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  • Twins Game Recap (9/11): Depleted Twins Fail to Match Up With Strasburg and Nationals


    Andrew Thares

    With the Washington Nationals throwing Stephen Strasburg up against Martin Perez for the Minnesota Twins and their depleted lineup, it was going to be a tough test to secure the second win in as many nights for the Twins. The Twins had a few chances as the game went on, but failed to come through with any clutch hits, as they fell to the Nationals by a score of 6-2.

    Image courtesy of FanGraphs

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    Box Score

    Perez: 5 IP, 6 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, 4 K, 65.6% strikes (59 of 90 pitches)

    Home Runs: Polanco (21)

    Multi-Hit Games: Arraez (3 for 5), Polanco (2 for 5, HR), Castro (2 for 4)

    WPA of +0.1: Cruz .101

    WPA of -0.1: Perez -.220, Rosario -.161, Astudillo -.159, Adrianza -.105

    The Nationals jumped all over Martin Perez, from the get-go. After retiring Trea Turner for the first out of the game, Perez gave up a double to Adam Eaton, walked Anthony Rendon, a single to Juan Soto and a single to Ryan Zimmerman. By the time the Twins even sent their first hitter to the plate, they already trailed by a score of 2-0.

    The top of the third started off like a pretty harmless inning. Martin Perez retired Adam Eaton and Anthony Rendon to get two quick outs, but after a walk to Juan Soto things got interesting. Perez got Howie Kendrick down 0-2 and delivered a quality slider down below the zone that Kendrick lifted into right field for what looked like a routine fly out. However, with Eddie Rosario, nothing has been routine for him in the outfield this year, and that was the case with this fly ball, as he let it sail over his head for an RBI-double. Just two pitches later, Ryan Zimmerman made the Twins pay dearly for this mistake, as he took Perez deep to give the Nationals a 5-0 lead.

    The Twins were able to answer back with a couple of runs in the bottom of the inning, thanks to a Luis Arraez one-out single, and Jorge Polanco taking Stephen Strasburg deep to cut the deficit down to three. Polanco’s homer was the Twins 277th of the season and gave the Twins the lead in the home run race over the New York Yankees.

    https://twitter.com/Twins/status/1171948398053941249

    During the middle innings the bats for both teams stayed quiet. The Twins relievers, Zack Littell, Brusdar Graterol and Fernando Romero, all pitched scoreless innings to keep the Twins in the game. Unfortunately, the Twins were unable to take advantage of that. They put up a two-out threat in the fourth, thanks to a LaMonte Wade walk, and a Jonathan Schoop double, but Jason Castro was rung up on strikes to nullify that threat. In the bottom of the eighth, the Twins had yet another chance. The Nationals made a questionable move to bring former Twin Fernando Rodney, and his 5.54 ERA into the game to face Polanco, Cruz and Rosario. The inning started off strong for the Twins, as Polanco reached on an infield hit, and Cruz drew a walk, but then Rosario, Astudillo and Adrianza all hit lazy fly balls to the outfield, killing the Twins' chances. All this was done, by the way, with Mitch Garver waiting in the dugout with his helmet and batting gloves on but was never called upon to take an at-bat that could have tied the ballgame.

    Randy Dobnak came in to pitch for the Twins in the top of the ninth, and promptly gave up a solo home run to Trea Turner, to extend the Nationals lead to 6-2, which would be the final score of the ballgame, as the Twins got a couple of runners on but failed to score in the bottom of the ninth.

    Bullpen Usage

    Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days:

    Next Three Games

    Thu vs WSH, 6:40 pm CT (Corbin-Gibson)

    Fri at CLE, 6:10 pm CT (Odorizzi-Civale)

    Sat at CLE, 6:10 pm CT (TBD-TBD)

    Last Game

    Twins Game Recap (9/10): Berrios Bounces Back in Twins Win

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    The best thing that could happen to us today would be a rain out. That would put Gibson, Odo and Berrios in line for the Cleveland series and move the AAA starter/bullpen game to Chicago. It would also give another day to all of the injured guys - Kepler, Cron, Sano, Cave, Rosario, Cruz , did I miss anybody?

     

    Bottom line - C'MON RAIN!!

    Supposedly it's up to the Twins until they start and it's not supposed to stop raining until 9. Having to play an extra game on 9/30 would suck, but there's a pretty decent chance it won't need to be played for either team, and if it needs to be played only for the Nats sake, we can run our line-up from last night out there. I'd give it until like 7:30 and then call it.

    Edited by howeda7
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    His usage this entire year has been mind boggling. Seriously.

    Garver missed two weeks in May but has otherwise been healthy. He’s going to finish the year with fewer than 375 PA. Keep in mind that when he does start, he is most likely to bat 1st, 2nd or 5th.

     

    Miguel Sano missed the first six weeks of the season, rarely bats higher than 5th and already has more than 375 PA.

     

    If Garver isn’t comfortable at first base, that is on the Twins, because he needs to play there a lot on days when he isn’t catching.

     

    Garver has a 159 w/RC, which would be 4th in the AL if he had the PA to qualify, just ahead of Nelson Cruz snd a .410 w/OBA, which would be 3rd, also ahead of Cruz. With more PA he would likely be in serious consideration for league MVP given the position he plays. He is putting up Piazza type numbers and is considerably better defensively than Piazza ever was.

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    Eddie Rosario after last night now has a 99 wRC+, and is only worth 0.9 WAR, due to being the 10th worst defensive outfielder in the game.  His OBP is under .300, and his supposed strength (big moments) is also eroding, as he's down to a 103 wRC+ in high leverage.  He hasn't had a monthly OPS above .800 since June (and even that was .810).  Either Eddie is hurt, or he needs to be dropped to 8th or 9th in the order now.

     

    If nothing else.... to send him a message and light a fire under his......

     

    And........ what is Rosario doing in right field, now, anyway. It just makes for a further unstable outfield. Not only in right field unstable, but so is left. I know he has played several games there, but he is now a left fielder. How quickly our outfield turned into a weakness instead of a strength.

    Edited by h2oface
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    I agree but have one question. Could Garver keep up this level of production or something close if he got 550 PAs instead of 375? Maybe the rest is one of the reasons he's been so productive. 

     Only one way to find the answer that question...... and the extras shouldn't be behind the plate.

    Edited by h2oface
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    I agree but have one question. Could Garver keep up this level of production or something close if he got 550 PAs instead of 375? Maybe the rest is one of the reasons he's been so productive.

    Even if he dropped twenty points he'd still be more valuable than not playing at all... Maybe even more. That also doesn't explain the lack of pinch at bats....

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    Even if he dropped twenty points he'd still be more valuable than not playing at all... Maybe even more. That also doesn't explain the lack of pinch at bats....

     

    I agree with this.  I think I would rather have a .900 OPS player for 600 PA's than a 1.000 OPS player for 450 PA's.  Also, to Mike's point, there is absolutely zero reason with Castro and Astudillo on the roster that Garver shouldn't be pinch-hitting every game he's not starting.

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    I agree but have one question. Could Garver keep up this level of production or something close if he got 550 PAs instead of 375? Maybe the rest is one of the reasons he's been so productive. 

    His HR/AB is not sustainable, it would have him hitting like 53 with 600 AB's. But even if it dropped quite a bit, he's still more valuable hitting 40 HR over 500 AB's than 33 in 375.

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    I agree with this. I think I would rather have a .900 OPS player for 600 PA's than a 1.000 OPS player for 450 PA's. Also, to Mike's point, there is absolutely zero reason with Castro and Astudillo on the roster that Garver shouldn't be pinch-hitting every game he's not starting.

    I don’t think anyone is suggesting 600 PA for Garver.

     

    Frankly, 450-475 sounds about right. That’s 80-100 more than he will get this year. Even if he hadn’t missed two weeks, he likely would have only gotten 30 or so more PA than he will.

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    I don’t think anyone is suggesting 600 PA for Garver.

    Frankly, 450-475 sounds about right. That’s 80-100 more than he will get this year. Even if he hadn’t missed two weeks, he likely would have only gotten 30 or so more PA than he will.

     

    I wasn't suggesting it for Garver, I was giving an example of of where 90% of the production but in 133% of the PA's is a positive thing.

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