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Pedro Florimon


Riverbrian

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A hypothetical for all to consider.

 

Florimon produces the same great defense as last season, possibly/probably even better just from his 2013 experience, coaching, etc. And let's assume some offensive progression where he hits the rough averages of production he met during his full seasons in the minors (2007-2012).

 

The numbers would look something like this:

 

.249/.321/.354/.675OPS with 21Dbls/3triples/5HR/16Sb's

 

Now, how does the debate look?

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A hypothetical for all to consider.

 

Florimon produces the same great defense as last season, possibly/probably even better just from his 2013 experience, coaching, etc. And let's assume some offensive progression where he hits the rough averages of production he met during his full seasons in the minors (2007-2012).

 

The numbers would look something like this:

 

.249/.321/.354/.675OPS with 21Dbls/3triples/5HR/16Sb's

 

Now, how does the debate look?

I can see Florimon's defense staying the same or slightly improving, but his offense is where I"m a little bit less optimistic. Some on this message board don't think he will even be able to put up a .300 OBP in 2014 and for all we know, that could be true.

 

However, one area I believe Florimon can improve is his strike out ratio. If he strikes out less, then those numbers you posted are not unachievable even if they do appear to be a bit optimistic. And if those numbers are achieved, then obviously he would be a very good value @ $500,000 when you consider that his defense likely won't decline, but rather stay approximately the same or be slightly better and that Drew will likely cost at least $10m/year.

 

I really don't think fans need to panic about signing Drew. There are options out there and there will be more over the next couple of years, some of which we have already discussed in this thread and some, which we don't even know about yet. I know the Twins have the $ to spend, but it really won't destroy the team if Florimon is given another chance and / or other options are considered down the road (e.g. Hardy, international prospects etc).

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I keep seeing the name Hardy mentioned as a potential replacement for the Twins SS. Logic tells me there is no way this would ever happen. I'm a huge fan of what Hardy has to offer on the field, but he was already fired once by the Twins. Some event or, some recognition of an unwanted character attribute must have occurred to precipitate this action. Certainly it wasn't a determination based on his field contributions.

 

From my perspective, I have trouble even seeing what's debatable about Florimon VS Drew. The contribution a competent and confident SS brings to a team is vastly understated in all the metrics the beancounters rely on. I believe in hiring the best people available, proficiency and character. Drew's been a plus plus ML SS since he was 23 years old, if he's a decent man I'd love to see him on board.

 

The only argument that I can see against Drew is the propensity of teams with relatively finite funds to not "waste" any money or minor league assets until they feel they are ready to make a run. I'm sure this is a significant consideration of the Twins.

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The Twins should not be concerned about the pick or the money. They should be concerned about the years. A liability at this key position in 2016 with a large contract must be avoided. For the Twins whose key talent will be approaching mid 20s in 2016, a two year deal for Drew is necessary.

 

Teams with a real shot at 90+ wins this year absolutely should risk the liability at the end of the contract.

 

Florimon's defense is a reasonable stop gap until they find a long term solution.

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A lot of people are putting value into stolen bases based on the fact that Florimon stole a grand total of 16. 16! This isn't 30 or more player who never gets caught, though to his credit, he is between 70-75% and was slightly above the break even point so his stolen bases added some value, but frankly, it's minimal. It's one of the most overrated aspects of a player in the modern game despite the fact that there's plenty of research to show that a high success rate is necessary because making an out is so much worse.

 

A hypothetical for all to consider.

And let's assume some offensive progression where he hits the rough averages of production he met during his full seasons in the minors (2007-2012).

 

The numbers would look something like this:

 

.249/.321/.354/.675OPS with 21Dbls/3triples/5HR/16Sb's

 

Now, how does the debate look?

 

We could also hypothetically assume that he's going to hit .330 with a .400 OBP, but it's unlikely. Of course, that's a stretch ;)

 

Florimon just doesn't have plate discipline and he got worse as he progressed through the minors -- not better, which has continued (though he's improved slightly from last year), I think it's a very rosy picture to expect his OBP to improve by 40 points.

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A hypothetical for all to consider.

 

Florimon produces the same great defense as last season, possibly/probably even better just from his 2013 experience, coaching, etc. And let's assume some offensive progression where he hits the rough averages of production he met during his full seasons in the minors (2007-2012).

 

The numbers would look something like this:

 

.249/.321/.354/.675OPS with 21Dbls/3triples/5HR/16Sb's

 

Now, how does the debate look?

 

IMO, the big problem with this whole debate is the overrating of Florimon's glove. Maybe he can hit hit like Gagne next year, but that's setting the bar pretty low offensively and Gagne made up for his bat by being the best defender the Twins have had at shortstop in my lifetime. Bartlett is second. Florimon was better than what's been there the past couple of years, but that's akin to comparing a car to a Yugo. He was also somewhat inconsistent, and ranked anywhere from average to above average in metrics. He was also a pretty big negative sabermetrically in the two partial seasons before that. Call me crazy, but is it a little premature to be calling someone elite with that resume?

 

And I'm not saying Drew is the answer, because a team that's looking two to four years down the road shouldn't be looking to sign a shortstop on the wrong side of 30 to a long-term deal. But I'm really skeptical the long-term answer exists in the Twins system right now.

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IMO, the big problem with this whole debate is the overrating of Florimon's glove. Maybe he can hit hit like Gagne next year, but that's setting the bar pretty low offensively and Gagne made up for his bat by being the best defender the Twins have had at shortstop in my lifetime. Bartlett is second. Florimon was better than what's been there the past couple of years, but that's akin to comparing a car to a Yugo. He was also somewhat inconsistent, and ranked anywhere from average to above average in metrics. He was also a pretty big negative sabermetrically in the two partial seasons before that. Call me crazy, but is it a little premature to be calling someone elite with that resume?

 

And I'm not saying Drew is the answer, because a team that's looking two to four years down the road shouldn't be looking to sign a shortstop on the wrong side of 30 to a long-term deal. But I'm really skeptical the long-term answer exists in the Twins system right now.

Gagne is one of my top all-time Twins, but my eyes told me that Florimon (after a slow start in April) was better defensively than Gags, who many years after played here has now become the gold standard for defense (I don't recall that when he played here). I think Florimon was in the top quartile defensively and that is worth a lot. However, his offense is pretty bad. I hold out little hope for him ever becoming more than an acceptable #9 hitter (I'd guess a ceiling of .670 OPS).

 

I agree that if the Twins are looking for Pedro's replacement, it should be somebody who will be hitting his peak in the years to come and it probably will have to come from outside the organization.

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Bartlett mentioned as the second best defensive shortstop the Twins have ever had, I wonder about that one. Not that he was not good but there have been many other shortstops over the years who were very good fielders and would rank higher than Bartlett I would think. At this time I cannot name them but you folks know of some of them I am sure.

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Bartlett mentioned as the second best defensive shortstop the Twins have ever had, I wonder about that one. Not that he was not good but there have been many other shortstops over the years who were very good fielders and would rank higher than Bartlett I would think. At this time I cannot name them but you folks know of some of them I am sure.

 

He qualified his statement as "best of his lifetime". I still find his choice interesting, as the obvious second place shortstop is Juan Castro.

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My Ranking: FWIW

 

Gagne

Versailles

Hardy

.

Cardenas

Florimon

.

Bartlett

Guzman

.

.

Smalley

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

Castro

Defensively, I'd move Versalles down. He had great tools but made too many bad and unnecessary throwing errors. There was a very small window when he was a "steady" SS. I thought Cardenas was the best for a decent time increment--three years--and Hardy was fine but played only 2/3 of one year with the Twins. Until he suffered some injuries, Guzman was the whole package on defense. He was pretty steady but many a lot of "oh wow" plays as well. I think Smalley was very good, but lacked range. He had a very strong, true arm and positioned himself very well. The heavy legs betrayed him as time went on, but the Twins had him in his prime and he deserves to be highly considered. Bartlett was pretty good for a couple of years and Pat Meares was about average at everything.
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Defensively, I'd move Versalles down. He had great tools but made too many bad and unnecessary throwing errors. There was a very small window when he was a "steady" SS. I thought Cardenas was the best for a decent time increment--three years--and Hardy was fine but played only 2/3 of one year with the Twins. Until he suffered some injuries, Guzman was the whole package on defense. He was pretty steady but many a lot of "oh wow" plays as well. I think Smalley was very good, but lacked range. He had a very strong, true arm and positioned himself very well. The heavy legs betrayed him as time went on, but the Twins had him in his prime and he deserves to be highly considered. Bartlett was pretty good for a couple of years and Pat Meares was about average at everything.

 

Smalley was a good shortstop with limited range, until he had too many back injuries. I thought Hardy had a great arm, and caught what was hit to him, but I didn't think his range was great.

 

Guzman might the most similar to Florimon in the field, for me. I barely remember Versailles and Cardenas.

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He qualified his statement as "best of his lifetime". I still find his choice interesting, as the obvious second place shortstop is Juan Castro.

 

Wow, Castro? He had good hands but bad range by the time he was a Twin.

 

I think Castro's defense was overrated to justify his bad offense and as an excuse to keep Bartlett in the minors.

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Mike Berardino had a brief article on Pedro Florimon yesterday in the Pioneer Press. The lead focuses on the expected birth of his daughter. The last few lines are what caught my attention:

 

"I think I'm going to have a better season," Florimon said. "This season is important for me. I have to help this team."

 

Overall this winter, Florimon hit .242 with 20 strikeouts and six runs batted in across 70 at-bats.

 

Some reports have connected the Twins with free-agent shortstop Stephen Drew, and Florimon said he had received no assurances this winter he would be the Opening Day shortstop.

"Last year, they told me that," Florimon said of the Twins. "This time, I don't know."

 

http://www.twincities.com/twins/ci_24962131/minnesota-twins-motivated-pedro-florimon-an-expectant-father?source=pkg

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Brian,

 

This is way off the beaten track but, this has been on my mind for a year or two and I feel like doing some mental housekeeping.

 

I forget the exact context, but a long time ago I made reference to the phrase "diamonds to ducks" in a response to you. You then asked me for the origin of the phrase. I consider it bad form to not answer an honest question. I fully intended to answer you but was busy at the time and didn't take the time to write. Since then this transgression has popped in and out of my consciousness, though always at inopportune times. Now's a good time. Here's your answer:

 

There is a series of novels, (numbering well over 100), called the Destroyer series. The premise is an employee for a secret government agency, named Remo, who is not very bright but is well intentioned and is the baddest dude around. His trainer/mentor in Sinanju ("the sun source of all the martial arts") and life is an ancient Korean named Chiun. (Who is really the baddest dude around.) To me, the funnest parts of the books are the anecdotes illustrating the relationship between the two. Trainer/student father/son antagonist/antagonized antagonized/antagonist The phrase comes from Chiun in one of their conversations about how him giving Remo bits of wisdom is akin to giving diamonds to ducks. Another time he used pearls to squirrels. FYI A movie was made in the 80's called "Remo Williams: The Beginning" It's not very good and is only slightly representative of the books. An interesting tidbit about the books, that always amazed me, is the fact that the relationship between the two authors became strained. They lived on opposite coasts. Their method was one would write a chapter and mail the results to the other who then reciprocate.

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To be honest, I skimmed the majority of the prior 13 pages. My opinion is way too biased to contribute anything significant, but seeing his name in the thread title made me feel obligated.

 

Since seeing him play for los Leones in SD I've kept a close eye on the kid. Yes, he needs some work at the plate, and yes he has made the occasional error that makes you go :banghead:. But his fielding… I can't even describe it without sounding like I'm trying to write really sh¡tty poetry. His transitions, his dives… I would throw a new born baby to him. I would make a … that's beside the point.

 

Torpedro has a lot of talent with room to improve. I hope we keep him around for a long time.

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