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  • Game Recap: Twins 12, Tigers 9


    Matthew Lenz

    It was a rollercoaster game for the Twins and Tigers who combined for 21 runs after scoring zero runs in the first four innings. Read on to find out how the Twins ended their first half in today's game recap!

    Image courtesy of © Jordan Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Box Score

    Jose Berríos 7.0 IP, 3 H, 4 ER, 4 BB, 8 K (61% strikes)

    Homeruns: Kepler (10), Rortvedt (2), Polanco (12)

    Top 3 WPA: Polanco (.534), Duffey (.486), Rortvedt (.355),

    Win Probability Chart (via Fangraphs)

    1203438659_chart(1).png.a1e196e30882cc3e3a2a57b998a48f15.png

    Jose Berríos Falters in Fifth

    Berríos, coming off a great outing against the White Sox, cruised through the first three innings needing just 37 pitches to set down the Tigers the first time through the lineup. He had some help from Trevor Larnach to end the second inning on a ball that looked like it was going to be an extra base-hit.

     

    Although he didn’t allow a hit until there were two outs in the fifth inning, he really started showing signs of inefficiency in the fourth inning where he threw just 50-percent strikes and benefited from Robbie Grossman coming off 2nd base on a steal for a strike ‘em out, throw ‘em out double play to end the inning. Ten, after getting the first two batters out in the fifth, Berríos wouldn’t get the third out until the Tigers plated four runs thanks to back-to-back walks to the eight and nine hitters and a couple hanging curveballs. 

    He would go on to regain his form needing just six pitches in the sixth and ending his day with back-to-back strikeouts looking in the seventh. 

    Aside from the one inning, it was a very good day for Berríos but once again he was bit by his inconsistency. Not to overreact from one bad inning, but this is why I tend to believe his ceiling is limited to mid-rotation arm on a contending team. When he’s efficient with his pitches, he is very effective and can look like a number on option but in his five plus seasons with the Twins there has been enough inconsistency to question whether he can really take the “next step”.

    Twins Exercise Patience and it Pays Off

    Through three innings, things weren’t looking great for the Twins offense.

    And with the exception of Max Kepler’s 10th homerun of the season, they never were able to figure out Tigers starter Wily Peralta. Fortunately, due to his inefficiency, he was pulled needing 97 pitches to get through five innings despite allowing just five Twins batters to reach base.

     
    A change on the mound was exactly what the Twins needed as they made the Tigers relievers pay for not throwing strikes. Over the next two innings, the Twins would get four hits from Jorge Polanco twice, Max Kepler, and Alex Kirilloff as well as six walks and five earned runs to take a 6-4 lead entering the eighth. In all, every Twin would reach base at least once with Polanco reaching base four times and Kirilloff, Cruz, and Kepler reaching base in three different at-bats. Moreover, the Twins continued to get production from their rookies as Kirilloff had two RBI's, a run scored, and saw 30 pitches over his six at-bats while Ben Rortvedt tied the game in the bottom of the ninth with a 410 foot blast. It was a tough series for fellow rookie, Trevor Larnach, who went 2-for-18 with 12 strikeouts including back-to-back games with four strikeouts.

    In addition to his day at the plate, Kirilloff saved the game in the top of the 10th with this fantastic diving play.

     

    Then of course came the walk-off...

     

    Bullpen Usage

    Jorge Alcala would relieve Berríos and immediately give up a solo homerun to Akil Baddoo and a single to Jonathan Schoop but was able to get the next two outs before Hansel Robles relieved him to finish the eighth. Taylor Rogers came in on the ninth and allowed the first three batters to reach followed by a Grand Slam that gave the Tigers temporarily gave the Tigers the lead. Tyler Duffey earned the win by shutting down the Tigers in the 10th.
     

      TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN TOT
    Law 0 50 0 0 27 0 77
    Thielbar 0 20 0 20 0 0 40
    Duffey 0 0 15 0 21 15 51
    Rogers 0 0 6 0 0 22 28
    Robles 0 0 0 24 0 3 27
    Colomé 14 0 0 0 17 0 31
    Coulombe 12 0 0 0 13 0 25
    Alcala 0 0 0 23 0 10 33

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    Another 4 games after the AS break and the Twins should be able to pass the pesky Tigers and take over sole possession of the always competitive Central Division.  

    Watching the two bullpens reminded me of a quote from  the venerable sage Denny Green which could have been uttered by either manager. To paraphrase: "They are what we thought they were, and we let them off the hook" 

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    If the Twins keep this up they will NOT have the Number One Draft Pick in 2022! This is a day Taylor Rogers might've remembered. Instead, the Twins did get the win in their own dramatic fashion.

     

    So many walks. I love ALL the delayed strike calls by the home plate umpire. Somedays you just wish you were one of the field umps.

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    1 hour ago, Game7-91 said:

    Liked Larnach and Kiriloff contributing defense today. Is this team better with Larnach RF, Kiriloff 1B, Sano bench/PH?

    I think you missed the part about Larnach striking out 4 times in back to back games. He struck out 4 times in a game last week, too.

    This is a problem and it looks like a big one. Seven homers isn't good enough to make up for what has become an alarming inability to make contact.

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    1 hour ago, Game7-91 said:

    Liked Larnach and Kiriloff contributing defense today. Is this team better with Larnach RF, Kiriloff 1B, Sano bench/PH?

    Sano will be the default DH once Cruz is traded. Could be as soon as Friday.

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    8 minutes ago, bighat said:

    I think you missed the part about Larnach striking out 4 times in back to back games. He struck out 4 times in a game last week, too.

    This is a problem and it looks like a big one. Seven homers isn't good enough to make up for what has become an alarming inability to make contact.

    He is not ready for big league yet, but who else is there at this time.  Larnach doesn't have strong arm but at that Gordon and Celestino are worse.

    When Refsnyder or Garlick come back send him back down.

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    10 minutes ago, bighat said:

    I think you missed the part about Larnach striking out 4 times in back to back games. He struck out 4 times in a game last week, too.

    This is a problem and it looks like a big one. Seven homers isn't good enough to make up for what has become an alarming inability to make contact.

    He is a rookie!  If all things had gone normal this year, he would still be in St Paul.  Judging a guy buy his first few months is never a good thing 

     

     

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    1 hour ago, RpR said:

    He is not ready for big league yet, but who else is there at this time.  Larnach doesn't have strong arm but at that Gordon and Celestino are worse.

    When Refsnyder or Garlick come back send him back down.

    According to his 2020 scouting report from MLB.com, he has a strong arm.

    Despite all the strikeouts, he still has an OPS of .755 (.718 is the league OPS) and is batting 3rd in the order. He’s a rookie who, like ALL players at times, is in a slump. Let’s not overreact.

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    2 hours ago, RpR said:

    ...Larnach doesn't have strong arm but at that Gordon and Celestino are worse...

    I'm not sure where you got the information or feeling Gordon has a bad arm. Gordon had a low 90s fastball in high school and his arm strength was a major reason he was expected to be able to stick at SS when he was drafted.

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    I don't think of Berrios as an ace and I don't think there's a reason to really believe he will be. The number of 3 pitch aces out there is pretty much non-existent. Berrios is what he is, which is a solid #2 or excellent #3, but with great durability and an ability to eat innings. That's why people are talking about 5 years $100-125MM and not 7 years $245MM like Strasburg got. I feel like the expectation is he's an ace and should pitch like one, but that kind of mindset takes away from how good he is at being who he really is.

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    4 minutes ago, bean5302 said:

    I don't think of Berrios as an ace and I don't think there's a reason to really believe he will be. The number of 3 pitch aces out there is pretty much non-existent. Berrios is what he is, which is a solid #2 or excellent #3, but with great durability and an ability to eat innings. That's why people are talking about 5 years $100-125MM and not 7 years $245MM like Strasburg got. I feel like the expectation is he's an ace and should pitch like one, but that kind of mindset takes away from how good he is at being who he really is.

    Kind of like Liriano back in the day.   He was so awesome in 2016 so that was what people expected of him.   When he came back and was simply good fans were mad he wasn't still great..

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    3 hours ago, bighat said:

    I think you missed the part about Larnach striking out 4 times in back to back games. He struck out 4 times in a game last week, too.

    This is a problem and it looks like a big one. Seven homers isn't good enough to make up for what has become an alarming inability to make contact.

    He’ll be fine, he’s a rookie and rookies (as well as all players for that matter) go through theses stretches. 

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    7 hours ago, snotboogie said:

    I’m not much more than a casual fan, but is it unusual for the Twins to reach base 5 times in a game by fielder’s choice? Even Nellie was able to do it by my scoring. 

    It could be said that it's unusual for them to reach base 5 times at all...:)

    But to answer the question, in a game like this one it's not ridiculous.

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    8 hours ago, Matthew Lenz said:

    According to his 2020 scouting report from MLB.com, he has a strong arm.

    Despite all the strikeouts, he still has an OPS of .755 (.718 is the league OPS) and is batting 3rd in the order. He’s a rookie who, like ALL players at times, is in a slump. Let’s not overreact.

    Let me preface my response by saying this whole conversation is meant to be jovial, and in good fun. The Twins are on a break, I'm just shooting the breeze here and having a good time debating a player.

    You: "Let's not overreact! He's a rookie, those strikeout stats don't matter"

    Also you: "His OPS is .755"

    So...stats do matter, but only the good ones? We're not supposed to talk about those bad stats over there in the corner?  Anyway man, I totally understand the points a lot of you are making. I guess I just have some seeds of doubt and I'm wondering if anyone else feels the same.

    Anyone remember Bobby Kielty? That's all I'm sayin.

     

     

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    Yes we could remember Kielty and a dozen others in the same boat.  Give Larnach a break for crying out loud.  He's a rookie, and overall has done well.  So when has it become bad for a rookie to have slumps but the " veterans" get a pass when they have a slump?  Larnach has proved he belongs here and deserves to stay when everyone else gets healthy.  We have plenty of other candidates to move out.  To send Larnach down may be worse for him.  Where are the coaches that are supposed to help him?

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    10 hours ago, Dantes929 said:

    Kind of like Liriano back in the day.   He was so awesome in 2016 so that was what people expected of him.   When he came back and was simply good fans were mad he wasn't still great..

    He wasn't very good, he struggled to keep his ERA under 5, and an ERA over 4 is not even considered good.

    He was phenomenal in 2006.  I have never seen pitching like Liriano in 2006 and I doubt I will see it again.  The closest was Scott Erickson's run in 1991, and Erickson's streak of dominance lasted just about as long as Liriano's.

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    10 hours ago, bean5302 said:

    I don't think of Berrios as an ace and I don't think there's a reason to really believe he will be. The number of 3 pitch aces out there is pretty much non-existent. Berrios is what he is, which is a solid #2 or excellent #3, but with great durability and an ability to eat innings. That's why people are talking about 5 years $100-125MM and not 7 years $245MM like Strasburg got. I feel like the expectation is he's an ace and should pitch like one, but that kind of mindset takes away from how good he is at being who he really is.

    Berrios comps to Brad Radke, the pitcher with the highest WAR in a Twins uniform.

    Fans expect HOF numbers out of "Ace" pitchers.  There are only a couple of pitchers like that in the league at a time.  And yes, Berrios is a known quantity and not a future hall of famer.

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    10 hours ago, Dantes929 said:

    Kind of like Liriano back in the day.   He was so awesome in 2016 so that was what people expected of him.   When he came back and was simply good fans were mad he wasn't still great..

    Like the above poster said, Liriano wasn't "simply good" after 2006. He had an ERA+ of 88 from 2008 through 2012. He was slightly above average in FIP during that time, but most of that was due to 2010 -- he was thoroughly mediocre, in FIP and ERA, in 2009, 2011, and 2012.

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    1 hour ago, Dodecahedron said:

    He wasn't very good, he struggled to keep his ERA under 5, and an ERA over 4 is not even considered good.

    He was phenomenal in 2006.  I have never seen pitching like Liriano in 2006 and I doubt I will see it again.  The closest was Scott Erickson's run in 1991, and Erickson's streak of dominance lasted just about as long as Liriano's.

    In 2008 he was 0-3 11.32 ERA in the first half and also the first 3 games after a year and a half gone from surgery.   His 2nd half was 6-1 with 2.74 ERA.    His 2010 season was quite good.   IMO, throughout, he was judged against his 2016 season.     His 2008 season was essential in getting us to game 163 and conceivably brought up one game too late.  .   He was arguably our best starter in 2010.    I'm not saying he is a direct parallel to Berrios but some of the criticisms remind me of it.

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    10 minutes ago, Dantes929 said:

    In 2008 he was 0-3 11.32 ERA in the first half and also the first 3 games after a year and a half gone from surgery.   His 2nd half was 6-1 with 2.74 ERA.    His 2010 season was quite good.   IMO, throughout, he was judged against his 2016 season.     His 2008 season was essential in getting us to game 163 and conceivably brought up one game too late.  .   He was arguably our best starter in 2010.    I'm not saying he is a direct parallel to Berrios but some of the criticisms remind me of it.

    I agree that he was good for stretches, but baseball is measured by seasons and not smaller samples. 

    Kyle Gibson was also good for stretches as a Twin.  The two of them comp rather well.

    If you do a deep dive, you will find that most starters pitch well 40-60% of the time.  The difference between good and not good is just not that much in baseball.  Liriano and Gibson were on the lower end of this, but like with most pitchers who last more than a year or two it's not hard to find good games in there.

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    Jose Berrios pitching no-hit ball, then falling apart, then putting it back together again for two innings was one of the weirder Twins pitching performances I've seen in a while. But we've learned to expect that kind of one-inning meltdown from him.

    On the other hand, Taylor Rodgers letting the 6, 7, and 8 guys reach base, and the 9 guy to hit a grand slam, all in ten pitches, then to strike out the 1, 2, and 3 guys... that was the most confounding pitching performance I think I've ever seen.

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