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  • Do the 2021 Twins Have the Worst Pitching Staff in Team History?


    Cody Christie

    Derek Falvey was brought over from Cleveland to help the Twins build a pitching pipeline. Those dreams have yet to come to fruition as the 2021 Twins might be the worst pitching staff in team history.

    Image courtesy of © Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

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    On Tuesday night, Twins fans that stayed up late to watch a West Coast game were treated with a real clunker. Minnesota faced off against a bad Seattle team and it escalated into an embarrassing loss. J.A. Happ allowed six earned runs in four innings to an anemic Mariners offense. Happ is only one issue with a pitching staff that might be the worst in franchise history.

    Out of the 15 American League teams, Minnesota ranks 13th or lower in ERA, hits, R, HR, and strikeouts, but it goes even further than that.

    While all those numbers show how bad the Twins have been this season, there are ways to compare the current team to former seasons. ERA- and FIP- are all statistics that allow fans to compare pitchers across different eras because it adjusts for the league and the park. For each area, 100 is league average and each point above or below 100 represents a percent above or below league average. If a team has a 90 ERA- that means they were 10 percentage points better than the league average.

    When it comes to ERA-, there is only one Minnesota team with a worse total than the 2021 Twins. The 1995 Twins finished the year with a 56-88 record and their starting staff was composed of a 22-year-old Brad Radke, Kevin Tapani, Mike Trombley, Frankie Rodriguez, Scott Erickson, and Jose Para. As a club, they had the ranked last or second to last in the American League when it came to ERA, HR, R, W, IP, and H. Entering play on Wednesday, the 2021 Twins (119 ERA-) were only one point behind the 1995 team (120 ERA-), so they certainly can end up in the bottom spot by season’s end.

    FIP is used to estimate a pitcher’s run prevention independent of the defensive performance behind the player. The 2021 Twins also have the second worse FIP- in team history, but this time the 1982 squad has the worst total. That squad finished 60-102, which was last place in the AL West. Starters on the team included Bobby Castillo, Brad Havens, Albert Williams, Frank Viola, and Jack O’Connor. Like the 1995 team, they ranked at or near the bottom of the AL in ERA, HR, ER, R, and BB.

    What makes it even more frustrating is how good last year’s staff was in comparison to the current team. Kenta Maeda was the runner-up for the Cy Young and he wasn’t the only one to find success. All four of Minnesota’s top four starters were above league average when it comes to ERA-. Minnesota’s bullpen also had many reliable arms whereas the 2021 team’s bullpen has been a train wreck.

    In the not-so-distant future, it seems likely for the 2021 Twins to cut ties to some of their veteran pitching options and start seeing what the team has for younger arms. Bailey Ober and Griffin Jax have been added to the staff and other prospects will be following closely behind. Minnesota’s top two pitching prospects, Jhoan Duran and Jordan Balazovic, have both showcased dominant stuff in the upper levels of the minors this season and their big-league debuts made come sooner rather than later.

    Do you think this is the worst pitching staff in team history? Leave a COMMENT and join the discussion.

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    I have said for a long time that you can never trust bullpen pitchers to be what you expect year in and year out, even stretches throughout the season.  I think this has been even worse in recent years with the increased used of pen pitchers.  We expect greatness from every pen guy it seems, but when you use them so much then it increases the chances they will perform poorly at least one of the times.  

    For example.  If you have the starter got 5 innings or less, even when doing well.  That leaves at least 4 innings from the pen.  Normally, we have been using 1 guy per inning, sometimes more.  That means at least 5 pitchers being used in games, 4 from the pen.  If one has an off night, that increases the chance you lose a close game.  

    I know the team wants their best arms to possibly be available if needed, but feel there should be times to let a guy who is doing well to pitch an extra inning.  The team seem so concerned with injury, which has merit, but is potentially sacrificing output.  I am not saying I know better than the team who I would have done studies and looked into this, but for whatever reason this year has been a huge train wreck.  We will have games where the pen pitches well, but we really need to get more innings out the starters, so we do not rely on the pen always getting it done and needing you top guys each game to be at best. 

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