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  • Game Recap: Cleveland 7, Twins 4


    Jamie Cameron

    The Twins showed signs of early offensive life Tuesday before slumping to another lifeless defeat, characterized by the poor play which has encapsulated their 2021 season.

    Image courtesy of David Richard, USA Today Sports

    Twins Video

    Box Score

    Maeda: 5.2 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, 3 K

    Home Runs: Buxton (7)

    Bottom 3 WPA: Maeda -.180, Garver -.154, Arraez -.117

    Win Probability Chart (via Fangraphs)

    ccs-6423-0-81688400-1619572857.png

    Buxton Returns to Strengthened Lineup

    Byron Buxton returned to the lineup Tuesday, after a bout of patellar tendinitis. Kyle Garlick and Max Kepler cleared COVID protocols, promising further reinforcements later in the week. Rocco Baldelli also reported that Miguel Sanó’s hamstring is close to one hundred percent, meaning the Twins could be at full strength by the weekend.

    https://twitter.com/dohyoungpark/status/1387118770724900866

    Twins Bats Come Out Strong

    The Twins bats came out strong against CBT starter Aaron Civale, who had excelled early in the 2021 season.

    https://twitter.com/dohyoungpark/status/1387171905564602370

    A Byron Buxton infield single in which he reached 30.9 ft/s was followed up by a Nelson Cruz triple (yes, you read that right).

    https://twitter.com/MLBONFOX/status/1387171298971947009

    Kirilloff then followed up with an RBI single but was thrown out by Cleveland left fielder Eddie Rosario attempting to turn a single into a double.

    Maeda Still Out of Command

    Kenta Maeda gave a run back immediately in the bottom of the first, as Jose Ramirez deposited a center cut fastball into the right field seats. In the bottom of the third, Franmil Reyes followed up with this.

    https://twitter.com/BallySportsCLE/status/1387177936533471233

    The Twins surrendered the lead in the bottom of the 3rd inning. Alex Kirilloff took a bad route to a fly ball to left field, fumbling the ball off his glove leading to a double on a batted ball which had an xBA of .090.

    https://twitter.com/cjzero/status/1387181965967708161

    The Twins evened up the game in the 4th, stringing together a single from Cruz, another from Astudillo, and a double from Cave. In a stretch where the offense has been so ineffective, it was at least encouraging that the Twins had five batted balls over 100 mph by the end of the 4th inning. Little did we know that would be almost the end of the Twins offensive threat.

    Cleveland Takes the Lead for Good

    Cleveland took the lead again in the bottom of the 6th, Franmil Reyes swatting a Maeda fastball over the left field wall for his second home run of the night. A Josh Naylor double spelled the end of the night for Maeda. In a Twins season marred by poor execution and underperformance, Maeda continues to be a microcosm of the problem, again failing to muster the command his stuff requires. A Jake Bauers double off Caleb Thielbar’s curveball made it 5-3 Cleveland at the end of six innings.

    A two run lead would prove enough for Cleveland. Byron Buxton crushed his 7th home run of the season in the 8th, off an Aaron Civale curveball, cutting the lead to one.

    https://twitter.com/MLB/status/1387205462806958090

    Once again, the Twins needed someone to come up in a big spot for them. Once again Nelson Cruz and Byron Buxton answered the call. One again, no one else did. Buxton’s solo home run in the 8th inning was the Twins lone hit after the 4th inning.

    Rocco Baldelli brought in he embattled reliever Alexander Colomé in the bottom of the 8th. Colomé promptly hit Josh Naylor and walked three batters before being pulled by Jorge Alcala. Alcala hit a batter, scoring another run, before striking out Jose Ramirez to end a miserable inning of Twins pitching.

    https://twitter.com/DanHayesMLB/status/1387211804061880322

    Another game, another pitiful performance by a team expected to be one of the best in baseball. After a positive start to the season, the Twins have lost 13 of their last 15 games. You have to imagine Twins fans may transition from passionate and upset at the performance of their team, to tired and apathetic in short order. And who can blame them? Night after night of poor baseball and failed execution is tough to watch.

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet

    Click here to see the bullpen usage over the past five days (link opens a Google Sheet).

    What’s Next?

    On Wednesday, the Twins will send J.A. Happ to the hill against Logan Allen. First pitch is at 12:10 CT.

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    But, but, but ,,, we had such great exit velocity!

     

    Maybe this team is built to maximize "advanced statistics" but not to win baseball games? 

     

    PDX - you forgot to add the the Twins pitchers also had a strikeout per inning which is another one of those awesome advanced statistics.

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    I read they were toying with Colombe's delivery and/or grip. Could that be a major part of his problem? He certainly has stunk this year so far. Why mess with what has been successful in the past? Maeda certainly is nothing like we saw last year. Hopefully he can regain some of that form. Much of the offense (?) is toast except for a few sparks and the defense, which has always been a strength, has been awful. These are things that happen when a team goes South. I'm surprised that, with the losing and then Baldelli forgetting about the mound visit rule, that he wasn't fired. Something has to be done to shake this team up. Usually it's the manager that is let go first. I guess we'll see.

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    I am ready to see Waddle and Farrell in relief duty this pen is such a disaster.  So Wes's philosophy is throw it down the middle those guys can't touch your stuff? Or is it just throw hard who cares where it goes even if it hits them?  I don't think I have ever seen such a pitiful group of relief pitchers for the Twins ever.  I mean if this is the best they have bring up Chalmers he can walk three guys and hit a batter like Colome did and likely strike out the side doing it.  Bring up Ober can he be any worse than Stashak has been?  Let all those guys sit and think about finding ways to throw strikes and miss bats.  Can anyone throw a clean inning anymore?  Let's get to work guys come on.

     

    Hopefully the Twins learned their lesson on the Colome decision.  No one in the league really wanted him as the deeper numbers were not there.  Now we know why.  Rocco did his friend no favors leaving him out there for 30 and 40 pitches an outing and not giving him much rest but still Colome is not the kind of pitcher you hang your hat on.  K's rule and the pen needs to get back to missing bats.

     

    Don't get me started on the brutal defense this year either.  There is an untimely error every game setting us back and lot's of them are not even tough plays.  This just doesn't look like a professional team right now more like AAA with a few MLB players mixed in.

     

    I can't watch this train wreck everyday anymore.  Will keep a distant eye on them but this looks like a wasted season right now. 

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    Detroit escapes the cellar!  We did it, we boosted the morale for the Tigers and sit alone in a position where we have all the teams in front of us so we can look up and see what strategy we want to use in our climb up the ladder.

     

    7 - 15 .318  to get 95 wins we need to be 88 - 52 .628 the rest of the year.  Is it possible?  

     

    Buxton and Cruz are really leading the way, I put Polanco at U and Arraez everyday at 2B.  Kiriloff stays on the field at LF or 1B.  We need Donaldson and Simmons every day. Those players have enough fire power to propel us forward, seldom does an entire lineup have to be great.   So fill in with Kepler and Larnach or maybe Sano comes back and proves he is not a one year wonder.  

     

    Catcher is a position where an earlier TD post bragged that we were so much better off than other teams with two starting caliber players. I still believe in Jeffers but I am so puzzled by Garver, his great year seems to have been a curse rather than a benefit.  

     

    Cave gone, keep Astudillo, he has life and he is hitting and fielding wherever they put him.

     

    Now the hard part - pitching.  Let's see Berrios - yes.  Maeda looks like he was a one year mirage, but I expect better.  The starters seem fine.  But the BP??? Could we call up Edwar Colina?  Shouldn't we try some more of the RP we had in the spring?  

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    Among the many, many things that could be said, or asked, about this game, one stands head and shoulders above all else:

    "What the **** was that 8th inning about?"

    Edit: I guess it was too much to ask a beat writer to question Rocco on the monumentally stupid decision to let Colome struggle through a hit batter followed by three walks (and it should have been four walks if not for a gift K) in the 8th inning of a 1 run game: no mention in the Strib game story. Nothing.

    I mean, come on!

     

    To be fair, the Strib eventually published a separate story that was specifically about the Colomé appearance, which is probably why they didn't address it in the game story:

     

    https://www.startribune.com/twins-alex-colome-setback/600050989/

     

    Technically, the situation Colomé entered last night was a "low-leverage" situation, as defined by game-entering leverage index. It had a value of 0.55, compared to average/neutral leverage of 1.0 or top reliever leverage of 1.5+. I would have guessed higher, with only a 1-run deficit, but as the road team entering the bottom of the 8th, we had only 1 more chance on offense and our opponent had 2 more. (Also, not factored into leverage index but something Baldelli could consider, but the top 4 in our batting order had just batted in the 8th, so they were unlikely to bat again in the 9th.)

     

    But it still felt a little weird, using him in that situation immediately after he lost the game Monday, and while we were trying to stop a losing streak.

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    I was listening to the bottom of the 2nd inning on the radio. Atteberry and Provus were dissecting every pitch Maeda threw, in clinical detail. Very weird. I am just hoping they were going down a rabbit hole, and not communicating something subtle about what the team is concerned about.

    Edited by Hosken Bombo Disco
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