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Guess the record at the AS break

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Twins have 18 games left in the first half. As Jokin has pointed out, these games are going to be brutal. KC, NYY, TOR, TB, and NYY. They currently sit 34-40. My guess is they go 6-12 to finish the first half 40-52. Extrapolate those numbers to 162 and they finish with about 71 wins.

I'll say 8-10 but a final record of 71-91 seems about right.

Just so I can get a unique guess, 7-11. I think they make a trade or two and finish with 68 wins.

I think 6-12 also, but 3-15 is far more likely than 9-9--and that is scary!

17-0 baby.

 

1 rainout.

I will guess 7-11. And I need only 69 wins for the season for the Mandalay Bay to owe me $180.

6-12 but still easy money.

They go 5-3 at home and 3-7 on the road. That is an 8-10 slate. KC and NY are the weakest offenses (both have pitched well), so I expect the Twins to be competitive against them, but scoring runs will be tough.

45-47

 

They will pull close and become deadline buyers... They acquire Hanley Ramirez and he will screw it all up.

 

76 wins for the year.

I will guess 7-11. And I need only 69 wins for the season for the Mandalay Bay to owe me $180.

 

Well, actually it will mostly be the "suckers" on the other side of your bet, Mandalay is mostly just holding the money...

Twins go 5-1 against the Yankees ending the curse. 7-5 against the rest. 12-6 overall, one game over .500 and 2.5 games back of first place.

 

BOOK It

They currently sit 34-40. My guess is they go 6-12 to finish the first half 40-52. Extrapolate those numbers to 162 and they finish with about 71 wins.

 

I'm not much of a prediction person but there's a problem with extrapolating the overall record following the All Star break. If you extrapolate the numbers immediately following a losing streak or tough stretch of games, your win total is going to be low. The opposite applies to winning streaks and long stretches of cupcake teams.

 

After nearly half a season of play, there is no reason to expect this team to win less than 73-75 games unless they loot all veterans from the roster (and given the play of most of the vets, that's still unlikely to change much). That's where this team has been nearly all season and there's no reason to expect that to change.

  • 2 weeks later...

3-8 so far and not looking good.

I'll say 2-2 against the Rays, and 1-2 in NY. That makes 40-52 at the break.

 

I thought 73-89 at the start of the season and will stick with that.

3-8 so far and not looking good.

 

Yeah, not the most inspiring of homestands. Oh well, I guess I'd prefer one more top 5 pick than a top 10 pick.

  • Author

Man, guess we all were overly optimistic.

I guess 39-53.

  • Author
I'm not much of a prediction person but there's a problem with extrapolating the overall record following the All Star break. If you extrapolate the numbers immediately following a losing streak or tough stretch of games, your win total is going to be low. The opposite applies to winning streaks and long stretches of cupcake teams.

 

Fun hater.

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