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    Seth Stohs

    At the beginning of this month, I projected the Twins Opening Day roster. When spring training begins, I’ll update that list. There are few questions marks in the roster. The fifth starter job will be up for grabs as well as a couple of bullpen spots. However, the centerfield job will certainly be one to watch.

    Image courtesy of Jesse Johnson, USA Today

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    We know that Torii Hunter will be starting in right field. Oswaldo Arcia will make the move over to left field, but centerfield remains a question.

    The Twins did not address the position in the offseason, at least not in a big, obvious way. This leads me to what I believe to be Plan A.

    Plan A: Third Time’s The Charm

    I am of the belief that the Twins brass wants Aaron Hicks to have a strong spring training and take the reins on the starting job. That’s what he did in 2013. In 2014, he beat out Alex Presley for the starting centerfield job. In fact, the Twins DFA'd Presley near the end of spring training, meaning that there really wasn’t a backup plan for 2014. In fact, when Hicks was sent back to the minor leagues, the Twins tried Eduardo Escobar in centerfield for a game before the job was given to Danny Santana, who ran with it.

    Hicks will be just 25 years old throughout the 2014 season. That isn’t necessarily young, but I wonder if some think he might be older after being given the opportunity the last two seasons. He has never been a great hitter in the minor leagues, but in a good year, he can fill a stat sheet. He has all the tools to be good. Even in a poor 2014 season, he posted a .341 on-base percentage.

    It’s possible, so the team does have to have a Plan B, too.

    Plan B: Fourth Outfielder Platoon

    Jordan Schafer is going to be on the roster. If Aaron Hicks is the starter, Schafer is the fourth outfielder. If Aaron Hicks is sent to the minor leagues, Schafer gets a lot more playing time.

    The 28 year old was DFA'd last year after hitting just .163 in 80 at bats over 63 games for Atlanta. The Twins swooped in and claimed him. He was given regular playing time and showed what he could do. He hit .285/.345/.362 (.707) with seven extra base hits. The speedster combined to steal 30 bases over the course of the season.

    Schafer would be the primary starter. As a left-handed hitter, there would likely be a right-hand hitting option to play centerfield against southpaws. This offseason, the Twins signed 30-year-old outfielder Shane Robinson to a minor league contract. In parts of five seasons with the St. Louis Cardinals, he hit .231/.303/.308 in 452 plate appearances.

    The biggest tool that Schafer and Robinson have is their speed. Both play very good defense which will be important because of the perceived lack of range in the corners. There may not be much offense, but these two could play very solid defense in the outfield.

    Plan C: The Long-Shot

    2014 was a rough season for Eddie Rosario. It began late due to a 50-game suspension for a second positive test for a drug of abuse. After eight games with the Miracle, he was quickly moved up to New Britain. He hit just .243/.286/.387 (.674) with 20 doubles, three homers and eight RBI with the Rock Cats.

    However, he was sent back to the Arizona Fall League and was one of the league’s best hitters. He hit .330 with four doubles and two triples. He had four hits including a home run in the AFL championship game. He played left field most of the season, but he is fully capable of playing center field.

    If Hicks struggles in spring training, and Rosario tears it up and looks and acts ready, this could happen. As mentioned in this section's header, it would be a long shot, but it is worth watching.

    Plan D: The Fall Back Plan

    If the Twins coaches, manager and front office feel that what is best for Aaron Hicks (and Eddie Rosario) is to go back to the minor leagues, and the Twins aren’t comfortable with giving regular at bats to Jordan Schafer, there is one other plan. If the team wants to start the season with their best lineup (and they don’t feel that Hicks gives them that right away), we could see Danny Santana return to centerfield with Eduardo Escobar remaining the primary shortstop.

    Although he had played very little outfield in the minor leagues, Danny Santana came up with the Twins and ended up playing doing an adequate job in the outfield and hit far better than his minor league track record indicated that he should have.

    At the same time, Eduardo Escobar put together a very solid season. In 133 total games, he hit .275/.315/.406 (.721) with 37 doubles, a triple and a home run. He played very good defense as well, something that isn’t certain with Santana. Escobar has been basically pigeon-holed into the idea that he is “just” a utility infielder. Obviously that role is very important to a team, and yet we forget that he just turned 26 years old. He could possibly be a legit starting shortstop in the big leagues.

    Center field will be a center of attention throughout spring training. It is an important position defensively, and any offense will be a bonus from the position.

    Byron Buxton needs more time to shake off the rust from last season and perform in the upper levels of the minor leagues. He could be up by July, or it could be in 2016.

    So the questions for you are:

    1.) What do you think
    should
    happen at the position?

    2.) What do you think
    will
    happen at the position?

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    If this is Hicks... Take 3... (Smacking sound of that Clip Board Movie Thing-a-ma-job). 

     

    So be it... I'm pulling for the kid to figure it out and become what we hoped!!! 

     

    However... If it was me... I'd start Hicks in Rochester and make him tear up AAA first and then call him up. And then make him compete for the MLB CF Job with someone that I brought in to start opening day. 

     

    I Don't Know... Someone like Mike Trout or Willie Mays... Nothing unreasonable but yet someone with a little game. 

     

    The way it sits right now... I can only see one scenerio. Hicks or Schaefer starting opening day and if either or both don't work out... Santana returns to CF. 

     

    But I'm still scratching my head on why the Twins would utility Escobar in order to play someone in CF who didn't perform at the plate like Escobar did in 2014.

     

    I understand wanting Santana to play SS but... CF is still a wing and prayer in it's current state.

     

    The attention paid to CF remains baffling and the calender has changed again.   

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    What's to say that Hicks can't do the same thing Escobar did last season?  I would argue that minor league stats suggest that Hicks stands a better chance than Escobar. 

    Escobar didn't suddenly become a good hitter out of nowhere in 2014.  He actually hit VERY well at AAA in 2013, showed a much-improved MLB bat in September that year, and also an improved bat in winter league.  And his chief improvement (power) was rather consistent through all of those stops.

     

    To my knowledge, Hicks has yet to really show any significant incremental improvement like that.  Doesn't mean he can't improve in 2015, just that at this point, I feel the odds of it are somewhat lower than Escobar's 2014 improvement.

     

    Also, since you bring up minor league records, I think it's important to note that Escobar's core stats (BB%, K%, ISO) didn't change much even when he was struggling in his early MLB days.  Hicks on the other hand has seen his K% explode and his ISO plummet.  Again, not that he can't recover from it, but it suggests that he needs to make significant adjustments to improve his numbers, as opposed to Escobar who perhaps just needed time more than anything else.

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    If this is Hicks... Take 3... (Smacking sound of that Clip Board Movie Thing-a-ma-job). 

     

    So be it... I'm pulling for the kid to figure it out and become what we hoped!!! 

     

    However... If it was me... I'd start Hicks in Rochester and make him tear up AAA first and then call him up. And then make him compete for the MLB CF Job with someone that I brought in to start opening day. 

     

    I Don't Know... Someone like Mike Trout or Willie Mays... Nothing unreasonable but yet someone with a little game. 

     

     

    Trout's going to be hard to get, but Willie is 83 so he won't cost much.  If he doesn't work out, we'll go all Youth Movement and put Torii in center.

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    What I noticed about Hicks is that he hit much better when he went to the plate swinging rather than trying to "work the count".  He's a terrible two-strike hitter so don't let him get to that point. When he gets a hittable pitch, hit it! It doesn't matter if it's the first pitch or the seventh. Just hit it.

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    1) They all should get a look... as well as... the twins will need to keep an eye on if Santana can stick at SS. If not and the other outfielders aren't stepping up... His speed and bat should play in the outfield... just maybe not center. But, They all should get a look... and the player that is hottest gets to start. With Schafer as the 4th due to his lack of options. But, if Hick at all hesitates... I hope they send him to start the year at AAA and basically go with option #2.  

     

    2) Hicks will start the year at CF and hopefully there will be no reason to regret it this time. 

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    1) They all should get a look... as well as... the twins will need to keep an eye on if Santana can stick at SS. If not and the other outfielders aren't stepping up... His speed and bat should play in the outfield... just maybe not center. But, They all should get a look... and the player that is hottest gets to start. With Schafer as the 4th due to his lack of options. But, if Hick at all hesitates... I hope they send him to start the year at AAA and basically go with option #2.  

     

    2) Hicks will start the year at CF and hopefully there will be no reason to regret it this time. 

    If Santana's defense doesn't work at shortstop, maybe he moves to the OF, but if his BABIP goes to normal, dropping his offensive production big time, then we may not care if he has a spot at all.

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    LaVelle E. Neal III ‏@LaVelleNeal  · 8m8 minutes ago 
    Aaron Hicks arrives in Fort Myers on Wed. for final preparations before spring training. Torii Hunter is already there, waiting for him.

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    Morrie Silver ‏@MorrieSilver8  · 6m6 minutes ago 
    @LaVelleNeal @nater79a He would probably be there either way. Hicks is one of the hardest workers. One of the first to the ballpark everyday

     

     

    Interesting observation but who is this 27 yo and does he really have a connection to the Red Wings other than taking the name of the guy who worked to keep rhe Wings in Rochester and served as their president?

    Edited by JB_Iowa
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