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  • MIN 6, BOS 2: Bats Get to Boston Bullpen


    Tom Froemming

    Chris Sale was his usual amazing self, but Jose Berrios kept the Twins in the game and Eduardo Escobar worked his Fogo magic once again. This one was scoreless through five, and Boston actually struck first. Things were tied up at 2-2 before the Twins broke out with a four-run bottom of the eighth inning.

    Image courtesy of © Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Snapshot (chart via FanGraphs)

    Starting Pitcher: 59 Game Score, 6.1 IP, 1 ER, 6 K, 3 BB, 58.1% strikes

    Bullpen: 2.2 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 1 BB

    Lineup: 3-for-9 w/RISP, 3 LOB

    Top three per WPA: Escobar .491, Berrios .193, LaMarre .112

    WinEx619.png

    The Red Sox are one of only three teams averaging more than five runs per game (along with the Yankees and Astros). Most of that feasting has been done against right-handed pitching. Not tonight.

    This wasn’t the best start of Berrios’ young career, but the way he continued to work out of trouble against a great offense was impressive. He walked the leadoff hitter in two separate innings. He gave up back-to-back singles in the fourth. It didn’t matter. The only run Boston got off Jose was a solo homer by Rafael Devers in the sixth inning.

    Escobar is simply unbelievable. Right after the Red Sox took that 1-0 lead, Escobar hit a two-run double (of course) to put the Twins on top. That was Eduardo’s 31st double. Boston managed to tie the game again in the eighth, but Esky was there to set things straight once again.

    Ryan LaMarre drew a leadoff walk and Joe Mauer was hit by a pitch. After Eddie Rosario flew out, Escobar hit a single* to center. An error allowed both LaMarre and Mauer to score and Eduardo hustled all the way around to third base. Robbie Grossman followed with an RBI triple to put this game away.

    *The official scorer’s ruling has been changed to a double. That seems a little generous to me, but hey it gives Double E 32 two-baggers on the year. That’s a pretty solid season total! While they're at it, maybe the official scorers should also credit Escobar with the victory :)

    The biggest two outs of this game may have been the two Trevor Hildenberger was able to record. Berrios was lifted after he hit a batter with one out in the seventh. Hildy came in and walked the first batter he faced, then he got Xander Bogaerts to ground out. The Twins were holding a one-run lead at that point, and with two down and runners at second and third the call was to let Hildenberger pitch to J.D. Martinez. He struck him out.

    Zach Duke gave up the game-tying run in the eighth, but he’ll end up being credited with the win thanks to the big comeback. Fernando Rodney pitched a scoreless ninth in a non-save situation.

    Postgame With Molitor

    https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/1009285676573941760

    Bullpen Usage

    Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days:

    Bullpen619.png

    AL Central Standings

    CLE 39-33

    DET 36-28 (-4)

    MIN 32-37 (-5.5)

    CHW (24-48 (-15)

    KC 22-51 (-17.5)

    Next Three Games

    Wed at BOS, 7:10 pm CT - Lance Lynn vs. David Price

    Thu at BOS, 12:10 pm CT - Kyle Gibson vs. Rick Porcello

    Fri vs. TEX, 7:10 pm CT - TBD

    Last Three Games

    CLE 4, MIN 1: Lots of Traffic, Just One Run

    MIN 9, CLE 3: That’s Our Eddie

    MIN 6, CLE 3: Anything is Possible

    On a Personal Note

    I’ve done a series of tests on Twitter and have confirmed that I am officially a jinx. I’m not certain what I may have done to upset the Baseball Gods, but it’s crystal clear they do not want me to enjoy my favorite team playing well.

    I had some other things keep me from tuning into this game for the first few innings. Then I just decided I wasn’t going to turn this one on until Chris Sale was out of the ballgame because I wasn’t going to like what I saw.

    The Twins took the lead shortly thereafter.

    I finally put the game on in the top of the eighth. The Red Sox tied it up. After the bottom half of the inning got off to a great start, I decided to perform a little experiment.

    https://twitter.com/BaseballByTom/status/1009268876302016512

    The next time I turned the game on, the Twins were up 6-2. The good news is Andrew is going to be handling the game recap tomorrow, so put all your money on the Twins :)

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    Or the Twins did a good job getting Sale up to 105 pitches through seven so the Red Sox would be foolish to bring him back out there?

    Berrios was given a chance but once a guy gets on base, the odds of the tying run scoring go way up. At that point, you want a fresh arm throwing heat rather than giving the Red Sox lineup a 4th look at Berrios. I thought it was a great time to go get someone and a great spot for Hildy. He’s got a funky delivery that is a jarring transition from Berrios. He’s also young – Benintendi and Bogaerts had each only seen him once and Martinez had never seen him. That’s another nice advantage.

     

    Thought giving Berrios a shot was great but realizing the leverage of the situation and the better bullpen option was smart.

    The Twins did a great job of running up his pitch count after the 4th no doubt,  IMO the Red Sox had a better chance of winning that game with Sale pitching the 8th then anybody else. He had given up 3 hits, one a fluke, one was a amazing hit (Escobar) and one solid hit to LaMarre.

    An 8 year vet, with 1426 innings, 1692 K's, should be able to start the 8th inning with 105 pitches in a 2 - 2 game. IMO

     

    also IMO high pressure pitching is "suppose" to be more important than innings or pitch count. And sending a guy out to start a inning with requirement that he is perfect is very high pressure.

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    Tom, for the greater good of Twins Territory, please make the personal sacrifice to the Baseball Gods. Ill buy you a beer (or a few) sometime. Thank you.

     

    PS love the recaps, keep up the good work.

     

    https://tenor.com/view/hotfuzz-greatergood-evil-funny-good-gif-5283257

    I may double down and not only avoid watching the Twins tonight, but watch Cleveland instead. Think I can jinx them, or will my jinx carryover to their opponents? I still haven't figured out how these new powers work :)

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    Berrios has been allowed to go deep into games quite often and he didn’t have his best stuff last night, not even close. You thank the guy for his effort and let the bullpen take it from there.

    I agree he didn't have his best stuff, but then why bring him out and ask him to be perfect, then knowing full well if he is not, you are bringing in a relief pitcher and basically asking him to be perfect as well?

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    Thought giving Berrios a shot was great but realizing the leverage of the situation and the better bullpen option was smart.

     

    Wait ... Who was the manager who made this correct bullpen call? :)

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    So the very unpredictable way this season is shaping up continues. Last years all-star in A ball. This years all-star essentially his full time replacement. Thank goodness Berrios has rebounded from a couple of shaky starts earlier and Lynn is coming around.  Just take the field expecting to win and go out and play baseball. (I know not very analytical. Will leave that to the pros. I just enjoy "talking" about the Twins).

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    The argument against it would be that then you're going to have to compete on the market and that guys who turn down qualifying offers seem to not want to sign with the team that extended the offer.

     

    That said, I think Escobar loves being in MN and loves playing with these guys. I think if you told him, "We're going to extend the QO but then we want to bring you back", he'd understand.

     

    Any payday he gets will be much higher than he'd have expected before this year and especially before last year. I imagine that gives a guy a different mentality than a guy like Dozier who has been outperforming his contract for the past three years and has not been given an extension. Not sure the Twins will extend a QO to Dozier but if they do, that might be the kiss of death for him as a Twin.

    If the Twins want Escobar, I suspect they'll have more than a fair chance to keep him.

     

    Escobar is a hard player to predict and frankly, I'm more interested in keeping him if his OPS is .800 than if his OPS is .900 at season's end. I think he can sustain an .800 OPS for awhile but am incredibly skeptical of him holding at .900 for a prolonged period of time, which means I don't want to bid for him after a .900 OPS season.

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    The argument against it would be that then you're going to have to compete on the market and that guys who turn down qualifying offers seem to not want to sign with the team that extended the offer.

    I'm not sure if that's on the player, though -- the team that extends the QO is incentivized to let the player sign elsewhere. Although that incentive has been reduced in the latest CBA -- unless the player gets $50 mil, the comp pick is at best going to be in the range of the pick we sold with Hughes.

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    I think the last MVP on a sub .500 team was A-Rod with the Rangers like 10-15 years ago. The voters tend to give the award to guys on contending teams. Speaking of which, the Indians have a pretty good third baseman as well.

     

    Not sure anybody's gonna catch Mike Trout.

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    Then again, Mike Trout should be looking for his 6th MVP but only has two so maybe Escobar has a shot:

     

    • 2012 he had 3.4 more WAR than Cabrera with equivalent stats while playing a premier defensive position and leading the league in stolen bases. As a rookie.
    • 2013 he had 1.7 more WAR than Cabrera with equivalent stats and again, better defense and base running.
    • 2015 was closer but he had 0.9 more WAR than Donaldson, played a better position, hit the same number of home runs with more stolen bases. This is probably the closest but I’d still give it to him.

    I'd go with Trout "could" be looking for his 6th...not "should" be.  When you go down that path, you'd need to re-calibrate the award for a whole bunch of seasons in the award's history.  The award is named the most Valuable Player...and, historically, the value has been weighted to creating runs leading to wins in a meaningful season for the club.  Never in it's history has the award been considered to be the equivalent of  a 'Best player' or MoP award.  Trout is not the first victim or even the best example (see Ted Williams, 1947...then look at Ted Williams 1941 or Ted Williams 1942).  Although Trout might end up being the most frequent example before he's done.

     

    If the award was MoP, then we could debate using WAR exclusively to determine the best player :) 

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    If Escobar keeps up his play at even 80% of his current play....there's no reason he shouldn't win the MVP. Even if they don't make the playoffs. Pitching has kept us in more games than not and Escobar along with Rosario have kept the offense rolling seemingly by themselves for most of the year. Pretty crazy.

    PST

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    I'd go with Trout "could" be looking for his 6th...not "should" be.  When you go down that path, you'd need to re-calibrate the award for a whole bunch of seasons in the award's history.  The award is named the most Valuable Player...and, historically, the value has been weighted to creating runs leading to wins in a meaningful season for the club.  Never in it's history has the award been considered to be the equivalent of  a 'Best player' or MoP award.  Trout is not the first victim or even the best example (see Ted Williams, 1947...then look at Ted Williams 1941 or Ted Williams 1942).  Although Trout might end up being the most frequent example before he's done.

     

    If the award was MoP, then we could debate using WAR exclusively to determine the best player :)

    I agree with Jack Kemp though in that putting weight on winning teams for MVP and then using MVP for HOF consideration is ridiculous.    Much like the Cy Young  voting which might keep Santana out of the Hall.  

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    If Escobar keeps up his play at even 80% of his current play....there's no reason he shouldn't win the MVP. Even if they don't make the playoffs. Pitching has kept us in more games than not and Escobar along with Rosario have kept the offense rolling seemingly by themselves for most of the year. Pretty crazy.

     

    I'm wondering if you mean MVP of the Twins or the AL?  Certainly not in the AL  -  especially with the year Trout is having.  

     

    I'd potentially argue against MVP of the Twins with the year Rosario is having.

     

    Bottom line the "Ed's" are the hottest Twins duo since the M&M boys.

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    So fun to see the posts in a win.  Berrios, Escobar, Rosario are the stories for the first half of the year. Lets hope there are more stories in the second half. 

    Agreed but lets not forget Gibson who has a better ERA than Berrios and also Rodney.   I will be the first to admit hating that signing but he has been really good after a so so start.    

    Funny that Escobar is giving us what we wanted out of Sano but if Sano had been giving us what we wanted then Escobar might never have been given the chances.

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    I'd go with Trout "could" be looking for his 6th...not "should" be.  When you go down that path, you'd need to re-calibrate the award for a whole bunch of seasons in the award's history.  The award is named the most Valuable Player...and, historically, the value has been weighted to creating runs leading to wins in a meaningful season for the club.  Never in it's history has the award been considered to be the equivalent of  a 'Best player' or MoP award.  

    Andre Dawson, 1987? Robin Yount, 1989? Larry Walker, 1997? Alex Rodriguez, 2003? Giancarlo Stanton, 2017?

     

    It's certainly not common for an MVP to come from an also-ran team -- but then again, great players are usually on pretty good teams. The two things are kind of related.

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    If only the twins could play the best teams in the AL more often, other than the Yankees. Though I'm sure I have that wrong in my head, and they aren't playing better against the good teams!

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    I agree with Jack Kemp though in that putting weight on winning teams for MVP and then using MVP for HOF consideration is ridiculous.    Much like the Cy Young  voting which might keep Santana out of the Hall.  

    Winning will always play a part in evaluating a players career in Baseball...and in Football....and in Basketball, etc., etc.  Does it make for some 'unfortunate' outcomes?  Yes.  But it's better than the alternative where winning isn't considered at all.  It's the object of their games, and what all are supposed to be playing for.

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    Winning will always play a part in evaluating a players career in Baseball...and in Football....and in Basketball, etc., etc.  Does it make for some 'unfortunate' outcomes?  Yes.  But it's better than the alternative where winning isn't considered at all.  It's the object of their games, and what all are supposed to be playing for.

    Well, yeah but you still need to consider within the team concept.   Santana wins all his games but the team finishes last he is still the best pitcher and deserves the Cy Young because he won all the games he was able to.   How can you say Cy Young goes to the best pitcher but then say 3/4s of all pitchers don't qualify because their team didn't make the playoffs?    Mike Trout can be the most valuable player in the league even if his value was on a team that lost a lot of games.    You start by saying if there is one player you can have on your team who would you choose.   Then you can say whose season that was just played would you like repeated on your team out of all those that played.   If both of those answers are Mike Trout then you have your Most Valuable Player.   The second part of that question ld eliminate his 2017 season for injury.    

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    Well, yeah but you still need to consider within the team concept.   Santana wins all his games but the team finishes last he is still the best pitcher and deserves the Cy Young because he won all the games he was able to.   How can you say Cy Young goes to the best pitcher but then say 3/4s of all pitchers don't qualify because their team didn't make the playoffs?    Mike Trout can be the most valuable player in the league even if his value was on a team that lost a lot of games.    You start by saying if there is one player you can have on your team who would you choose.   Then you can say whose season that was just played would you like repeated on your team out of all those that played.   If both of those answers are Mike Trout then you have your Most Valuable Player.   The second part of that question ld eliminate his 2017 season for injury.    

    We could start a separate thread on this.  Which I won't.  I think it's great when the award goes to the best player.  I'm just saying that that has never been the overriding criteria, and I'm also saying that I have no problem when what you've accomplished with your team weighs in.  I have other, non-team sports to look to where the best always gets all the awards, like track, tennis, and golf.  Just an opinion.(Also, missing out on Cy Youngs is just one of  Santana's problems with his HoF case.)  

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    The official scoring that lets a pitcher get the win after blowing the save..... never have liked it. Especially if the pitcher that blows the lead did it all with his own batters, and no inherited runners. Way to go Duke. I guess relief is not spelled D-U-K-E! 

     

    I still like to see pitchers get wins, regardless of how sabr statisticians like to say wins are meaningless. 

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    I'd go with Trout "could" be looking for his 6th...not "should" be.  When you go down that path, you'd need to re-calibrate the award for a whole bunch of seasons in the award's history.  The award is named the most Valuable Player...and, historically, the value has been weighted to creating runs leading to wins in a meaningful season for the club.  Never in it's history has the award been considered to be the equivalent of  a 'Best player' or MoP award.  Trout is not the first victim or even the best example (see Ted Williams, 1947...then look at Ted Williams 1941 or Ted Williams 1942).  Although Trout might end up being the most frequent example before he's done.

     

    If the award was MoP, then we could debate using WAR exclusively to determine the best player :)

     

    I get your point but in so many of those it's not close to me. I get using team success to figure out close ones but Trout is 30% more valuable by WAR in some of those years. They eye test also matches it - I bet all of those writers would say Trout for best positional player in those years. They just have some ridiculous criteria that makes it "best player on good team". That makes more sense in basketball where a player can really influence a game but less in baseball where so many guys need to do their job to get a win.

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    If Escobar keeps up his play at even 80% of his current play....there's no reason he shouldn't win the MVP. Even if they don't make the playoffs. Pitching has kept us in more games than not and Escobar along with Rosario have kept the offense rolling seemingly by themselves for most of the year. Pretty crazy.

    you mean team MVP, right? Cause Trout is absolutely killing it this season. Truly destroying it. Edited by jimmer
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