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  • Trade Deadline: What if the Twins Do Nothing?


    Seth Stohs

    Happy Trade Deadline Day, Twins Fans! This should be a fun day as the Twins find themselves Buyers at the deadline for the first time in a decade. I fully expect the Twins to acquire at least one pitcher before today’s 3 p.m. (central time) deadline, but what if they don’t? What if they stand pat?

    Image courtesy of Mark J. Rebilas, USA Today

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    On Tuesday night, Cleveland finally traded All Star starting pitcher Trevor Bauer. Typically that move would be seen as the team selling, but in this case, I do believe that they got better. They have pitching, and seem to keep calling pitchers up who do well. Shane Bieber and Zach Plesac are two guys who fit into that mold. They also should be getting Corey Kluber back in the near future.

    Their need was offense, and they added two powerful outfielders in Yasiel Puig and Franmil Reyes in the three-team swap. They also added LHP Logan Allen, a Top 100 prospect, and two more minor leaguers.

    It was a very creative move for Cleveland. The Twins were very creative in their acquisition of Sergio Romo over the weekend. Not only did the Twins receive the veteran reliever, but they also received hard-throwing RHP Chris Vallimont and a Player to be Named Later for slugging first base prospect Lewin Diaz.

    On its own, the Twins made a really, creative, savvy move to improve their bullpen and improve the team. Twins fans have generally felt that the trade was good for the Twins, though that thought always comes with the “as long as it isn’t the only move they make by the deadline.”

    But what if it is? What if Sergio Romo is the only player that the Twins add? What will it mean? Here are my thoughts.

    DISAPPOINTMENT

    First and foremost, Twins fans will and rightfully should feel disappointment. On the basic level, it’s always fun to acquire talent. It doesn’t even have to be elite talent, but just make the team better. Let's just say, #TwinsTwitter will not handle it well, for sure!

    On another level, Derek Falvey and Thad Levine have consistently said that when the Twins window to compete for championships opens, they will pounce. Well, the window is wide open. This team has the talent to compete, not only for the American League Central title but also for a World Series. They have won two of six games against the Yankees this year, and probably should have won two more of those games. They won four of their seven matchups with the Astros this year. They currently have an edge on Cleveland this year too. Those are the top teams in the American League, and the team should absolutely feel like they can compete for an American League pennant. And hey, if you get to the World Series, you have a chance.

    So Twins fans will absolutely have every right to be disappointed and even upset if nothing is done.

    HOWEVER…

    This is a very good team as is, as shown by their performance so far this year against the top teams in the league. Their lineup can compete with anyone. They can slug with the best. Pitching has been the issue although even that hasn’t been as bad as we may think. The starters rank in the top the top third of the league in most statistics. Some of that is because their #4 (Perez) and #5 (Pineda) have been better than most 4s and 5s around the league. Jose Berrios is approaching Ace level. Jake Odorizzi was an All Star for his strong start, but he has been more inconsistent of late. Kyle Gibson’s been good at times but also a bit inconsistent. Not adding a starter would just mean that these guys would need to step it up down the stretch. But would the Twins have a top three or top four that you could feel good about going into the playoffs?

    And the bullpen has been better than expected, though a lot of that is because of Taylor Rogers. Sergio Romo stepped in as the 8th inning guy last night in his Twins debut. Tyler Duffey has returned to an intriguing bullpen option. Ryne Harper has been a big surprise. Trevor May was doing well until the 0-2 curveball in Cleveland, but he has the stuff to dominate and will need to find that again.

    And then some young guys. Cody Stashak had a moment in the Yankees series. Sean Poppen reeling off 96-97 mph fastballs with a strong slider could be great for the team down the stretch. And if Will Smith and Felipe Vasquez are unavailable, I don’t think there is an available left-handed reliever that I would feel better about than giving Lewis Thorpe an opportunity. And Devin Smeltzer is available as well. The concern with them is their lack of MLB experience, obviously.

    In addition, Fernando Romero has been much improved of late in Rochester. And as it appears the odds of Cody Allen helping the Twins down the stretch is waning, flamethrower Brusdar Graterol returned to the mound on Monday for his first rehab appearance. Maybe he and his 101-mph fastball can help. Jorge Alcala and his triple-digit fastball pitched out of the bullpen in his most-recent outing.

    SUMMARY

    So, while I still think it is very likely that the Twins make one or two moves before the trade deadline, and this article will be all for naught, it is important for Twins fans to stand by a team that has put themselves in this position. Absolutely, be disappointed that nothing was done, but hopefully you’ll be able to quickly shift your attention back to the fact that this team, as it is currently put together, can win the division. And, if you are under the opinion (as I mostly am) that the playoffs are mostly a crapshoot, then you should still believe that the Twins can win in the playoffs too.

    All that said… Come On, Twins… Make a Move!

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      On 7/31/2019 at 7:53 PM, HawksNest said:

    F.O. clearly doesn't believe in this team. Why then, should we?

    Wouldn't adding players mean that they don't believe in this team?  We are on pace to win 99 games.

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      On 7/31/2019 at 7:34 PM, bighat said:

    Tried to embed a tweet, clearly you can't just cut and paste the embed code here.

     

    Anyway, Wolfson reports Twins are "optimistic" they will get another deal done.

     

    (fixed it for you - Brock)

     

    https://twitter.com/DWolfsonKSTP/status/1156641457702428672

    So is this Wolfson's opinion or did he get this from the FO?

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    This is unbelievable.

     

    People can make all the excuses they want, but this comes down to the Pohlads, right? I refuse to believe, if Falvine is actually doing their job, that they couldn’t have reached a deal for a couple of these marginal middle relievers at minimum. There is no explanation that makes this an OK trade deadline.

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      On 7/31/2019 at 7:58 PM, SomeGuy said:

    Wouldn't adding players mean that they don't believe in this team? We are on pace to win 99 games.

    By their own admission, they would make moves when the championship window is open.

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      On 7/31/2019 at 7:50 PM, Vanimal46 said:

    I'm about to acquire a Chipotle burrito bowl for cash considerations...

    I hope you waited to the last minute to get them to throw in some free guacamole.  Since it's National Avocado Day and all....

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      On 7/31/2019 at 7:52 PM, jorgenswest said:

    I hope they don’t make a last minute move for a middling reliever.

    Go big or stay with their roster.

    I kinda agree. But, therein lies the problem. The sellers aren't moving the high end arms. If they were, the Yankees (at least) would have landed one by now. Still, I don't know why the Twins wouldn't have been aggressive on one more mid-tier reliever. Couldn't have hurt, and you're going to end up moving/exposing some of these prospects sooner or later, regardless.

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      On 7/31/2019 at 8:00 PM, Brock Beauchamp said:

    And that’s that. 3pm.

    Yep. This one hurts. Gotta think about why I care about this team when ownership/FO doesn't care to supplement the team.

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      On 7/31/2019 at 8:05 PM, yarnivek1972 said:

    I think we broke TD...

     

    Admittedly, in years past we broke it watching the MLB draft... this is an improvement... though I'm really hoping they pulled something off. 

     

    I'd be happy with Mike Minor. 

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    The Twins front office has done a great job of building the everyday lineup and an OK job with the rotation. Their approach to the bullpen, however, baffles me. They have been completely unwilling to spend even modest money on free agent relievers and now appear unwilling to expend any prospect capital to acquire bullpen help in trade.

     

    To summarize the Twins approach:

    - refuse to sign even moderately priced free agent relievers

    - sign Parker out of the bargain bin in free agency (since DFAd)

    - take a good look at the scrap heap and end up with one low leverage reliever in Harper (MaGill, Morin, Adams DFAd)

    - assume internal options will be better than they actually are ending up with a couple low to mid leverage guys in Duffey and May (Mejia, Vasques, Moya DFAd with Romero and Hildenberger relegated to AAA)

    - give all the AAA starters a shot in the bullpen and pray (Stewart, Littell, Thorpe, Smeltzer, and Poppen currently get try outs)

    - trade for Romo and decide that Rogers/Romo is enough to carry the bullpen into the playoffs

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      On 7/31/2019 at 7:59 PM, tlkriens said:

    Rogers
    Romo
    Harper
    Thorpe

    I feel confident in those guys. I feel ok about Duffey. Not a fan of May, but hopefully he can turn it around.

    They still have two spots on the 40 man roster to fill.

     

    ALDS game 5. 7th inning. Top of the Yankees lineup coming up in a 2-2 ballgame. Now pitching for the Twins...Lewis Thorpe. Still confident? 

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