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Heyman: Twins Place Worley on Waivers


Nick Nelson

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I really thought with Worley being in shape this spring and knowing he needed to have a good spring to stay in the majors was going to be OK. I did not see this coming because I believed he had a ton of motivation to get better. I just don't understand how a pitcher that pitched in the majors for two years could sink this low and be this bad.

 

Well time to admit I was wrong about him coming back. I don't think the Twins had much choice but to clear room for somebody else. I hope Vance gets another chance but he has a lot of work to do to be a MLB pitcher.

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On the radio broadcast, they said he has cleared waivers and accepted an assignment to AAA.

 

Correct. On the Twins' website they state that he cleared waivers and was outrighted to AAA, so that opens up 1 spot on the 40-man roster.

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I'm actually glad he cleared, something just didn't feel right entirely giving up on a 26 year old with at least some record of success. You could say the same thing about Diamond but I always felt Worley had more long term upside.

 

Glad it's done and the team can focus on the players that need the innings.

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In an article entitled, "Phillies Ruben Amaro Might Not Be Terrible Anymore," Grantland says one his best trades was Worley for Revere.

 

http://grantland.com/the-triangle/mlb-warning-philadelphia-phillies-ruben-amaro/

 

As I'm sure is well known, that trade wasn't Revere for Worley. It was Revere for Worley and Trevor May. Trevor May remains one of our top pitching prospects, and from day 1 was the entire upside of that trade.

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Two thoughts...

 

Worley can now have a long stretch in AAA to see if he can get it back as a starter. They can also see how he pitches from the pen. Many failed starters have long careers as relievers. The Twins get that opportunity now. He is off the 40 and needs a long stretch in AAA. Regardless of his performance early in the season, he needs to show sustained success.

 

The Revere trade is one they should make again. Every trade for a pitcher is a risk. Position players are always more stable. Starting pitching is a rare commodity and worth the risk.

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Which begs the question: if Worley can clear waivers, does that mean Diamond can?
LH and breathing. He wasn't dreadful in the spring like Worley and I don't think he was as dreadful during 2013. I'm pretty sure that Diamond would be claimed and he might net something in return in a trade.
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Two thoughts...

 

Worley can now have a long stretch in AAA to see if he can get it back as a starter. They can also see how he pitches from the pen. Many failed starters have long careers as relievers. The Twins get that opportunity now. He is off the 40 and needs a long stretch in AAA. Regardless of his performance early in the season, he needs to show sustained success.

 

The Revere trade is one they should make again. Every trade for a pitcher is a risk. Position players are always more stable. Starting pitching is a rare commodity and worth the risk.

 

But they should be judged on risks. I could make a trade of an OF for a SP.....they are paid to make good decisions. This one looks pretty bad right now.

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Due to the recent acquisitions of Kris Johnson and Sean Gilmartin, I dont believe maintaing the rights of Diamond are as critical as they once were. That being said if he gets put on waivers I would love to see the twins keep him and see what is capable of out of the bullpen. Hey who knows, maybe his fastball would tick up and he could be quite effective. Side note...does Raley have to make the 25 man roster for the twins to keep him or just the 40? Thanks..

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But they should be judged on risks. I could make a trade of an OF for a SP.....they are paid to make good decisions. This one looks pretty bad right now.

How many more wins would the Twins have had last year with Revere, without Worley? What's the value of May to the future? I think Revere for Worley nets out to zero win difference and May still as a ton of upside.

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In Nick's notebook today, he quotes Gardy on Worley. The gist: Not enough differential between the velocity of his pitches. On Tuesday, I watched him throw everything between 81 and 91. Most of his pitches were between 86 and 91. And none of his pitches have enough movement to pull that off.

 

I hope he goes down there and works on a split or a change or a slower curveball. He needs to do like Mike Trombley did in the mid-90s. He was outrighted off the 40-man, went down and learned the split finger, and returned as a decent reliever.

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But they should be judged on risks. I could make a trade of an OF for a SP.....they are paid to make good decisions. This one looks pretty bad right now.

 

As I recall, the TD community liked this decision when it was made. I still think it was a quality decision.

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The Worley part of this trade looks pretty bad. We sure could have used Revere last year, giving Hicks an extra year to develop. Also, acquiring Worley gave us a false sense of security, taking us out of the market for better options on the FA market (e.g. Scott Feldman).

 

All that is in hindsight. Most people here looked at his shiny numbers from 2011 as evidence that Revere for Worley straight up was a good deal, and May was just gravy. We were wrong, and we should have known better. 2011 was an aberration in his career. Irrational exuberance took hold, and I will be the first to take my share of the blame for that.

 

Now it all hinges on May. And that is by no means a sure thing. I continue to believe that a Revere for May trade is a good one. I think May is underrated by people like KLaw. But he needs to progress if he is to be a quality starter. In particular, he needs to improve his strike to ball ratio. Worst case, he'll be a decent reliever. Ben revere for a decent reliever is a bad trade. Ben Revere for a good starter is a good trade.

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How many more wins would the Twins have had last year with Revere, without Worley? What's the value of May to the future? I think Revere for Worley nets out to zero win difference and May still as a ton of upside.

 

Worley had negative WAR last year, and even hurt, Revere put up positive WAR. And, he can at least play D in the majors. RIght now, it is unclear that Worley ever pitches a MLB game again. I don't know how you can think that.

 

edit: Revere was 24, had just put up 2.1 or so WAR, and was an elite defender. He had value. Doesn't matter "how many more wins" they would have had last year. That's like saying I should give away my car because I can't win the Indy 500......

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In Nick's notebook today, he quotes Gardy on Worley. The gist: Not enough differential between the velocity of his pitches. On Tuesday, I watched him throw everything between 81 and 91. Most of his pitches were between 86 and 91. And none of his pitches have enough movement to pull that off.

 

I hope he goes down there and works on a split or a change or a slower curveball.

 

81-91 can be 4-5 different pitches :)

 

Change ups (split finger included) are usually -10 or so from 4 seamers, he might have a 2-seamer, a slider, a slurve and a cutter in that range as well. Unless someone is throwing something like a slow curve or a palmball or a knuckleball, hard to see more than 10 mph average spread.

 

Really ;)

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The Worley part of this trade looks pretty bad. We sure could have used Revere last year, giving Hicks an extra year to develop. Also, acquiring Worley gave us a false sense of security, taking us out of the market for better options on the FA market (e.g. Scott Feldman).

 

All that is in hindsight. Most people here looked at his shiny numbers from 2011 as evidence that Revere for Worley straight up was a good deal, and May was just gravy. We were wrong, and we should have known better. 2011 was an aberration in his career. Irrational exuberance took hold, and I will be the first to take my share of the blame for that.

 

Now it all hinges on May. And that is by no means a sure thing. I continue to believe that a Revere for May trade is a good one. I think May is underrated by people like KLaw. But he needs to progress if he is to be a quality starter. In particular, he needs to improve his strike to ball ratio. Worst case, he'll be a decent reliever. Ben revere for a decent reliever is a bad trade. Ben Revere for a good starter is a good trade.

 

I was against trading Revere without a decent backup plan for Hicks. Having said that, the trade was fairly logical, getting a cost-controlled guy with some proven SP chops, on a potential bounce-back year. One year later, with the benefit of hinsdight, it's difficult to fathom that Vanimal was the opening day starter and started 3 of the first 10 games last year.

 

And good point about the meat of the argument. Revere for RP May is not a good trade. But I am still very optimistic that Gene Glynn and AAA coaching staff turns the light on for May- as he has for many of his starters under his tenure- to elevate his peripheral stat-game to major-league-ready SP. And May's stuff is well ahead of what Glynn has had to work with in the recent past.

 

(Don't know if Glynn can do anything to salvage Worley).

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But they should be judged on risks. I could make a trade of an OF for a SP.....they are paid to make good decisions. This one looks pretty bad right now.

 

The safe route is to never trade established position players for young pitchers. The position player side will win the trade more often.

 

It may take four or five similar trades to win on one. Solid above average starting pitchers are so hard to find it might be worth winning on just one of four. They will likely lose the Span deal also. Meyer may get injured. He may be a reliever.

 

Regardless of how May and Meyer turn out, I still believe the Twins need to make those kinds do deals until they rebuild the pitching throughout the organization.

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81-91 can be 4-5 different pitches :)

 

Change ups (split finger included) are usually -10 or so from 4 seamers, he might have a 2-seamer, a slider, a slurve and a cutter in that range as well. Unless someone is throwing something like a slow curve or a palmball or a knuckleball, hard to see more than 10 mph average spread.

 

Really ;)

The post mentioned most of his pitches being between 86 and 91, with 91 being the high. I think we can infer that his fastball wasn't a consistent 91. If 91 is the maximum and 81 is the minimum, I can see that being a problem. Now, if he was working that and touching 93 when needed, different story. But you still would like to see a curve (even a hard curve) drop below slider territory. Splitting hairs here, I suppose. If he went 4 and struck out 5 with no walks in the same parameters, nobody would have given this any thought. Just one more theory on what might be broken.

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81-91 can be 4-5 different pitches :)

 

Change ups (split finger included) are usually -10 or so from 4 seamers, he might have a 2-seamer, a slider, a slurve and a cutter in that range as well. Unless someone is throwing something like a slow curve or a palmball or a knuckleball, hard to see more than 10 mph average spread.

 

Really ;)

 

Hughes has a FB that touches 95. He has a curve that hits 78. That' the kind of differential I'm talking about.

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