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  • Official Twins Daily July Trade Deadline Thread


    Seth Stohs

    There are certain days in a baseball season that people just know, just remember. Opening Day is obviously a big one. At Twins Daily, the days of the MLB Draft are very busy and warrant their own thread. The July 31 Non-Waivers Trade Deadline is another one of those days. This article can be used to discuss any trades and rumors that happen up until the 3:00 deadline.

    Image courtesy of Linwood Ferguson (Max Kepler, Kohl Stewart)

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    Rumors certainly ran rampant throughout the day on Thursday. Things were fairly quiet on the Twins front, though talk picked up later in the evening regarding the San Diego Padres. Are the Padres going to sell? It certainly seems like it. Who are they looking to trade? Could Justin Upton really be of interest to the Twins, and if so, what would they have to give up to get him? Joaquin Benoit and Shawn Kelley are probably available. Which would the Twins prefer? Can, as Jeremy asked a couple of days ago, they really be interested in James Shields? Could they rid themselves of Ricky Nolasco’s contract at the same time?

    Now it sounds like the Padres and Astros (who have been busy this past week) are talking about relievers, so there will be competition for their players. The Yankees are reportedly now interested in Craig Kimbrel. My sense is that GM AJ Preller and the Padres will be quite busy on Friday.

    The Twins certainly have some trade chips. Buxton, Sano and Berrios are likely untouchable, but could Max Kepler be in play? If so, getting three hits (including two home runs) on Thursday night likely improves his value. He is now hitting .337/.418/.553 (.971) with 25 doubles, nine triples and six home runs in 77 games with the Lookouts. He has very good speed as evidenced by his nine triples but also his 13 stolen bases. He can play all three outfield positions and first base. If he is traded, the Twins had better get a nice haul for him! He’s certainly demanding people’s attention around baseball circles.

    Jorge Polanco played well in his start at shortstop on Thursday night, collecting two hits and getting on base three times. Would the Twins consider trading him, or would they prefer to deal Danny Santana? Would teams be interested in him?

    It was certainly noteworthy that the Twins flip-flopped LHP Stephen Gonsalves with RHP Kohl Stewart in the Ft. Myers rotation. Stewart had his scheduled start pushed from Thursday (before deadline) to Friday (after deadline). Could it be that they just felt Stewart needed a day off? Sure. Could it be that the Twins didn’t want to risk an injury to Stewart so that he could be traded? It sure could. Stewart’s name has popped up in rumors.

    Now, we know that the Twins typically are not huge players at the trade deadline. They aren’t typically a team that is going to give up a ton of high-quality prospects for elite talents. That said, they have been an active team most years at the deadline. Here’s a quick look at Twins moves in late July in recent years:

    • July 24, 2014 – Traded DH Kendrys Morales to Seattle for RHP Stephen Pryor.
    • July 31, 2014 – Traded OF Sam Fuld to Oakland for LHP Tommy Milone.
    • July 31, 2013 – Traded C Drew Butera to the LA Dodgers for a PTBNL (Miguel Sulburan).
    • July 28, 2012 – Traded LHP Francisco Liriano to the Chicago White Sox for IF Eduardo Escobar & LHP Pedro Hernandez.
    • July 29, 2010 – Traded LHP Joe Testa and C Wilson Ramos to Washington for RHP Matt Capps.
    • July 31, 2009 – Traded SS Tyler Ladendorf to Oakland for SS Orlando Cabrera.
    • July 31, 2007 – Traded 2B Luis Castillo to the NY Mets for OF Dustin Martin and C Drew Butera.
    • July 31, 2006 – Traded RHP Kyle Lohse to Cincinnati for RHP Zach Ward.
    • July 31, 2004 – Traded 1B Doug Mientkiewicz to Boston in a four-team traded, received LHP Justin Jones from the Cubs.
    • July 16, 2003 – Traded OF Bobby Kielty to Toronto for OF Shannon Stewart and a PTBNL (LHP Dave Gassner).
    • July 12, 2002 – Traded OF Brian Buchanan to San Diego for SS Jason Bartlett.
    • July 28, 2001 – Traded LHP Mark Redman to Detroit for RHP Todd Jones.
    • July 30, 2001 – Traded OF Matt Lawton to NY Mets for RHP Rick Reed.
    • July 15, 2000 – Traded OF Butch Huskey and 2B Todd Walker to Colorado for 1B Todd Sears.
    • July 31, 2000 – Traded 1B/OF Mario Valdez to Oakland for C Danny Ardoin.
    • July 31, 1998 – Traded OF Orlando Merced and LHP Greg Swindell to Boston for RHP Matt Kinney, OF John Barnes and LHP Joe Thomas.
    • July 6, 1995 – Traded RHP Rick Aguilera to Boston for RHP Frankie Rodriguez and PTBNL (OF JJ Johnson)
    • July 7, 1995 – Traded RHP Scott Erickson to Baltimore for RHP Scott Klingenbeck and PTBNL (OF Kimera Bartee)
    • July 31, 1995 – Traded LHP Mark Guthrie and RHP Kevin Tapani to LA Dodgers for IF Ron Coomer, RHP Greg Hansell, RHP Jose Parra and PTBNL (OF Chris Latham).
    • July 31, 1989 – Traded LHP Frank Viola to the NY Mets for RHP Rick Aguilera, RHP Kevin Tapani., LHP David West, RHP Tim Drummond and PTBNL (RHP Jack Savage).
    • July 31, 1987 – Traded PTBNL (RHP Jeff Perry) to Cleveland for LHP Steve Carlton.

    There is certainly a mix of good trades, bad trades and forgettable trades.

    The trade deadline this year has been surprising. There haven't been a lot of minor trades. There have been a lot of big names traded all over. Just five teams (including the Twins and the Padres) have yet to make a single move this month as we approach these final hours. I’d expect both of them to make moves on Friday.

    On Thursday, there was a crazy 13-player, three-team trade between the Dodgers, the Braves and the Marlins. Carlos Gomez thought he was going from Milwaukee to the Mets on Wednesday night. That trade was called off, and on Thursday he (and Mike Fiers) were dealt to Houston. After getting Troy Tulowitzki earlier in the week, the Blue Jays gave up LHP Daniel Norris and more to get David Price for the rest of this season. In case you missed it late on Wednesday night, the Rangers sent five prospects to the Phillies for Cole Hamels.

    It’s been a very interesting deadline and now we are on the actual day of the deadline. Sure, things will happen in August too, but it should be a very exciting day.

    Feel free to use this thread to discuss moves and rumors throughout the day, particularly those regarding the Minnesota Twins.

    Twins Daily will attempt to keep up with everything and if the team does make a deal, check back for even more coverage.

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    Could a James Shields trade center around Plouffe and a 8-15th ranked prospect?

     

    Please tell me something better is coming back.....Plouffe is a top 10 guy at his position. He should be netting a SS or C in AA or higher that you are virtually certain is a starter.

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    Broxton to the Cardinals.

     

    For a 20 yr old posting a .700 OPS in his third yr in rookie ball, without a position.

     

    Too steep a price for TR?

    Broxton's ERA this year is 5.89!

     

    Don't the Cardinals have a statistics department, how did they not see that?

     

     

     

     

    *bad sarcasm

    Edited by Hosken Bombo Disco
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    Rosario or Hicks absolutely should NOT be traded in order to dump Nolasco. The Twins have plenty of payroll flexibility and while it sucks having Nolasco's money on the books the Twins can easily just eat it instead of giving up a stud OF like Hicks or Rosario.

     

    preach it brother......

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    I particularly like being reminded that Washington had the ****'s to tell Bill Smith "Capps for Ramos? No deal. Not enough. You're going to need to add a minor leaguer to that, my friend. "

     

    And Smith said, "OK."

    Smith -"we'll give you Ramos for Capps."

     

    George Washington (or whoever their GM was) - "you mean proven closer Matt Capps? I dunno..."

    Edited by Boom Boom
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    Arcia is out of options after this year....Kepler has them. Again, that has huge value. I don't get this talk at all.

     

    I don't know if Thrylos compared Kepler and Arcia's relative current value so much as pointing out that including him in the conversations with the Buxtons and Sanos as an untouchable may be a bit over-the-top.  Kepler's had a huge year.  Is it repeatable moving up the class ladder?  

     

    Perhaps the most apt comparison for this thread between Arcia and Kepler would be thus:  What could we have gotten for Arcia 2 years ago.  What about now?  I don't want Kepler to go back and be average and have missed on Lucroy or Kimbrel or an impact guy because we over-valued our hand.

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    Mlb trade rumors saying the Houston ownership pressing for Chapman deal.

    THAT will be interesting.

    Man, it seems there is a 3-4 team race this deadline to see which American League team can give up the most prospects to a National League team.

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    I don't know if Thrylos compared Kepler and Arcia's relative current value so much as pointing out that including him in the conversations with the Buxtons and Sanos as an untouchable may be a bit over-the-top.  Kepler's had a huge year.  Is it repeatable moving up the class ladder?  

     

    Perhaps the most apt comparison for this thread between Arcia and Kepler would be thus:  What could we have gotten for Arcia 2 years ago.  What about now?  I don't want Kepler to go back and be average and have missed on Lucroy or Kimbrel or an impact guy because we over-valued our hand.

     

    for Lucroy, I'm all in. Kepler and another prospect or two, sure. For a RP, I'm less excited.....but willing to listen.

     

    but he compared Kepler's CEILING to a stiff.

     

    And, Arcia is out of options. He's either here, or gone, next year.

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    If Ryan is going to do something major I think it's going to involve Plouffe. Given his track record of trading AJ when Mauer was ready to assume the catching role and trading Dougie when Morneau was ready to assume 1b leads me to believe that he would follow a similar pattern. Maybe the timing wouldn't be right though with Plouffe and his wife just having a baby (do GM's consider this type of thing?).

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    Regarding all the Nolasco talk, he is on the DL.  I'm not sure they can trade him and even if they can, who is going to trade for a guy that is out the rest of the year.

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    Broxton to the Cardinals.

     

    For a 20 yr old posting a .700 OPS in his third yr in rookie ball, without a position.

     

    Too steep a price for TR?

     

    That $9m option for next year is mighty high for a pitcher like Broxton.  Decline it and he's a rental.

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    If Ryan is going to do something major I think it's going to involve Plouffe. Given his track record of trading AJ when Mauer was ready to assume the catching role and trading Dougie when Morneau was ready to assume 1b leads me to believe that he would follow a similar pattern. Maybe the timing wouldn't be right though with Plouffe and his wife just having a baby (do GM's consider this type of thing?).

     

    I would imagine that would be an offseason move. The AJ trade was an offseason move.

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    Broxton to the Cardinals.

     

    For a 20 yr old posting a .700 OPS in his third yr in rookie ball, without a position.

     

    Too steep a price for TR?

    This is only a fair criticism if the deadline passes and Ryan hasn't found someone better or equal to Broxton. It's not like the guy was stolen away from the Brewers. He's a decent, not great, arm.

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    This is only a fair criticism if the deadline passes and Ryan hasn't found someone better or equal to Broxton. It's not like the guy was stolen away from the Brewers. He's a decent, not great, arm.

    He's probably a bit better than "Decent," but I won't quibble.

     

    But he was basically a salary dump.  And I'd take him above Boyer, for sure, for the last two months of the season.

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    Oh look, another good RP traded, Lowe to the Blue Jays for nothing of note! Twins should have been all over that one, they wouldn't have even had to spend the Pohlad's money on a plane ticket!

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    He's probably a bit better than "Decent," but I won't quibble.

     

    But he was basically a salary dump.  And I'd take him above Boyer, for sure, for the last two months of the season.

    As would I and I think the Broxton pickup was a good one by the Cards.

     

    But I'll wait for 3:30pm to come around before I declare it a failure on Ryan's part to miss out on Broxton.

     

    (but IMO, there's a decent chance 3:30 comes around and we all groan and roll our eyes)

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    Lowe flew under my radar-but then it's not my job to track Seattle Mariners relief pitchers. He would have been a great add.

     

    After reading up on the mess that is the San Diego Padres, I highly doubt the Twins involve themselves with anything Padres-related, they are requiring a massive salary dump in any deal for a reliever, and I can't blame Ryan for not answering any calls from the San Diego area code.

     

    Good day y'all and let's get a win tonight; see you in game thread I hope.

     

    At this point I think I'll be happy if the Twins just promote another guy from AAA and have that overdue heart to heart talk with Mike Pelfrey.

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    Lots of things could go down in the next couple of hours. See what the Twins do, would not be happy if nothing happens, but that could be the case.

    Twins have 2 negatives going.

    1. No GM wants to be looked at as being fleeced by TR(and several have)

    2. Twins are regarded as having a great farm system, so other GMs expect more or the same number prospect as from a weaker organization.

     

    Twins may have over played their hand and overvalued their prospects.

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