Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Avoiding the Aces


    Cody Pirkl

    There’s an influx of high end pitchers becoming available on the trade market from Blake Snell to Sonny Gray this offseason and it’s natural to dream of the Twins landing the big fish in the trade market. While it’s fun to consider the Twins acquiring a ready made star pitcher on the trade market, they would likely be better off not doing so.

    Image courtesy of Jordan Johnson, USA Today

    Twins Video

    The Twins Aren’t “One Pitcher Away”

    The headline says it all. As much as the Twins struggles in the postseason are blamed on a lack of starting pitching, to pretend one starting pitcher brings them from first round exit to World Series winner is a pipedream.

    2019 was a fluke and likely lesson learned from the front office. That year above all others the Twins would have benefitted from a trade for a starter at the deadline. They got dinged with bad luck when Pineda tested positive for performance enhancing substances and left them starting a rookie in game 2 at Yankee stadium. Even still, the team was clearly overmatched in all aspects of the game during that series. The Twins scored two runs en route to getting swept by the Astros in the playoffs in 2020. Maeda and Berrios both pitched more than well enough to win at least one of those games. Their future in the rotation looks far from problematic with Maeda, Berrios and Pineda returning. Pitching reinforcements never hurt, but to completely sell out for one arm won’t remedy all of their woes.

    Their Window is Far From Closed

    The Twins have been legitimate contenders for two years now and despite possible departures from players such as Rosario and Cruz, they’re far from nearing the end of the line. It’s easy to watch the on field product and completely forget that one of the more exciting waves of prospects in Twins history is on the brink of joining the already great roster.

    Some of the pitchers on the market such as Snell and Gray are still young, controllable, and have a resume that would warrant an arm and a leg in return on the trade market. The Twins arguably have the farm system to depart with one top 5 prospect, but parting with two would be aggressive, which is likely what these pitchers would bring back. The top of the Twins farm system includes both pitchers and position players that they’re relying on in the near future and for years to come. The postseason can be random to an extent, and these young players should allow the Twins to be October regulars for years to come. Is it worth shortening that timeline for an addition that only factors in every 5th day?

    They Can Build Their Own Ace

    If there’s one reason to believe that the Twins shouldn’t waste the resources on acquiring a ready made ace, it’s that they can make one themselves. The front office has earned their reputation for identifying and maximizing strengths when it comes to pitching. Kenta Maeda was the definition of an ace in 2020, and while they acquired him for an exciting pitcher in Brusdar Graterol, the cost of a power reliever for an ace is an absolute steal. This serves as a perfect example of how the Twins can get more for less. They also have had great success in reclaiming pitchers like Pineda, Wisler, and even had Martin Perez to an extent.

    For every ace starting pitcher available on the market, there are likely a handful of younger controllable options that are capable of breaking out but just haven’t done so yet. There’s enough of a track record from this group of evaluators to have faith that the Twins can find these players and acquire them for cheaper than your name brand ace.

    It’s completely normal to hope for a big splash from a team that’s been so frustrating to watch in the postseason recently. That being said, rash reactions won’t solve any problems, and the Twins are well aware of this. For the reasons stated above, it’s likely they maintain their conservative operation and stick to their low risk, high reward style of talent acquisition, and you should be okay with that. I’d be a liar if I said I’d be disappointed to read a headline of the Twins acquiring Blake Snell, but if that headline never comes, Twins fans shouldn’t be disappointed either.

    — Latest Twins coverage from our writers

    — Recent Twins discussion in our forums

    — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email

    — Follow Cody Pirkl on Twitter here

    MORE FROM TWINS DAILY
    — Latest Twins coverage from our writers
    — Recent Twins discussion in our forums
    — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email
    — Become a Twins Daily Caretaker

     Share

     Share


    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    Featured Comments

    I was listening on MLB Radio today, do you know what team they brought up about not taking the extra step to make a difference. They brought up Hunter, Cuddy, Justin Morneau and I think Santana. They said they should of signed them but the biggest problem they said is they have a window and they wouldn’t take the step to get over the top.

     

    They are repeating it now! Win two ALCentral tiles and they can’t even win a playoff game. Cleveland and KC have windows and they go out and get them a player to take them over the top. They also reap the benefits of selling tickets and merchandise.

     

    They also brought up how the Tigers are rebuilding and should have a window soon. The White Sox’s are young and improving. We are going to miss our window.

     

    Make a move or just keep loosing playoff games.

     

    I’ve been a Twins fan my whole life, but I moved to Wyoming and the Rockies have been my NL team since they became a team. I actually make it to far more Rockies game than Twins game. The Rockies pushed all of there chips in. I’ve been to WS game in Colorado and been to an opening day game. I brought this trade up so both teams would benefit. I think the Rockies are more exciting when they play good defense and when they hit BOMBS!!!

     

    The Twins time is now! Make a move.

     

    P.S. when they built Target Field it was supposed to bring in more revenue.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    “ 2019 was a fluke.”

    “The Twins have been legitimate contenders for two years now and despite possible departures from players such as Rosario and Cruz, they’re far from nearing the end of the line.”

    “If there’s one reason to believe that the Twins shouldn’t waste the resources on acquiring a ready made ace, it’s that they can make one themselves. . . Kenta Maeda was the definition of an ace in 2020, and while they acquired him for an exciting pitcher in Brusdar Graterol, the cost of a power reliever for an ace is an absolute steal.”

    I can’t find the through line here. Are the Twins legit contenders, in which case a trade makes sense, or are they a year or two off, in which case they should hold onto their prospects?

    And as you say, Maeda is an example of what a smart trade can do for a team. So they should refrain from doing that sort of move again but still somehow replicate it?

    My point of writing the article is this: People clamor for the big names as they should, they're big names. Big names cost you however, whether its money, prospects, or the window shortening as a result of those prospects.

     

    The Twins just traded a reliever last winter for a solid starter with a good contract and got the best case scenario of giving up some of our best prospects for a name like Blake Snell. That should inspire confidence that the front office can do something like this again. The value they got from that trade when it comes to cost and return was far higher than any trade they can make for Snell or any of the pitchers already deemed aces.

     

    The Twins shouldn't stand pat, they have some improvements to make as contenders. They just may be able to make those improvements without mortgaging their future for a big name. We've already seen them do it.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites




    Join the conversation

    You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
    Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

    Guest
    Add a comment...

    ×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

      Only 75 emoji are allowed.

    ×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

    ×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

    ×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

    Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...