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  • The Scouting Skinny: Brendan McKay


    Jeremy Nygaard

    Twins Daily is very happy to announce that Jeremy Nygaard will be providing occasional insider news/rumors on the Twins deliberations in the upcoming MLB Draft. The first was last Friday which we're copying below. But that won't often be the case; to be sure to get them sign up for the Twins Daily email list at the bottom of this story or in the upper-right hand corner of this page.

    As most national media publications have started to release their mock drafts, there’s been a lot of momentum in the direction of Brendan McKay from Louisville. That’s probably a fair place to be five weeks from the draft, but I’ve been told that the organization has “cast a wide net” in their search for the top overall selection. College first baseman Pavin Smith of Virginia and prep right-handed hurler Shane Baz of Texas remain in consideration as well as other prominent names such as Hunter Greene, Royce Lewis and Kyle Wright.

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    McKay is an interesting case. At the beginning of the season, the preference for McKay was as a left-handed pitcher. A “bigger Ted Lilly” one scout called him, saying he’d be, at worst, a “solid #3” for a long time. McKay, who should win his third straight John Olerud Two-Way Player of the Year Award, has done nothing but raise expectations this season. As a pitcher, he’s thrown 67.0 innings and struck out 95. Opponents have hit only .172 and his WHIP is 0.84. While other top college throwers came out of the gates slowly, McKay had performed at a very high level all season until giving up nine earned runs over his last two starts.

    How much should be made of those two starts? McKay has still struck out more than a batter an inning and given up less than a hit and walk per inning pitched. If it’s me - and nothing alarming has happened with his velocity or delivery, and by all accounts, it hasn’t - I’m putting very little stock into two less-than-ideal starts.

    The thing that makes McKay so intriguing is that along with being arguably the best pitcher in college baseball, he is also arguably the best hitter in college baseball. Everyone knew he could hit - he hit .326 for the Collegiate National Team last summer and hit over .300 in both seasons at Louisville - but he took it to another level this spring. Currently slashing .390/.511/.747 (1.258), McKay has evaluators reconsidering what his long-term positional home should be.

    Sorry guys, it won’t be as a two-way player. But you’re not getting this exclusive newsletter in your email to tell you that. You’ve read national media that says they’d take McKay as a first baseman. Others say pitcher.

    It’s conceivable that the Twins select Brendan McKay next month as a “pitcher/first baseman” and truly mean it. You can bump McKay up as a pitcher because if that doesn’t work, he can be a big-league hitter. You can bump McKay up as a hitter because if that doesn’t work, he can be a big-league pitcher. Or as one Twins source told me, it’s “kind of like having a chip on red and black.”

    The Twins have long had a philosophy of trying to take the best player regardless of position. This is a case where Brendan McKay might just be the best player in the draft regardless of his position. If that’s what the organization truly decides, they will take Brendan McKay, best player available, and figure out the rest later.

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    At some point the "blame" of a top prospect busting out lies more on the player development staff and less on scouts. Every scout and GM knows who has the best talent/skills now. Getting those abilities to translate from prep or college to MLB is the job of minor league coaches and staff.

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    There will be pitchforks if they pick the wrong guy, that's why I propose everyone here picks their preferred player and lists him in their signature. We will then have Brock lock that feature so it will be stamped on our posts until the end of time (or the end of the internet, whichever comes first). Then upon the draft and every day henceforth if our player was not selected by the Twins and he is better than the guy the Twins did select, we may denounce the team for their inferior draft acumen.

     

    Everyone who picked an inferior player must keep their trap shut about the draft.

    Brilliant!!!

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    At some point the "blame" of a top prospect busting out lies more on the player development staff and less on scouts. Every scout and GM knows who has the best talent/skills now. Getting those abilities to translate from prep or college to MLB is the job of minor league coaches and staff.

    And the GM hires the development staff - as well as the scouts.

    So it doesn't matter whose "fault" it is, to me, the buck stops with the GM- or whatever a given team calls their top boss.

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    And the GM hires the development staff - as well as the scouts.

    So it doesn't matter whose "fault" it is, to me, the buck stops with the GM- or whatever a given team calls their top boss.

    Falvey and Levine really haven't had a chance yet to weed the minor league garden. I suspect there will be many changes this offseason. The previous regime failed to hold the development staff accountable IMO. Too much country club attitude. Seriously, AAA pitchjng coach Stu Cliburn was hired by Andy MacPhail. Cliburn has literally coached almost every pitcher that has come up the ladder since he started in 1993. One notable exception is Brad Radke. It just happened that Radke advanced in the system a year ahead of Cliburn. Many have noted that he was one of the last solid career pitchers drafted and developed by the Twins. A lot of people probably would have noticed the timing coincided with Cliburn's hiring a long time ago. I am sure he's a wonderful person, but that isn't what he is paid for. He's paid to develop pitchers.

     

    Why am I picking on him? Well, his longevity for one. Second, his now infamous quote regarding Jose Berrios, something like "I don't know why he was so good in AAA and so bad in MLB." Dude, you are PAID to know why and then try to fix it. Could Cliburn have been playing coy to protect Berrios? Sure. But Molitor hasn't been shy about giving a specific reason.

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    There will be pitchforks if they pick the wrong guy, that's why I propose everyone here picks their preferred player and lists him in their signature. We will then have Brock lock that feature so it will be stamped on our posts until the end of time (or the end of the internet, whichever comes first). Then upon the draft and every day henceforth if our player was not selected by the Twins and he is better than the guy the Twins did select, we may denounce the team for their inferior draft acumen.

     

    Everyone who picked an inferior player must keep their trap shut about the draft.

     

    so, next year when the world ends, I'm good to complain?

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    So if the front office doesn't pick the guy we want we get to get upset now. If they do pick the guy we want but he busts we get to get upset later?

    Seems like the only way they get a pass is if they pick the guy we want and it's the right decision.

     

    the internets, dude, the internets....

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    so, next year when the world ends, I'm good to complain?

     

    No because it's going to end with the last out of game 7 of the World Series when Hunter Greene of the Twins blows a heater by some poor Cub with such velocity that it splits the planet in two.

     

    Going out on top baby!

     

    Bummer we'll miss the parade though.

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