January 25, 20224 yr There have been a lot of topics on the subject, but it might be hard to know what was proposed pre-lockout and where there's been give (if any) in the negotiations we know about... or at least I know about based on what sources are reporting. I put together some quick reference worksheet to track it. Green = moved towards owners. Blue = moved towards players. Red = moved further away. Pre-Lockout MLB MLBPA Luxury Tax Ceiling ($210MM in 2021) $180MM $245MM Luxury Tax 1/2/3yrs (20%/30%/50% in 2021) 25%/30%/50% Current Luxury Tax Penalty 1 ($230MM +12.5%) Same Current Luxury Tax Penalty 2 ($250MM +42.5-45.0%) Same Current & Loss of 10 positions in 1st or 2nd round Same Eliminate Competitive Balance with Qual. Offer Eliminate N/A Revenue Sharing (Pooled + Lux Tax in 2021) Increase* Decrease* Salary Floor $100MM N/A Draft (Worst draft 1st, best draft last) Lottery top 3 picks Lottery top 8 picks International Draft (None in 2021) Yes Current Free Agency (6yrs 2021) age 29.5 5yrs & 29.5 or 6yrs Arbitration Year Start (2-3yrs in 2021) 3yrs 2yrs Arbitration Performance Calc Career WAR-based** Current Arbitration Compensation $1 billion Pooled** Current Arbitration Opt-Out (Sign before Arb) No Current Pre-Arb Salaries (essentially league min.) Pooled*** Pooled (higher)*** Minimum Salary $570k in 2021) $570k N/A Postseason (10 teams in 2021) 14 teams 12 teams NL Designated Hitter w 14 team playoffs Yes *MLB is proposing the current revenue sharing pool, but increase luxury taxes collected which would fund the pool further, MLBPA is proposing a decrease of the revenue sharing pool by $100MM and reduce the luxury taxes which increase the pool. **Career (fWAR) weighted towards recent years. This suggests player salaries could decline dramatically after a poor year or if the player has a great year before the first year of arbitration, their rookie or 2nd year struggles might reduce their salary. ***Pooled means all MLB gets together and determines the entire pool of arbitration money available. Money would then be allocated to players based on performance. Current MLB MLBPA Luxury Tax Ceiling ($210MM in 2021) $214-220MM $245MM Luxury Tax 1/2/3yrs (20%/30%/50% in 2021) 25%/30%/50% Current Luxury Tax Penalty 1 ($230MM +12.5%) Same Current Luxury Tax Penalty 2 ($250MM +42.5-45.0%) Same Current & Loss of 10 positions in 1st or 2nd round Same Eliminate Competitive Balance with Qual. Offer Eliminate N/A Revenue Sharing (Pooled + Lux Tax in 2021) Increase* Decrease* Salary Floor $100MM N/A Draft (Worst draft 1st, best draft last) Lottery top 3 picks Lottery with market size Draft Bonus (None in 2021) No Service Time Manip. N/A International Draft (None in 2021) Yes Current Free Agency (6yrs 2021) age 29.5 or 6yrs Current Service Time Bonus for Awards (None in 2021) Yes Arbitration Year Start (2-3yrs in 2021) 3yrs 2yrs Arbitration Performance Calc Career WAR-based** Current Arbitration Compensation $1 billion Pooled** Current Arbitration Opt-Out (Sign before Arb) No Current Pre-Arb Salaries (essentially league min.) Pooled*** Pooled (higher)*** Minimum Salary $570k in 2021) $600k/$650k/$700k $775k -> $875k Postseason (10 teams in 2021) 14 teams 12 teams NL Designated Hitter w 14 team playoffs Yes *MLB is proposing the current revenue sharing pool, but increase luxury taxes collected which would fund the pool further, MLBPA is proposing a decrease of the revenue sharing pool by $70MM and reduce the luxury taxes which increase the pool. **Career (fWAR) weighted towards recent years. This suggests player salaries could decline dramatically after a poor year or if the player has a great year before the first year of arbitration, their rookie or 2nd year struggles might reduce their salary. ***Pooled means all MLB gets together and determines the entire pool of arbitration money available. Money would then be allocated to players based on performance.
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