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  • MIN 2, BOS 1: Gibby the Great


    Tom Froemming

    Up until about 12 months ago, you never really knew what you were going to get out of Kyle Gibson. Who was going to show up? Good Gibby, or bad Gibby? Since, Kyle has been remarkably reliable, until tonight. This was next level. This was Gibson’s transformation in its final form. This was the arrival of Gibby the Great.

    Image courtesy of © Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Snapshot (chart via FanGraphs)

    Kyle Gibson: 80 Game Score, 8.0 IP, 1 ER, 7 K, 2 BB, 55.8% strikes

    Multi-hit games: Brian Dozier (2-for-3, R, BB, K)

    WPA of 0.1 or higher: Gibson .446, Rodney .221 Garver .171

    WPA of -0.1 or lower: Escobar -.117, Adrianza -.172

    WinChart726.png

    Let’s go around the horn …

    First Base

    Hell of a start by Gibson. This is a Red Sox team he was facing that has the best lineup in baseball and he held them to a single run on four hits over eight innings of work. He threw 120 pitches and racked up seven strikeouts against just two walks.

    https://twitter.com/njrowan/status/1022662382554939392

    Mookie Betts, Andrew Benintendi and J.D. Martinez have been three of the most dangerous hitters in the game, but combined to go just 1-for-11 with a walk and four strikeouts against Gibby the Great.

    Gibson’s demeanor on the mound also matched the performance. Kyle just looked like he was in control, in the zone. He ended his night by striking out Martinez swinging, the kind of a moment that could send chills up and down your spine and give you goosebumps.

    Could this be his last start for the Twins? I wouldn’t bet on it, but I’m certain contending teams are hounding the Twins’ front office right now to check in on his availability.

    Second Base

    OK, so the Fernando Rodney Experience is the real deal. We’ve certainly seen glimpses of the FRE up to this point, but this was intense.

    Rodney, who clearly did not have his changeup working at all, labored in the ninth. He also loves to work methodically. You could see where this would be to his benefit, establishing that he is in control, but as a fan, holy cow is it torturous.

    Rodney gave up a leadoff single, but then managed to retire the next two batters in short order. Things swung completely back the other direction, as the next two batters walked. With the bases loaded and two outs, Rodney fell behind Jackie Bradley Jr. 3-0.

    Just when you were convinced this was going to end in catastrophe … three-straight strikes, SIT DOWN, GAME OHVAH!!!!!

    Third Base

    The Twins made two outs at home. They got three hits and a walk in the first inning, but did not score because of this:

    https://twitter.com/RedSox/status/1022625783934644225

    They got a pair of walks and a hit in the sixth inning, but did not score because of this:

    https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/1022653242046590977

    Thank goodness none of that ended up mattering in the end, because ...

    Home Plate

    Mitch Garver. He was the DH tonight over Logan Morrison and delivered the game-winning hit, an RBI double in the eighth inning.

    https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/1022658147008172032

    OK, so Robbie Grossman and Brian Dozier deserve some credit too. Grossman led off the seventh inning with a single, went first-to-third on a Max Kepler single and then scored the game-tying run on a double play ball.

    Dozier drew a one-out walk in the eighth, stole second base and then came around to score on that clutch Garver double. Ehire Adrianza also deserves a tip of the cap for making a great defensive play at shortstop late in this one.

    Postgame With Gibson

    https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/1022668395299266560

    Bullpen Usage

    Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days:

    Bullpen726.png

    AL Central Standings

    CLE 55-46

    MIN 48-53 (-7)

    DET 44-60 (-12.5)

    CHW 36-66 (19.5)

    KC 31-71 (-24.5)

    Next Three Games

    Fri at BOS, 6:10 pm CT: Lance Lynn vs. Chris Sale

    Sat at BOS, 6:10 pm CT: Jake Odorizzi vs. Rick Porcello

    Sun at BOS, 12:05 pm CT: TBD vs. Nathan Eovaldi

    Last Three Games

    MIN 12, TOR 6: More Like Er-win Sweep-tana!!!

    MIN 5, TOR 0: All-Star, Indeed

    MIN 8, TOR 3: Twins Cruise Over Toronto

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    Also, Wilson was great behind the plate. Hats off to Garver for that big time clutch hit and Ehire Adrianaza brilliant defensive play

     

    You are not supposed to compliment Wilson, Rodney or Belisle on this forum. Shhhh.   ;)

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    Sure, that's true.  But the Twins have an exclusive opportunity to extend him, not much money on the books, and a keen need for top and mid starting pitching.  There's more value in keeping then you're letting on.

     

    If Gibson was a normally aged pitcher at the end of his team control I'd probably agree with you.  But an extension to a 32 year old is a major gamble right from the outset, regardless of who they are.

     

    So, sure, there is value in keeping him, but I wouldn't let that stop me from aggressively shopping him.  

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    Because he's signed for one more year. It really depends on if you think they are contenders next year or not.

     

    Agreed, I don't see them as contender's next year, so I would at least listen to a trade.  Contending next year is going to take a 180 from this season.  I don't see it, especially if the payroll goes back down.  

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    If Gibson was a normally aged pitcher at the end of his team control I'd probably agree with you.  But an extension to a 32 year old is a major gamble right from the outset, regardless of who they are.

     

    So, sure, there is value in keeping him, but I wouldn't let that stop me from aggressively shopping him.  

     

    Amazing they ever even signed Santana, then, and especially for 4 years.

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    So if he's signed to a 4 year extension, that makes him the same age that Santana is now (or there abouts).  I'm a believer in what he's been doing, and having 2 out of 5 spots essentially locked down for the next 3-4 years (Berrios timeline) with consistent, above average-to-better pitchers, is better than we've experienced in a long, loooong, time.  I guess it comes down to whether or not people believe that a couple of the pitching prospects can make it in the next 3-4 years to fill in or, in some cases, more than just be mlb filler (romero, graterol, thorpe, gonsalves)

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    Agreed, I don't see them as contender's next year, so I would at least listen to a trade.  Contending next year is going to take a 180 from this season.  I don't see it, especially if the payroll goes back down.  

     

    That's too bad. Already signing your team off for next year before the previous season is even over. Some teams even still go from last to first, and this team doesn't even have that far to go, especially if healthy and progressing instead of regressing. Tell Oakland they have no right to be doing so well.

     

    Nobody has said they wouldn't listen to offers. Listening is a fine and noble skill.

    Edited by h2oface
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    So if he's signed to a 4 year extension, that makes him the same age that Santana is now (or there abouts).  I'm a believer in what he's been doing, and having 2 out of 5 spots essentially locked down for the next 3-4 years (Berrios timeline) with consistent, above average-to-better pitchers, is better than we've experienced in a long, loooong, time.  I guess it comes down to whether or not people believe that a couple of the pitching prospects can make it in the next 3-4 years to fill in or, in some cases, more than just be mlb filler (romero, graterol, thorpe, gonsalves)

     

    If they extend him, I really hope they can get 2 years or if they have to 3 years.  

     

    I like Romero and Graterol and think they both will be good MLB pitchers with potential to be great.  I'm on the fence on Thorpe, he is an interesting prospect.  Gonsalves could surprise, but all I here is not enough control with no plus pitches.  

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    Over the last calendar year Gibson has been the 20th best starting pitcher in the majors in terms of fWAR (Berrios is 17th). To even consider trading him should require a huge package coming back and I doubt that an appealing offer is out there. I'd be more than happy to sign him to a 3-year deal this off-season.

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    [scrolls up to make sure he is on the right thread]

     

    Wow!  What a game!  That team tonight didn't look scared, or intimidated, or lackadaisical, or any other word associated with being a loser.  I often feel like they are like the Millennium Falcon.  While often mistaken for a hunk of junk, and frequently broke down, when she's right, she's still the fastest ship in the galaxy.

     

    Somebody said Berrios and Gibson could be 2/3.  They pitched like aces the last two games.  This is something you build on.

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    Why risk the extension if they have all that $$$ and "flexibility?" 

     

    If he continues to pitch like this through next season then address the idea of an extension or just sign him as a FA. I guess I'm surprised that so many are comfortable extending a guy, who up until last September looked like he didn't belong on the active roster. I get that he threw a nice game tonight but...yeah...

     

    IMO Gibson is still much closer to Nick Blackburn than Brad Radke, i.e. not a guy I'm dying to commit to long term, especially into his 30s. If another team is certain Gibson has truly turned a corner, and makes an offer that reflects that belief the Twins would be fools not to take it. 

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    I’d rather have 1.4 years of Gibson. Easily.

    Which Gibson, 13'-17' or 2018? 

     

    I agree that whatever the Twins get back in a trade won't have near the impact in 19' that Gibson would if he builds off of this season, but you're also taking a pretty serious leap of faith that this is the pitcher Gibson is going to be for the next 1.4 years. 

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    Which Gibson, 13'-17' or 2018? 

     

    I agree that whatever the Twins get back in a trade won't have near the impact in 19' that Gibson would if he builds off of this season, but you're also taking a pretty serious leap of faith that this is the pitcher Gibson is going to be for the next 1.4 years. 

     

    Definitely a Gibson doubter. Diversity is a great thing.

    Edited by h2oface
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    I wouldn't be opposed to him being traded.  But as I said before, I believe in what he's doing now.  Some players have long prime years; others only have a couple.  When Gibson was drafted, he was a consensus top 15 pick (many had him in the top 10) based on talent.  He fell due to his injury and the Twins took a chance.  If he's living up to promise, then we can expect a few more years of his current production, which would be awesome for a team that hasn't had a decent rotation in over a decade.  Again, not opposed to trading him for a good return, but taking a leap-of-faith on him continuing what he's doing now has a higher probability of success than taking a leap-of-faith on another teams prospect.

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    If Gibson was a normally aged pitcher at the end of his team control I'd probably agree with you.  But an extension to a 32 year old is a major gamble right from the outset, regardless of who they are.

     

    So, sure, there is value in keeping him, but I wouldn't let that stop me from aggressively shopping him.  

     

    Few upcoming free agent starters are significantly younger, and the Twins would get some kind of discount by assuming the risk of the extension (i.e., that Gibson doesn't pitch well in 2019). Also, the Twins have tons of near-term payroll capacity and there's zero chance they'd use it all up with free agent signings and/or extensions for guys like Berrios and Rosario.

     

    The main reason I'm against trading Gibson though is 2019 . . . the Twins play in a bad division and absolutely should be able to compete. 

     

    Edited by drivlikejehu
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    Seems like Kyle Gibson has adopted a motion that looks almost like short-arming the ball, with an abbreviated windup of his pitching arm. Hitters have a terrible time gaging the speed as well as the type of pitch he's throwing. 

     

    I don't recall seeing better stuff from Gibson. Not only were his breaking balls falling off the table, his heater was consistently on the edges of the zone the whole time. 

     

    Heh-heh, it's almost like Gibson just showcased himself for the two teams he'd most like to pitch for, the Yankees and the Red Sox. 

     

    Heh-heh... 

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    If Gibson was a normally aged pitcher at the end of his team control I'd probably agree with you.  But an extension to a 32 year old is a major gamble right from the outset, regardless of who they are.

     

    So, sure, there is value in keeping him, but I wouldn't let that stop me from aggressively shopping him.  

    Why not a three year deal; even with a team option for that third year.  

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    Heh-heh, it's almost like Gibson just showcased himself for the two teams he'd most like to pitch for, the Yankees and the Red Sox. 

     

    Heh-heh...

     

    Precisely my thoughts after he finished off the 8th with that K of "Just Dingers". If we could package he and Dozier to BOS...I wonder if we could get a nice return? I know nothing of their farm system so, I have zero clue if it's even remotely something to look into. But, dreamers are gonna dream.

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    Precisely my thoughts after he finished off the 8th with that K of "Just Dingers". If we could package he and Dozier to BOS...I wonder if we could get a nice return? I know nothing of their farm system so, I have zero clue if it's even remotely something to look into. But, dreamers are gonna dream.

    Boston is the only team without any top 100 prospects in the just updated list. They are pretty depleted. Perhaps the would trade Sale? He is getting so old though.....

    Edited by h2oface
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