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  • Let’s Talk About Byron Buxton’s Swing


    Parker Hageman

    There’s something amazing about Byron Buxton at the plate this season.

    Data confirms your suspicions that Buxton is indeed hitting the ball harder, further and higher on a consistent basis than ever before. By hitting the ball harder, further and higher than ever before, he is the proud owner of a juicy .275/.335/.514 line while striking out in a career-low 23 percent of plate appearances through 43 games. In terms of OPS, he’s the third-best hitter among center fielders behind only Mike Trout and George Springer.

    This is a new-look Buxton even if you aren’t sure what exactly looks new.

    When Buxton was using the leg kick, you could see the leg kick. When he stopped using the leg kick, you could clearly see he was no longer using the leg kick. It was an obvious distinction. However, there are possibly no more significant changes that Buxton has made to his swing than the changes he made for 2019.

    Allow me to explain.

    Image courtesy of Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    This spring, as Buxton strolled into camp with a new swing, he proudly proclaimed -- channeling his inner Frank Sinatra -- that he did it his way.

    “It’s my swing, my thought process, my thinking, everything with my swing now is me,” he told Dan Hayes of The Athletic. “I didn’t go to no hitting coach, I didn’t go work out with nobody, I worked out by myself, I hit by myself and that’s where it’s going to stay.”

    Whether Buxton made all the changes alone, applied some direction from James Rowson and other coaches on staff, had secretly hired a team of tech nerds to design an algorithm that would lead to the world’s most optimal mechanics, or has a magic hitting cow that whispers tips from outside the cage, it doesn’t matter. What matters is that Buxton has truly unlocked something.

    There’s undoubtedly been an ebb and flow surrounding Byron Buxton and whether he has FOUND IT offensively dating back to the end of 2016 when he hit 9 home runs in September after returning with a massive leg kick in his swing.

    (That’s good!)

    But, while still using the leg kick, he lost whatever IT was in early 2017.

    (That’s bad.)

    But then he found IT again later that season after much soul-searching and Molitor prodding to ditch the leg kick.

    (That’s good.)

    Then it turns out he broke a big toe, hurt his wrist and everything else in 2018 and couldn’t hit water falling out of a boat.

    (Can I go now?)

    Based on that track record, proclaiming that he has FOUND IT is going to be met with skepticism. While that is a natural human emotion, what follows is granular swing biomechanics that should confirm that Byron Buxton has indeed FOUND IT again -- and possibly for good this time.

    As previously mentioned, these changes are not as obvious as his leg kick-no leg kick on again/off-again Ross-and-Rachel relationship. That said, there are several adaptations in Buxton’s swing that stand out as significant drivers for his early season statistical success.

    The first driver was creating a stretch point in his swing prior to the launch.

    As noted this spring, Buxton adjusted his mechanics to create separation from his top half and lower half. Previously Buxton would step and swing in one motion. It was a constant drift forward which denied him time to recognize a pitch as well as build tension. Now, when he steps forward, his hands go back and hold for a nanosecond. This creates resistance. This move helps reduce slack in his midsection, giving him a rubber band effect between his hands and his front leg. There’s stored tension in his abdomen at his launch point that helps connect the energy in his lower and upper half.

    Look at Buxton at the launch point last year versus this year:

    https://twitter.com/ParkerHageman/status/1100950644016508928

    Not long after I posted this video in March, the Star Tribune’s Lavelle Neal scoffed at me in a Fort Myers bar. There’s no way that does much of anything he told me. Beside, he said, you can’t even see much of a difference. It’s hard to argue with the Mayor of Fort Myers but I did my best explaining why that was important.

    True, this may seem like a minor change but the ability to generate power is contingent on utilizing all the muscles. Buxton added mass this offseason but that alone won’t create pop if the swing is not optimized. This year, by gaining that tension point, he has applied more force which has led to an increase in his exit velocity from 86.8 to 92.4. In his overall pool of batted balls, in 2018, 29 percent of his balls in play were hit 95+ mph compared to 46 percent so far this year.

    The second driver relates to his ability to lift the ball.

    In 2018 Buxton had an average launch angle of 10.7 degrees. With a below average launch angle, it is no surprise that he maintained a ground ball rate of 49 percent. Since the beginning of his major league career, Buxton has had a ground ball rate of over 40 percent each season. If he were to take steps forward in his career and put up numbers that were more super unicorn of him, he would need to hit the ball hard in the air.

    So far this year, he has had a ground ball rate of under 30 percent.

    Over the last few years, as more players have tried to change their swings to join the fly ball revolution, the common refrain from ball guy announcers is that those players are DROPPING THEIR BACK SHOULDERS and using LAUNCH ANGLE SWINGS. To be sure, there’s no such thing as a LAUNCH ANGLE SWING at least no more than there is a VELOCITY THROW for pitcher. So what can players do to increase their aerial assault without being accused of swinging for the fences?

    One of the biggest factors in creating more elevation for Buxton has been his ability to keep from rolling his top hand right after contact.

    If you watch his 2018 swing, you will often see patterns that resemble a tennis swing that imparts top spin on the ball as his wrists prematurely roll over. Comparatively this year’s swing he is over exaggerating the follow through to keep his wrists from breaking -- Buxton gets extension in his swing as he moves the bat forward at the pitcher rather than pulling around immediately.

    unnamed.gif

    This is another angle showing how well he keeps from rolling:

    2019-05-20_0-40-14.gif

    The results have been that Buxton has hit more balls in the air this year (17 degree launch angle coupled with just a 26 percent ground ball rate).

    Buxton Grounders.png

    There’s another driver that has also allowed Buxton to remain flexible in his swing and that is creating space.

    Buxton Front Arm.png

    In 2018 Buxton demonstrated the tendency to keep his lead arm close to his chest at contact, leaving little space and, with it, lost some adjustability. Pitchers would frequently blow Buxton up with velocity on the inner third with the center fielder unable to get the barrel to the part of the zone once he started his swing. However, if you start with spacing, hitters are more able to adapt to pitches in other areas of the zone. Now, rotating his shoulders and arms as one big triangle, Buxton has spacing between his chest. This provides a better connected swing that goes beyond just arms and hands, an ability to adjust as well as allows the barrel to stay on plane longer, according to the Twins’ minor league hitting coordinator Pete Fatse.

    2019-04-18_13-43-33.gif

    In summation, Buxton is creating more power by creating a stretch point and harnessing tension in his midsection. He’s generating more line drives and fly balls but extending his swing through the contact point and not rolling over. And last, he’s added spacing in his swing that gives him some adjustability to conquer either side of the plate.

    Buxton’s career has been a strange one. He is supremely talented but has not established a long enough stretch of performing at the elite level to match his prospect status. If he can stay healthy and avoid crashing into too many walls or teammates, Byron Buxton of 2019 could finally live up to everyone’s expectation.

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    Am I the only one in Twinsville who thinks he could take to the next level by adding one thing? The BUNT!

     

    I think Carew would back me up.

    Given his speed, I agree that he should have it at his disposal, especially when the bases are empty or there's a shift on. 

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    In the first clip I noticed how Buxton's right shoulder and elbow really dropped (previously) as opposed to how it is now - stays more level.   Is this a separate change from the three specific things you discussed, or is it related to the stretch point?

     

    It's all related really. Previously we see that Buxton used his arms more independently in the swing, casting a bit. Now it's a more connected turn of the arms and then straight through with the bat instead of rotating right after contact.

     

     

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    Am I the only one in Twinsville who thinks he could take to the next level by adding one thing? The BUNT!

     

    I think Carew would back me up.

    Now wait just a doggone minute. This username...I am the father of a Carl who graduated in 2017 and an Ole who has just finished her sophomore year. Can you top that?

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    He's laying off the pitches down-and-away. He's not swinging through pitches down the middle. Let's see LaVelle dispute that.

     

     

    That's the biggest change, and most encouraging, IYAM.

    I thought the laying off pitches down and away was the biggest and most encouraging change.  (Cue the tastes great/less filling argument.)

     

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    He's laying off the pitches down-and-away. He's not swinging through pitches down the middle. Let's see LaVelle dispute that.

     

     

    I'm trying to cut LaVelle some slack, because it seems like he's more engaged this year. Probably had a sit-down.

     

    Engaged enough even to scoff at Parker's well-researched theories.

     

    Alas, it appears that the man still does his best work from a bar stool.

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    I just did a couple practice swings. It seems like the early wrist rollover and the front arm being close to the body come together when using a 'hands first' approach or an approach where I throw my hands toward the contact point. This in contrast with a rotational approach where my hips lead, my hands stay back but then are whipped through by the lat/core tension- when I do this, there is automatically more space between my lead arm and body, and my wrist doesn't roll over early.

     

    Can't say whether or not somebody was in buck's ear about an old school charley lau throw your hands at the ball approach to hitting, and now the spirit of Ted Williams has set him straight, but these before and after samples are pretty cool.

     

    Parker, I have been following your hitting analysis on TD for the last five years or so, and I think this might be your best yet. Those are some pretty subtle differences in those videos/photos, and not easy to see, let alone synthesize into a larger theory that is probably correct and not just speculative. 

     

    What inspired you to look for those specific changes in his swing? The arm-body space is especially difficult to see. 

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    I'm trying to cut LaVelle some slack, because it seems like he's more engaged this year. Probably had a sit-down.

     

    Engaged enough even to scoff at Parker's well-researched theories.

     

     

    To elaborate on the LaVelle comment -- the media throng were all enjoying an evening adult beverage in Fort Myers this spring. His remarks were good-natured and, to me, reflect a lot about how minor visual changes are perceived. I'm sure there are multiple readers that saw that and said "so what?"

     

    And that's true. What if he made that change but continued to roll his top hand? Or what if he made the separation at his stride but continued to have an armsy swing? He might not be producing at the current pace he is. To me, seeing that change in the spring was indicative of him trying to move forward, trying something different. 

     

    There is a lot that goes into a swing and a player's offensive performance -- gaining strength, not being injured, consistent playing time, etc -- but these minor mechanical adjustments can be critical in putting everything together. 

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    I have always thought this was a source of problems... hands moving forward with the stride instead of moving back.   

     

    Correct. You want to "walk away from your hands."

     

    I've noticed Buck is staying back much better this year by watching his head--it doesn't dip immediately when the pitch is thrown and he commits to swinging. Notice the movement of his head in the 2018 vs 2019 shots-his head is much more stable in 2019. 

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    Sure he looks better but is he hitting righties better? Someone needs to pull up those stats.

    Here are his splits..... Top is 2019, and bottom is 2016-2018...

     

    About 100 pts of OPS, 75 pts of slugging pct. improvement... Id say thats solid improvement.

     

    2019 AB H XBH BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
    vs. Left 27 10 4 3 7 0.370 0.433 0.593 1.026
    vs. Right 122 29 20 10 31 0.238 0.301 0.467 0.768     
            
            
    2016-2018 AB H XBH BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
    vs. Left 243 60 21 28 82 0.247 0.322 0.407 0.729
    vs. Right 607 138 54 36 214 0.227 0.277 0.392 0.669

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    Am I the only one in Twinsville who thinks he could take to the next level by adding one thing? The BUNT!

     

    I think Carew would back me up.

    Not at all. I've been saying that since he first came up...and said it more when he was struggling. With his speed, that's a weapon that should be utilized to help his overall offensive game. Having that in his back pocket can only help.

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