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  • MIL 6, MIN 5: Twins Blow 3-Run Lead in 9th Inning


    Matthew Taylor

    The Minnesota Twins blew a 5-2 lead in the ninth inning and lost in extras. The game got off to an ominous start, as Josh Donaldson suffered a hamstring injury in the top of the first inning. Read all about it in today’s game recap.

    Image courtesy of © Michael McLoone-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Box Score

    Maeda: 4.1 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 1 ER, 2 BB, 5 K

    Home Runs: Buxton (1)

    Bottom 3 WPA: Colome -.455, Dobnak -.355, Garver -.104

    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs):

    ccs-8747-0-78339000-1617316366.png

    In an emotional roller coaster of an opener for Minnesota Twins fans, the coaster ended in a valley as the Minnesota Twins blew a three-run ninth inning lead and lost in extra innings to their border rivals. Let’s take a ride:

    Kenta Maeda had a solid, yet not spectacular start for the Minnesota Twins as the Opening Day starter. While he only allowed one earned run, Maeda was only able to go 4 1/3 innings and allowed six hits, two walks and a hit batter over his start. Maeda flirted with trouble throughout his start, stranding a total of seven batters in the four complete innings that he pitched. The right hander did show increased velocity, tossing his fastball at an average of 92.8 MPH, 1.2 MPH above his average in 2020.

    At the plate, the Minnesota Twins kicked off the scoring with two runs in the third inning on a Woodruff wild pitch and a Max Kepler RBI single. After trading runs in the middle innings, the game seemed like it was sealed in the seventh inning when Byron Buxton blasted a 114 MPH two-run home run into left-center field. This gave the Minnesota Twins a three-run lead with Rogers, Robles and Colomé set to close out the game.

    https://twitter.com/Twins/status/1377733648720486401?s=20

    After two perfect innings from Taylor Rogers and Hansel Robles in the seventh and eighth innings, newly acquired Alex Colomé gifted the game away by allowing two hits, a hit batter and three runs in the bottom of the ninth inning to force extra innings where the Brewers walked off the Twins on a walk-off single by Avisail Garcia to give the Brewers a 6-5 victory.

    Donaldson Injury

    While a loss is never fun, the most important development from Opening Day was the injury to Josh Donaldson. Donaldson injured his leg in the top of the first inning running to second base on a double.

    https://twitter.com/TFTwins/status/1377687804193411073?s=20

    At first glance, it appeared that Josh Donaldson re-injured the calf that has plagued him throughout his career. As more information came out, though, it was revealed that the injury was a hamstring pull. We still don’t know the severity of the injury or how much (if any) time Donaldson will miss, but after an injury-riddled 2020, this is just about the worst way to begin the 2021 season for the former MVP.

    Rocco Baldelli indicated that the team would re-evaluate Josh Donaldson tomorrow on the team’s off day.

    https://twitter.com/betsyhelfand/status/1377760328604381185?s=20

    Poor Defense

    While defense was a priority in the offseason for the Minnesota Twins, Opening Day was not the best showcase of their gloves. The Minnesota Twins made two official errors with a third error not being officially called as such. The first error came in the fifth inning from newly-acquired shortstop, Andrelton Simmons. Simmons dropped a Miguel Sanó throw that should have been a double play. That runner later went on to score in the inning.

    The second error of the game came from Alex Colomé when he tried throwing out the lead runner at second base rather than taking the easy out at first in the ninth inning.

    Additionally in the ninth inning, Max Kepler dropped a fly ball off the bat of Christian Yelich in right field that should have been out number two, but instead turned into a run-scoring single.

    https://twitter.com/TFTwins/status/1377745528306475009?s=20

    Better days will surely be ahead for the Minnesota Twins defense, but it was disappointing watching a unit that was supposed to be a strength struggle so much.

    Big Day for Max Kepler

    After a miserable Spring Training in which he went 3-for-43, Kepler matched his Spring hit total in today’s opener, going 3-for-5 and just a home run short of hitting for the cycle. Kepler is in a prove-it year in 2021 after a down season in 2020 and is already showing that his Spring struggles are behind him and he is primed for a bounce-back season this year.

    Up Next

    The Minnesota Twins have an off-day tomorrow before facing off against Milwaukee again on Saturday where José Berríos will make his season debut.

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet

    ccs-8747-0-47356000-1617316343_thumb.png

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    On the plus side, Cleveland and the Whities lost, and, for schadenfreude fans, Kyle Gibson lasted all of a third of an inning for Texas against the Royals, giving up 5 runs.

     

    And, in a bit of symmetry, the Royals turned around and gave up 5 runs in the bottom of the 1st.

     

    Gotta love baseball!

    Definitely feel bad for Gibby. Not a good look for his first opening day start ever. 

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    This seems like overthinking. Colome entered with a three run cushion and gave up the lead. It's as simple as that, IMO.

     

    For the record, I think Colome is a good pitcher and a good guy to sign. He just blew it yesterday.

     

    It's not though.  If the criteria for determining if the best bullpen guys "did their job" is that they have to collectively pitch to a sub-2 ERA, we're setting ourselves up to be disappointed.  We had 3 runs in after 5, meaning we had 4 more innings to tack on; if Baldelli doesn't think our offense is capable of putting up a run every other inning, on average, than we have much bigger problems than the bullpen.  My thought then, is that assuming you needed to run your best guys out there, consecutively, for 4 straight innings just to get to the ninth, is a mistake, and is akin to trying to win a marathon by being in front after the first 100 meters.

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    It's not though. If the criteria for determining if the best bullpen guys "did their job" is that they have to collectively pitch to a sub-2 ERA, we're setting ourselves up to be disappointed. We had 3 runs in after 5, meaning we had 4 more innings to tack on; if Baldelli doesn't think our offense is capable of putting up a run every other inning, on average, than we have much bigger problems than the bullpen. My thought then, is that assuming you needed to run your best guys out there, consecutively, for 4 straight innings just to get to the ninth, is a mistake, and is akin to trying to win a marathon by being in front after the first 100 meters.

    I see what you mean. I just think that they were in a position to close things out pretty easily. That didn’t happen in large part because Colome made some avoidable mistakes.

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    I see what you mean. I just think that they were in a position to close things out pretty easily. That didn’t happen in large part because Colome made some avoidable mistakes.

     

    This is true.  Colome should be able to go one inning, giving up 2 or less runs.  My frustration comes from the assumption that because the 6th inning is potentially the highest leverage situation in the game, it should be treated as such.  Some times it will be, often times it won't be.  Not an assumption you were making, but other posters were.

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    This is true. Colome should be able to go one inning, giving up 2 or less runs. My frustration comes from the assumption that because the 6th inning is potentially the highest leverage situation in the game, it should be treated as such. Some times it will be, often times it won't be. Not an assumption you were making, but other posters were.

    I think in the long run your point is totally right. The bullpen can’t be expected to pitch to a 2.00-ish ERA all season long.

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    That's a product of a stupid rule. Dobnak was not the problem. Strikeouts are needed in that situation. Mishandling of the bullpen. There's 161 games to go. If a game like this happened in game 54, no panicking would ensue.

     

    Robles looked solid. Kepler had a great game. Buxton too. Maeda had 1 long inning, but other than that wasn't awful. Rogers was solid. Arraez was fine. Lots of positives to take away from the game.

     

    Yes, the rule. I agree. But Dobnak threw the pitches. 2 out of 3 were hit and the run is in and the game is over. Once you get the call, you have to perform. If we are saying that this is just what has to be expected of Dobnak when called upon.... well.... yikes. Then why call on him at all? 

     

    Yes. A perfect storm of other circumstances. But the pitcher is also accountable. Always.

     

    I already said my piece about Colome. Too bad there was even a tenth inning. 

    Pitchers and the pitches they throw always have a part of the results.

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    Yes, the rule. I agree. But Dobnak threw the pitches. 2 out of 3 were hit and the run is in and the game is over. Once you get the call, you have to perform. If we are saying that this is just what has to be expected of Dobnak when called upon.... well.... yikes. Then why call on him at all?

     

    Yes. A perfect storm of other circumstances. But the pitcher is also accountable. Always.

     

    I already said my piece about Colome. Too bad there was even a tenth inning.

    Pitchers and the pitches they throw always have a part of the results.

    In Dobnak’s defense, he gave up a pretty routine single and a doinker to second base. I was scratching my head when they didn’t walk the batter to set up the force out at home.

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    Methinks you’re over-dramatizing this by a lot. One of the worst blown saves in the history of the org? No.

     

    And going 0-2 is not a big deal on the grand scheme of things.

     

    The game sucked. It was an awful watch almost front to back and the 9th/10th were just cherries on top of that crap sundae.

     

    But ultimately, it’s one game of 162, just like the rest. Let’s not overreact just because it’s the first game we’ve seen that counts in six months.

    I believe this is satire.

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    I have to disagree with the whole "if the best pitchers do their job, you wouldn't need extras" argument.  Yesterday, the Twins bullpen before Colome gave up 0 runs in 3.2 IP.  If they give up one run in that stretch instead, and Buxton doesn't hit his homer, it still goes to extras, with the pen x Colome posting an ERA of 2.45 for the day, which would be the best bullpen ERA in the entire league for any of the past 5 years.

    The bases were loaded in the 5th because the four-time gold glover couldn’t make the routine-ist of plays. That Duffey run was unearned. Colome was out there in the 9th and needed to nail down a 3 run lead. He’s been one of baseball’s best relievers the past five years. He will have a bad day from time to time - his first (of hopefully not many) happened on OD. Relievers are supposed to execute, and it’s not on management if they don’t. This isn’t like putting clearly washed up Sergio Romo on in the 9th, where in that case it’s on management. Colome is actually a quality reliever. If he becomes like Romo and the Twins continue to use him in the 9th, that is bad management. But for now, we can only blame Colome.

     

    Also, this might be a nitpick, but the Buxton homer logic makes no sense. “If he didn’t hit it...” he did though. That’s what matters.

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    Gotta love baseball and everyone on this list. There were (and always are) several reasons for the Twins losing the game. You could even say that, if Maeda would have had an easier third, he'd have pitched into the 7th and maybe it would have been easier on everyone. Let's move on and go get-em today and move forward.

    GO TWINS.

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