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  • Thrift Shop: 3 Sneaky Finds by the Front Office


    Nick Nelson

    If the Minnesota Twins are going to return to contention, it'll be primarily on the strength of their nucleus, which needs to rebound after a down year in 2018. But getting over the top will require a full team effort. That means identifying the right complementary pieces.

    Finding quality supporting parts was a continual struggle as the Twins failed to push their last formidable core past the first round of the playoffs. But this reconfigured front office has managed to add a few potentially key assets on the sly. It could prove to be a major positive amidst an otherwise dreary campaign.

    Image courtesy of Bruce Kluckhohn, USA Today

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    Through two drafts and two deadlines worth of "sell" trades, Derek Falvey and Thad Levine have netted a bounty of minor-league talent, supplementing the long-term pipeline. But the front office has also acquired more immediate help through low-key maneuvers

    While these players aren't going to be stars, they could all bring real value for essentially no acquisition cost. Let's take a look at three current contributors of modest origins who may factor for years to come.

    Jake Cave, OF: Acquired in March from NYY for RHP Luis Gil

    The Twins took notice of Cave while scouting the Yankees system during trade discussions at the 2017 deadline. They ended up getting back two pitchers for Jaime Garcia at that time, but later snagged Cave via trade this spring when he landed on waivers.

    Last summer, Cave was amidst a slugging breakout at Triple-A, hitting 15 home runs in 72 games after previously totaling 24 in 568 career contests.

    "He made some adjustments that we thought led to the power surge that he had, and we think those will continue going forward," said Falvey when the Twins acquired Cave in March. So far, that assessment has proven astute.

    The 25-year-old outfielder has launched a dozen home runs, which would've been a career-high before last year's 20. Six of those have come in the majors, including an absolutely majestic blast to straightaway center on Sunday that flashed his raw strength. Cave went to a part of Target Field only three have reached before: Jim Thome, Byungho Park, Miguel Sano.

    Through 164 plate appearances in the big leagues, Cave has tallied 17 extra-base hits with a .480 slugging percentage – awfully impressive for a guy who slugged .398 through four minor-league seasons prior to 2017. As a semi-random comparison, Michael Cuddyer slugged .399 with 14 extra-base hits through his first 164 plate appearances in the majors.

    The MLB sample size remains small, but Cave has looked very capable at the plate and he's also a strong runner – albeit not a burner – with the makings of an asset in the outfield. He's a bit stretched in center, and his rookie season has been marred by some painful defensive blunders, but that'll happen.

    Given what the Twins risked to get Cave – Luis Gil, a 20-year-old righty currently at rookie ball in the Yankees system, and Kennys Vargas, who was DFA'd to make room but ended up back here anyway – the move looks like a slam dunk. Cave probably won't be a full-time starter but he can be a valuable bench piece or platoon mate, and the Twins control him through age 30.

    Tyler Austin, 1B: Acquired in July from NYY along with RHP Luis Rijo for RHP Lance Lynn

    Last offseason, one of Minnesota's top needs was a right-handed masher for the bench, to complement a predominantly left-handed lineup. It went unaddressed, and still existed when the Twins were able to bring Austin aboard in the Lance Lynn trade.

    Scavenging 40-man casualties from one of baseball's best systems is a strategy that's now paid off in the form of multiple instantly productive power hitters. Austin was the odd bat out in a loaded mix for the Yankees, but offers a welcome infusion for Minnesota. Through eight games in the new uniform he already has three homers, a double, and six RBIs.

    With 298 plate appearances under his belt, Austin has a .487 slugging percentage in the majors, and a 1.075 OPS against left-handed pitching. He's solid at first, and can play the outfield corners in a pinch. In others words, he's pretty much exactly what this offense needed – a gem of a find. And all the Twins had to do was expend four months, several groans, and a few million bucks on a non-performing malcontent.

    Oliver Drake, RP: Acquired in August off waivers from TOR

    We're dealing with small samples in all cases here, and Drake's is tinier than either of the above. So the praise here needs to be qualified with that. However... he has looked really, really good.

    On Monday night, Drake ran his hitless streak as a Twin to 8 1/3 innings by tossing two perfect frames with four strikeouts. He has now averaged 10.1 K/9 rate as a big-leaguer – albeit with a 4.67 ERA and 1.48 WHIP – and his Triple-A numbers are immaculate: 1.80 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 12.7 K/9.

    Much like lefty bullpen counterpart Gabriel Moya, Drake plays up his unspectacular fastball with a quirky delivery and standout offspeed pitch that give hitters fits. The 31-year-old has pitched for a record five different MLB teams this season, which speaks to his perceived expendability, but in a way, it also speaks to the opposite.

    He's hardly entrenched already as a long-term bullpen cog, but Drake adds another very intriguing arm to the mix going forward. Like Cave and Austin, the Twins can control him very reasonably for a long time if they desire.

    These sort of pickups aren't necessarily the flashiest, but they're crafty, and each could pay immense dividends as affordable components alongside those central building blocks in the sustainable winner Falvey envisions.

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    The Players Project

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      On 8/22/2018 at 5:16 PM, Twins33 said:

    The Twins payroll was 128 or so this year. The Twins would have to be at 135M to spend that extra Hughes money. If they don't go that high, all it did was save the Pohlad's money (or hopefully gives them money flexibility at next years trade deadline). They've also said they don't bank money (what's saved this year isn't put towards next years available money).

    I think the Twins may end up short of last years attendance levels by about 70K, so revenue will probably be slightly down. And who knows if the Pohlad's will keep allowing them to spend like this. They should but you never know.

    I think people have said that they'd have to spend something like at least 50 million to even use that extra Hughes money. So they'd have to sign at least one of Harper, Machado or Kershaw. I don't see it happening but it would be great.

    You are certainly entitled to your opinion. I had drinks with Jim Pohlad the other day after work. He told me they will use the 7.25M in free agency or donate it to Save the Whales.

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      On 8/22/2018 at 5:39 PM, diehardtwinsfan said:

    that, and they didn't have much competition for him... The Twins probably would have put him in AAA had he resigned, but he was smart enough to know that he would be behind Slegers, Gonsalves, Littell, Mejia, and Romero (and based on his results, he should have been). He wasn't bad in AA, he just wasn't lights out either. My point though is that the Giants didn't give him a 40 man spot either. I really don't fault the Twins for anything there, and he was one of my personal favorites. 

     

    Also, Rodriguez spent his first 3 years in MN as a CF. It wasn't hard to see the potential here, but there's only so many 40 man spots. 

    I agree with all that (except the starting in AAA), it is just hard to understand converting him to a pitcher and then letting him go before he has a real chance to take off. I also understand after the Twins didn't put him on the 40 he got to pick the best spot for him, and I give him all the credit for picking the Giants .

    Just another side effect of trying to compete for the division title this year and Sano, Buxton and others crapping the bed because if the Twins were still in the race we won't be talking about losing what looks like a pretty good pitcher.

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      On 8/21/2018 at 12:04 PM, mikelink45 said:

    I am against high K guys so Austin will never be among my favorites.  Cave is definitely the best of the lot and if he moved Grossman on I will be pleased.

    Cave's K% is 31%.  Grossman's is 22%.  Just saying.

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    I hope the FO does't fall in love with any of these guys.  Austin is intriguing, but with his K-rate, he's right on the edge of Chris Carter'ing himself out of baseball.  Cave strikes out a ton for a guy that figures to have middling power...and he's left-handed.  I don't even pretend to know what Drake is at this point.  These guys were better solutions that we were deploying...but are they going to move the needle for a contending team?  Maybe.

     

    Likewise, the losses of guys like D. Rodriguez, R Rosario, and Chargois are not particularly offensive, IMO.  There were legitimate reasons for choosing not to carry these guys.

     

    I'd put all of the above in the category of normal season-to-season roster shuffling noise IMO.  You always win a few and lose a few.

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      On 8/21/2018 at 3:18 PM, alarp33 said:

    Remove Jake Cave, add Zach Granite and you could've wrote the same post last July. 

     

    It's nice that the Twins have found what looks like a usable piece. But it's not "hate" to acknowledge the extremely small sample size and luck driven factors.  

     

    Those pointing out sample size caution are spot on in my opinion. 

     

    On the other hand... those who are already labeling them as AAAA or replaceable are disappointing to me personally. 

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      On 8/22/2018 at 6:40 PM, jkcarew said:

    I hope the FO does't fall in love with any of these guys.  Austin is intriguing, but with his K-rate, he's right on the edge of Chris Carter'ing himself out of baseball.  Cave strikes out a ton for a guy that figures to have middling power...and he's left-handed.  I don't even pretend to know what Drake is at this point.  These guys were better solutions that we were deploying...but are they going to move the needle for a contending team?  Maybe.

     

    Likewise, the losses of guys like D. Rodriguez, R Rosario, and Chargois are not particularly offensive, IMO.  There were legitimate reasons for choosing not to carry these guys.

     

    I'd put all of the above in the category of normal season-to-season roster shuffling noise IMO.  You always win a few and lose a few.

     

    wow, that opinion of Austin doesn't jibe with the numbers this year at all....he's outhitting everyone on the Twins not named Logan or Eddie (and that's season stats, not just MN). Will he hit like this in a full year? Who knows.....but he's not close to Chris Carter right now.

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      On 8/22/2018 at 5:12 PM, SwainZag said:

     

    I don't see how anyone can complain about the Twins losing Rodriguez, he was on absolutely nobody's radar. He has pitched better in a small sample size in SF than in any level in the minor leagues.

     

    Wasn't identifying pitcher one of the big selling points of this front office? When you look at who they have picked up in the rule 5 draft and waiver compared to who they have lost through waivers, it's not very impressive.

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      On 8/22/2018 at 8:06 PM, Mike Sixel said:

    wow, that opinion of Austin doesn't jibe with the numbers this year at all....he's outhitting everyone on the Twins not named Logan or Eddie (and that's season stats, not just MN). Will he hit like this in a full year? Who knows.....but he's not close to Chris Carter right now.

    His overall K % in 2018 is almost 40...no? Probably worse against RH pitching? SSS...agree he’s looked better than that with the Twins. A solid “we’ll see”...more intriguing than the options we were deploying...who warrants a good long chance because when he hits it, it lands on the other side of the fense.

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      On 8/22/2018 at 5:16 PM, Twins33 said:

    The Twins payroll was 128 or so this year. The Twins would have to be at 135M to spend that extra Hughes money. If they don't go that high, all it did was save the Pohlad's money (or hopefully gives them money flexibility at next years trade deadline). They've also said they don't bank money (what's saved this year isn't put towards next years available money).

     

    I think the Twins may end up short of last years attendance levels by about 70K, so revenue will probably be slightly down. And who knows if the Pohlad's will keep allowing them to spend like this. They should but you never know.

     

    I think people have said that they'd have to spend something like at least 50 million to even use that extra Hughes money. So they'd have to sign at least one of Harper, Machado or Kershaw. I don't see it happening but it would be great.

    According to b-ref, attendance is down more than 1000 per game. That doesn’t factor in the two home games in Puerto Rico, from which the revenue was donated. And I would expect the per game averages to get worse as the team was in the race last year. I expect attendance to be off more than 100 K when the PR games are factored in.

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      On 8/22/2018 at 3:04 PM, drivlikejehu said:

    So what you're saying is, Falvey's bullpen has performed better in both of his seasons than the one he inherited. OK.

    Ever hear of regression to the mean? 2016 was so bad, it was very likely to improve regardless of who was in charge. And of course, whatever improvement there has been consists largely of players they inherited too.

     

    Again, not saying they've failed or anything, but they haven't moved the needle much in the MLB pen yet. I'm open to discuss it if you want, but I'd rather not suffer any more of these "zingers" please.

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