line drives right away. That's the rumble before the avalanche, but Molitor didn't seem to notice, or chose to ignore the rumble.

     

    Several Twins pitchers are subject to this form of collapse, but all of them stem from the same thing - lack of command. Pelfrey's craptavalanche comes from a lack of command, insufficient movement on his heater as he tries to bend it right and left, plus elevating it, plus pipelining it down the middle. This makes for a particularly explosive craptavalanche.

     

    Thing is, a good manager is supposed to have a weather eye for such things. We here saw it coming several batters before the big, stinky craptavalanche hit the scoreboard. Even after it hit, whom did Molitor bring in? JR Graham, perhaps the second most prone to a craptavalanche. Graham has the proverbial "electric stuff," but his command appears to vary inversely with the importance of the outing. You don't bring in JR Graham to stop a craptavalanche.

     

    Frankly, the Twins don't have a craptavalanche stopper in the pen. For that you need either an ace strikeout guy or a reliable sinker baller. A healthy Glenn Perkins could do it. But to prevent one, you have to yank Pelfrey early and have somebody like Trevor May ready to go. Then be ready to yank him early, and so on. No long leashes in this situation.

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    Coupla WPA things....

     

    1. In that Astros/MAriners game, there was a point in the 5th innings where the Mariners were up 6-3 and had a 91.4% chance to win that game. Ugh.

    http://www.fangraphs.com/wins.aspx?date=2015-09-30&team=Mariners&dh=0&season=2015

     

    2. Does anyone know the win percentage of a home team up 2-0 at the bottom of the 1st? I'd love to know, because while that blown replay call only increased the Indians chance by +1%, being called out certainly would have decreased their percentage chance. I wonder just how many % that messed up call was worth.

     

    IMHO, that is two times in this series that video replay has screwed the Twins. And I don't mean "got the call write." I mean failed to do what it is supposed to do, which is get the call right.

     

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    2. Does anyone know the win percentage of a home team up 2-0 at the bottom of the 1st? I'd love to know, because while that blown replay call only increased the Indians chance by +1%, being called out certainly would have decreased their percentage chance. I wonder just how many % that messed up call was worth.

     

    IMHO, that is two times in this series that video replay has screwed the Twins. And I don't mean "got the call write." I mean failed to do what it is supposed to do, which is get the call right.

    According to this tool, an out on that play would have reduced their chance by about 5%.

     

    http://gregstoll.dyndns.org/~gregstoll/baseball/stats.html#V.0.1.0.1

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    Still, when you are willing to give Pelfrey that level of leash, and the first guys up out of the pen are Graham and Duensing to pitch in multiple innings each, and our offense was silent and/or the other team's pitchers cruising, I don't think you can point to one play like that as a real difference-maker.

     

    You can make a good argument that Pelfrey should have been pulled before Lindor's plate appearance, and certainly after with 2 runners on and Carlos Santana due up.  Could have gone with a higher-leverage arm like May to try getting out of the jam and maybe pitch another inning, and then let Hughes start an inning fresh as a "second starter" if you will.

     

    An out call there probably just means the trouble is shifted to the third inning from the second, but the same basic problems remained for the Twins.

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    Don't we also teach kids that violence isn't the answer when having conflicts with kids on the school ground? Reminds me of the time I was at a game and a fan, upset that another fan was swearing with his kid around, decides to sucker punch the swearing fan when he wasn't looking. The parent had problems with his kid hearing bad words but no problem with his kid seeing him assault a man?

     

    But hey, the guy who got punched got tossed from the game and the man who committed assault was allowed to stay in the game. So, who knows.

    Actually, I teach my kids that after all diplomatic approaches have been exhausted, sometimes you just have to defend yourself. And that you had better win. And that I have her back if diplomatic attempts failed. If she were to get suspended, I'd probably take her to get her hair done and then to the gun range. Then we'd talk about how to maybe improve her diplomacy skills while we knocked out a workout at the local gym! Edited by TNTwinsFan
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    Actually, I teach my kids that after all diplomatic approaches have been exhausted, sometimes you just have to defend yourself. And that you had better win. And that I have her back if diplomatic attempts failed. If she were to get suspended, I'd probably take her to get her hair done and then to the gun range. Then we'd talk about how to maybe improve her diplomacy skills while we knocked out a workout at the local gym!

    and would you say the proper way to defend yourself against a perceived disrespectful bat flip was a 90+ MPH pitch to the body? :-)

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    and would you say the proper way to defend yourself against a perceived disrespectful bat flip was a 90+ MPH pitch to the body? :-)

    Think the guy on the receiving end of said 90+mph FB would flip his bat in a similar manner again?

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    Think the guy on the receiving end of said 90+mph FB would flip his bat in a similar manner again?

    If I shoot a guy for stealing a pack of gum he won't be stealing that pack of gum again, but I'd think the punishment was probably way out of proportion to the crime, unless maybe if I was born and raised in Saudia Arabia or Iraq, where they run a kids arm over with a big truck, crushing his arm bones to tiny bits, for stealing a loaf of bread.

     

    When I hear people call for beaning a guy, I often wonder how many people have been hit with a 90+ MPH pitch.  This isn't a tap on the behind, this can cause real physical damage.  Probably not a good punishment for a perceived disrespect that is done to a team that was already emotional from losing 7-1 at the time and seeing their pitcher serve up a meatball to a guy they chose to pitch to.  

     

    Cause make no mistake, with the wild card so close and the Twins getting pummeled, they were already heated up.  Then the HR happened after their strategy backfired which made it worse.  The bat flip gave them an excuse to let all that rage out and focus attention on what the batter did as opposed to what the Indians just did to them when they are so close to the playoffs.

    Edited by jimmer
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    There's nothing remotely "self defense" related about throwing a pitch at a batter, or spanking a child.

    Look, this is an "in defense of honor" type event we're talking about here. Everyone i. The stadium, including the guys own manager, knew that what that kid did was not acceptable; regardless of the lack of a written rule. Everyone knows, including the bat flipper, knows what's voming. The first Twins pitcher who throws at an Indians hitter tonight will be issued a warning. There may be some jaw jacking (gotta defend your own players) but it won't be unexpected. What the kid needs to do is take his punishment without saying a word, giving a look, or retaliating (like a pro) and everyone will move on. Then, in his next plate appearance he can yank one off of Duensing, put his head down, run the damn bases, then go to his dugout.

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    There's nothing remotely "self defense" related about throwing a pitch at a batter, or spanking a child.

    By the way, self defense does not mean just physical self defense (although that's what we've all be taught). It simply isn't true, and trying to do so ignores human emotion and a sense of honor. We've been taught that honor doesn't matter. But it does. Ignore that at your own peril.

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    If I shoot a guy for stealing a pack of gum he won't be stealing that pack of gum again, but I'd think the punishment was probably way out of proportion to the crime, unless maybe if I was born and raised in Saudia Arabia or Iraq, where they run a kids arm over with a big truck, crushing his arm bones to tiny bits, for stealing a loaf of bread.

     

    When I hear people call for beaning a guy, I often wonder how many people have been hit with a 90+ MPH pitch.  This isn't a tap on the behind, this can cause real physical damage.  Probably not a good punishment for a perceived disrespect that is done to a team that was already emotional from losing 7-1 at the time and seeing their pitcher serve up a meatball to a guy they chose to pitch to.  

     

    Cause make no mistake, with the wild card so close and the Twins getting pummeled, they were already heated up.  Then the HR happened after their strategy backfired which made it worse.  The bat flip gave them an excuse to let all that rage out and focus attention on what the batter did as opposed to what the Indians just did to them when they are so close to the playoffs.

    Obviously you dont care about the bat flip, thus, feel little to no punishment should be administered. Seemingly, almost EVERYONE wearing a uniform who witnessed the event yesterday feels otherwise. You may want to advocate for change and you should if that's how you feel, but I think you're fighting an uphill battle. Maybe a better way to change this aspect of the game (filling a vacume currently filled by unwritten rules) would be to add a written rule about what someone on this thread called "unsportsmanlike conduct" for bat flips, etc. Maybe that would curb the scary violence. Maybe it wouldn't.

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    By the way, self defense does not mean just physical self defense (although that's what we've all be taught). It simply isn't true, and trying to do so ignores human emotion and a sense of honor. We've been taught that honor doesn't matter. But it does. Ignore that at your own peril.

    Calling for a player to be hit is calling for a physical act.

     

    And who has been taught that honor doesn't or shouldn't exist?  You think because some people think hitting a defenseless batter with a 90+ MPH that can cause real damage because a team, that was already pissed off, saw what they perceived to be a disrespectful, but not violent, act?

     

    I would opine there is no honor in throwing an object at such extreme speed at such a close range at a defenseless person.

    Edited by jimmer
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    Obviously you dont care about the bat flip, thus, feel little to no punishment should be administered. Seemingly, almost EVERYONE wearing a uniform who witnessed the event yesterday feels otherwise. You may want to advocate for change and you should if that's how you feel, but I think you're fighting an uphill battle. Maybe a better way to change this aspect of the game (filling a vacume currently filled by unwritten rules) would be to add a written rule about what someone on this thread called "unsportsmanlike conduct" for bat flips, etc. Maybe that would curb the scary violence. Maybe it wouldn't.

    Maybe I believe a ton of baseball's unwritten rules are more about not upsetting a bunch of children who get butt-hurt because someone hit a HR and then 'disrespected them' because he showed some joy in doing so.  Maybe next time, don't serve up the gopher ball and let a sub .650 batter crush it.  The team was already pissed before that bat flip ever happened.  Losing 7-1 in the bottom of the eight, wild card within reach and this loss hurting their chances, perhaps the team was emotional and over-sensitive before the flip ever happened?

     

    And just because a bunch of people want to stick with old traditions/ideas handed down from generation to generation doesn't make it right.  I could name a bunch of examples to illustrate that point throughout history.  For a long time in this game alone (let alone society), all the baseball people thought black men shouldn't play the game.  I guess group think made that opinion correct?  No, it did not.

    Edited by jimmer
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    Unwritten rules are the worst precisely because they are unwritten.  They're left that way to give a lot of room for butt-hurt jerks to employ them at their own discretion.

     

    Written rules are written precisely to avoid that same latitude of interpretation.  That's what makes them effective and not jerk emboldening.

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    For all of those advocating throwing at Ramirez (or anyone else) you should consider that there will be a retaliation.  At this point of the season Cleveland has nothing to lose if punished by MLB, but the Twins can ill-afford to have an injured player (likely a regular) or a suspended pitcher.  Most likely the next Twins loss effectively ends their season.  The risk isn't worth the "reward".

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    I think it would be closer to something like a competitor doing that rather than a co-worker. And in a highly competitive, testosterone-driven industry. I think I fall more in line with what you're advocating. Let the players sort this out. Anyone remember the Sano benching a couple years back, after he show-boated after an absolute BOMB? The coaches did that becuase you DON'T DO THAT. Destroy the pitch. Put your head down. Run your bases. Celebrate with your team in the dugout or on your way back to the dugout, or at the plate. DO NOT TAUNT THE OPPOSING TEAM. It's unbecoming and unprofessional. If you do, expect to get what's coming to you. Throwing at someone is the consequence; you want to avoid that situation? Act right.

     

    Act right? DON"T DO THAT? But sliding into someone at second with the intention to take him out and possibly hurt them ("but I wouldn't be meaning to....") when you are not even close to the base is OK? Throwing at someone is OK? No intent or malicious motive to hurt anyone there, eh? Bench clearing and fake fighting is OK? That is professional? Because it is clear that in baseball..... they DO DO THAT, and many fans here are wanting it to happen, expecting it to happen, or are OK with it happening. So many things are not done with the spirit of the game and rules in mind. I guess there are still many around that will support this continuing. Act right? The "consequences" don't seem like "acting right" to me. The Bully in the school yard never did like the quick witted comeback or the taunt, and always liked to hurt the guy that because he couldn't think of a more clever way to retort. To me, that is what throwing at someone that had nothing to do with the event is tantamount to.

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