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Fun with Numbers 2018 Edition

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With the season being early its time to bring out the projections based off of the early games in the season.

 

Like right now Zach Duke is striking out batters at a pace of 36 per 9 innings.  

 

Sano is on pace to strike out 486 times this season.  

 

and Rodney is on pace to give up 162 game winning home runs.  

 

Lets see what tomorrow brings.

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  • Looks like two years later Webb was out of baseball. Seems risky to offer Escobar a long term deal, now that I know this.

  • Not Twins related but Stanton is on pace for 324 HRs, which I believe may be some sort of record.

  • In 11 games since June 28, Daniel Palka of the White Sox has continued his slump and is batting .118 on 4 hits in 34 AB.   He also had 4 walks, and those four hits all were home runs. So he has a tole

Ryan LaMarre has the highest batting average in Twins history.

Ryan LaMarre has the highest batting average in Twins history.

Tied with Bobby Korecky.

Byron Buxton stole his 25th consecutive base without getting caught yesterday (dating to back to May 23 of last year), putting him exactly halfway towards Vince Coleman’s MLB record 50 consecutive steals.

Edited by AlwaysinModeration

Bonus fun with numbers: Buxton’s career stolen base percentage is 89.4%, edging out the all-time career leader in steal percentage, who comes in at 87.9%.

 

That player is....?

 

Bonus fun with numbers: Buxton’s career stolen base percentage is 89.4%, edging out the all-time career leader in steal percentage, who comes in at 87.9%.

That player is....?

 

Wow -- that's a name I would not have guessed.

 

Interesting top 10 list, though I think baseball-reference should require more than 80 attempts to make the list!

Duke’s xFIP is actually NEGATIVE 1.58

Wow -- that's a name I would not have guessed.

 

Interesting top 10 list, though I think baseball-reference should require more than 80 attempts to make the list!

For those of you, aside from Indiana Twins, wondering....that would be Alexi Casilla, all time steals percentage leader.

 

Now, let’s get on with more fun with numbers:

 

Gibson, on track to allow zero hits in 2018, after going the whole first month giving up none.

 

Twins starting pitchers, on track to give up zero runs in 2018, after going the whole first month giving up none.

Bonus fun with numbers: Buxton’s career stolen base percentage is 89.4%, edging out the all-time career leader in steal percentage, who comes in at 87.9%.

 

That player is....?

...Not Byron Buxton.

Through April 10th, the Detroit Country Club hit 2 HRs in 348 ABs.

 

Shohei Ohtani has 3 HRs in 19 ABs.

Edited by Vanimal46

Borrowing an early season post of mine from last season.

 

Strikeouts still a team-wide issue for the pitching staff.

K% of 18%, just 0.1% ahead of the Rays for worst in the league.

2016 - 27th
2015 - 30th
2014 - 30th
2013 - 30th
2012 - 30th
2011 - 30th
2010 - 23rd
2009 - 24th
2008 - 24th
2007 - 9th (Johan!)


2017 - 29th
 

2018 - tied for 10th!

3 teams (Reds, Rangers, Marlins) have at least 11 losses.

 

5 teams (Red Sox, Angels, Mets, Pirates, Diamondbacks) have at least 11 wins.

 

 

The Twins have played 11 games.

For those of you, aside from Indiana Twins, wondering....that would be Alexi Casilla, all time steals percentage leader.

I wanted to give others a chance to guess. And now the answer has changed. With two steals this year, Chase Utley has passed Alexi.

 

The rest of the top 10 is Carlos Beltran, Jack Perconte, Jayson Werth, Kaz Matsui, Eric Byrnes, Jason Bay, Nate McLouthand Jarrod Dyson. To me, Beltran is by far the most impressive, since Dyson is the only one who has even half the steals Beltran does. Worth noting is that Eric Davis and Tim Raines are just outside the top 10.

Edited by IndianaTwin

I posted along these lines elsewhere, but I guess it's worth summarizing: If Ryan LaMarre holds onto his current Twins stats, he will be tied for 14th all-time, in number of PA (8) while maintaining a perfect 1.000 BABIP in a major league season.

 

The list of leaders is heavily populated by pitchers. Gary Waslewski had an incredible 1970, with 19 PA in 32 games, consisting of 1 hit, 1 walk, 2 sacrifice bunts (which slightly unintuitively don't count as "in play"), and 15 strikeouts.

 

Among position players, LaMarre is tied for 4th if things don't change. Outfielder Bill Hall for the Orioles holds the record with his 2012 portfolio of 14 PA divided up among 2 hits (one a home run), 5 walks and 7 strikeouts. Those were his last appearances in the major leagues - you would think he must have realized he couldn't improve on perfection and swiftly retired, but actually he played a couple more years in the minors.

 

The position-player record seems within reach, if Ryan can lace another single or two and make sure to strike out otherwise. Good luck! :)

The position-player record seems within reach, if Ryan can lace another single or two and make sure to strike out otherwise. Good luck!

Did I call it, or what? :)

 

After last night's amazing game, Ryan now would stand in second place all-time among single seasons that maintained a 1.000 BABIP. 12 plate appearances. His season batting average is .583.

 

What's also remarkable is that this season brings up his lifetime batting average only to  .184, and since he hasn't walked (to speak of) or hit for extra bases (at all), his lifetime OPS is a very empty .399. And his lifetime BABIP has now risen to .300, which is pretty much league average. If he was hitting in bad luck before coming to the Twins, spread over bits and pieces of three seasons, he's pretty much evened things up, all in one month.

 

What a ride for the guy. Hope he's enjoying every second. I am.

 

Did I call it, or what? :)

 

After last night's amazing game, Ryan now would stand in second place all-time among single seasons that maintained a 1.000 BABIP. 12 plate appearances. His season batting average is .583.

 

What's also remarkable is that this season brings up his lifetime batting average only to  .184, and since he hasn't walked (to speak of) or hit for extra bases (at all), his lifetime OPS is a very empty .399. And his lifetime BABIP has now risen to .300, which is pretty much league average. If he was hitting in bad luck before coming to the Twins, spread over bits and pieces of three seasons, he's pretty much evened things up, all in one month.

 

What a ride for the guy. Hope he's enjoying every second. I am.

I take it his one out was a K yesterday.  

​Got to admit I kind of like the guy. Hope he keeps this up. I don't get to watch the games, as I'm out of market, but is he hitting the ball hard at least? That BABIP will normalize, but if he's hitting the ball hard, he could be a decent contributor to the team. 

Ryan LaMarre : 12 plate appearance; 7 singles and 5 K's.

 

The true two outcome player.

[iNSERT HERE] >>> Morrison

That’s not fun

He grounded into a double play tonight, and no longer has a seasonal BABIP of 1.000: Ryan LaMarre, you are dead to me. :)

 

He grounded into a double play tonight, and no longer has a seasonal BABIP of 1.000: Ryan LaMarre, you are dead to me. :)

 

Ryan LaMarre, you are dead to me. :)

I take it back. The additional playing time changes things. As of this morning, among position players with a seasonal BABIP higher than .750 (he's at .889), if his season ended right now, Ryan LaMarre would have the #1 quantity of plate appearances with 15, nosing out the aforementioned Bill Hall at 14. It's not the same record (BABIP threshold 1.000) as before, so I'm guilty of moving the goalposts, nevertheless Ryan currently holds an all-time top MLB spot at something. Woo hoo!

 

OK, OK, this thread is Fun with numbers, not Torture. I'll stop now. (Too late, I know.)

  • 3 weeks later...

Somehow, the Twins have been shut out only once this season but have shut out the opposition four times.

our dominant pitching. As expected.

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