Article: What To Do With Mike Pelfrey?

[Major League Ready]

I think the additional revenue will result in higher yearly salaries not additional years. As such perhaps Pelfrey will make $8M/year but still only get a 1-2 year deal (assuming of course he continues his 3.5ish ERA).

 

Prime or not Pelfrey hasn't been a good pitcher. He's had a couple of good years as you point out but his other years have been really bad. He's had ERA+ of 81, 78 and 81(so far this year). He's never had a WHIP below 1.36 and his K/BB rate is 1.62 for his career. None of that screams "lock me up!!!" He is what he is, a 4/5th starter that will, hopefully, eat innings. Those guys don't get long term contracts. In short, half a season of good pitching wouldn't outweigh 4 seasons of mediocrity.

 

I am hoping he performs great and then being optimistic on the market for him because that compensation round pick would be REALLY nice. Part of my thinking is that Boras is going to push hard on the years with Pelfry being 29 years old.

 

 

Guthrie seems like a pretty good comp. He got 3/25M after posting an ERA of 4.76 and in previous years Guthrie and Pelfrey were pretty comparable. Seriously, am I missing something here. I want to have hope for that comp pick.

[Kwak]

I am hoping he performs great and then being optimistic on the market for him because that compensation round pick would be REALLY nice. Part of my thinking is that Boras is going to push hard on the years with Pelfry being 29 years old.

 

 

Guthrie seems like a pretty good comp. He got 3/25M after posting an ERA of 4.76 and in previous years Guthrie and Pelfrey were pretty comparable. Seriously, am I missing something here. I want to have hope for that comp pick.

 

What compensation round pick?--there won't be one!

[TheLeviathan]

Guthrie seems like a pretty good comp. He got 3/25M after posting an ERA of 4.76 and in previous years Guthrie and Pelfrey were pretty comparable. Seriously, am I missing something here. I want to have hope for that comp pick.

 

Scot Boras would have to be a complete idiot to take 3/25 over 1/13. He'll know that no one will give up the pick so he'll take the better deal without even thinking about it.

[Oxtung]

I am hoping he performs great and then being optimistic on the market for him because that compensation round pick would be REALLY nice. Part of my thinking is that Boras is going to push hard on the years with Pelfry being 29 years old.

 

 

Guthrie seems like a pretty good comp. He got 3/25M after posting an ERA of 4.76 and in previous years Guthrie and Pelfrey were pretty comparable. Seriously, am I missing something here. I want to have hope for that comp pick.

 

Guthrie has been a better pitcher than Pelfrey. He's had WHIP as low as 1.161, hasn't had TJ surgery and had 6 straight seasons as an innings eater before signing his contract. His ERA+, at 102 for his career, has been much better than Pelfrey's He also signed with the Royals who were in "win now" mode which the Twins certainly are not.

[Major League Ready]

What compensation round pick?--there won't be one!

 

I thought we get a pick if we make a qualifying offer. What's the rule?

[Kwak]

I thought we get a pick if we make a qualifying offer. What's the rule?

 

This has been addressed by others.

[Brandon]

I just wanted to share a few thoughts.

 

1, Pelfry had just mastered the Cutter and added to arsenal right before he got injured. He looked to be really improving. Small sample size I know.

2. His k rate has been 5.7 which is slightly below the 6 per nine I thought he had been averaging his last 50 innings or so. So no point here.

3. Pelfry really wants to be here so I guarantee that will show up in his next contract if he signs with the Twins again. They will have a competitive offer but it won't be the best one either. I think a 2 year 15-16 million makes sense with maybe an option year based on innings pitched.

4 so the only variable left is how Pelfry will finish out the year and what other options do the Twins have? Right now I would only pencil in Dedunno and Corriea (stupid contract) into next years rotation with likely Gibson too. So we need 2 more pitchers possibly 3. I would be happy with the Twins signing Pelfry and 1 other starter maybe Hughes this offseason. That would give us the following options:

 

1. Hughes

2. Pelfry

3. DeDunno

4. Gibson

5. Corriea/ Diamond

with Albers, Meyer, and May in AAA.

 

That would give us options (Possibly too many to go and sign Hughes now that I think about it) and Corriea could get bumped when Meyer or May is ready. So it will be fun to see how the rest of the season plays out and how the Twins decide to proceed for next season and beyond.

[Mike Sixel]

I do not see Ryan blocking May and Meyer with a multi year signing.....meaning the FA add I see next year looks depressingly like this year. Still hoping to be proven wrong, of course. I do not know, but I think Pelfrey is going to have a strong finish, and sign elsewhere for 3/35 or so.

[Major League Ready]

I do not see Ryan blocking May and Meyer with a multi year signing.....meaning the FA add I see next year looks depressingly like this year. Still hoping to be proven wrong, of course. I do not know, but I think Pelfrey is going to have a strong finish, and sign elsewhere for 3/35 or so.

 

My first wish is they get something decen in trade for him. We will have to see if he keeps it going through the remainder of the year. If so, we will have to have a guess Pelfrey's contract poll here. There sure is a wide variance in what people think he will get. If he finishes strong, you can bet Boras is going to be selling the Pelfrey of the next 3-4 years is going to be the Pelfrey that was great until he went out last year and Pelfrey we are seeing now and hopefully the remainder of the year.