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  • Twins and 2020 Arbitration


    Seth Stohs

    At 11:00 this morning (Friday), teams and arbitration players will have to exchange numbers unless they are able to reach an agreement before that deadline.

    The Twins will have a busy morning as they have seven players to have these discussions with. Please use the comments section below to discuss Twins arbitration news of the day.

    Image courtesy of Wendell Cruz, USA Today

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    Earlier in the offseason, the Twins had to make decisions on which players they would offer arbitration to. Players with less than six years of service time, and more than three years (and the top 30% of players with more than two years of service time are Super-2 players) are eligible for salary arbitration.

    At that time, the team non-tendered RHP Sam Dyson early in the process. They also non-tended CJ Cron, who has since signed with the Tigers. They also agreed to terms with infielder Ehire Adrianza and RHP Matt Wisler.

    Below are the players that will know a lot more about their 2020 salaries by this afternoon. They will either agree to terms before 11:00 (which is usually what happens), or at that time, the team and the player will make their "bids" for their 2020 salaries. If they are unable to agree to terms before their arbitration date, the two sides will go in front of an arbitration panel and have the 2020 salary determined. This also does not happen often.

    So let's get to the players. What you will see below is the MLB Trade Rumor projection, and also the Twins Daily projection (found in the Offseason Handbook). When we see that an agreement has been reached, we will also post that under each player's name.

    UPDATE (5:00 pm.) - more specifics will be posted below when details are available.

    Trevor May

    MLB Trade Rumors Projection: $2.1 million

    Twins Daily Projection: $2.5 million

    Actual: $2.205 million

    Eddie Rosario

    MLB Trade Rumors Projection: $8.9 million

    Twins Daily Projection: $7.5 million

    Actual: $7.75 million

    Miguel Sano

    MLB Trade Rumors Projection: $5.9 million

    Twins Daily Projection: $5.5 million

    Actual: Agreed to multi-year deal through 2022, with option for 2023.

    Byron Buxton

    MLB Trade Rumors Projection: $2.9 million

    Twins Daily Projection: $3.5 million

    Actual: $3.025 Million (per Jon Heyman)

    https://twitter.com/JonHeyman/status/1215771903748689920

    Taylor Rogers

    MLB Trade Rumors Projection: $3.9 million

    Twins Daily Projection: $4.0 million

    Actual: $4.45 million

    Tyler Duffey

    MLB Trade Rumors Projection: $1.1 million

    Twins Daily Projection:$1.25

    Actual: $1.2 million.

    https://twitter.com/DWolfsonKSTP/status/1215691548450574336

    Jose Berrios

    MLB Trade Rumors Projection: $5.4 million

    Twins Daily Projection: $4.5 million

    Arbitration: No agreement yet.

    Twins offer: $4.025 mlillion, Berrios asked: $4.4 million.

    https://twitter.com/JonHeyman/status/1215763097094434821

    https://twitter.com/JonHeyman/status/1215803718043684864

    Feel free to discuss.

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    Come on FO. Give Berrios a fair long term contract. Show him the money.

    They did.  He wants to go to arbitration for $300K difference and did not agree to a fair extension. 

    They should show him the door while he still has some value.  It is clear that Berrios matters more to Berrios than the Twins matter to him.

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    They did. He wants to go to arbitration for $300K difference and did not agree to a fair extension.

     

    They should show him the door while he still has some value. It is clear that Berrios matters more to Berrios than the Twins matter to him.

    With three years of control left, what do you suppose Berrios could fetch in return in a trade?
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    With three years of control left, what do you suppose Berrios could fetch in return in a trade?

    Sale plus $35M.  And the Twins will be better for it, and probably the Red Sox as well...

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    They did.  He wants to go to arbitration for $300K difference and did not agree to a fair extension. 

    They should show him the door while he still has some value.  It is clear that Berrios matters more to Berrios than the Twins matter to him.

    No - we have established this off season that we cannot get pitchers to come to us - so lets keep the pitchers we have.

     

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    Not good to have this many cases go to arbitration. To me that means the Twins lowballed every single one of them. When will they learn. 

     

    I'm guessing our best guys have had enough of their bosses already. Don't expect it to be easy to sign the rest of the core of this team to long term deals. 

     

    Will you be willing to acknowledge that your extremely cynical claim was laughably wrong?

     

    Your guess about guys having had enough of their bosses? I'm sorry, but that's delusional and maybe a sad wishfulness on your part. Unreal.

     

    Do you have any idea, any idea at all, as to the percentage of arb eligible players who have reached an acceptable settlement each year? This is a rhetorical question.

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    Switch that around:  Berrios is willing to go to arbitration for $375K after he did not accept extension offers the last 2 offseasons. 

     

    This is closer to the truth.

    Why is it that the player is somehow bad that he wants to get optimal value for his services rendered?

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    The Berrios news (and the threat of him becoming a free agent at first opportunity) just makes this failure of an offseason that much worse.

     

    The window may be short.

     

    Not necessarily.

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    They did.  He wants to go to arbitration for $300K difference and did not agree to a fair extension. 

    They should show him the door while he still has some value.  It is clear that Berrios matters more to Berrios than the Twins matter to him.

     

     

    While I see how you could arrive at your conclusion, it's very possible that Berrios and his agent are simply holding out for more.

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    Switch that around:  Berrios is willing to go to arbitration for $375K after he did not accept extension offers the last 2 offseasons. 

     

    This is closer to the truth.

    It always takes two in these case ... I don’t think it’s a ‘pick a side’, finger pointing issue. This is also just how it’s done. And given what pitchers have gotten this year, I don’t blame him for wanting to optimize what he will earn. And there is still time. They could come to an agreement before they actually get to arbitration.

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    While I see how you could arrive at your conclusion, it's very possible that Berrios and his agent are simply holding out for more.

    Sure.  But some of us are Twins' fans and kinda cringe on former first round draft pick millionaires who don't appreciate what the Twins did for them and are less of Twins' fans than we are :)

     

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    It always takes two in these case ... I don’t think it’s a ‘pick a side’, finger pointing issue. This is also just how it’s done. And given what pitchers have gotten this year, I don’t blame him for wanting to optimize what he will earn. And there is still time. They could come to an agreement before they actually get to arbitration.

    The difference is 9%.  After the Twins drafted him way higher than he was rated and made him an 18 year old millionaire.  And the truth of the matter is that he has been the same pitcher for 3 seasons without improving.  And he is willing to go to arbitration for that 9%?

     

    The hey with him...

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    The difference is 9%. After the Twins drafted him way higher than he was rated and made him an 18 year old millionaire. And the truth of the matter is that he has been the same pitcher for 3 seasons without improving. And he is willing to go to arbitration for that 9%?

     

    The hey with him...

    The draft has nothing to do with it. If he blew out his elbow, the team wouldn’t pay him for a full season because “he pitched very well and was undervalued for years”. Reliable sites put his value at $5.4M. He is very likely to win his arbitration case

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    The draft has nothing to do with it. If he blew out his elbow, the team wouldn’t pay him for a full season because “he pitched very well and was undervalued for years”. Reliable sites put his value at $5.4M. He is very likely to win his arbitration case

    It is the principle... 

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    It is the principle...

    Would the twins have the same principle? Pay him what he’s worth. The last few years we got more value out of him than we paid (even including the draft). Like I said, Berrios will win this case quite easily

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    The difference is 9%. After the Twins drafted him way higher than he was rated and made him an 18 year old millionaire. And the truth of the matter is that he has been the same pitcher for 3 seasons without improving. And he is willing to go to arbitration for that 9%?

     

    The hey with him...

    fWAR:

    '17: 2.7

    '18: 3.1

    '19: 4.4

     

    bWAR:

    '17: 1.9

    '18: 3.9

    '19: 3.3

     

    K/BB:

    '17: 2.9

    '18: 3.3

    '19: 3.8

     

    ERA-:

    '17: 88

    '18: 89

    '19: 79

     

    FIP-:

    '17: 87

    '18: 92

    '19: 84

     

    xFIP-:

    '17: 103

    '18: 92

    '19: 94

     

    Looks like pretty clear improvement to me.

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    Will you be willing to acknowledge that your extremely cynical claim was laughably wrong?

     

    Your guess about guys having had enough of their bosses? I'm sorry, but that's delusional and maybe a sad wishfulness on your part. Unreal.

     

    Do you have any idea, any idea at all, as to the percentage of arb eligible players who have reached an acceptable settlement each year? This is a rhetorical question.

     

    It was wrong in the fact that, yep, they settled with them. I'm not this hard headed type that won't budge on takes or admit when I am wrong. It happens. In fact, I am most likely wrong much more than I'm right! LOL

     

    I'm sorry for being so cynical, but this offseason has really taken it's toll on me. I shouldn't be so negative, but man it's hard to watch/listen this winter. 

     

    I'm glad they got a deal with Sano done. Looks like it's another "team friendly" deal for them. Good for them. I hope at some point they actually go for it though. I'm of the belief this core is pretty dang good and it's just an utter shame to not supplement them and fill holes with those "impact" players we always talk about. Seriously, this lineup is good enough to win a world series, or at least win a playoff series or two. 

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