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  • Give Alex Meyer A Chance To Start


    Nick Nelson

    On Tuesday the Twins delivered some big news, announcing the long-awaited promotion of top pitching prospect Jose Berrios. He'll take the hill against the Indians on Wednesday night.

    A day earlier, another of the organization's most highly-rated young arms was promoted from Triple-A, albeit to much less fanfare.

    Despite a successful start to the season in Rochester's rotation, most believe that Alex Meyer will end up in the bullpen. It wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. But if he's going to get a chance to maximize his value in the majors, there's no better time than now to give him that opportunity.

    Image courtesy of Reinhold Matay, USA Today

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    When the Twins sent Meyer to Triple-A in March, they decided they were going to give him one more shot as a starting pitcher. He spent the bulk of last year as a reliever and it appeared that might be his role going forward, but the promise he once showed as a starter has not totally been forgotten.

    Granted, it's two starts (and one long relief appearance), but Meyer went to Rochester and did absolutely everything that could have been asked of him. The big righty pitched to a 1.04 ERA in 17 1/3 innings, notching 19 strikeouts and – most importantly – only four walks. In each of his starts he worked at least into the seventh inning with good pitch economy.

    His sharp early performance draws a stark contrast against last year, when finding the strike zone was a constant challenge for Meyer from start to finish. Whether the 26-year-old has figured something out or is just on a nice run, it's worth taking a look.

    Finding room for Meyer to make at least a couple starts shouldn't be hard. Kyle Gibson and Ervin Santana were both placed on the disabled list Tuesday, and while Berrios and Tyler Duffey will fill their spots for now, there's another purportedly healthy starter in the rotation who could be bumped.

    Tommy Milone has failed to complete five innings in three of his four starts. Given his status as a 29-year-old with limited upside on a one-year contract, there isn't a whole lot to gain by continuing to run him out. Moving Milone to the bullpen as a long reliever would be prudent, especially with that unit taking a beating recently.

    Give Meyer a few starts and see what he can do. The 7-14 Twins don't have much to lose. If he catches on, and approximates what he was doing in the minors in any way, it could be crucial toward rallying Minnesota back into the mix, and it would also be a monumental development in the big picture.

    If he scuffles, then a return to the bullpen and a full commitment to that path would be in order. But why not run him out there and find out what you've got? At this point, defining the roles and true capabilities of the young incoming wave should be the top priority of 2016 for the Twins.

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    That's really been the the theme with this "rebuild," hasn't it? Setting up young players for failure. Rushing Hicks to the majors twice, before he was ready. Not learning the key lesson from that mistake they rushed Buxton to the majors twice, before he was ready. They've been jerking around May, Meyer, and Duffey for the past 10 calendar months. Then they move Sano to a position he has never played on the fly while he is still trying to establish himself at the major league level. Not to mention calling up Kepler and Polanco (multiple times) to sit on the bench.

    This comment is absolutely spot on. I had to search back through the thread to pull it back up. Really questionable overall approach to developing young players. I think you could add Arcia to this list.

     

    Eddie Rosario, on the other hand, is one of the few Twin prospects that has gotten the consistent playing time that is needed to establish himself.

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     Yeah, some injuries were involved. Which is SOP around here. If you can stay healthy, you can survive almost any performance, or lack thereof. Get injured, and you might not get back. We appear to operate in the "Wally Pip" mode. :) To me the Meyer thing is very odd. First they tipped over the roster, because we HAD to have pitching, then the starter goes -5 the next night, and we miraculously find all kinds of pitching. And Wed night down 3, he still doesn't get in the game in the 6th, a classic long relief spot. Either Ryan brought up Meyer and told Molly he didn't have to pitch him, Molly is being pig headed, or they think they are legitimate contenders, and going balls to the wall to win every game they can. Frankly the last option scares me the most!

     

    Thoughts now that Meyer is replacing Milone, who is not injured? Clearly the Twins have a quick trigger and perhaps the reason Meyer wasn't pitching much was they suspected he might be starting soon.

     

    I think this is my main take away from the roster confusion of the last week - we need to have faith that the front office generally knows how to do things. Yeah it made no sense on Tuesday afternoon but heart surgery looks like murder halfway through. They preserved flexibility with some health stuff and got the right guys into the right spots pitching-wise. It's easy to be pessimistic and call people incompetent but there's method to the madness. In the course of a week the Twins put 40% of their rotation on the DL while also replacing another starter. That's not going to be super clean and I think it came out pretty well, all things considered.

     

    Very excited to see Berrios, Duffy and Meyer in the rotation for at least the next two weeks. At least one of them is likely to stick in the rotation long term and it seems possible there could be two (like if Nolasco is traded or turns back into a pumpkin). 

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    I think that most people on here were frustrated at how Meyer was left to rust. I also remember several others on here, including myself predicting him to pitch poorly when finally given the chance pitch after such a long mini-DL stint. It seemed so obviously poorly death with, and probably hurt other bullpen pitchers who could have used some rest as well. But, at least he is now getting a chance, albeit without being in stride. 

     

    My question is, was there any word of how he was successful in his first 2 starts in AAA? What pitches were working or was he getting his K's with. Where was his velocity sitting? Curious as to "how" he was getting it done there.

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    Thoughts now that Meyer is replacing Milone, who is not injured? Clearly the Twins have a quick trigger and perhaps the reason Meyer wasn't pitching much was they suspected he might be starting soon.

     

    I think this is my main take away from the roster confusion of the last week - we need to have faith that the front office generally knows how to do things. Yeah it made no sense on Tuesday afternoon but heart surgery looks like murder halfway through. They preserved flexibility with some health stuff and got the right guys into the right spots pitching-wise. It's easy to be pessimistic and call people incompetent but there's method to the madness. In the course of a week the Twins put 40% of their rotation on the DL while also replacing another starter. That's not going to be super clean and I think it came out pretty well, all things considered.

     

    Very excited to see Berrios, Duffy and Meyer in the rotation for at least the next two weeks. At least one of them is likely to stick in the rotation long term and it seems possible there could be two (like if Nolasco is traded or turns back into a pumpkin).

    If the plan was to replace Milone he could have stayed in AAA another week, or piggybacked off Milones 4 inning start.

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    I can't imagine that Meyer pithes all that well tonight due to him pitching 1 inning in the last 2 weeks. If he does, that would be awesome, but assuming he doesn't...do they send him back down to get him back to starting or just keep him up and relegate him to the bullpen?

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    Thoughts now that Meyer is replacing Milone, who is not injured? Clearly the Twins have a quick trigger and perhaps the reason Meyer wasn't pitching much was they suspected he might be starting soon.

     

    I think this is my main take away from the roster confusion of the last week - we need to have faith that the front office generally knows how to do things. Yeah it made no sense on Tuesday afternoon but heart surgery looks like murder halfway through. They preserved flexibility with some health stuff and got the right guys into the right spots pitching-wise. It's easy to be pessimistic and call people incompetent but there's method to the madness. In the course of a week the Twins put 40% of their rotation on the DL while also replacing another starter. That's not going to be super clean and I think it came out pretty well, all things considered.

     

    Very excited to see Berrios, Duffy and Meyer in the rotation for at least the next two weeks. At least one of them is likely to stick in the rotation long term and it seems possible there could be two (like if Nolasco is traded or turns back into a pumpkin).

    Nolasco needs to be traded asap. He is already reverting to the Nolasco of old. That would open a spot for two of our young pitchers (more than likely Duffey and Berrios) and then we go forward from there.
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    I can't imagine that Meyer pithes all that well tonight due to him pitching 1 inning in the last 2 weeks. If he does, that would be awesome, but assuming he doesn't...do they send him back down to get him back to starting or just keep him up and relegate him to the bullpen?

     

     

    I agree with you on this one. Supposedly they brought up Meyer after that 16 inning Washington game because the bullpen was gassed. Now, they had a lot of relievers to pick from on there 40 man roster. Why Meyer? He was starting in AAA, not relieving. So, after, what 10 plus days rotting on the bench, he starts tonight. Oh boy, I think Molitor wants him to fail. How else can you explain this when I saw they moved Taylor Rodgers back to starting. Stretching him out, so they can replace lefty with lefty.

     

     

    I hope the Big Guy's on tonight. Proof them all wrong Mr Meyer.

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    Nolasco needs to be traded asap. He is already reverting to the Nolasco of old. That would open a spot for two of our young pitchers (more than likely Duffey and Berrios) and then we go forward from there.

    Maybe trade Nolasco to the Tigers? How would you feel if your favorite team signed Jordan Zimmermann and Mike Pelfrey to multi-year contracts in the same off-season? Is that a net positive?

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    Seriously people?????

     

    No one in the front office wants Meyer, Duffey or even Berrios to fail.  Meyer got called up b/c he was the best option available to go long term if he was needed after a 16 inning game, and after another bad Milone outing and a couple of injuries, he got the option to start.  That's all it is. 

     

    Is this an ideal circumstance?  No, but callups rarely are.  That's the nature of having guys that go once every 5 days and having guys in AAA who still have lessons to learn.  Lets sit back and root for the Twins instead looking to blame someone every time something bad happens.  I guarantee you that Molitor and Ryan both want Meyer to do well, as does everyone else in the Twins organization.

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    Nolasco needs to be traded asap. He is already reverting to the Nolasco of old. That would open a spot for two of our young pitchers (more than likely Duffey and Berrios) and then we go forward from there.

     

    If Nolasco was untradeable in March, he's still untradeable  now.  Perhaps by July if he's continued to pitch well we can ship him off to an NL team, but it's going to take more than a month of decent (except for 1 start) results to unload Ricky.

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    I can't wait to see Meyer.  He looked like crap in spring training, but turned it around in AAA.

    Here's hoping tonight's catcher doesn't leave him hanging like they did with Berrios.  When a rookie pitcher runs into trouble, the catcher is the one that should calm him down.

     

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    Seriously people?????

     

    No one in the front office wants Meyer, Duffey or even Berrios to fail.  Meyer got called up b/c he was the best option available to go long term if he was needed after a 16 inning game, and after another bad Milone outing and a couple of injuries, he got the option to start.  That's all it is. 

     

    Is this an ideal circumstance?  No, but callups rarely are.  That's the nature of having guys that go once every 5 days and having guys in AAA who still have lessons to learn.  Lets sit back and root for the Twins instead looking to blame someone every time something bad happens.  I guarantee you that Molitor and Ryan both want Meyer to do well, as does everyone else in the Twins organization.

    This post has caused me to reevaluate the decision to only let people like a post once.

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    Nolasco needs to be traded asap. He is already reverting to the Nolasco of old. That would open a spot for two of our young pitchers (more than likely Duffey and Berrios) and then we go forward from there.

     

    Yeah, they just need someone who will take that contract. Where are the Dodgers when you need them?

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    I guarantee you that Molitor and Ryan both want Meyer to do well, as does everyone else in the Twins organization.

    Obviously this is true, and I don't think anyone is seriously suggesting otherwise.

     

    However, it's not unreasonable to suggest that their expectations and preconceptions are affecting their usage of him.  Molitor is on record as preferring Meyer in the bullpen -- is he more concerned about setting up Meyer for a successful start, or about lining up the rotation for the return of Santana/Gibson?

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    However, it's not unreasonable to suggest that their expectations and preconceptions are affecting their usage of him.  Molitor is on record as preferring Meyer in the bullpen -- is he more concerned about setting up Meyer for a successful start, or about lining up the rotation for the return of Santana/Gibson?

     

    Assuming he gets one start as Santana is going to start on Saturday per Lavelle.  http://www.startribune.com/santana-prepares-to-come-off-dl-start-vs-white-sox-on-saturday/377897741/

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    Obviously this is true, and I don't think anyone is seriously suggesting otherwise.

     

    However, it's not unreasonable to suggest that their expectations and preconceptions are affecting their usage of him.  Molitor is on record as preferring Meyer in the bullpen -- is he more concerned about setting up Meyer for a successful start, or about lining up the rotation for the return of Santana/Gibson?

    I don't know what other point you could be making other than to suggest that Molitor (secretly or strategically) wants Meyer to fail in order to get him in the bullpen and free a spot up for Santana/Gibson.  I think that's pretty unreasonable to suggest.

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    This thread just goes back to the prospect paradox: the team deserves criticism either because: 1) the team is unwilling to promote prospects b/c it is risk adverse and allows useful talent to waste away in the minor leagues, or 2) the team too readily promotes prospects and puts them in the position to fail.  We have these same arguments about every prospect when they initially struggle, yet too many fans--rather than accepting that even the best-developed prospects still fail when first exposed--will impugn the intentions and the integrity of the front office.   It's a rather insufferable attitude. 

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    I'll end this whole debate.  You can never have too much pitching.  Every organization knows this.  Arms tire, injuries happen, and the need for guys who can throw the ball across the plate and get outs never ends.  Everyone in the Twins organization wants Meyer, Gibson, Santana, and yes, even Nolasco to succeed.

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    I don't know what other point you could be making other than to suggest that Molitor (secretly or strategically) wants Meyer to fail in order to get him in the bullpen and free a spot up for Santana/Gibson.  I think that's pretty unreasonable to suggest.

    No.  I thought I was clear, but I guess not.  It's obviously not about wanting someone to fail, the Twins don't want that, and we fans don't want that either.  It's about not trusting someone to succeed, and the decisions and priorities one makes based on that level of trust/confidence.

     

    I am sure Molitor and company would love nothing more than for Alex Meyer to throw a great game tonight, but evidence suggests that they do not believe that is particularly likely, and thus have been putting priorities about Meyer's development (i.e. the timing of his promotion and MLB appearances so far) well below other priorities like, say, stashing an emergency arm at the back of the pen, or setting up the rotation for the easy return of a disabled veteran.  (Sounds patriotic when I put it like that :) )

     

    They are going to Meyer tonight ahead of Milone, which is definitely something in Meyer's favor.  It's about the bare minimum they could have done, though, given what little else they have done with him since his arguably premature (this season) promotion -- if they were going to promote him this early (this season), he needed to get some kind of look before they would potentially send him back down.  A little like Max Kepler getting that one last start before getting sent back down.

    Edited by spycake
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    This thread just goes back to the prospect paradox: the team deserves criticism either because: 1) the team is unwilling to promote prospects b/c it is risk adverse and allows useful talent to waste away in the minor leagues, or 2) the team too readily promotes prospects and puts them in the position to fail.  We have these same arguments about every prospect when they initially struggle, yet too many fans--rather than accepting that even the best-developed prospects still fail when first exposed--will impugn the intentions and the integrity of the front office.   It's a rather insufferable attitude. 

    Judging how you interpreted my post above, I suspect you may be jumping the gun at interpreting other posts as fitting your neat little "paradox."

     

    The team has appeared unwilling to promote/use Meyer at fairly obvious times (i.e. when the pen was struggling last year, or to get his feet wet with expanded September rosters the last two years).

     

    Now they have promoted him, seemingly prematurely as he looks to bounce back as an effective starting pitcher, and they have been very hesitant about actually using him.  To the point where they appear to have scheduled his first and perhaps only start according to Ervin Santana's expected return date rather than Meyer's own usage schedule.

     

    I'm not alleging any ineptitude or anything nefarious, either of the team or of the posters here, and I would suggest you do the same.  Facts and opinions are often quite a bit more complicated than they seem.

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    No.  I thought I was clear, but I guess not.  It's obviously not about wanting someone to fail, the Twins don't want that, and we fans don't want that either.  It's about not trusting someone to succeed, and the decisions and priorities one makes based on that level of trust/confidence.

     

    I am sure Molitor and company would love nothing more than for Alex Meyer to throw a great game tonight, but evidence suggests that they do not believe that is particularly likely, and thus have been putting priorities about Meyer's development (i.e. the timing of his promotion and MLB appearances so far) well below other priorities like, say, stashing an emergency arm at the back of the pen, or setting up the rotation for the easy return of a disabled veteran.  (Sounds patriotic when I put it like that :) )

     

    They are going to Meyer tonight ahead of Milone, which is definitely something in Meyer's favor.  It's about the bare minimum they could have done, though, given what little else they have done with him since his arguably premature promotion -- if they were going to promote him this early, he needed to get some kind of look before they would potentially send him back down.  A little like Max Kepler getting that one last start before getting sent back down.

    Although Meyer and Kepler lingering on the bench isn't ideal, the harm of a loss of two week's worth of at bats or starts isn't so great, and the benefit of limited MLB exposure (even bearing witness on the bench) may chill the initial anxieties that plague prospects in the early going.   My point is that the Twins aren't doing the least they could in regard to development for Meyer.  There's a human complexity to actual success at the highest levels that goes beyond the number of at bats and innings pitched -- I think that's something pretty easy to discount when we talk about what's best for a given player. Although, sitting on the bench for two weeks may not have been ideal for Meyer, it may have done him some good in managing his inevitable debut as starter.   At the very least, the premise shouldn't be discounted out of hand.  

     

    The Twins' plans may not have been ideal, but nor have their plans been enacted with total disregard to what best for the player's development either; it's complex, and a balance between what's best for the team and what's best for the player, without disregarding either. 

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    I'm not alleging any ineptitude or anything nefarious, either of the team or of the posters here, and I would suggest you do the same.  Facts and opinions are often quite a bit more complicated than they seem.

    I'm not sure what you're alleging then.  There's awful lot of implication and inference, combined with the disclaimer "well that's not what I'm saying".   (For my part, it's pretty clear what's being alleged even if put in negative terms and not overtly suggested). 

     

    The complexity of the situation, as I think I've indicated, would seem to cut-against making much of the Twins' disparate choices over the span of two years (or two weeks) with regards to Meyer.  (Things have probably changed since last season, such as Meyer's actual AAA success as a starter.)  

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    Although Meyer and Kepler lingering on the bench isn't ideal, the harm of a loss of two week's worth of at bats or starts isn't so great, and the benefit of limited MLB exposure (even bearing witness on the bench) may chill the initial anxieties that plague prospects in the early going.   My point is that the Twins aren't doing the least they could in regard to development for Meyer.  There's a human complexity to actual success at the highest levels that goes beyond the number of at bats and innings pitched -- I think that's something pretty easy to discount when we talk about what's best for a given player. Although, sitting on the bench for two weeks may not have been ideal for Meyer, it may have done him some good in managing his inevitable debut as starter.   At the very least, the premise shouldn't be discounted out of hand.  

     

    The Twins' plans may not have been ideal, but nor have their plans been enacted with total disregard to what best for the player's development either; it's complex, and a balance between what's best for the team and what's best for the player, without disregarding either. 

    That's fair.  But I suspect somewhat overrated.  The Twins opted not to promote Meyer either of the last two Septembers to "bear witness on the bench", even though it literally would have cost them almost nothing (a league minimum paycheck and some days service time for a prospect likely controlled through his age 32 season anyway).  And he bore witness on the bench last summer briefly already.

     

    And the promotion of Kepler to "bear witness on the bench" (I like that phrase :) ) was also timed quite oddly, given how he already bore witness on the bench (do judges do that? :) ) last September, and he had all of 2 career games at AAA when it happened (and a lot to prove at that level yet, like Meyer as a SP this year except for different reasons).  And his appearances, like Meyer's, felt a bit more happenstance (i.e. starting against a tough lefty, then sitting for over a week) than you would imagine for a careful, considered introduction of a prospect to the MLB world.

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    I'm not sure what you're alleging then.  There's awful lot of implication and inference, combined with the disclaimer "well that's not what I'm saying".

    Am I really not being clear?  I feel like I am being clear.  The Twins don't hope Meyer to fail, but their belief in the likelihood of his success right now is influencing their priorities.  So they're putting a lower priority on putting him in the best position to succeed than other priorities, like having a emergency arm at the back of the pen for another extra inning game, or setting up the rotation for Santana's return.  This isn't unique to this situation or to the Twins, it's something that literally everybody does, everyday.  And it might make some things a little harder for those people and things that get assigned that lower priority, like Alex Meyer in this case.

    What exactly isn't clear about that?  I'd honestly like to know.

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    Am I really not being clear?  I feel like I am being clear.  The Twins don't hope Meyer to fail, but their belief in the likelihood of his success right now is influencing their priorities.  So they're putting a lower priority on putting him in the best position to succeed than other priorities, like having a emergency arm at the back of the pen for another extra inning game, or setting up the rotation for Santana's return.  This isn't unique to this situation or to the Twins, it's something that literally everybody does, everyday.  And it might make some things a little harder for those people and things that get assigned that lower priority, like Alex Meyer in this case.

    What exactly isn't clear about that?  I'd honestly like to know.

    I guess what isn't clear is what you make of that determination - that the Twins are deprioritizing putting Meyer in the best position.  (I don't necessarily agree with that determination, as I think it's more complex, even though I do agree it's less than ideal).   The implication/inference of that determination would seem to be that the Twins are making a mistake. And for some posters, maybe not you, this mistake is illustrative of a general incompetence by the FO in regard to the development of prospects, and hence the piling on (before Meyer even makes his first ML start, no less).  

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    That's fair.  But I suspect somewhat overrated.  The Twins opted not to promote Meyer either of the last two Septembers to "bear witness on the bench", even though it literally would have cost them almost nothing (a league minimum paycheck and some days service time for a prospect likely controlled through his age 32 season anyway).  And he bore witness on the bench last summer briefly already.

     

    And the promotion of Kepler to "bear witness on the bench" (I like that phrase :) ) was also timed quite oddly, given how he already bore witness on the bench (do judges do that? :) ) last September, and he had all of 2 career games at AAA when it happened (and a lot to prove at that level yet, like Meyer as a SP this year except for different reasons).  And his appearances, like Meyer's, felt a bit more happenstance (i.e. starting against a tough lefty, then sitting for over a week) than you would imagine for a careful, considered introduction of a prospect to the MLB world.

    Everyone agrees it's strange.  Are Molli and Terry on the same page or bumping heads?  This happened once before with Meyer (Coach killer?) and Santana SS vs. CF.  Next thing we knew Gardy went from safe to fired, to unemployed, to MiLB road consultant or some made up thing.  Therefore it's clear, Ryan is actually setting Molitor up for some sort of weird backward promotion.  

    But seriously, no one whole heartedly wants Meyer to fail.  But more people than you think value being right (selfish success) more than they wish for others' success.  You're being naive to suggest that personal motives don't play in and that everyone desires to see Meyer pitch well. 

    Personally, I think some success as a starter is a step toward dominance in the pen.

     

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    I guess what isn't clear is what you make of that determination - that the Twins are deprioritizing putting Meyer in the best position. (I don't necessarily agree with that determination, as I think it's more complex, even though I do agree it's less than ideal). The implication/inference of that determination would seem to be that the Twins are making a mistake. And for some posters, maybe not you, this mistake is illustrative of a general incompetence by the FO in regard to the development of prospects, and hence the piling on (before Meyer even makes his first ML start, no less).

    Yeah, I think it's a mistake. Not a huge one, but a mistake nonetheless. The kind of baseball discussion point that has been going on since time immemorial.

     

    Back to my original point, I hope I have finally been clear that nobody claims Molitor or the Twins are actively hoping Meyer will fail.

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