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In First Move of Off Season, Twins Pick Up Sonny Gray's Option


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4 hours ago, DJL44 said:

Don't be surprised if you see free agent prices rise dramatically this offseason. There are a lot of teams with money to spend and lots of certainty due to the signed CBA. The Edwin Diaz contract (5 years, $102M for a reliever) is just the start.

That Diaz contract is bad. A 5 year deal for a reliever coming off a career year at $20M per? Yikes. He was awesome this year. He's been awesome before. But he's followed up an awesome season with a disappointing one more than once (see also, 2019 & 2021).

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We all knew this was coming so I won't waste time on the option. I think the real question here is whether or not the twins want to try and extend gray before he hits the market. Personally looking at the projections and the predictive numbers I don't think the twins should bother with it. I think it's pretty safe to say that 2019 was his career year and he will not be getting close to it again. This season people have been praising his era but looking at his era minus it was only 80, 6% better than his career average. His biggest problem is obviously injury related and even on an incentive based deal I don't see the point in spending 10-20 mil on production you could probably get out of two young pitchers.

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