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  • Suspension Shouldn’t Factor into Potential Pineda Reunion


    Sabir Aden

    Michael Pineda's current contract with the Twins will end with him under suspension. So his comeback season was tainted and this is the end of the story for him in Minnesota, right? Wrong. He's among the best free agent starting pitchers and this will be a Twins team thirsty for rotation help.

    Image courtesy of © David Berding-USA TODAY Sports

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    We all have that perception of what PEDs looks like.

    Artificial, manufactured bulk. Insatiable supplement drive. Drug-hungry monsters covered with knots and curls of the synthetic side-effects of the phony, lifestyle they can only bootleg themselves into believing. Above all, they’re cheaters.

    We all have dismay and disdain for cheaters, and its palpable. The inequity of those that load themselves with anabolics over those that play natural is stigmatic enough, but the impression that those cheaters are head and shoulders above competitors while playing with an abnormal, unfair and skewed advantage, especially when the PEDS are wildly condemned, is truly preposterous.

    Was Michael Pineda even using PEDs? All we know he has been suspended for testing positive for a drug identified as a masking agent, but that fact teams feel it's necessary to censor and exempt those who "juiced" before entering the free agent market doesn’t make sense.

    Since 2010 there have been 26 players of notable significance to be suspended by the MLB for PEDs juicing.

    ccs-8747-0-35968500-1568506497_thumb.png

    And as you can, this graph pretty much debunk the myth that players with juicing ‘enhanced’ their performance by yielded results by aggregate.

    The Twins face crucial decisions in regard to all three of their pending free agent starting pitchers. As the gap between legitimate starters becomes wider, it’s especially crucial for teams to equip themselves with effective starters.

    With his climbing velocity and swinging strike percentages, I would especially encourage the Twins to approach Pineda with an extension. This may be more of the fact that Jake Odorizzi and Kyle Gibson pose more concerns.

    History has shown that after Tommy John surgery, velocity actually increases. Pineda was also showing impressive command. Of any free agent pitcher to have thrown 1,000 pitches this season, Michael Pineda leads every single one of them (including Gerritt Cole) in Quality Of Pitch Average. QOP is a patent-pending proprietary regression model that factors in mph, location, and movement (vertical break, horizontal break, breaking distance and rise).

    Not that Gerritt Cole wouldn’t be my dream acquisition, but location and movement gives a better testament to the longevity and success of a pitcher. This coupled with rising velocity, an insanely good knack for hitting the strike zone (third of any free agent pitcher) and three pitches trending above average (changeup, fastball and slider) make Pineda an even more appealing candidate.

    Reasons why the Twins shouldn't consider a reunion with Pineda are few and far between. They more than likely lie in the composition of your own values, ethics and morals than the actual product. Nelson Cruz is a prime example of why you shouldn’t allow a failed PED test to influence your psyche, because Cruz ended up posting a 3.6 WAR season after his suspension.

    The even more important thing I want to bring to light is the reasoning behind the PEDs usage. Below is Pineda's statement after the suspension was announced.

    “I mistakenly took a medication that was given to me by a close acquaintance, who obtained it over-the-counter and assured me it would safely help me manage my weight. I ingested a a few of these pills without the consent of the Twins’ training staff. Testing revealed trace elements of a substance called Hydrochloride, which is a banned diuretic under baseball’s testing program.”

    Take it for what it’s worth, but the fact that he felt it was necessary for him to regulate his weight is a deeply ingrained perspective, grounded in and molded by the stereotypes we insist players must adhere to.

    How often do we as fans judge players with striking weight or size problems and reduce them with slander saying they can't perform? I consider it bigotry that someone with weight issues should be slandered because of his weight, and anything below excellent performance be pointed to as a corollary aftereffect of that dysfunction.

    So would it be fair to say that the suspension may have been the net result of our preconceived notions that drove him to search for weight recovery?

    Let me know what you think in the comments.

    Please follow me for more discussion @Sabir_Aden.

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    One thing that should be noted is that from the things I've read, Pineda took Hydrochlorothiazide, which you can't get OTC. It has to be prescribed.

     

    So unless it's been erroneously reported, and I haven't seen an update to the story, he's lying about what he took. That, to me, is also a pretty big thing.

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    Of course Michael Pineda was using steroids. Are we going to feign stupidity? Athletes cheat all the time these days. I'm not going to forgive it or forget it, because it's just a fact of life in a capitalist society. People that grow up desperate for financial security will lie, cheat and steal to get it. Even people that grow up rich will lie, cheat and steal to stay rich.

     

    Now, if we have all thrown off our baby one piece jammies, should the Twins pitch a contract to Pineda? Heck yeah, he was a bargain basement special, and he might go slightly under top dollar to make things right with the Twins. He did put the team in a pickle by getting caught. He needs to learn to build his body legally. It can be done. Meanwhile, Pineda looks great on the mound for this team. Innings eating horse, with ace potential. Keep the man in Minnesota. 

     

    I agree with everything you've said. 

     

    I would only add: "Umm, We gotta sign someone". 

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    Tough Criticism. I never in the article said that Pineda’s injury history or PEDs should be specifically ignored in the aggregate, but expecting him to trend upwards and not downwards would and should be a realistic possibility coupled with a low price tag, making him a very realistic option for resigning. There has never been a baseball team to enter the season with 5, and come out with 5 starters with 30+ starts in who knows how long. That’s just reality now. And given three roster spots have come open, the fruits for possibility are endless. I thought exploring this possibility was intriguing and that I’d get mixed bag reactions. I assumed that readers would enter this with open, impartial view and not be vindictive and resentful. Obviously I was wrong. I apologize if my content wasn’t up to your standards. I’ll try harder next time.

     

    I think it's a good article with a legitimate question. 

     

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    Remember, if they have one or two rookies starting as part of the plan, Pinedas placeholder for eight to ten starts will be the next guy. And when there is an injury, the next guy.

    How deep do people think the help in the minors is to start the year?

     

    I'd prefer that they don't hand a job to anyone and call them a placeholder. 

     

    We will need 8 starters at least throughout the year. I'd like to see all 8 competing for the 5 spots and I think it would be wise for Pineda to be one of those 8. 

     

    If the front office views it from your standpoint.

     

    If they plan to sign Pineda and use Player X until Pineda returns, knowing Player X is going to be a sub par pitcher. Already knowing that they will send Player X away when Pineda returns, neat and clean like a Hollywood script. 

     

    Then it would be a horrible idea. 

     

    In that Scenerio... They should still sign Pineda and find a better player than player X. 

     

    Signing Pineda should not prevent them from finding a legitimate arm for that 5th spot in the rotation. 

     

     

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    I would note that the need for a 5th starter at the beginning of the season is somewhat muted. Obviously, you have an issue b/c it's 40 games, but it's really not going to be much of an issue until May timeframe, so if they aren't going after a big name, I'm fine with something like this.

    The effect of the suspension depends on the rest of the rotation depth. I'm not against signing Pineda, for the record. If the Twins make a bigger rotation upgrade, I'd be fine with it.

     

    If Pineda is your 2 or 3 starter, then the suspension creates a bigger vaccuum. And regardless of the schedule, there will probably be a need for a 5th starter earlier than expected.

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    I'd prefer that they don't hand a job to anyone and call them a placeholder. 

     

    We will need 8 starters at least throughout the year. I'd like to see all 8 competing for the 5 spots and I think it would be wise for Pineda to be one of those 8. 

     

    If the front office views it from your standpoint.

     

    If they plan to sign Pineda and use Player X until Pineda returns, knowing Player X is going to be a sub par pitcher. Already knowing that they will send Player X away when Pineda returns, neat and clean like a Hollywood script. 

     

    Then it would be a horrible idea. 

     

    In that Scenerio... They should still sign Pineda and find a better player than player X. 

     

    Signing Pineda should not prevent them from finding a legitimate arm for that 5th spot in the rotation. 

     

    So, find four good pitchers, plus Pineda, in the off season? Has any team ever done that?

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    I would note that the need for a 5th starter at the beginning of the season is somewhat muted. Obviously, you have an issue b/c it's 40 games, but it's really not going to be much of an issue until May timeframe, so if they aren't going after a big name, I'm fine with something like this.

    Its becoming more and more rare for teams to start the season with 4 starters.

     

    In the specific case of the 2020 Twins they start the season Mar 26 with 8 straight scheduled games (@ Oak and Seattle for 7 straight, then the home opener) before they get a scheduled day off. Then only 5 off days sprinkled through April.

     

    So I don't think they will even consider 4 starters.

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    One thing that should be noted is that from the things I've read, Pineda took Hydrochlorothiazide, which you can't get OTC. It has to be prescribed.

     

    So unless it's been erroneously reported, and I haven't seen an update to the story, he's lying about what he took. That, to me, is also a pretty big thing.

    It could be a big thing or it may simply be due to the fact that Pineda probably doesn't spend his offseasons in the states. Let's not forget that just because a pill has to be prescribed in this country that the same applies to the rest of the world.

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    The article was well thought out. My feeling is that in todays world of testing and suspension, it was real bad form for him to get caught, just when Twins needed him the most. Trying to beat the Yanks or anyone else in postseason requires topnotch pitching and for the most part he was their best. Let his teammates down? You betcha. did he 'say' all the right things" He said what they pretty much all say after being caught.  If the Twins were 49-100 like Baltimore, big whoop. But they have a shot at it all and he just put a real wound in that shot.  I don't buy any excuse. None.

     

    Should Twins re-sign him? Depends on how they feel about their rotation going forward. They didn't throw Polanco to the curb and look at the contributions he's made. But Pineda certainly did his teammates no favors. For that I believe he owes the team 'something'. The players have closed ranks...publicly...which is fine. But secretly I don't think they can or should be real happy.

     

    And it matters not if the PED's help him or not. In 2019, there are rules and he broke them. THAT's what matters...whether we like the rules or not. (and many don't)

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    Frankly, i think the posters that are accusing him of using PED's are over the line.  He wasn't suspended for using a PED, he was suspended for using a banned substance that, among other uses is used to possibly mask a PED.There is a difference, a pretty big one, IMO. They wouldn't have reduced his suspension if there were any hints of him using a PED, say an elevated but not out of range T/E ratio.

     

    It's interesting the different reactions to Polanco's suspension compared to Pineda's. But one is home grown draftee who people followed through the minors to the big leagues and the other is an "outsider" who was signed to a relatively low risk high reward flyer.

     

     

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    Frankly, i think the posters that are accusing him of using PED's are over the line. He wasn't suspended for using a PED, he was suspended for using a banned substance that, among other uses is used to possibly mask a PED.There is a difference, a pretty big one, IMO. They wouldn't have reduced his suspension if there were any hints of him using a PED, say an elevated but not out of range T/E ratio.

     

    It's interesting the different reactions to Polanco's suspension compared to Pineda's. But one is home grown draftee who people followed through the minors to the big leagues and the other is an "outsider" who was signed to a relatively low risk high reward flyer.

    One is a long time veteran who should know better. The other was not established at all, and was trying to make it. That's one of the differences for me. But it's cool you assumed why people feel the way they do.

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    One is a long time veteran who should know better. The other was not established at all, and was trying to make it. That's one of the differences for me. But it's cool you assumed why people feel the way they do.

    Yep. Going into this season, Pineda had made roughly $16m in MLB salary.

     

    Guys who have made $16m (plus $8m this season) need to be smarter than that.

     

    With that said, if I can nab both Pineda and Gibson for ~$15m combined next season, I do it without hesitating.

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    This is the big thing that I believe was missing in the article. That and what kind of numbers to offer Pineda for a contract.

     

    You don't get your suspension reduced from 80 games to 60 games with an arbiter for the first time in the history of MLB's drug testing program because they actually thought he was using PEDs. He was just stupid for taking something without asking the Twins about it first. 

    Given that he expressed contrition for the error and wants to come back to the Twins the FO would be foolish to not explore bringing him back. 2 year deal at TBD dollar amount with some kind of vesting or team option would be ideal.

    Frankly, i think the posters that are accusing him of using PED's are over the line.  He wasn't suspended for using a PED, he was suspended for using a banned substance that, among other uses is used to possibly mask a PED.There is a difference, a pretty big one, IMO. They wouldn't have reduced his suspension if there were any hints of him using a PED, say an elevated but not out of range T/E ratio.

     

    It's interesting the different reactions to Polanco's suspension compared to Pineda's. But one is home grown draftee who people followed through the minors to the big leagues and the other is an "outsider" who was signed to a relatively low risk high reward flyer.

     

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    I think the article was well written.

     

    All I'll say is that Id rather that the Twins not suddenly have a reputation of having a bunch of starters who have been busted for banned drugs in a high profile way. It makes an organization look bad. Didnt someone from Cleveland take a shot at Polanco this past weekend?

     

    Bonds, Sosa, McGwire, Palmeiro, and Clemens really soured me on baseball for awhile.

     

    Just my opinion. Like I said....it was a well written and interesting article.

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    Yes, but the only thing that mattered was the shot Polanco took on Cleveland to win a baseball game.

     

    Yep, and it left Clevinger feeling like the movie he always seems to be auditioning for - "Dazed and Confused".

     

    Twins Underground Marketing should have a bunch of inflatable "FAH Q" paddles ready to handout at his next TF start.  That would be awesome!

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    I don't think we should take an Oh,no! approach because he was caught using PEDs. To begin, 2 of our cornerstone players right now, Cruz and Polanco, had PED-related suspensions. And nobody cares. Second, of course the suspension will be a factor on the negotiation of the contract. Third, even when many people is assuming that he took the diuretic to mask something, MLB specifically reduced the suspension because they found no evidence that he was trying to mask anything. So, an extension for Pineda could be a good move for next year.

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    I don't think we should take an Oh,no! approach because he was caught using PEDs. To begin, 2 of our cornerstone players right now, Cruz and Polanco, had PED-related suspensions. And nobody cares. Second, of course the suspension will be a factor on the negotiation of the contract. Third, even when many people is assuming that he took the diuretic to mask something, MLB specifically reduced the suspension because they found no evidence that he was trying to mask anything. So, an extension for Pineda could be a good move for next year.

    Not to nitpick, but I've seen this a few times, and I think it should be clarified. MLB did not reduce his suspension. An independent arbitrator did.

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    I'm wondering if Pineda had just dropped his appeal, served his suspension, if he wouldn't be back on the field already and ready to prove himself in the playoffs and be ready to go spring training with a respectable MLB contract. All those years on the Yankees, and he never made a post-season roster. 

     

    Hard pass for 2020.

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    I'm wondering if Pineda had just dropped his appeal, served his suspension, if he wouldn't be back on the field already and ready to prove himself in the playoffs and be ready to go spring training with a respectable MLB contract. All those years on the Yankees, and he never made a post-season roster.

     

    Hard pass for 2020.

    Players suspended for a failed test are not eligible for the postseason, even if their suspension ends before then.

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    Players suspended for a failed test are not eligible for the postseason, even if their suspension ends before then.

     

    I assumed that too, when the news came out, but someone in an earlier thread corrected that to say they are eligible. 

     

    Guess I'm not sure then. 

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    Players suspended for a failed test are not eligible for the postseason, even if their suspension ends before then.

     

    I was wrong. But you were not quite correct. :) (kidding). If the arbitration panel had reduced Pineda's suspension in time for Pineda to serve the reduced suspension before the season ended, then Pineda would have been eligible for the postseason through an exception per Joint Drug Agreement 7.H.2. at the very end of that paragraph.

     

    Here was the post I was thinking of. http://twinsdaily.com/topic/34800-front-page-michael-pineda-suspended-60-games-for-banned-substance/?p=911565

     

    If Pineda had dropped his appeal, he would not have qualified for that exception, even if he had completed serving the suspension before the season ended. 

     

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    Of course Michael Pineda was using steroids. Are we going to feign stupidity? Athletes cheat all the time these days. I'm not going to forgive it or forget it, because it's just a fact of life in a capitalist society. People that grow up desperate for financial security will lie, cheat and steal to get it. Even people that grow up rich will lie, cheat and steal to stay rich.

     

    I am certain that no athlete from a communist or any other society would lie or cheat or steal.

     

    Human nature maybe?

     

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    There might be an argument that Pineda is among the top 5 starters but I would put him somewhere like 7th or 8th.  The benefit is the potential discount that you could get for him but there is serious downside with him.  Even without the multiple cheating suspensions, he is about as injury prone as they come.

     

    When healthy and not suspended, he is good.  Would you bet that he goes an entire season without injury? His 2011 rookie season and 2016 are the only IL free seasons he has had over the 9 seasons.

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    There might be an argument that Pineda is among the top 5 starters but I would put him somewhere like 7th or 8th. The benefit is the potential discount that you could get for him but there is serious downside with him. Even without the multiple cheating suspensions, he is about as injury prone as they come.

     

    When healthy and not suspended, he is good. Would you bet that he goes an entire season without injury? His 2011 rookie season and 2016 are the only IL free seasons he has had over the 9 seasons.

    I think people are forgetting to aspect.... He's never healthy for a full year.

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    Ok, I thought you had a good argument going there until you made your comments about suggesting that people were bigoted for having a problem with Pineda controlling his weight. Good, rational, factual, conclusions fall silent when they are followed by a black-mailing straw-man argument.

    People aren’t mad at Big Mike because he's overweight; they’re mad at him because he’s left a really good, really promising, team in a awful lurch. So, Pineda might be a good extension candidate due to his stats, but you need to allow some people to look past that because of their disappointment.

    Sabir, you wrote a compelling article that made people think. You put yourself out there, so don’t apologize for an article “not measuring up”....ever. Next time just stick with the facts and stats and drop the arm-twisting bits at the end.

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    That last post does it for me. The biggest issue is Pineda let his team down at the worst possible time. Why he wasn't more careful with what he was using, I guess we'll never know. Sure seems like there are two camps here...one strongly suggests he was masking...the other strongly refutes that claim.

     

    But bottom line is we are out a very good starting pitcher because either he was cheating, or he was pretty stupid in how he handled his meds. Everyone loses.

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