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Game Thread: Twins vs. Atlanta 5:10 pm PST (7:10 PM CDT) 8/5/2019


Blake

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I heard Mr. Kaat ask about the pitch count and where it came from, so, I'm going to toss a theory out there:

 

The pitch count has very little to do with wear and tear on the arm and a lot to do with how many times a pitcher has gone through the rotation.

 

If the average AB lasts 4 pitches, on a 100 pitch count limit, (I'm too lazy to look it up, so, grain of salt and all that) that's 25 outs or almost three times through the order.

 

I believe it's pretty well established that most pitchers, after the third time through the order, stand a good chance of getting hit around the park pretty good.

 

Again, a theory, or, speculation, on my part.

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This is Odorizzi for you - about 20 pitches an inning, but he'll usually get outs when you need him to. Getting 4-5 innings of great pitching is nice but the 6th/7th inning can look like a mirage for him most times.

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