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  • Three Potential Catcher Upgrades on the Trade Market


    Nick Nelson

    Now that we're into June, the MLB trade deadline is becoming visible on the horizon. As the Twins assess their needs, they find themselves in the rare position of feeling good about pitching depth. Reinforcements on that front will be arriving via the minors, or the disabled list.

    Even on the position-player side, Minnesota looks fairly well set, with one very notable exception.

    I believe they should be thinking big when it comes to acquiring a difference-maker at catcher. In fact, a blockbuster deal to bring in a long-term solution ought to be in play.

    Image courtesy of Orlando Ramirez, USA Today (J.T. Realmuto)

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    Heading into the season, I called out the team's questionable catching depth as a primary concern. The Twins just didn't have much in the way of established commodities behind starter Jason Castro (who himself was basically an average player).

    Two months in, Castro is out for the year and Minnesota's iffy catching depth is being put to the test. Mitch Garver had a solid April but since May 1st he is hitting .188/.278/.234 with three extra-base hits (all doubles) in 72 PA. The lack of production would be easy enough to live with if his defense stood out, but Paul Molitor doesn't appear to feel that way; why else would light-hitting minor-league journeyman Bobby Wilson (slashing .167/.196/.333 since his call-up) be getting so many reps?

    I'm not giving up on Garver but realistically, he was a fringe prospect who isn't showing much offensively here at age 27. There isn't a ton of upside there. All of the organization's best catching prospects remain several years away. And while Castro is under contract for 2019, he'll be returning as a 31-year-old coming off major knee surgery.

    The Twins could use a serious big-league addition at catcher, and not necessarily in the form of a 2018 rental. However, even that route would potentially yield a meaningful upgrade capable of making a pivotal impact.

    As I look at the current landscape around the majors, there are three opportunities I see for making a splash and reeling in some serious help behind the plate. Here they are, from the least dramatic to the most (and I've gotta admit, Option C is my favorite right now).

    Option A: Trade with the Atlanta Braves for Tyler Flowers

    The Braves, who find themselves leading the NL East here in June, aren't in position to be dumping valuable assets, but they could live without Flowers. The 32-year-old is having another good season, slashing .270/.403/.444 after posting an .823 OPS last year, but he's in a timeshare with fellow veteran backstop (and former Twin) Kurt Suzuki.

    Even with their surprisingly strong start, the Braves are still a young, future-minded team. Presumably they'd be open to shipping out Flowers, who's eligible for free agency after this season, in exchange for controllable talent with upside. Flowers has far more MLB experience than any of Minnesota's present fixtures, and is considered a strong pitch framer. Plus, his OBP skills would bolster the lower half of the Twins lineup.

    A Suzuki reunion would also be possible, I suppose, but I prefer Flowers as a fit for this team.

    Option B: Trade with the Oakland Athletics for Jonathan Lucroy

    When Oakland signed Lucroy to a one-year, $6.5 million deal around the same time in March that Minnesota added Lance Lynn, it was assumed he'd be used as trade bait around the deadline. And even though the A's find themselves above the .500 mark two months in, that's still the likely plan. They have no real shot at contending in a division with three clearly superior teams.

    The price to acquire Lucroy would probably be higher than a Flowers type, but not by a ton. At 31, Lucroy isn't the offensive force he once was — he has only one home run thus far — but he's a capable hitter and a steady vet with a .264 average and .338 OBP dating back to the start of last year.

    Option C: Trade with the Miami Marlins for J.T. Realmuto

    This is the "aim high" option and — in many ways — a very logical one. Unlike Flowers and Lucroy, Realmuto is still relatively young (he turned 27 in March) with multiple years of team control (he's arbitration eligible through 2020). He's also very good, with a .761 career OPS and a .301/.359/.510 line this year.

    The Marlins were shopping Realmuto during the offseason, but he was one of the few attractive assets they ended up keeping (much to his chagrin). The Nationals are among the clubs that made a run at him, but ultimately they couldn't meet Miami's asking price. This tells us Minnesota will have to pony up if they want to make something happen, especially since Realmuto's having an excellent season.

    But from my view, names like Stephen Gonsalves and Nick Gordon should be on the table. Realmuto is just that kind of commodity, capable of making a franchise-altering impact as the Twins (hopefully) enter their contention window.

    What do you think? Do you have a preference among these options? Perhaps another trade scenario strikes your fancy? Or would you be satisfied with staying the course, letting Garver stay in the driver's seat while hoping someone like newly signed Triple-A farmhand Cameron Rupp can step in if needed?

    Please share your thoughts in the comments if you've got 'em.

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    Jose Rodriguez

    GCL Twins - Rookie, OF
    Jose Rodriguez was the Twins Daily short-season minor-league hitter of the year. He is at the Dominican facilities for spring training now but will likely join Extended Spring Training in Fort Myers.

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      On 6/11/2018 at 1:36 PM, spycake said:

    Question marks, sure, but Buxton is your best bet in CF right now. He's not getting replaced before 2019. Same for Sano, really, although it might not be at 3B.

     

    3 of the guys you mention replacing just signed here on fairly cheap 1 year deals. I think those positions are easier to address in free agency. (And we may have enough pitchers to not worry too much about further external replacements, especially considering we have team options on Santana and Rodney.)

     

    And we're flush with cash after the season. We can easily re-sign Dozier and/or Escobar if we want too.

     

    What is your plan for 2019 at catcher? Here are the potential free agents:

    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/12/2018-19-mlb-free-agents.html

     

    Drew Butera (35)
    Robinson Chirinos (35) — $2.375MM club option with a $100K buyout
    A.J. Ellis (38)
    Tyler Flowers (33)
    Yasmani Grandal (30)
    Nick Hundley (35)
    Jonathan Lucroy (33)
    Martin Maldonado (32)
    Jeff Mathis (36)
    Brian McCann (35) — $15MM club/player option
    Devin Mesoraco (31)
    Miguel Montero (35)
    Wilson Ramos (31)
    Rene Rivera (35)
    Kurt Suzuki (35)
    Matt Wieters (33)

     

    Note this also suggests the Dodgers, Astros, Nationals, Braves, etc. could be looking for catchers too, so there would be competition.

     

    Let me throw a hypothetical example of what I'm talking about. The purpose isn't to discuss the hypothetical names chosen at the granular level because I have no idea how much a free agent will cost or what teams will give up what players.

     

    This is for a broad sense of how the resources it would take to acquire Realmuto could provide more bang for the buck. I'm not taking the time to research how many years of control or salary for this exercise. This is just for a general sense. 

     

    Catcher:

    Castro (If Castro can't play - Get Mathis or the Best Defensive guy you can find) 

    Garver 

    AAA Depth: Best AAAA Guy you can find. 

     

    1B-3B:

    Mauer (Or FA Matt Adams if Mauer retires). Matt Adams can also play a little OF on occasion. 

    Eugenio Saurez (Trade with the same pieces it would have taken to trade for Realmuto... They take the prospects and replace him with Senzel).   

    Sano - Can play 1B-3B-DH (Let him compete for the Lions Share of playing time. 

    AAA Depth - Kennys Vargas or someone like Mark Reynolds. 

     

    2B-SS:

    Polanco

    Eduardo Escobar (Please bring him back... whatever it takes... He is capable at so many positions)

    Jurickson Profar (Free Agent Signing) Multiple Positions... Can also play OF. 

    AAA Depth: Nick Gordon

     

    OF:

    Rosario

    Kepler

    Buxton

    Reds OF in the Suarez Trade (Duvall or Schebler) 

    AAA Depth: Lamonte Wade

     

    Do not sign a dedicated DH... The DH spot can be used to get the extra bats in the lineup instead of a guy like Morrison who is 1B only clogging things up. 

     

    Now... This is just a quick example of what can be done to build depth and provide insurance in case any of the players are playing like Buxton, Sano and Morrison have been playing this year.... you are also protected against injuries should they occur and they do. You will have honest to god competition at all positions. 

     

    A good manager will manage the playing time obviously but a good manager can find a way to do it based on Hot/Cold and Matchups or gut... Like Maddon does, Like Roberts Does, Like Hinch Does, Like Martinez Does.  I'm not sure that Molitor is that guy but he won't have to tolerate a sub-par performance anywhere with a roster like this. (Besides Catcher of course).  ;)

     

    You might be able to spend a little more on a Catcher if you'd like and you have money left over after addressing the Bullpen. 

     

    Here's a sample lineup:

     

    Kepler - RF

    Escobar - 2B

    Saurez - 3B

    Rosario - LF

    Sano - 1B

    Adams/Duvall - DH

    Polanco/Profar - SS

    Garver/Castro - C

    Buxton - CF

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

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