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Article: MLB Draft Day 3 Thread


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pretty sure the college juniors can go back. baseball rules are a bit different than football for whatever reason. 

 

I believe all the 4year jr's can go back.  I think 4 year just stands for college not how many years attended.  If you look at the board you notice there are no 3 year juniors and there should be some if that is how they are marking it.  There are some 4 yr sophomore's and some 5 yr seniors but that is just letting us know that they are younger or older.

If this is the case, what is the strategy in taking all of these Jr's?

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Of the last 15 picks (round 6-20) all but one have been college players.  And all but one of those (13) have been pitchers.  Yes, this is the oddest draft I have ever seen.  

 

Sure looks like they saved some $$$ in the first 10 rounds.  Will they need to spend some of it on any of these college guys?  And little to we know that their strategy to pick some hot high school kid(s) got messed up by someone else taking him a few picks before they were on the clock.

Edited by rdehring
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Ranked 177 and drops to the 18th .... huh ... No risk, but huh

 

He's only 20 so there's probably sign-ability issues.

 

Of course the Twins affinity for power bats and positional flexibility should be a good selling point to this young man.

 

Though probably not as good of a selling point as a well over-slot bonus.

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I like the idea of quantity on pitching. Good luck to all of them.

 

Me too... and they all have something projectable. Could be velocity. Could be spin. Could be athleticism. But something that "could" be developed. And then you get them in the system and see what happens. 

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Rd 23

Swain, Matthew
Georgia Gwinnett College (GA)
RHP
R/R
4YR SR
--
6' 7 225lbs
DOB:08/20/97

 

Hope his FB velocity has improved from the 79 MPH mark coming out of HS!

 

https://www.perfectgame.org/Players/Playerprofile.aspx?ID=419447

 

But looking at Max  Prep, it seems he never pitched in HS

 

https://www.maxpreps.com/athlete/matthew-swain/cxoDFK3wEeO00gAmVebEWg/gendersport/baseball-stats.htm

 

He'll be like clay in the hands of Wes Johnson, I'm already calling it, this 6'7" specimen is going to be the steal of the draft!

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We have first basemen...

Round 24

Jensen, Trevor
Tulane (LA)
1B
R/R
4YR SR
--
6' 2 193lbs
DOB:04/27/97

 

Round 27

Phillips, Parker
Austin Peay (TN)
1B
R/R
4YR SR
--
6' 5 240lbs
DOB:02/20/97

 

Still no Catchers, 1 OF and no CF

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When I look back at some pitchers that I thought were going to be almost 'sure things' or at least 'decent' in past MLB Drafts; Kyle Zimmer, Riley Pint, Ashe Russell, Mike Nikorak, Brady Aiken, Mark Appel, Trey Ball - It is REALLY eye-opening in terms of the high TOTAL failure rate of 1st round pitchers (HS or College, injury or not).  Thus, the point of taking many, and hoping a few pan out, seems to be the optimal approach.  There just isn't a 'sure thing'.  It also shows that Jay and Stewart could have been bigger busts than they were (never mind Adam Johnson). 

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This draft confuses me. I'm going to be pretty upset if the Twins don't spend all of their draft pool this year but I'm not sure where they'd spend any of the savings they might have made earlier.

I could see them needing to spend a few extra dollars to sign Holland, and maybe need to go a bit over for the kid from Rice (Canterino).  But other than those two, I have to believe as you do Gunnarthor that they will have a significant savings from their total pool amount.

 

Other than the Auburn second baseman, I don't see any of the college players taken after round 10 requiring more than $125k...although I don't have any hard information.  So far thru 30 rounds, they have only taken three high school players headed to college...not counting Cavaco.  Once their top 10 is signed, there should be a lot of dollars available should the Twins be real high on any of those three. One, or all, could be in for a nice windfall!

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When I look back at some pitchers that I thought were going to be almost 'sure things' or at least 'decent' in past MLB Drafts; Kyle Zimmer, Riley Pint, Ashe Russell, Mike Nikorak, Brady Aiken, Mark Appel, Trey Ball - It is REALLY eye-opening in terms of the high TOTAL failure rate of 1st round pitchers (HS or College, injury or not).  Thus, the point of taking many, and hoping a few pan out, seems to be the optimal approach.  There just isn't a 'sure thing'.  It also shows that Jay and Stewart could have been bigger busts than they were (never mind Adam Johnson). 

 

Plenty of first round hitter busts too. Probably at a lower rate, but plenty of them. 

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This draft confuses me. I'm going to be pretty upset if the Twins don't spend all of their draft pool this year but I'm not sure where they'd spend any of the savings they might have made earlier.

 

Pizza party.

 

Honestly though, if these are the guys they like best, there's no reason not to spend it all. This may be a completely bonkers idea (at least for a billionaire) but if they did save up some money early in the draft, I'd be more than happy to see the guys at the end get a bonus big enough to pay more than a month's worth of rent.

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I’m wondering why a team would select a player that has a high probability of going to college. This isn’t a gripe, it’s a legitimate question,

 

Is it a flier type situation? “Maybe we can convince home to sign, let’s take a shot?”

 

Or, is it a way of using picks without having to use the dollar? Can a team use the dollars in that way, or is it only if a player signs under the slot can it be applied elsewhere?

 

I have to think they know what they’re getting into in the late rounds wit’s high-schoolers with major college offers.

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This draft confuses me. I'm going to be pretty upset if the Twins don't spend all of their draft pool this year but I'm not sure where they'd spend any of the savings they might have made earlier.

 

 

Yes. An odd and perplexing draft! But I'm sure LaVelle will give us the lowdown. /s

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I’m wondering why a team would select a player that has a high probability of going to college. This isn’t a gripe, it’s a legitimate question,

Is it a flier type situation? “Maybe we can convince home to sign, let’s take a shot?”

Or, is it a way of using picks without having to use the dollar? Can a team use the dollars in that way, or is it only if a player signs under the slot can it be applied elsewhere?

I have to think they know what they’re getting into in the late rounds wit’s high-schoolers with major college offers.

 

I think it has to do with teams never sign all 40 rounds, I think it's actually too many players for them to sign. That is why they will take a HS kid as a "maybe we can sign him but probably not" type of guy

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